Wikipedia:Five-million pool (2)

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This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:Statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 5,000,000 (five million). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of eternal fame). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 5,808,471.

This pool closed for entries when the English Wikipedia article count reached 4,000,000 (in July 2012). Perhaps try the WP:Seven-million pool or a higher pool. Current level: 116.17% of 5M goal (live). This second Five-million pool opened on 26 September 2009‎.

This pool is closed. Any further votes will be reverted. 5M reached on 2015 November 1. Winner of the pool: User:Us441.

2010[edit]

2011[edit]

  • 8 Febuary --Yowuza yadderhouse |meh 20:21, 1 November 2009 (UTC)
  • 18 February. It's trivial. 188.221.240.150 (talk) 01:06, 22 October 2009 (UTC)
  • About halfway through March. --Ouro (blah blah) 14:39, 25 December 2011 (UTC)
  • April 1. ;-) 23191Pa (chat me!) 08:16, 23 November 2009 (UTC)
  • April 24 Chopersword9!
  • July 29 --23:07, 1 November 2009 (UTC)
  • August 7. Random. --George2001hi 20:07, 10 December 2010 (UTC)
  • October 2 --User:WoodElf 08:00, 14 November 2009 (UTC)
  • 24 November is my guess. JaumeBG 11:29, 15 October 2010 (UTC)
  • December 19. 24.245.60.50 (talk) 01:31, 24 February 2010 (UTC)
  • December 31. (2 pages/minute) Perseus, Son of Zeus 16:42, 27 November 2010 (UTC)

2012[edit]

2013[edit]

2014[edit]

2015[edit]

  • January 15 - Wikipedia Day. (Much later than my prediction on the first pool, seeing how growth has slowed since then.) Robofish (talk) 17:16, 29 December 2010 (UTC)
  • February 3- Based on calculations. These factor in growth rate, existing articles, and number of editors. 66.189.166.13 (talk) 21:44, 14 March 2011 (UTC)
  • March 14 - A guess, Einstein's birthday. Jdrewitt (talk) 12:11, 20 April 2011 (UTC)
  • June 2 - Chaotic iak (talk) 12:37, 25 March 2011 (UTC)
  • June 13 - My 18th Birthday! ReelAngelGirl If I do somthing wrong please let me know 18:00, 25 January 2012 (UTC)
  • June 15 - Because the growth rate of the articles is slowing down, I'd say it will hit at about 2015. June 15 is in the middle of the year, so that's why I chose it. Agent 78787 (talk) 00:24, 26 January 2012 (UTC)
  • June 18 - I have my methods but they must remain secret. Lumos3 (talk) 16:48, 26 June 2012 (UTC)
  • July 7 - SYSS Mouse (talk) 22:29, 3 May 2012 (UTC)
  • August 25 - Average of the dates of the last 10 guesses Not really Total Guess You'll never know my secret. Buddy431 (talk) 04:38, 7 July 2012 (UTC)
  • September 18 - Visual extrapolation based on the Wikipedia page growth rate, without any mathematical calculations. --TheAustinMan(Talk|Works) 23:52, 6 July 2012 (UTC)
  • October 8 - My birthday.. :P  Kenrick  Talk 13:30, 16 October 2010 (UTC)
  • Sunday, October 18, 2015 at 5:41:25 AM, if there are 840 apd (articles per day). M'encarta (talk) 01:53, 19 February 2012 (UTC)
  • October 21, 2015 at 4:29PM - FortressDefender 22:35, 12 July 2012 (UTC)
  • October 27- Based on the rate growth is slowing.Us441 (talk) 23:24, 3 August 2010 (UTC) <-- the winner
  • November 27 This is my best guess for year and month. The exact day is just a lucky day for me. —JmaJeremyƬalkCont 04:46, 12 July 2012 (UTC)
  • December 25 - It will be a merry Christmas in Wikipedialand! CaptPicard (talk) 02:30, 8 July 2012 (UTC)

2016[edit]

  • January 1 Ghalas (talk) 09:27, 11 July 2012 (UTC)
  • March 20th 70.171.224.249 (talk) 00:37, 21 April 2010 (UTC)
  • May 14. Chessphoon (talk) 14:20, 4 July 2012 (UTC)
  • Around June 15. (The milestone will most likely to hit around on this date) (Based on the statistics recorded at WP:Milestones and Meta's Wikimedia News; also factoring in recent page-counter trends and [possible] exhaustion of major topics.) Just in time too; only hours remain before the new high mark. --Slgrandson (How's my egg-throwing coleslaw?) 19:03, 11 July 2012 (UTC)
  • July 4th. Ed [talk] [majestic titan] 06:57, 18 June 2012 (UTC)
  • August 17 - The obvious choice, as the industrious children will have created articles in anticipation for the coming school year. The article will be about the rise and fall of dubstep music, mere years within its creation. Garrett.e97 (talk) 17:44, 9 July 2012 (UTC)
  • Sept 17 - 50 months after we are due to hit 4 million. A paralympic medal winner. This allows for growth dropping from 25k a month to an average 20k/month for this million. ϢereSpielChequers 23:02, 19 April 2012 (UTC)
  • October 4, 2:01:03 AM UTC+0 by User:boomerangdriver33. The article will be about a current event about some geologic event. It will be 647 bytes when created, include no pictures, and will be written in British English. Brightgalrs (/braɪtˈɡæl.ərˌɛs/)[1] 09:59, 1 July 2012 (UTC)
  • December 5th My B-day! Bradlake10 (talk) 03:24, 12 July 2012 (UTC)

2017[edit]

2018[edit]

2019[edit]

  • July 2nd, 1:11:319 AM UTC+0 --Pubby8 (talk) 23:47, 20 August 2011 (UTC)

2020[edit]

  • February 20, 8:20 p.m. Lesgles (talk) 15:56, 31 July 2011 (UTC)

2021[edit]

  • January 22, 14:30 UTC according to the projections, it'll top out around 4.4 million soon, and I'm the other 0.6 will take about 8 years. It will be about a new band. Bar Code Symmetry (Talk) 00:11, 27 October 2011 (UTC)

2010BC[edit]

  • 0 The Month Before January, Which May Have Been December 2011BC, Kayau Voting IS evil 13:23, 17 March 2010 (UTC)

Never[edit]