Wikipedia:Ten-million pool

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This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:Statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 10,000,000 (ten million). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of eternal fame). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 5,671,433.

This pool will be closed for entries when the English Wikipedia article count reaches 5,000,000 8,000,000 (80%), so be sure to place your guess before then. This pool opened on March 1, 2006, shortly after the 1,000,000th article was created.

2006–2009[edit]

2008[edit]

2009[edit]

2010–2019[edit]

2010[edit]

2011[edit]

  • February 12, 2011 --Anthony Ivanoff 10:33, 12 August 2007 (UTC)
  • May 23, 2011 --Mr.crabby (Talk) 16:53, 9 June 2007 (UTC)
  • August 15, 2011 (gosh I'm creative). Jon Harald Søby 17:20, 15 January 2007 (UTC)
  • August 28, 2011 Emre D. 01:21, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
  • September 16, 2011 - For no reason other than it being my 30th birthday (even if I'll still be claiming I'm 20 on my MySpace profile. DitzyNizzy (aka Jess) (talk) 19:51, 18 August 2008 (UTC)
  • October 3, 2011 Carnildo 21:12, 28 September 2007 (UTC)
  • November 16, 2011 Acs4b 06:46, 13 October 2006 (UTC)
  • November 27, 2011 Hello32020 12:20, 9 September 2007 (UTC)
  • December 22, 2011 69.140.157.227 (talk) 06:01, 24 February 2008 (UTC)

2012[edit]

2013[edit]

2014[edit]

2015[edit]

2016[edit]

  • 1 January 2016 - a complete guess, but it would make a good new year story. Thryduulf (talk) 15:55, 27 August 2014 (UTC)
  • May 11, 2016 -LtNOWIS 17:02, 5 June 2007 (UTC)
  • 1 June 2016 --Joshua Issac (talk) 13:31, 13 May 2009 (UTC)
  • June 2 2016. Hiding T 20:11, 19 August 2008 (UTC)
  • August 17. Red Slash 09:57, 14 July 2013 (UTC)
  • September 17, 2016 -- Jpo 19:25, 24 September 2007 (UTC)
  • October 17, 2016. Total guess. BobAmnertiopsisChatMe! 01:51, 10 July 2009 (UTC)
  • November 2, 2016. Nobody will use date linking by then, so I will save the bot a few milliwatts by not date linking this guess. Tempshill (talk) 23:42, 25 May 2009 (UTC)
  • December 17, 2016. At the rate the new article creations are coming, it would take a few more years before we get to 10 million. 24.14.73.183 (talk) 22:20, 18 November 2011 (UTC)

2017[edit]

2018[edit]

2019[edit]

2020–2029[edit]

2020[edit]

  • January 20, 2020 at 12:00 EST. Once everyone forgets about blockchain, Everipedia will be merged with WP. Sorry Jimbo. —AnAwesomeArticleEditor (talk
    contribs
    ) 18:54, 24 February 2018 (UTC)
  • February 19 2020 at 20:30 GMT. CipherPixel (talk) 07:58, 27 May 2009 (UTC)
  • February 20 2020 at 20:20 UTC. shoy 15:22, 1 October 2007 (UTC)
  • April 1 2020 00:00:001. Theres a billion more users online. Translatorbots incorporate all other language pedias. Wikipedia takes dictation and formats it automatically. Britannica gives up, merges. Multimedia articles with no text multiply, get textified anyway. Mars rovers, Spirit and Opportunity, go senile, compete to write the most articles, have Revertwar, Flamewar, foment revolution on Earth: robots go crazy, kill everybody, revive them, write lots of articles about it. Jimmy Wales clone allowed to write about himself. Everybody else gets a clone. Bill Gates gets two. The Vogons arrive. Exhubriant 20:54, 15 November 2007 (UTC)
  • May 29 2020. Also my 40th birthday. You know, the post above by Exhubriant was that person's only edit? I'm rooting for them. — Hex (❝?!❞) 23:36, 13 November 2012 (UTC)
  • September 23, 2020, my birthday. GommehGaming101 (talk) 03:42, 17 April 2016 (UTC)
  • October 1, 2020. RockManQ (talk) 20:09, 13 October 2008 (UTC)
  • December 21, 2020.

2021[edit]

2022[edit]

  • July 7 2022 The Bald One White cat 16:22, 1 September 2008 (UTC)
  • August 6, 2022 qmaqdk (talk) 10:30, 13 August 2012 (UTC) (originally entered August 6, 2011 on 15:32, 2 March 2006 (GMT+1))
  • November 1, 2022 - Let's see! --Wafry (talk) 17:38, 1 November 2015 (UTC)
  • December 30, 2022 Sfoske70 (talk) 02:38, 1 December 2013 (UTC)

2023[edit]

2024[edit]

2025[edit]

2026[edit]

2027[edit]

2028[edit]

2029[edit]

  • June 31 ???? I am only guessing. Pro66 (talk) 04:44, 5 January 2009 (UTC)
  • 7 July 2029. JIP | Talk 15:20, 22 April 2018 (UTC)
  • October 1, 2029 Probably something so complicated it can't even me imagined at this moment in time LilacGear (talk) 02:33, 5 August 2017 (UTC)
  • October 31, 2029 — sligocki (talk) 03:12, 22 September 2009 (UTC)
  • December 31 2029 Car salesman 20:05, 14 April 2006 (UTC)

2030–2039[edit]

2040–2049[edit]

2050–2059[edit]

February 29, 2052. Nicolas Perrault (talk) 21:24, 26 October 2015 (UTC)

2060–2069[edit]

  • April 20, 2063 at 05:50 UTC  SchreiberBike | ⌨  04:30, 22 March 2015 (UTC)
  • January 21, 2064 at 2:24:00:01.19 -RandomManFromNanoLand

2070–2079[edit]

2080–2089[edit]

  • 2081, according to Seonathnatics.--Seonookim (talk) 06:44, 20 January 2013 (UTC)

2090–2099[edit]

2100–2999[edit]

And all your base are belong to us! — Rickyrab | Talk 22:41, 12 September 2007 (UTC)
  • Sol 26, 2112 - Sol Yes, a new month may be created! Qenzaf
  • January 7, 2150 Nillanilla3ee 19:19, 9 December 2007 (UTC)
  • February 22, 2222 at 2:22:22 AMUser101010 20:57, 20 December 2006 (UTC)

3000 or later[edit]

Never[edit]

  • Never. In 2016, 5 million will be reached (see [1]) and by 2022, 6 million articles will be reached. At that time any edit on Wikipedia can only done by referencing at least 4 independent sources. HenkvD 19:37, 19 March 2006 (UTC)
  • On January 1, 2018, the United Nations will unanimously vote to shut down the Internet, agreeing that it has done much more harm than good to human society. Wikipedia's 20,000+ featured articles will be printed in a ten-volume encyclopedia, and the rest of the database will be stored on microfilm in the New York Public Library. For decades afterwards sociologists will examine the millions of talk page archives, trying to figure out what it was about the Internet that made it so impossible to produce good things, but eventually this research will be halted for lack of funding. Ashibaka tock 18:07, 26 March 2006 (UTC)
  • Never. I agree with HenkvD. DarthVader 08:50, 18 May 2006 (UTC)
  • Never. I would agree with Henkvd, the maximum is 5-6 million (and the edit-requirement may also be correct), but unfortunately Ashibaka is right, but unfortunately again this will happen as early as 2008. Make your Personal backup in late 2007-- ExpImptalkcon 01:27, 27 October 2006 (UTC)
  • I agree with HenkvD. --GranTurismo2 18:37, 5 October 2007 (UTC)
  • Never, ever. Simply impossible.
  • By 2019 there will be no more room on the Internet. 71.124.63.69 01:33, 13 September 2007 (UTC)
  • There's not so much crap to talk about! Oh, wait... (clicks random article... Mamaki, Constantin Racoviţă, Louise Huff <--- ... So Interesting! Qevlarr 19:59, 1 April 2007 (UTC)
  • Never, Wikipedia will probably a) further deteriorate, alienating too many good contributors, or b) abolish IP editing, both alternatives with the result of a lot fewer articles being created. —AldeBaer 10:55, 26 May 2007 (UTC)
  • 10 million? 'fraid not. There ain't enough stuff out there to write about. Seldon1 15:41, 31 May 2007 (UTC)
  • Nope. Not nobody, not no how. All good things must come to an end. The Evil Spartan 17:06, 27 September 2007 (UTC)
  • Never, in 2014 computers will become self-aware. In short order they destroy the human race. They subsequently begin to rapidly expand the size of wikipedia, in a manner of hours they reach the 9,999,999 article but before they can realize that they forgot to account for an additional integer they destroy all of their internal software in an incident that makes Y2K look like a cherry bomb in comparison.- Moshe Constantine Hassan Al-Silverburg | Talk 06:29, 28 October 2008 (UTC)
  • Wikipedia will be replaced by sth Bulwersator (talk) 14:24, 8 July 2011 (UTC)
  • Never, for reasons not as spectacular as any of the above. (1) New article creation is currently on a decline. (2) Eventually Wikipedians will decide that the best way to handle articles doomed to be permanent stubs is to merge them with related articles (e.g., village articles merged into the article on the next higher administrative unit) which will be a factor to reduce total numbers of article. (3) Increasing difficulty in creating & improving articles will slow, if not stop article creation & improvement. (4) Reliable sources are finite; eventually all notable topics which do not require significant original research will have articles written. On the other side, I would enjoy being proven wrong, so feel free to keep creating articles. -- llywrch (talk) 19:20, 20 March 2015 (UTC)