Wildland–urban interface

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A Wildland–Urban Interface (WUI) is a zone of transition between wildland (unoccupied land) and human development. Communities in the WUI are at risk of catastrophic wildfire and their presence disrupts the ecology. Better understanding wildfire behavior and ecology behavior within and around the WUI highlights needs for policy and emergency response planning.

Definitions[edit]

Map of the wildland-urban interface in Catalonia featuring intermix and interface zones.

The wildland-urban interface (WUI) has two definitions. The US Forest Service defines the wildland-urban interface qualitatively as a place where "humans and their development meet or intermix with wildland fuel."[1] Communities that are within 0.5 miles (0.80 km) of the zone are included. A quantitative definition is provided by the Federal Register, which defines WUI areas as those containing at least one housing unit per 40 acres.

The Federal Register definition, combined with a quantitative criteria, splits the WUI into two categories:

  • Intermix WUI, or lands that contain at least one housing unit per 40 acres in which vegetation occupies more than 50% of terrestrial area; a heavily vegetated intermix WUI is as an area in which vegetation occupies over 75% of terrestrial area (at least 5 km2).
  • Interface WUI, or lands that contain at least one housing unit per 40 acres in which vegetation occupies less than 50% of terrestrial area (at least 2.4 km2).

Structures in intermix WUI are interspersed with vegetation, whereas homes in interface WUI are adjacent to heavy vegetation.[2]

WUI growth and causes of hazards[edit]

Throughout the world, human development has increasingly encroached into the wildland-urban interface in parallel with a climate change driven increase in large wildland fires which has found an increase in fire protection costs. The threat increase is real and measurable through measuring expenditures which indicates an economic risk. In the United States, beginning in the late 20th century, federal wildfire suppression expenditures tripled from $0.4 billion per year to $1.4 billion per year.[3] A tripling in expenditures indicates a tripling in threat. The wildland-urban interface has shifted to a denser population to become more hazardous.

Population shifts[edit]

The WUI was the fastest-growing land use type in the United States between 1990 and 2010. Factors behind the growth include population shifts, expansions of cities into wildlands, and new vegetation growth. The primary cause has been migration not vegetation growth. Of new WUI areas, 97% were the result of new housing.[3] In the United States there are population shifts towards the WUIs in the West and South; increasing nationally by 18 percent per decade, covering 6 million additional homes between 1990 and 2000 which in 2013 was 32 percent of habitable structures. Globally, WUI growth includes regions, such as Argentina, France, South Africa, Australia, and regions around the Mediterranean sea.[4][3] Going forward the WUI will continue to expand, an anticipated amenity-seeking migration of retiring baby-boomers to smaller communities close to scenic natural resources will contribute to WUI growth.[1]

Ecological factors[edit]

Ecological factors have resulted in a more arid and populated WUI. An arid landscape is a more flammable WUI landscape – factors include climate change driven vegetation growth and non-native insects and plant diseases.[5] Vegetation growth has been a minor factor in WUI growth; accounting for 3% of all WUI growth in the United States.[3] The larger factor is a climate change driven shift in temperature and precipitation that changes the wildlife composition.[6] Wildfires in the United States exceeding 50,000 acres has steadily increased since 1983; the bulk occurred after 2003.[1] In addition to an increase in arid flammability, climate change is driving population shifts into the WUI which has ecological consequences.[3]

Fire mitigation impact on environment[edit]

Environmental issues related to WUI growth extend beyond the increased risk of wildfire damage to human settlements. For example, housing growth in WUI regions can displace and fragment native vegetation. Additionally, the introduction of non-native species by humans through landscaping can change the wildlife composition of interface regions.[3] Other factors can also have impacts on the environment, including pets which can kill large quantities of wildlife.[7]

Forest fragmentation is another impact of WUI growth, which can lead to unintended ecological consequences. For instance, increased forest fragmentation can lead to an increase in the prevalence of Lyme disease.[8] One possible reason for this effect is the production of high-density isolated populations of transmission vectors such as ticks and mice. Isolated forest patches in fragmented environments tend to be surrounded by unfavorable habitats, which hinders the dispersal of infected species and increases their local density. Additionally, disease vectors in isolated patches can undergo genetic differentiation, increasing their survivability as a whole.[9]

Increases in wildfire risk pose a threat to conservation in WUI growth regions. Between 1985-94 and 2005-14, the area burned by wildfires in the United States nearly doubled from 18,000 to 33,000 square kilometers, and this increase can partly be attributed to WUI growth.[3] In North America, Chile, and Australia, unnaturally high fire frequencies have resulted in incidences of exotic annual grasses replacing native shrublands.[4]

Wildfire risk assessment[edit]

Calculating the risk posed to a structure located within a WUI is through predictive factors and simulations. Identifying risk factors and simulation with those factors help to understand and then manage the wildfire threat.

For example, a proximity factor measures the risk of fire from wind carried embers which can ignite new spot fires over a mile ahead of a flame front.[1] A vegetation factor measures the risk those wind carried embers have of starting a fire; lower vegetation has a lower risk.

A quantitative risk assessment simulation combines wildfire threat categories. Areas at the highest risk are those where a moderate population overlaps or is adjacent to a wildland that can support a large and intense wildfire and is vulnerable with limited evacuation routes.[10]

Risk factors[edit]

The Calkin framework predicts a catastrophic wildfire in the Wildland-urban Interface (WUI), with three categories of factors. These factors allow for an assessment of a degree of wildfire threat. These are ecological factors that define force, human factors that define ignition, and vulnerability factors that define damage. These factors are typically viewed in a geospatial relationship.

The ecological factor category includes climate, seasonal weather patterns, geographical distributions of vegetation, historical spatial wildfire data, and geographic features.[6] The ecological determines wildfire size and intensity.

The human factor category includes arrangement and density of housing. Density correlates with wildfire risk for two reasons. First, people cause fires; from 2001 to 2011, people caused 85% of wildfires recorded by the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC). Second, housing intensifies wildfires because they contain flammable material and produce mobile embers, such as wood shakes.[1] The relationship between population density and wildfire risk is non-linear. At low population densities, human ignitions are low. Ignitions increase with population density. However, there is a threshold of population density at which fire occurrence decreases. This is true for a range of environments in North America, the Mediterranean Basin, Chile, and South Africa. Possible reasons for a decrease include decreases in open space for ember transmission, fuel fragmentation due to urban development, and higher availability of fire-suppression resources. Areas with moderate population densities tend to exhibit higher wildfire risk than areas with low or high population densities.[4]

The vulnerability factor category is measured with evacuation time through a proximity of habitable structures to roads, matching of administrators to responsibilities, land use, building standards, and landscaping types.

Risk simulations[edit]

Wildfire spread is commonly simulated with a Minimum Travel Time (MTT) algorithm.[10]

Prior to MTT algorithms, fire boundaries were modeled through an application of Huygens' principle; boundaries are treated as wave fronts on a two-dimensional surface.

Minimum Travel Time (MTT) methods build on Huygens' principle to find a minimum time for fire to travel between two points. MTT assumes nearly-constant factors such as environmental factors for wind direction and fuel moisture. The MTT is advantageous over Huygens in scalability and algorithm speed. However, factors are dynamic and a constant representation comes at a cost of a limited window and thus MTT is only applicable to short-timescale simulations.[11]

Risk management[edit]

Structure and vegetation flammability is reduced through community-focused risk management through reduction of community vulnerabilities.[1] The degree of control of vulnerability to wildfires is measured with metrics for responsibilities and zones of defenses.

Reducing risk through responsibility distribution[edit]

By distributing wildfire management responsibilities, communities can mitigate risks.

The probability of catastrophic WUI wildfire is controlled by assignment of responsibility for three actionable WUI objectives: controlling potential wildfire intensity, reducing ignition sources, and reducing vulnerability. When these objectives are met, then a community is a fire-adapted community. The U.S. Forest Service defines fire-adapted communities as "a knowledgeable and engaged community in which the awareness and actions of residents regarding infrastructure, buildings, landscaping, and the surrounding ecosystem lessens the need for extensive protection actions and enables the community to safely accept fire as a part of the surrounding landscape."

Three groups are responsible for achieving the three WUI objectives, these are land management agencies, local governments, and individuals.[12]

  • Land management agencies eliminate ignition sources by hardening infrastructure, reduce wildfire size and intensity through fuel and vegetation management, reduce vulnerability through community education on individual preparedness, and respond to wildfires with suppression.
  • Local governments control human factors through avoiding moderate density development zoning.
  • Individuals reduce vulnerability through preparedness in increasing home resistance to ignition, reducing flammability of structures, and eliminating ember generating materials.

Fire-adapted communities have been successful in interacting with wildfires.

The key benefit of fire-adapted communities is that a reliance on individuals as a core block in the responsibility framework reduces WUI expenditures by local, regional, and national governments.[13]

Reducing risk through zone defenses[edit]

The risk of a structure to ignite in a wildfire is calculated by a Home Ignition Zone (HIZ) metric. The HIZ includes at a minimum the space within a 200 foot radius around a structure.[14] The HIZ is a guideline for whoever is responsible for structure wildfire protection; landlords and tenants (homeowner if they are the same) are responsible for physically constructing and maintaining defense zones while local government defines land use boundaries in a way that defense zones are effective (note: fire-resistant is arbitrary and is not defined in hours of resistance for a given degree of heat; these guidelines are relaxed for non-evergreen trees which are less flammable; this guide is not intended to prevent combustion of individual structures in a wildfire--it is intended to prevent catastrophic wildfire in the WUI):

  • Guidelines for structures:
    • Roof materials are fire-resistant and do not produce embers.
    • Exterior wall materials are fire-resistant.
    • Vents for eaves, attics, foundations, and roof are covered with wire mesh fine enough to catch embers
    • Deck and porch materials are fire-resistant.
  • Guidelines for landscaping:
    • Keep vegetation from around windows (heat will break glass).
    • Keep plants farther than 5 feet from walls; this is a bare dirt no-grow zone, optional to use mowed green lawn grass and non-combustible mulch with sparse deciduous plants.
    • Keep trees from growing within 30 feet of the structure.
    • Keep vegetation thinned within 100 feet of the structure.
  • Guidelines for outdoor maintenance:
    • Prune tree limbs back 10 feet from roofs.
    • Separate tree branches from power lines.
    • Clear fallen debris from roof, gutters, window wells, and under decks.
    • Prune tree branches 6 feet up from the ground.
    • Burn ground of leaf litter and needles.
    • Remove and dispose of dead trees and shrubs.
  • Guidelines for flammables:
    • Keep clear of flammables 30 feet around primary and auxiliary structures including firewood piles.
    • Keep clear 10 feet around propane tanks or fuel oil tanks.

Challenges to risk management[edit]

There are three challenges.[12]

  • Wildfires are an ecological process that naturally contribute to the development of ecosystems and many wildlands are historically predisposed to periodic fire; eradication of fires in WUI regions is not feasible.
  • Coordination of wildfire management efforts is difficult since wildfires are capable of spreading far distances; communities vary in wildfire risk and preparedness.
  • Actual wildfire risk and sociopolitical expectations of wildland fire management services are mismatched; real dangers are hidden by overconfidence.

An example of the Fire-adapted Communities performance interacting with wildfire was demonstrated in November 2018 when a wildfire passed through the community of Concow in Butte County, CA. This was the Camp Fire (2018). The Concow community was a Fire-adapted community.[15] This late season fire provided a stress test of the Fire-adapted Communities theory. The Concow community was destroyed. The wildfire continued through the community without demonstrating the expected slowing of the flame front. If there was a slowing it was less than anticipated though any slowing contributed to allowing residents to evacuate ahead of the flame front. The wildfire continued through wildlands between the community of Concow and the town of Paradise, CA. The wildfire then destroyed the town of Paradise which was in the process of developing into a fire-adapted community.[16] The wildfire ignition is suspected to have originated with unhardened electrical transmission line infrastructure which had recently been redesigned though had not been reconstructed and the new design did not include hardening against ignition where it passed through the WUI.[17] The Camp Fire demonstrated limitations of the fire-adapted community theory in late season wildfires driven by Katabatic winds, and in the land management agencies' responsibility in controlling infrastructure ignition sources.

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f Stein, Susan M.; Comas, Sara J.; Menakis, James P.; Steward, Susan I.; Cleveland, Helene; Bramwell, Lincoln; Radeloff, Volker. "Wildfire, Wildlands, and People: Understanding and Preparing for Wildfire in the Wildland-Urban Interface" (PDF). USDA Forest Service. USDA. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  2. ^ Radeloff, V. C.; Hammer, R. B.; Stewart, S. I.; Fried, J. S.; Holcomb, S. S.; McKeefry, J. F. (2005). "The Wildland-Urban Interface in the United States" (PDF). Ecological Applications. 15 (3): 799–805. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g Radeloff, Volker C.; Helmers, David P.; Kramer, H. Anu; Mockrin, Miranda H.; Alexandre, Patricia M.; Bar-Massada, Avi; Butsic, Van; Hawbaker, Todd J.; Martinuzzi, Sebastián (2018-03-27). "Rapid growth of the US wildland-urban interface raises wildfire risk". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 115 (13): 3314–3319. doi:10.1073/pnas.1718850115. PMC 5879688. PMID 29531054.
  4. ^ a b c SYPHARD, ALEXANDRA D.; RADELOFF, VOLKER C.; HAWBAKER, TODD J.; STEWART, SUSAN I. (January 16, 2009). "Conservation Threats Due to Human-Caused Increases in Fire Frequency in Mediterranean-Climate Ecosystems". Conservation Biology. 23 (3): 758–769. doi:10.1111/j.1523-1739.2009.01223.x. ISSN 0888-8892. PMID 22748094.
  5. ^ Keane, Robert E.; Agee, James K.; Fulé, Peter; Keeley, Jon E.; Key, Carl; Kitchen, Stanley G.; Miller, Richard; Schulte, Lisa A. (2008). "Ecological effects of large fires on US landscapes: benefit or catastrophe?" (PDF). International Journal of Wildland Fire. 17: 696–712. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  6. ^ a b Keane, Robert E.; Holsinger, Lisa M.; Parsons, Russell A.; Gray, Kathy (2008). "Climate change effects on historical range and variability of two large landscapes in western Montana, USA" (PDF). Forest Ecology and Management. 254: 375–389. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  7. ^ Loss, Scott R.; Will, Tom; Marra, Peter P. (2013-01-29). "The impact of free-ranging domestic cats on wildlife of the United States". Nature Communications. 4 (1): 1396. doi:10.1038/ncomms2380. ISSN 2041-1723. PMID 23360987.
  8. ^ Brownstein, John S.; Skelly, David K.; Holford, Theodore R.; Fish, Durland (2005-09-27). "Forest fragmentation predicts local scale heterogeneity of Lyme disease risk". Oecologia. 146 (3): 469–475. doi:10.1007/s00442-005-0251-9. ISSN 0029-8549. PMID 16187106.
  9. ^ Simon, Julie A.; Marrotte, Robby R.; Desrosiers, Nathalie; Fiset, Jessica; Gaitan, Jorge; Gonzalez, Andrew; Koffi, Jules K.; Lapointe, Francois-Joseph; Leighton, Patrick A. (2014-05-07). "Climate change and habitat fragmentation drive the occurrence ofBorrelia burgdorferi, the agent of Lyme disease, at the northeastern limit of its distribution". Evolutionary Applications. 7 (7): 750–764. doi:10.1111/eva.12165. ISSN 1752-4571. PMC 4227856. PMID 25469157.
  10. ^ a b Haas, Jessica R.; Calkin, David E.; Thompson, Matthew P. (2013). "A national approach for integrating wildfire simulation modeling into Wildland Urban Interface risk assessments within the United States" (PDF). Landscape and Urban Planning. 119: 44–53. doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2013.06.011. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  11. ^ Finney, Mark A (August 2002). "Fire growth using minimum travel time methods". Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 32 (8): 1420–1424. doi:10.1139/x02-068. ISSN 0045-5067.
  12. ^ a b Calkin, David E.; Cohen, Jack D.; Finney, Mark A.; Thompson, Matthew P. (2014-01-14). "How risk management can prevent future wildfire disasters in the wildland-urban interface". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 111 (2): 746–751. doi:10.1073/pnas.1315088111. PMC 3896199. PMID 24344292.
  13. ^ "Frequently Asked Questions – Fire Adapted Communities" (PDF). USDA Forest Service Fire and Aviation Management. July 10, 2014. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 1, 2017. Retrieved June 6, 2018.
  14. ^ "Home Ignition Zone Self Assessment for Homeowners" (PDF). Firewise Wisconsin. 2011. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 30, 2018. Retrieved June 6, 2018.
  15. ^ Faith Berry "Firewise property in California survives wildfire, considers next steps to focus on fire adapted approach." NFOA blog, Jul 8, 2013. Assessed 2/3/2019. https://community.nfpa.org/community/fire-break/blog/2013/07/08/firewise-property-in-california-survives-wildfire-considers-next-steps-to-focus-on-fire-adapted-approach
  16. ^ Heidi L. Ballard and Emily R. Evan "Wildfire in the Foothills: Youth Working with Communities to Adapt to Wildfire." United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Northern Research Station, Research Note NRS-160, July 2012. Accessed 2/3/2019. https://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/rn/rn_nrs160.pdf
  17. ^ "Pacific Gas and Electric Company South of Palermo Reinforcement Project". Cpuc.ca.gov. Retrieved January 26, 2019.

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