Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2018

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Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2018

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  Scott Walker by Gage Skidmore 4 (cropped).jpg Tony Evers (cropped).jpg Phil Anderson (cropped) (cropped).png
Nominee Scott Walker Tony Evers Phil Anderson
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Running mate Rebecca Kleefisch Mandela Barnes Patrick Baird

Incumbent Governor

Scott Walker
Republican



The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election will take place on November 6, 2018, to determine the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Wisconsin. It will occur concurrently with the election of Wisconsin's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker is running for a third term. Democrat and incumbent Wisconsin Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers became the Democratic nominee after the August 14 primary, winning amongst a crowded field of Democrats. Chair of the Wisconsin Libertarian Party Phil Anderson will also be challenging the election, running on the Libertarian ticket.

Republican primary[edit]

Governor[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominated[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

  • Robert Meyer, businessman and candidate for Mayor of Sun Prairie in 2007[4]

Endorsements[edit]

Scott Walker

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Walker (incumbent) 417,619 91.6
Republican Robert Meyer 38,347 8.4
Total votes 455,966 100%

Lieutenant Governor[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rebecca Kleefisch (incumbent) 407,420 99.73%
Total votes

Democratic primary[edit]

Governor[edit]

Nominated[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Tony Evers
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
  • Steve Kagen, Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District (former)[59]
  • Dave Obey, Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District (former)
State officials
State legislators
  • Mark Miller, State Senator[59]
  • John Lehman, former State Senator[59]
  • Sondy Pope, State Representative[59]
  • Bob Turner, former State Representative[59]
  • Spencer Black, former State Representative[59]
  • Mandy Wright, former State Representative[59]
  • Fred Clark, former State Representative[59]
  • Calvin Potter, former State Senator[59]
County elected officials
  • Scott McDonnell, Dane County Clerk[59]
  • Nancy Nusbaum, former Brown County Executive[59]
  • Rick Phelps, former Dane County Executive[59]
Municipal elected officials
Unions
Former 2018 gubernatorial candidates
Other Individuals
  • Ada Deer, former Assistant Secretary of the Interior[59]
  • Mark Bradley, former UW Regent[59]
  • Chuck Pruitt, former UW Regent[59]
  • Jose Vasquez, former UW Regent[59]
Matt Flynn
State elected officials
County elected officials
Municipal elected officials
Appointed officials
Citizens
Former 2018 gubernatorial candidates
  • Michele Doolan, businesswoman
  • Bob Harlow, candidate for CA-18 in 2016
  • Nick De Leon, pastor and Green Party candidate[66]
Mike McCabe
Former 2018 gubernatorial candidates
  • Mike Crute, liberal talk radio broadcaster
  • Jeff Rumbaugh, disability worker at UW-Waisman Center Community TIES and activist
2018 Congressional Candidates
  • Tim Canova-Candidate for Florida's 23rd Congressional District (Independent)
2018 Wisconsin Legislative Candidates
  • John Rocco Calabrese-Candidate for Wisconsin's 29th Assembly District (Democrat)
2016 Congressional Candidates
  • Sarah Lloyd-Candidate for Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District (Democrat)
Mahlon Mitchell
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Local officials
Unions
Kelda Roys
U.S. Senators
National organizations
Former 2018 gubernatorial candidates
State legislators
County elected officials[75]
  • Richard Kilmer, Dane County board supervisor
  • Heidi Wegleitner, Dane County board supervisor
  • Kelly Danner, Dane County board supervisor
  • Andy Olsen, Dane County board supervisor (former)
  • Thomas Nelson, Outagamie County Executive
  • Cathy Thompson, Outagamie County board supervisor
  • Travis Tysson, Outagamie County board supervisor
  • Stephanie Spellman, Winnebago County board supervisor
  • Alexandra Nugent, Sheboygan County board supervisor
  • Jack Gackstatter, Rock County Clerk of Circuit Court
State Newspapers
  • The Wisconsin Gazette
Celebrities
Dana Wachs (withdrew)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tony
Evers
Matt
Flynn
Andy
Gronik*
Mike
McCabe
Mahlon
Mitchell
Josh
Pade
Kelda
Roys
Paul
Soglin
Kathleen
Vinehout
Dana
Wachs*
Other Undecided
Emerson College July 26–28, 2018 282 ± 6.3% 30% 5% 5% 5% 7% 5% 10% 33%
Marist College July 15–19, 2018 466 ± 5.3% 25% 3% 2% 7% 3% 1% 3% 6% 7% 2% <1% 41%
Marquette University July 11–15, 2018 305 ± 6.6% 31% 5% 3% 6% 0% 3% 4% 6% 0% 38%
Marquette University June 13–17, 2018 278 ± 6.4% 25% 7% 4% 7% 4% 1% 2% 7% 5% 2% 1% 34%
FM3 Research (D-Soglin) March 16–19, 2018 601 ± 4.0% 30% 6% 2% 4% 6% 3% 17% 12% 3% 16%
Marquette University February 25 – March 1, 2018 318 ± 7.1% 18% 7% 3% 6% 4% 0% 9% 5% 4% 1% 44%
Public Policy Polling (D-Evers) January 8–10, 2018 747 ± 3.6% 29% 5% 2% 5% 5% 2% 10% 11% 4% 28%

An asterisk (*) denotes that a candidate withdrew before the primary but remains on the ballot.

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tony Evers 224,502 41.8
Democratic Mahlon Mitchell 88,077 16.4
Democratic Kelda Roys 68,952 12.8
Democratic Kathleen Vinehout 43,975 8.2
Democratic Mike McCabe 39,745 7.4
Democratic Matt Flynn 31,539 5.9
Democratic Paul Soglin 28,128 5.2
Democratic Josh Pade 1,929 0.4
Democratic Others 10,872 2
Total votes 537,719 100%

Lieutenant Governor[edit]

Declared[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mandela Barnes 326,051 68
Democratic Kurt Kober 153,698 32
Total votes 479,749 100

Libertarian convention[edit]

Governor[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Phil Anderson
State Governors
Musicians and artists

Lieutenant Governor[edit]

Nominee[edit]

  • Patrick Baird, U.S. Navy veteran[85]

Green Party primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

  • Nick De Leon, pastor (endorsed Matt Flynn)[66]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[86] Tossup September 14, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[87] Lean D October 17, 2018
The Washington Post[88] Tossup October 16, 2018
Inside Elections[89] Tossup September 14, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[90] Tossup September 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[91] Tossup September 19, 2018
Daily Kos[92] Tossup September 17, 2018
Fox News[93][a] Lean D October 10, 2018
Politico[94] Tossup October 9, 2018
Governing[95] Tossup October 2, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Scott
Walker (R)
Tony
Evers (D)
Phil
Anderson (L)
Other Undecided
Marquette University October 3–7, 2018 799 LV ± 3.9% 47% 46% 5% 1%
1,000 RV ± 3.6% 47% 43% 7% 2%
Marist College September 30 – October 3, 2018 571 LV ± 4.8% 42% 50% 3% 2%[96] 3%
43% 53% 1% 3%
781 RV ± 4.1% 42% 49% 3% 3%[97] 4%
43% 52% 1% 3%
Ipsos September 14–24, 2018 1,109 ± 3.0% 43% 50% 3% 4%
Marquette University September 12–16, 2018 614 LV ± 4.4% 44% 49% 6% 1%
800 RV ± 4.0% 43% 47% 7% 2%
Public Policy Polling (D-High Ground Action Fund) September 4–5, 2018 726 ± 4.0% 45% 49% 6%
Suffolk University August 18–24, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 44% 46% 2% 1%[98] 7%
Marquette University August 15–19, 2018 601 LV ± 4.5% 46% 46% 6% 2%
800 RV ± 4.0% 46% 44% 7% 3%
Public Policy Polling August 15–16, 2018 596 ± 4.0% 44% 49% 7%
Emerson College July 26–28, 2018 632 ± 4.2% 41% 48% 5% 7%
Marist College July 15–19, 2018 906 ± 3.8% 41% 54% <1% 5%
Marquette University June 13–17, 2018 800 ± 4.0% 48% 44% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D-Evers) May 9–10, 2018 644 ± 3.9% 45% 49% 6%

Results[edit]

Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Walker (incumbent)
Democratic Tony Evers
Libertarian Phil Anderson
Green Michael White
Independent Maggie Turnbull
Independent Robbie Hoffman (write-in)
Other Arnie Enz
Majority
Total votes

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Opoien, Jessie (December 10, 2015). "Addressing WMC's 'Future Wisconsin' summit, Scott Walker hints at third term as governor". The Capital Times. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
  2. ^ Benson, Guy (April 19, 2016). "EXCLUSIVE: Walker Sidesteps Open Convention Ultimatum, Says He'll Likely Run for Re-Election". Townhall. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
  3. ^ Keith, Theo (May 23, 2016). "Gov. Scott Walker will decide whether to run for third term once budget complete". Fox 6 Milwaukee. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
  4. ^ Mertes, Chris (December 7, 2017). "Meyer declares GOP candidacy for governor". Sun Prairie Star. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  5. ^ Donald J. Trump. "Scott Walker of Wisconsin is a tremendous Governor who has done incredible things for that Great State. He has my complete & total Endorsement! He brought the amazing Foxconn to Wisconsin with its 15,000 Jobs-and so much more. Vote for Scott on Tuesday in the Republican Primary!". Twitter.
  6. ^ Mike Pence. "Wisconsin Republicans have the chance to support one of the BEST governors in America today. Go vote and show your support for my friend Governor @ScottWalker!". Twitter.
  7. ^ a b c "Wisconsin Primary Election Results". The New York Times. August 15, 2018. Retrieved August 15, 2018.
  8. ^ Kirchen, Rich (November 5, 2017). "Gov. Walker officially announces re-election bid for third term at Weldall in Waukesha County". American City Business Journals. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  9. ^ Beck, Molly (July 7, 2017). "State Superintendent Tony Evers considers run for governor". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved July 16, 2017.
  10. ^ Beck, Molly (July 22, 2017). "State Superintendent Tony Evers files to run for governor". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved July 22, 2017.
  11. ^ "Schools Head Tony Evers To Officially Enter Race For Governor". Wisconsin Public Radio. Retrieved 2017-08-22.
  12. ^ a b c Opoien, Jessie (December 7, 2017). "Updated: Comprehensive list of Democrats running for Wisconsin governor". The Capital Times. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  13. ^ a b c Opoien, Jessie (May 8, 2017). "Wisconsin's Democratic governor candidates: Who's in, who's out and who's a maybe". The Capital Times. Retrieved May 9, 2017.
  14. ^ DeFour, Matthew (May 4, 2017). "Former Wisconsin Democracy Campaign director mulling run for governor". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved May 9, 2017.
  15. ^ Patrick Marley (September 12, 2017). "Mike McCabe to challenge Walker, joining increasingly crowded Democratic field". Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel. Retrieved September 12, 2017.
  16. ^ DeFour, Matthew (November 13, 2017). "Firefighter union chief joins growing field of Democratic gubernatorial contenders". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved November 13, 2017.
  17. ^ Guida, Bill (April 13, 2018). "Bristol man running for governor". Kenosha News. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
  18. ^ Bice, Daniel (December 7, 2017). "Ex-Rep. Kelda Roys joins packed field of Dems hoping to challenge Gov. Scott Walker". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  19. ^ Neumann, Greg (December 28, 2016). "Mayor Soglin has no plans to run for Governor in 2018". WKOW. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
  20. ^ "Madison Mayor Paul Soglin to announce run for governor next month". The Associated Press. 26 December 2017. Retrieved 27 December 2017.
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  22. ^ a b c Sommerhauser, Mark (June 5, 2016). "Kathleen Vinehout surveys Democrats about run for governor". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
  23. ^ a b c Opoien, Jessie (August 10, 2016). "Turning the tide: Can a Wisconsin Democrat win the 2018 election for governor?". The Capital Times. Retrieved October 5, 2016.
  24. ^ a b c d Stein, Jason; Marley, Patrick (March 26, 2017). "Wisconsin Democrats have chance at Gov. Scott Walker but no candidate". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved March 29, 2017.
  25. ^ Beck, Molly (29 Jun 2017). "Kathleen Vinehout registers committee to run for governor". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved 2 July 2017.
  26. ^ Jason Stein (September 25, 2017). "Wisconsin Sen. Kathleen Vinehout is the latest Democrat to run for governor". Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel. Retrieved September 26, 2017.
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  28. ^ Milwaukee, Urban. "Michele Doolan Ends Campaign for Governor, Endorses Matt Flynn". Urban Milwaukee. Retrieved 2018-04-21.
  29. ^ Bauer, Scott (July 11, 2017). "Democratic Businessman Andy Gronik Enters Governor's Race". US News. Retrieved July 11, 2017.
  30. ^ Thompson-Gee, Justin. "Andy Gronik withdraws from Wisconsin gubernatorial race". CBS58. Retrieved 2018-06-21.
  31. ^ Milwaukee, Urban. "Bob Harlow Exits Race for Governor, Endorses Matt Flynn". Urban Milwaukee. Retrieved 2018-04-21.
  32. ^ "Kober, Sheboygan native and businessman, exploring guv bid". WisPolitics.com. August 16, 2017. Retrieved August 17, 2017.
  33. ^ "Sheboygan businessman Kurt Kober registers for governor run". Fox 6 Milwaukee. August 17, 2017. Retrieved August 17, 2017.
  34. ^ Richmond, Todd (August 7, 2017). "Eau Claire Rep. Dana Wachs enters Democratic race for governor". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved August 11, 2017.
  35. ^ Bice, Daniel (August 24, 2015). "Chris Abele hires former Democratic Party boss to aid campaign". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
  36. ^ Marley, Patrick (September 3, 2015). "Chris Abele: No plans to run for governor in 2018". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
  37. ^ "Milwaukee County Exec. Abele says he "definitely" won't run for governor in 2018". Fox 6 Milwaukee. September 3, 2015. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
  38. ^ Stein, Jason (March 31, 2017). "Wisconsin Democrat Mark Bakken decides against Scott Walker challenge". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved April 2, 2017.
  39. ^ "Barca says he has no plans to run for governor in 2018". Wispolitics.com. December 23, 2016. Retrieved December 23, 2016.
  40. ^ "'We haven't made any decisions:' Mayor Tom Barrett confirms he's considering another run for governor". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved 2018-04-21.
  41. ^ "Mayor Tom Barrett announces he's not running for governor, saying 'I hope to serve as mayor for many years to come'". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved 2018-05-29.
  42. ^ Horne, Michael (March 15, 2017). "Plenty of Horne: Chisholm for Governor?". Urban Milwaukee. Retrieved March 18, 2017.
  43. ^ a b c d e "Flynn Campaign: John Chisholm, John La Fave endorse Matt Flynn for governor". Wispolitics.com. Retrieved 9 November 2017.
  44. ^ a b c Opoien, Jessie (July 3, 2016). "7 Democrats who might challenge Scott Walker in 2018". The Capital Times. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
  45. ^ Gallagher, Kathleen (June 29, 2016). "Exact Sciences executive attends Cancer Moonshot Summit". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
  46. ^ DeFour, Matthew (March 29, 2017). "Democrat Tim Cullen won't run for governor in 2018". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved March 29, 2017.
  47. ^ Marley, Patrick (November 22, 2016). "Redistricting ruling could help, hurt both parties". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved December 13, 2016.
  48. ^ Bauer, Scott (August 6, 2017). "Former state Rep. Brett Hulsey registers to run for governor". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved August 11, 2017.
  49. ^ DeFour, Matthew (December 18, 2017). "2014 Democratic candidate for gov @BrettHulseyWI registered a campaign for 2018, but Hulsey tells me he will not run for governor next year. "Looks like there are many good Democratic candidates in already and voters have real choices."". Twitter. Retrieved December 19, 2017.
  50. ^ "Rep. Kind Not Ruling Out Run for Governor Against Walker". FOX 21. February 17, 2017. Retrieved February 18, 2017.
  51. ^ "Democrat Ron Kind not ruling out run for governor against Scott Walker". FOX 6. February 17, 2017. Retrieved February 18, 2017.
  52. ^ Moberg, Glen (February 16, 2017). "Congressman Ron Kind Not Ruling Out Run for Governor In 2018". Wisconsin Public Radio. Retrieved February 18, 2017.
  53. ^ Strauss, Daniel (March 10, 2017). "Rep. Ron Kind decides against run for Wisconsin governor". Politico. Retrieved March 10, 2017.
  54. ^ DeFour, Matthew (April 19, 2017). "Joe Parisi won't run for governor, says Scott Walker is both vulnerable and strong". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved April 19, 2017.
  55. ^ Price, Lilly (May 1, 2017). "Highlights of U.S. Congressman Mark Pocan's interview with The Daily Cardinal". The Daily Cardinal. Retrieved May 1, 2017.
  56. ^ Hubbuch, Chris (December 13, 2016). "Sen. Jennifer Shilling rules out run for governor in 2018". La Crosse Tribune. Retrieved December 13, 2016.
  57. ^ a b Johnson, Shawn (October 16, 2017). "Former US Sen. Herb Kohl Endorses Tony Evers For Governor". Wisconsin Public Radio. Retrieved October 16, 2017.
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  64. ^ "Milwaukee County Supervisor Sylvia Ortiz-Velez Endorses Matt Flynn for Governor". Retrieved 23 April 2018.
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  66. ^ a b Flynn, Matt (19 June 2018). "Nick De Leon Suspends Campaign for Wisconsin Governor, Endorses Matt Flynn". Matt Flynn for Governor. Retrieved 27 June 2018.
  67. ^ "Mitchell Lands Endorsement of California Sen. Kamala Harris". Madison 365.
  68. ^ Stein, Jason (November 13, 2017). "Firefighter union head Mahlon Mitchell latest Dem to challenge Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved November 13, 2017.
  69. ^ a b Mitchell, Mahlon (December 20, 2017). "Amalgamated Transit Union Local 998 Endorses Mahlon Mitchell for Governor". Urban Milwaukee. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  70. ^ a b Amundson, Betty (December 20, 2017). "Show your Support: Mahlon Mitchell for Governor". IUOE Local 139. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  71. ^ "Wisconsin AFL-CIO Endorses Mahlon Mitchell for Wisconsin Governor". Wisconsin State AFL-CIO. May 17, 2018. Retrieved June 9, 2018.
  72. ^ Horecki, Michael (May 24, 2018). "AFSCME Endorses Mahlon Mitchell For Governor Of Wisconsin". AFSCME Council 32. Retrieved June 9, 2018.
  73. ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America: Endorses Kelda Roys for Governor".
  74. ^ Beck, Molly (22 June 2018). "Dana Wachs becomes second Democrat this week to leave governor's race". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved 26 June 2018.
  75. ^ "Endorsements". Kelda Roys for Governor. Retrieved 26 June 2018.
  76. ^ "Wachs Campaign: State Rep. Christine Sinicki endorses Dana Wachs for Governor". Wispolitics.com. October 23, 2017.
  77. ^ "Wachs campaign: State Rep. Nick Milroy endorses Dana Wachs for Governor". Wispolitics.com.
  78. ^ "Wachs campaign: Assistant Democratic Assembly Leader Hesselbein endorses Dana Wachs for Gov". Wispolitics.com.
  79. ^ "Wachs campaign: State Rep. Tod Ohnstad endorses Dana Wachs for Governor". Wispolitics.com.
  80. ^ Marley, Patrick (October 17, 2017). "Mandela Barnes is considering running for Wisconsin lieutenant governor". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  81. ^ Bauer, Scott (January 13, 2018). "Former state Rep. Barnes running for lieutenant governor". Wisconsin Gazette. Retrieved February 10, 2018.
  82. ^ Bice, Daniel (19 December 2017). "Bice: Sheboygan businessman is running as Democrat for lieutenant governor". The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved 26 December 2017.
  83. ^ Reistad, Meghan (October 21, 2017). "Libertarian Party of Wisconsin celebrates 2018 campaign kickoff". Retrieved October 21, 2017.
  84. ^ "Weld Endorsements". Facebook. Facebook.
  85. ^ "Campaigns". Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  86. ^ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2018-03-11.
  87. ^ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  88. ^ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
  89. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2018-03-11.
  90. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2018-03-11.
  91. ^ "RealClearPolitics - 2018 Governors Map". RealClearPolitics. June 5, 2018.
  92. ^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  93. ^ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
  94. ^ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
  95. ^ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Retrieved 2018-07-18.
  96. ^ Michael White (G) with 2%, other with <1%
  97. ^ Michael White (G) with 3%, other with <1%
  98. ^ Arnie Enz (WP) with 1%, Maggie Turnbull (I) and Michael White (G) with 0%

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites