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2012 Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election

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Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election, 2012
← 2010 June 5, 2012 2014 →
 
Nominee Scott Walker Tom Barrett
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Rebecca Kleefisch Mahlon Mitchell
Popular vote 1,334,450[1] 1,162,785[1]
Percentage 53.1% 46.3%
Results by county.
Governor before election

Scott Walker
Republican

Elected Governor

Scott Walker
Republican

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The 2012 Wisconsin gubernatorial election was a recall election to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin. The election was a rematch of the 2010 gubernatorial election, between the incumbent Governor Scott Walker and Tom Barrett, the Mayor of Milwaukee. Many Democrats opposed Walker's agenda to end collective bargaining rights for state employees,[2] and they collected over 900,000 signatures to initiate the recall election process.[2] The recall election was the most expensive in Wisconsin history.[3] In total, more than $62 million has been spent by the candidates along with outside groups.[4] According to an article in USA Today, "Much of the $30 million raised by Walker came from outside the state. Barrett has spent about $4 million; most of his donors live in Wisconsin."[4]

The Democratic primary took place on May 8. The recall election was held June 5,[5] when Walker was declared the winner. Walker is thus the first U.S. governor to continue in office after facing a recall election.[6] Four state senate recall elections took place the same day as the gubernatorial recall elections, resulting in three wins by Republican incumbents and one win by a Democratic challenger, giving Democrats control of the state Senate.[7]

The recall election was just the third gubernatorial recall election in U.S. history, and the only one when the incumbent was not defeated.[8] The other governors who were subject to a recall election were Lynn Frazier of North Dakota (1921) and Gray Davis of California (2003). Frazier and Davis were each defeated in their respective recall elections.[9]

Background

Pre-certification recall campaign

Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker faced a recall effort beginning in November 2011. After the contentious collective bargaining dispute,[10] Walker's disapproval ratings have varied between 50–51% while his approval ratings have varied between 47–49% in 2011.[11][12]

Wisconsin law made Walker eligible for recall beginning January 3, 2012, and the Wisconsin Democratic Party called it a "priority" to remove him from office.[13]

In the first half of 2011, Walker raised more than $2,500,000 from supporters.[14][15] Walker raised $5.1 million in the second half of 2011 to battle his recall, "about half of it from out of state."[16] The effort to recall Walker officially began on November 15, 2011.[17] In less than half the allotted time (60 days) to collect signatures, recall organizers report collecting more than 500,000 signatures, leaving roughly one month left to collect the remaining 40,000 signatures needed to force a recall vote.[18]

On January 17, 2012, United Wisconsin, the coalition that spearheaded the recall effort along with the Democratic Party, said that one million signatures were collected, which far exceeds the 540,208 needed, and amounts to 23 percent of the state’s eligible voters, 46 percent of the total votes cast in the 2010 gubernatorial election, and just shy of the 1.1 million votes earned by Walker.[19][20]

On January 25, 2012, a poll released by the Marquette University Law School revealed that Walker would win a recall election against potential candidates Tom Barrett, Kathleen Falk, David Obey, or Tim Cullen.[21][22] This compares to a poll released by Public Policy Polling in October 2011 which also showed Walker would win a recall election against Barrett, Falk, Peter Barca, Steve Kagen, or Ron Kind. The poll also shows that more people opposed (49%) than supported (48%) the recall effort.[23]

In February, Walker's campaign made an additional request for more time for the petition signatures to be verified, stating that between 10–20% of the signatures reviewed thus far should not be counted. Democrats argued that even if 20% of the signatures were not counted they still had 300,000 more than the required number needed to initiated the recall. Democratic Party spokesman Graeme Zielinski argued Walker was just "delaying the Inevitable". And by not being in a recall election, Walker was able to collect unlimited campaign donations because normal campaign fundraising limits do not apply until an election is ordered.[24] On February 17, 2012, Dane County judge Richard Niess denied Walker's request for additional time.[25]

In March, Milwaukee city officials asked Milwaukee Public Schools to contribute nearly $10 million more to the pension plan because of financial market downturns. The teachers union, school board and the superintendent asked the Legislature for the opportunity to negotiate to reduce costs.[26] Milwaukee schools didn't take part in a 90-day window that had closed, which allowed unions and municipal employees to make contract adjustments. The Assembly and Senate agreed to allow Milwaukee schools to reopen negotiations for compensation or fringe-benefit concessions without nullifying existing union contracts. The measure giving them 90 days passed the Assembly and Senate. Gov. Scott Walker supports the measure. Other teachers' unions asked Milwaukee to withdraw its request, saying it would give Walker a political advantage in the recall election.[27]

Certification

On March 29, 2012, the Wisconsin Government Accountability Board (WI GAB) released its final signature counts for the Walker recall petition. The GAB reported that 931,053 signatures were officially turned in, although the proponents had stated that approximately one million signatures were collected. Of that number, 26,114 were struck by GAB staff for various reasons and an additional 4,001 duplicates were struck. The final total certified by the GAB was 900,938 signatures.[28]

Petition controversy

Twenty-nine circuit court judges in Wisconsin signed recall petitions against Gov. Scott Walker, according to a Gannett Wisconsin Media analysis.[29] Among the signers was Dane County Judge David Flanagan, who was scrutinized after issuing a temporary restraining order March 6 against a Walker-backed voter ID law without disclosing his support of the recall.[30] None of the state's sixteen appeals court judges or seven Supreme Court justices signed the recall petition. The state Supreme Court issued an advisory opinion in 2001 saying judges are allowed to sign nominating petitions so long as the petition language only supports putting the candidate on the ballot and does not imply an endorsement.[29] The Landmark Legal Foundation has requested an investigation to the Wisconsin Judicial Commission regarding allegations of misconduct by the judges in question.[31] Later, it was discovered that Gannett also had twenty-five journalists who had signed the recall petition. The newspaper group is in the process of addressing discipline, and that it revealed the signatures in the interest of being as open as possible. Genia Lovett, representative for the organization, said that journalists have a right to hold opinions. However, they must also protect their news organization's credibility.[32]

Other media organizations have had staff sign the recall petition.[33] Rob Starbuck, the morning news anchor for Madison, Wisconsin television station WISC-TV, signed the Walker recall petition. The station stated that the signing was in violation of the station’s policy for newsroom employees. TODAY'S TMJ4 and Newsradio 620 WTMJ, from the Milwaukee, Wisconsin area, discovered that several members of its staff signed the petitions to recall Governor Walker. The organization said it was in the process of dealing with the matter internally. Many employees told them that they felt signing the recall petition was not a political act, but instead felt it was similar to casting a vote. WTMJ stated that it does not agree and indicated that they are taking measures to make sure all of their reporting is fair, balanced and to ensure something like this does not happen again.[33]

The need for a recall election and the potential waste of taxpayer money has also drawn criticism. An estimate provided by the state Government Accountability Board shows a cost of $9 million for a statewide election. Since a primary election was also conducted for this race, the total price is estimated to be around $18 million.[34]

Results of the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Primary on May 8, 2012. Red counties had more votes for Walker than all Democrats combined. Blue counties had more votes for all Democrats combined than Walker.

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Scott Walker, incumbent Governor and former Milwaukee County Executive
  • Arthur Kohl-Riggs (political activist)[35]

Endorsements

Result

Republican primary results[66]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Walker 626,538 97
Republican Arthur Kohl-Riggs 19,920 3
Total votes 646,458 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Barrett 		Kathleen
Falk 		Doug
La Follette 		Kathleen
Vinehout 		Undecided
Marquette University April 26–29, 2012 451 ± 4% 48% 21% 8% 6% 19%
Public Policy Polling April 13–15, 2012 810 ± 3.4% 38% 24% 9% 6% 22%
Marquette University March 22–25, 2012 373 ± 5.1% — 54% 15% 12% 19%
36% 29% 8% 8% 18%
Public Policy Polling February 23–26, 2012 425 45% 18% 14% 6% 17%
— 41% 23% 13% 22%

Result

Democratic primary results[66]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Barrett 390,109 58
Democratic Kathleen Falk 228,940 34
Democratic Kathleen Vinehout 26,926 4
Democratic Douglas La Follette 19,461 3
Democratic Gladys Huber 4,842 1
Total votes 670,278 100

Candidates

Campaign

In April, the Milwaukee Police Association and Milwaukee Professional Firefighters Association unions endorsed Governor Walker in the recall election.[42] After Barrett won the Democratic primary, Walker stated, “As Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett enters the general election in his soon to be third statewide losing campaign, he will surely find that his record of raising taxes and promises to continue to do so will not resonate with voters."[94] Barrett said after his primary victory "We cannot fix Wisconsin with Walker as governor, this election is not about fighting past battles, it is about moving forward together to create jobs and get our economy moving again."[95]

Debates

Opinion polls

Key
DV Decided voters
LV Likely voters
RV Registered voters
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Scott
Walker (R) 		Tom
Barrett (D) 		Other Undecided
We Ask America June 3, 2012 1,570 LV ± 2.5% 54% 42% — 4%
Public Policy Polling June 2–3, 2012 1,226 LV ± 2.8% 50% 47% — 3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion May 30 – June 2, 2012 507 DV ± 4.4% 53% 47% — —
Marquette University May 23–26, 2012 600 LV ± 4.1% 52% 45% — 3%
We Ask America May 23, 2012 1,409 LV ± 2.61% 54% 42% — 4%
St. Norbert College May 17–22, 2012 406 LV ± 5% 50% 45% — 5%
Reason-Rupe May 14–18, 2012 609 LV ± 4% 50% 42% — 6%
We Ask America May 13, 2012 1,219 LV ± 2.81% 52% 43% — 5%
Public Policy Polling May 11–13, 2012 833 LV ± 3.4% 50% 45% 2% 3%
Marquette University May 9–12, 2012 600 LV ± 4.1% 50% 44% — 3%
Rasmussen Reports May 9, 2012 500 LV ± 4.5% 50% 45% 2% 2%
Marquette University April 26–29, 2012 705 RV ± 4% 46% 47% 3% 4%
628 LV 47% 46% 3% 4%
Public Policy Polling April 13–15, 2012 1,136 ± 2.9% 50% 45% 2% 3%
Marquette University March 22–25, 2012 707 ± 3.7% 47% 45% 3% 5%
Public Policy Polling February 23–26, 2012 900 ± 3.3% 46% 49% — 5%
Marquette University January 19–22, 2012 701 ± 3.7% 50% 44% 2% 4%
Public Policy Polling October 20–23, 2011 1,170 ± 2.9% 48% 46% — 6%

Result

Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election, 2012 results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Walker (Incumbent) 1,334,450 53.1
Democratic Tom Barrett 1,162,785 46.3
Independent Hariprasad Trivedi 14,350 0.6
Total votes 2,511,585 100.0
Republican hold

County results

County Won
by 		Walker
 % 		Walker
votes 		Barrett
 % 		Barrett
votes 		Trivedi % Trivedi votes
Adams Walker 54.5 4,497 44.3 3,657 1.2 97
Ashland Barrett 38.1 2,595 61.2 4,169 0.7 50
Barron Walker 59.3 10,420 39.9 7,012 0.8 136
Bayfield Barrett 39.8 3,269 59.5 4,893 0.7 55
Brown Walker 59.7 61,932 39.7 41,204 0.6 619
Buffalo Walker 60.8 3,403 38.4 2,147 0.8 44
Burnett Walker 60.8 4,002 38.6 2,544 0.6 37
Calumet Walker 66.3 15,004 33.2 7,506 0.5 107
Chippewa Walker 58.3 14,955 40.8 10,470 0.9 243
Clark Walker 68.7 8,124 30.5 3,614 0.8 95
Columbia Barrett 49.4 12,904 50.0 13,068 0.6 160
Crawford Walker 51.1 3,355 48.1 3,159 0.8 57
Dane Barrett 30.4 77,449 69.1 175,934 0.5 1,236
Dodge Walker 63.6 24,841 35.7 13,947 0.7 242
Door Walker 56.8 8,398 42.7 6,304 0.5 75
Douglas Barrett 35.0 6,371 64.4 11,706 0.6 104
Dunn Walker 53.9 8,406 45.4 7,092 0.7 108
Eau Claire Walker 49.8 20,720 49.4 20,560 0.8 324
Florence Walker 64.8 1,338 34.7 717 0.5 10
Fond du Lac Walker 63.9 29,037 35.4 16,098 0.7 309
Forest Walker 58.8 2,180 40.0 1,485 1.2 44
Grant Walker 52.0 9,490 47.2 8,614 0.8 136
Green Walker 51.1 8,402 48.5 7,978 0.4 71
Green Lake Walker 68.9 5,799 30.4 2,562 0.7 54
Iowa Barrett 46.4 4,956 52.9 5,657 0.7 77
Iron Walker 55.7 1,612 43.8 1,266 0.5 14
Jackson Walker 53.6 4,070 45.6 3,464 0.8 62
Jefferson Walker 60.0 22,461 39.2 14,678 0.8 274
Juneau Walker 55.8 5,427 43.4 4,223 0.8 83
Kenosha Barrett 49.1 28,921 50.3 29,626 0.6 348
Kewaunee Walker 64.1 6,107 35.5 3,383 0.4 42
La Crosse Barrett 47.5 22,593 51.8 24,620 0.7 349
Lafayette Walker 56.7 3,887 42.6 2,924 0.7 46
Langlade Walker 65.6 5,617 33.7 2,886 0.7 62
Lincoln Walker 56.9 7,198 42.3 5,348 0.8 106
Manitowoc Walker 64.1 23,130 35.2 12,683 0.7 268
Marathon Walker 62.1 36,328 37.2 21,793 0.7 398
Marinette Walker 61.9 10,262 37.6 6,238 0.5 90
Marquette Walker 59.3 4,099 40.0 2,764 0.7 46
Menominee Barrett 26.5 208 73.2 575 0.3 3
Milwaukee Barrett 36.3 143,228 63.3 249,888 0.4 1,929
Monroe Walker 59.2 9,039 39.8 6,086 1.0 155
Oconto Walker 65.2 11,044 34.2 5,782 0.6 102
Oneida Walker 58.1 10,429 41.0 7,359 0.9 147
Outagamie Walker 61.3 47,580 38.1 29,624 0.6 466
Ozaukee Walker 70.7 34,276 29.0 14,070 0.3 140
Pepin Walker 60.1 1,855 39.4 1,216 0.5 17
Pierce Walker 55.0 8,311 44.6 6,736 0.4 54
Polk Walker 60.2 10,135 39.2 6,593 0.6 104
Portage Barrett 48.3 14,825 51.0 15,654 0.7 242
Price Walker 60.0 4,079 39.0 2,649 1.0 73
Racine Walker 52.8 45,480 46.6 40,191 0.6 506
Richland Walker 53.8 3,899 45.5 3,299 0.7 53
Rock Barrett 43.5 27,502 55.8 35,297 0.7 476
Rusk Walker 62.6 3,719 36.3 2,158 1.1 60
Sauk Walker 51.2 13,631 48.1 12,807 0.7 166
Sawyer Walker 56.5 4,004 42.8 3,035 0.7 45
Shawano Walker 66.2 11,198 33.3 5,644 0.5 86
Sheboygan Walker 64.3 34,018 35.2 18,605 0.5 279
St. Croix Walker 61.1 20,884 38.5 13,172 0.4 121
Taylor Walker 71.8 5,748 27.5 2,198 0.7 57
Trempealeau Walker 57.0 6,262 42.2 4,638 0.8 87
Vernon Walker 52.0 6,346 47.2 5,756 0.8 98
Vilas Walker 63.3 7,289 36.1 4,152 0.6 72
Walworth Walker 64.3 26,201 35.2 14,330 0.5 201
Washburn Walker 57.1 4,277 42.1 3,151 0.8 59
Washington Walker 75.6 52,278 24.0 16,622 0.4 246
Waukesha Walker 72.4 154,203 27.3 58,167 0.3 706
Waupaca Walker 64.7 14,093 34.7 7,560 0.6 126
Waushara Walker 62.9 6,463 36.5 3,751 0.6 69
Winnebago Walker 56.0 39,859 43.4 30,861 0.6 446
Wood Walker 57.9 18,528 41.2 13,166 0.9 281

See also

References

  1. ^ a b c http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/Governor/2012/Primary/WI
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  6. ^ NBC, CNN, Fox, Los Angeles Times, CBS.
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  84. ^ Posted: May 31, 2012 9:26 pm Updated: 06/01/2012 10:22 am. "Tom Barrett Will Stress Scott Walker's 'Failure To Lead' In Final Debate". Huffington Post. Retrieved June 3, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  85. ^ "Obey endorses Tom Barrett in Walker recall". politico.com. April 9, 2012. Retrieved April 10, 2012.
  86. ^ "Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley headed to Wisconsin – why is President Obama doing the "fly over?" " Gretawire". Gretawire.foxnewsinsider.com. May 30, 2012. Retrieved June 3, 2012.
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  91. ^ Stein, Jason (April 4, 2012). "U.S. Rep. Kind, Women's Campaign Fund endorse in governor's race". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved April 5, 2012.
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  93. ^ "Independent write-in gubernatorial candidate Zelinski enters race". Badgerherald.com. April 29, 2012. Retrieved June 3, 2012.
  94. ^ "Walker Campaign Reacts To Mayor Tom Barrett'S Entrance Into The General Election | Scott Walker For Wisconsin Governor". Scottwalker.org. May 8, 2012. Retrieved June 3, 2012.
  95. ^ "Tom Barrett Faces Scott Walker In June". Barrettforwisconsin.com. Retrieved June 3, 2012.
  96. ^ "Walker agrees to debate Barrett twice before Recall election". Scott Walker Watch. May 9, 2012. Retrieved June 3, 2012.
Official gubernatorial campaign websites
Official lieutenant governor campaign websites
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