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Tesla Autopilot

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Tesla Autopilot in operation

Tesla Autopilot is an advanced driver-assistance system (ADAS) developed by Tesla that amounts to partial vehicle automation (Level 2 automation, as defined by SAE International). Tesla provides "Base Autopilot" on all vehicles, which includes lane centering and traffic-aware cruise control. Owners may purchase an upgrade to "Enhanced Autopilot" (EA) which adds semi-autonomous navigation on limited access roadways, self-parking, and the ability to summon the car from a garage or parking spot. The company claims the features reduce accidents caused by driver negligence and fatigue from long-term driving.[1][2] Collisions and deaths involving Tesla cars with Autopilot engaged have drawn the attention of the press and government agencies.[3]

Full Self-Driving (FSD) is Tesla's branding for its beta testing program to achieve fully autonomous driving (SAE Level 5). The naming is controversial, because vehicles operating under FSD remain at Level 2 automation and are therefore not "fully self-driving" and require active driver supervision. FSD adds semi-autonomous navigation on city streets and the ability to respond to traffic lights or stop signs. As of February 2023, Tesla cited about 360,000 participants in the beta program.[4] Industry observers and academics have criticized Tesla's decision to use untrained consumers to validate beta features as dangerous and irresponsible.[5][6][7][8]

The company's stated intent is to offer fully autonomous driving at a future time, acknowledging that technical and regulatory hurdles must be overcome to achieve this goal.[9] Since 2013, Tesla CEO Elon Musk has repeatedly made inaccurate predictions for Tesla to achieve Level 5 autonomy within one to three years,[10] most recently predicting the end of 2023.[11]

History[edit]

Tesla Autopilot engaged on I-80 near Lake Tahoe

Elon Musk first discussed the Tesla Autopilot system publicly in 2013, noting that "Autopilot is a good thing to have in planes, and we should have it in cars."[12] Over the ensuing decade, Autopilot went through a series of hardware and software enhancements, gradually approaching the goal of full autonomy, which, as of January 2024, remains unmet. Autopilot, as initially introduced in 2014, referred to automatic parking and low-speed summoning on private property,[13] using sensor and computing hardware developed by Mobileye. By 2016, the Mobileye-based Autopilot had added automatic emergency braking, adaptive cruise control, and lane centering capabilities[14] when Tesla and Mobileye dissolved their partnership that July.[15] Enhanced Autopilot (EA) was announced later in 2016 as an extra-cost option that used a new hardware suite developed by Tesla;[16] the key distinguishing feature for EA, "Navigate on Autopilot", which uses the new hardware suite to guide the vehicle on controlled-access roads, from on-ramp to off-ramp, was delayed until 2018.[17] At the same time that EA was introduced, Tesla also offered Full Self-Driving (FSD) as an upgrade option to EA in 2016, which would extend machine-guided driving capabilities to local roads.[16] FSD beta testing started in October 2020.[18]

Hardware 1 and Autopilot (Mobileye)[edit]

In October 2014, Tesla offered customers the ability to pre-purchase Autopilot[13][19][20] that was not designed for self-driving.[21] Initial versions were built in partnership with Mobileye,[22] but Mobileye ended the partnership in July 2016 because Tesla "was pushing the envelope in terms of safety".[23][24]

Tesla cars manufactured after September 2014 had the initial hardware (hardware version 1 or HW1) that supported Autopilot.[25] The first Autopilot software release came in October 2015 as part of Tesla software version 7.0.[26] Version 7.1 removed some features to discourage risky driving.[27]

Version 8.0 processed radar signals to create a point cloud similar to lidar to help navigate in low visibility.[28][29] In November 2016, Autopilot 8.0 was updated to encourage drivers to grip the steering wheel.[30][31] By November 2016, Autopilot had operated for 300 million miles (500 million km).[32]

Hardware 2 and 3, and Navigate on Autopilot[edit]

In October 2016, Autopilot sensors and computing hardware transitioned to hardware version 2 (HW2) for new cars,[33] the upgraded hardware collectively was called Autopilot 2.0 to distinguish it from the original Autopilot/HW1 vehicles.[34] At the time it was launched, Autopilot 2.0 vehicles with HW2 actually had fewer features than HW1 vehicles; for example, HW2 vehicles were unable to be summoned in 2016.[35][36]

Tesla also used the term Enhanced Autopilot (EA) to refer to planned capabilities that would be coming to HW2 vehicles; the signature EA feature announced in December 2016 was "Navigate on Autopilot", which allows machine-controlled driving on controlled-access highways from on-ramp to off-ramp, including the abilities to change lanes without driver input, transition from one freeway to another, and exit.[37] HW2 vehicles were updated in January and February 2017 with software version 8.0, which included traffic-aware cruise control and autosteer (lane-centering) on divided highways and 'local roads' up to a speed of 45 miles per hour (72 km/h).[38][39] Software version 8.1 for HW2 arrived in March 2017, providing HW2 cars feature parity with HW1 cars, but not "Navigate on Autopilot".[40]

Autopilot version 9 enabled autonomous lane changes to pass vehicles moving below the set cruising speed; the most aggressive mode was named "Mad Max" after the media franchise.[41]

In August 2017, Tesla announced hardware version 2.5 (HW2.5), which upgraded the on-board processor and added redundant systems.[42] Software version 9.0 was released in October 2018,[43] in preparation for the release of "Navigate on Autopilot" for HW2/HW2.5 vehicles with EA, which was implemented later that month.[44] At the same time, Tesla removed the option to purchase the "Full Self-Driving" upgrade.[45] In a November 2018 test drive, The Verge reporter Andrew J. Hawkins called the beta "Navigate on Autopilot" system "the feature that could give Tesla an edge as it grows from niche company to global powerhouse".[46] As initially released, "Navigate on Autopilot" would suggest lane changes, but could not change lanes until the suggestion had been confirmed by the driver through the turn signal stalk.[47]

In March 2019, Tesla transitioned to hardware version 3 (HW3) for new cars.[48] Completely automated lane changes without requiring driver confirmation using "Navigate on Autopilot" were added as an option in an April software update,[49] although Consumer Reports called it "far less competent" than a human driver.[50] To comply with the new United Nations Economic Commission for Europe regulation related to automatically commanded steering function,[51] Tesla provided an updated Autopilot in May, limited to Europe.[52] In September, Tesla released software version 10 to Early Access Program (EAP) testers, citing improvements in driving visualization and automatic lane changes.[53]

Deceptive Full Self-Driving video promotion[edit]

In October 2016, at the same time as the release of HW2,[54] Tesla released a video entitled "Full Self-Driving Hardware on All Teslas"[55] that claimed to demonstrate Full Self-Driving, the system designed to extend automated driving to local roads.[56][57] (CEO Elon Musk tweeted a link to a longer version in November 2016.[58]) In the video, the person in the driver's seat does not touch the steering wheel or pedals during the demonstration. The video also shows perspectives from the vehicle's cameras and image recognition system.[59] At Musk's suggestion, the title card states "The person in the driver's seat is only there for legal reasons. He is not doing anything. The car is driving itself."[60] It was nicknamed the "Paint It Black" video, after the 1966 Rolling Stones song used as its soundtrack.[56]

Former employees who helped to produce the 2016 video were interviewed by The New York Times in 2021.[61] In the interview, they stated the vehicle was following a route that had been mapped with detailed scanning cameras, which is a technology that was and is not available in Tesla production cars. Even with these augmentations in place, human drivers had to intervene to take control, the vehicle allegedly struck "a roadside barrier" on the Tesla grounds during filming, requiring repairs to the vehicle, and the car crashed into a fence when trying to automatically park.[62] In January 2024, Bloomberg published an expose based on internal Tesla emails revealing that Musk personally oversaw the editing and post-production of the video.[63]

Motor Trend and Jalopnik compared what Tesla had showcased to the deceptive video depicting a Nikola One EV truck which was actually powered by gravity;[64] Jalopnik commented "[the Tesla video] may be worse, because this video was used to deceptively suggest capabilities of a system deployed into real people's hands and used on public roads."[65] In June 2022, Ashok Elluswamy, director of Autopilot software, made a statement during a deposition taken for a civil lawsuit filed against Tesla by the family of a driver that was killed in 2018 after the Model X he was driving using Autopilot crashed into a concrete barrier in Mountain View, California. Elluswamy stated the video was not originally intended "to accurately portray what was available for customers in 2016. It was to portray what was possible to build into the system," while the final video had no such disclaimer.[66] A Florida circuit court judge also noted the final video as part of Tesla's marketing strategy in rejecting Tesla's motion to dismiss a lawsuit over a 2019 death, writing that "absent from this video is any indication that the video is aspirational or that this technology doesn't currently exist in the market."[67]

Full Self-Driving options[edit]

At the time the "Paint it Black" video was released in 2016, FSD was acknowledged to be "some way off in the future."[37] The option to purchase the FSD upgrade to EA was removed from Tesla's website in October 2018; Elon Musk tweeted the upgrade was "causing too much confusion". Technology analyst Rob Enderle called the removal of the upgrade option "incredibly stupid", adding "don't release a system that doesn't work and make it hard to order."[68] During a January 2019 earnings call, Elon Musk reiterated "full self-driving capability is there", referring to "Navigate on Autopilot", an EA feature limited to controlled-access highways.[45] The EA option was replaced by FSD in 2019 without offering "Navigate on Autopilot"-like functionality for local roads; autosteer and traffic-aware cruise control were transferred to the basic Autopilot feature set, which was made standard on all new Teslas.[69][70]

In September 2020, Tesla reintroduced the term Enhanced Autopilot to distinguish the existing subset of features which included high-speed highway travel and low-speed parking and summoning, from FSD, which would add medium-speed city road travel.[71] Tesla released a "beta" version of its FSD software (which extended "Navigate on Autopilot"-like machine-controlled driving and navigation to 'local roads') in the United States in October 2020 to EAP testers.[72][73] The EA option tier was made available to all buyers by June 2022,[69] and the FSD beta had expanded to approximately 160,000 testers in the United States and Canada by September.[74] In November 2022, the FSD beta was extended to all owners in North America who had purchased the option.[75] In April 2024, FSD gained approval in China.[76]

Pricing[edit]

In 2016, the initial price of Autopilot (called "Enhanced Autopilot") was $5,000, and FSD was an add-on for $3,000.[77] In April 2019, basic Autopilot was included in every Tesla car,[78] and FSD was $5,000, growing to $10,000 in October 2020 and $15,000 in September 2022.[79] As the price of FSD increased, the fraction of buyers who purchased it steadily declined, from an estimated 37% in 2019 to 22% in 2020 to 12% in 2021.[80] Starting in 2021, the company offered a subscription for FSD for $199 per month or $99 per month if the customer had already purchased Enhanced Autopilot.[81] In September 2023, the price of FSD was reduced to $12,000.[82] In April 2024, Tesla reduced the FSD subscription price to $99 per month for either new users or users who had already purchased Enhanced Autopilot,[83] and reduced the purchase price to $8,000.[84] Tesla's dropping of the price of the service ran opposite Musk's earlier statements about how the price of FSD would continue to increase,[85] and angered existing FSD users who paid the higher prices previously.[86]

Regional availability[edit]

UK and Europe[edit]

Autopilot product capabilities in the United-Kingdom (UK) is different from the one available in the United-States. The UK product is a suite including technologies such as ACC, LKA and AEB similar to what is available in other European vehicles.[87]

EuroNCAP compared the Tesla Model 3 Autopilot ADAS suite with what is available in other European vehicles. EuroNCAP makes comment about disseminated misleading/confusing suggestive information. It also comments on a risk of overreliance.[88]

The handbook correctly indicates the limitations of the system capabilities.

— EuroNCAP[88]

Other countries[edit]

In China, basic Autopilot and FSD may not be available,[89][90] when Basic Autopilot, Enhanced Autopilot and FSD may be available.[90][91][89]

In Australia, Basic Autopilot and Enhanced Autopilot are available while FSD is not. Lane change is available as part of Enhanced Autopilot.[92] In Australia, a FSD service which differs from the US beta one is available. For instance, turning in city street may not be available in Australian Tesla FSD.[93] In Australia, Tesla FSD may stop at stop signs.[94]

Full Self-Driving[edit]

Full Self-Driving (FSD) capability[95] is a pre-release upgrade package to Autopilot offering additional ADAS features, such as traffic light recognition.

Approach[edit]

Tesla's approach to try to achieve SAE Level 5 is to train a neural network using the behavior of 6+ million Tesla drivers[96][97] using chiefly visible light cameras and the coarse-grained two-dimensional maps used for navigation.[98][99] Tesla has made a deliberate decision to not use lidar, which Elon Musk has called "stupid, expensive and unnecessary".[100] This makes Tesla's approach markedly different from that of other companies like Waymo and Cruise which train their neural networks using the behavior of a small number of highly trained drivers,[101][102] and are additionally relying on highly detailed (centimeter-scale) three-dimensional maps and lidar in their autonomous vehicles.[99][103][104][105][106]

According to Elon Musk, full autonomy is "really a software limitation: The hardware exists to create full autonomy, so it's really about developing advanced, narrow AI for the car to operate on."[107][108] The Autopilot development focus is on "increasingly sophisticated neural nets that can operate in reasonably sized computers in the car".[107][108] According to Musk, "the car will learn over time", including from other cars.[109]

Tesla's software has been trained based on three billion miles driven by Tesla vehicles on public roads, as of April 2020.[110][111] Alongside tens of millions of miles on public roads,[112] competitors have trained their software on tens of billions of miles in computer simulations, as of January 2020.[113] In terms of computing hardware, Tesla designed a self-driving computer chip that has been installed in its cars since March 2019[114] and also designed and built in-house a neural network training supercomputer ("Tesla Dojo");[115][116] other vehicle automation companies such as Waymo regularly use custom chipsets and neural networks as well.[117][118]

Predictions[edit]

I don't think we have to worry about autonomous cars because it's a sort of a narrow form of AI. It's not something I think is very difficult. To do autonomous driving that is to a degree much safer than a person, is much easier than people think. [...] I almost view it like a solved problem.

 — Elon Musk, Opening keynote, Nvidia conference (March 2015)[119]

In December 2015, Musk predicted that "complete autonomy" would be implemented by 2018.[120] At the end of 2016, Tesla expected to demonstrate full autonomy by the end of 2017,[121][122] and in April 2017, Musk predicted that in around two years, drivers would be able to sleep in their vehicle while it drives itself.[123] In 2018 Tesla revised the date to demonstrate full autonomy to be by the end of 2019.[124]

I think we will be feature complete, full self-driving, this year. Meaning the car will be able to find you in a parking lot, pick you up and take you all the way to your destination without an intervention. This year. I would say I am of certain of that, that is not a question mark. However, people sometimes will extrapolate that to mean now it works with 100% certainty, requiring no observation, perfectly, this is not the case.

 — Elon Musk, Podcast (February 2019)[125][126]

In 2019[127][128] and 2020,[129] Tesla's order page for "Full Self-Driving Capability" stated:

Coming later this year:
  • Recognize and respond to traffic lights and stop signs
  • Automatic driving on city streets.

In January 2020, Musk claimed the FSD software would be "feature complete" by the end of 2020, adding that feature complete "doesn't mean that features are working well".[130] In August 2020, Musk stated that 200 software engineers, 100 hardware engineers and 500 "labelers" were working on Autopilot and FSD.[131] In early 2021, Musk stated that Tesla would provide SAE Level 5 autonomy by the end of 2021.[132][133] In a March 2021 conference call between Tesla and the California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV), Tesla's director of Autopilot software revealed that Musk's comments "did not reflect engineering reality." Details of the call were made public via a Freedom of Information Act request by PlainSite.[134] Speaking via video call at a 2023 AI conference held in Shanghai, Musk admitted that his former predictions were overly optimistic, and predicted that Tesla would finally realize fully autonomous vehicles at some point "later this year".[135]

During the Q1 2024 investors meeting in early 2024, Musk announced that he would reveal a new robotaxi product in August. According to research performed by NBC News, as of April 2024, Tesla has yet to apply for any state-level permits needed to operate autonomous vehicles in the US.[136]

Full Self-Driving beta[edit]

In October 2020, Tesla first released a beta version of its FSD software to early access program testers, a small group of users in the United States.[137][72][73] Musk stated that the testing of FSD beta "[w]ill be extremely slow [and] cautious" and "be limited to a small number of people who are expert [and] careful drivers".[72] The release of the beta program renewed concern regarding whether the technology is ready for testing on public roads.[138][139] In January 2021, the number of employees and customers testing the beta FSD software was "nearly 1,000"[140] expanding in May 2021 to several thousand employees and customers.[141]

In October 2021, Tesla began the wide release of the FSD beta to approximately 1,000 more drivers in the US, and the beta became accessible to Tesla drivers who achieved a 100 / 100 on a proprietary safety scoring system.[142] By November 2021 there were about 11,700 FSD beta testers[143] and about 150,000 vehicles using Tesla's safety score system,[144] which then grew to 60,000 users participating in FSD beta by January 2022,[145] and 100,000 users by April 2022.[141] In November 2022, the FSD beta was opened to all North American owners who had purchased the option, regardless of safety score.[75] As of February 2023, Tesla has about 360,000 participants in FSD Beta.[4]

In February 2023, 362,758 vehicles equipped with the FSD beta were recalled by the U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA),[146] and addition of new participants was halted by the company.[147] In March 2023, FSD Beta v11, which also merged Autopilot code with FSD, was released as a fix for the issues.[148] In July 2023, NHTSA asked Tesla to clarify which changes had been made, and when they were implemented.[149] The NHTSA later reported 60 crashes and one fatality involving the use of FSD beta during the period August 2022 to August 2023.[150]

Full Self Driving supervised[edit]

In August 2023, Musk livestreamed a 45-minute demo of the upcoming version 12 of FSD, which he claimed uses only a neural network, and not any human-written code.[151] There was one manual intervention: halfway through, it misinterpreted a green left-turn arrow as allowing forward traffic, and almost ran the red light before Musk intervened.[151]

In March 2024, FSD version 12.3 started rolling out to an initial set of US customers, with positive feedback.[152][153] Subsequently, Tesla announced a free one-month trial of FSD,[154] and Musk mandated demonstrating FSD to all prospective buyers in the US. [154] FSD version 12.3.3 officially replaced the word "beta" with "supervised" in its naming,[155] and, in April 2024, Tesla announced that users had driven over 1 billion miles on FSD Beta.[85]

In May 2024, analysts of data released by YipitData found that, of the nearly 3,500 Tesla owners who trialed FSD in April 2024, only 2% kept their subscriptions.[156]

Tesla Dojo[edit]

Tesla Dojo is a supercomputer designed from the ground up by Tesla for computer vision video processing and recognition. It will be used to train Tesla's machine learning models to improve FSD.

Dojo was first mentioned by Musk in April 2019[157][158] and August 2020.[158] It was officially announced by Musk at Tesla's AI Day on August 19, 2021.[159] In September 2021, a Tesla Dojo whitepaper was released. In August 2023, Tesla said that it started production use of Dojo, configured with 10,000 Nvidia chips.[160]

Dojo consists of multiple cabinets. Each cabinet holds multiple, vertically arranged training tiles.[161] Each tile holds multiple Tesla-designed D1 processing chips with associated memory.[162] According to Tesla's senior director of Autopilot hardware, Ganesh Venkataramanan, "Tesla places 25 of these chips onto a single 'training tile', and 120 of these tiles come together... amounting to over an exaflop [a million teraflops] of power".[163] (As of August 2021, Nvidia stated that the pre-Dojo Tesla AI-training center used 720 nodes of eight Nvidia A100 Tensor Core Graphics Processing Units (GPUs), 5,760 GPUs in total, for up to 1.8 exaflops of performance.[164]) In April 2024, Musk said Tesla was using 35,000 Nvidia H100 chips, and was on track to have invested $10 billion cumulatively by the end of the year to train the neural network model for FSD.[165]

Criticism[edit]

Tesla's self-driving strategy has been criticized as dangerous and obsolete as it was abandoned by other companies years ago.[166][167][168] Most experts believe that Tesla's approach of trying to achieve autonomous vehicles by eschewing high-definition maps and lidar is not feasible.[169][170][171] Auto analyst Brad Templeton has criticized Tesla's approach by arguing, "The no-map approach involves forgetting what was learned before and doing it all again."[172] In a May 2021 study by Guidehouse Insights, Tesla was ranked last for both strategy and execution in the autonomous driving sector.[173] Some news reports in 2019 state "practically everyone views [lidar] as an essential ingredient for self-driving cars"[174] and "experts and proponents say it adds depth and vision where camera and radar alone fall short."[175]

An August 2021 study conducted by Missy Cummings et al found three Tesla Model 3 cars exhibited "significant between and within vehicle variation on a number of metrics related to driver monitoring, alerting, and safe operation of the underlying autonomy... suggest[ing] that the performance of the underlying artificial intelligence and computer vision systems was extremely variable."[176]

In September 2021, legal scholars William Widen and Philip Koopman argued that Tesla's advertising of FSD as an SAE Level 2 system was misleading to "avoid regulatory oversight and permitting processes required of more highly automated vehicles".[177] Instead, they argued FSD should be considered a SAE Level 4 technology and urged state Departments of Transportation in the U.S. to classify it as such since publicly available videos show that "beta test drivers operate their vehicles as if to validate SAE Level 4 (high driving automation) features, often revealing dramatically risky situations created by use of the vehicles in this manner."[177]

Driving features[edit]

Tesla's Autopilot is classified as Level 2 under the SAE six levels (0 to 5) of vehicle automation.[178] At this level, the car can act autonomously, but requires the driver to monitor the driving at all times and be prepared to take control at a moment's notice.[179][180] Tesla's owner's manual states that Autopilot should not be used on city streets or on roads where traffic conditions are constantly changing;[181][182][183] however, some FSD capabilities ("traffic and stop sign control (beta)"), and future FSD capabilities ("autosteer on city streets") are advertised for city streets.[184]

Overview of features[184]
Name
Feature
Base Autopilot Enhanced Autopilot (EA) Full Self-Driving (FSD)
SAE Classification Level 2
Traffic-Aware Cruise Control Yes Yes Yes
Autosteer Yes Yes Yes
Navigate on Autopilot No Yes Yes
Auto Lane Change No Yes Yes
Autopark No Yes Yes
Summon No Yes Yes
Smart Summon No Yes Yes
Traffic and Stop Sign Control No No Yes
Autosteer on City Streets No No Yes

Comparisons[edit]

  • In 2018, Consumer Reports rated Tesla Autopilot as second best out of four (GM, Tesla, Nissan, Volvo) "partially automated driving systems".[185] Autopilot scored highly for its capabilities and ease of use, but was worse at keeping the driver engaged than the other manufacturers' systems.[185] Consumer Reports also found multiple problems with Autopilot's automatic lane change function, such as cutting too closely in front of other cars and passing on the right.[186]
  • In 2018, the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) compared Tesla, BMW, Mercedes and Volvo "advanced driver assistance systems" and stated that the Tesla Model 3 experienced the fewest incidents of crossing over a lane line, touching a lane line, or disengaging.[187]
  • In February 2020, Car and Driver compared GM's Super Cruise, comma.ai and Autopilot.[188] They called Autopilot "one of the best", highlighting its user interface and versatility, but criticizing it for swerving abruptly.
  • In June 2020, Digital Trends compared GM's Super Cruise self-driving and Tesla Autopilot.[189] The conclusion: "Super Cruise is more advanced, while Autopilot is more comprehensive."
  • In October 2020, the European New Car Assessment Program gave the Tesla Model 3 Autopilot a score of "moderate".[190]
  • Also in October 2020, Consumer Reports evaluated 17 driver assistance systems, and concluded that Tesla Autopilot was "a distant second" behind GM's Super Cruise, although Autopilot was ranked first in the "Capabilities and Performance" and "Ease of Use" categories.[191][192]
  • In February 2021, a MotorTrend review compared GM's Super Cruise and Autopilot and said Super Cruise was better, primarily due to safety.[193]
  • In May 2021, consulting firm Guidehouse Insights ranked Tesla Full Self-Driving last in strategy and execution among 15 companies.[173]
  • In January 2023, Consumer Reports rated "active driving assistance systems" and ranked Tesla Autopilot as 7th out of 12. The Full Self-Driving package was not tested.[194]
  • In October 2023, Consumer Reports rated "active driving assistance systems" and ranked Tesla Autopilot as 8th out of 17. The Full Self-Driving package was not tested.[195]
  • In December 2023, TechCrunch ranked Full Self-Driving last out of five systems evaluated, saying "it's pretty easy to choose a loser. Three years after its initial beta release, Tesla's supposed Full Self-Driving still doesn't live up to its name", adding "the FSD beta software [was] frequently confused on urban and rural streets" and "Tesla's driver monitoring was by far the most lax of those tested".[196]
  • In March 2024, IIHS reported its first "partial automation safeguard ratings", ranking Tesla Autopilot and Full Self-Driving as "poor", along with 9 of 12 other systems.[197]

Safety statistics and concerns[edit]

Safety statistics[edit]

Millions of miles driven between accidents with and without Autopilot[2]
  Autopilot engaged
  No Autopilot

In April 2016, Elon Musk stated the probability of an accident was at least 50% lower when using Autopilot without citing any references. At the time, it was estimated that collectively, Teslas had been driven for 47 million miles in Autopilot mode.[198] After the first widely publicized fatal Autopilot crash in May 2016 which occurred in Williston, Florida, Tesla acknowledged the death and published a blog in June, comparing the average fatality rate in the United States (at the time, one per 94 million miles) and worldwide (one per 60 million miles) with that of Tesla Autopilot (one per 130 million miles);[199] Tesla stated in July that "customers using Autopilot are statistically safer than those not using it at all", "the [Autopilot] system provided a net safety benefit to society", and "the 'better-than-human' threshold had been crossed and robustly validated internally".[200] Tesla's statistical approach was criticized as comparing two different datasets; while Autopilot is limited to highway driving, the overall death rate for the United States includes more varied driving conditions. In addition, Tesla's vehicles were larger and more expensive than most vehicles on the road, making them generally safer in a crash.[201] Other factors that could have affected the data include weather conditions and Tesla owner demographics.[202]

Fortune criticized the sale of US$2 billion in Tesla stock, noted the sale occurred less than two weeks after "immediately" reporting the fatal early May crash to the NHTSA, but before Tesla posted its public acknowledgement of the crash in late June; the article stated that "Tesla and Musk did not disclose the very material fact that a man had died while using an auto-pilot technology that Tesla had marketed vigorously as safe and important to its customers." Musk responded to the article with a statistical argument in an email to the reporter, saying "Indeed, if anyone bothered to do the math (obviously, you did not) they would realize that of the over 1M auto deaths per year worldwide, approximately half a million people would have been saved if the Tesla autopilot was universally available. Please, take 5 mins and do the bloody math before you write an article that misleads the public."[203]

Following the Williston crash, NHTSA released a preliminary report in January 2017 stating "the Tesla vehicles' crash rate dropped by almost 40 percent after Autosteer installation."[204][205]: 10  NHTSA did not release the data until November 2018. A private company, Quality Control Systems, released a report in February 2019 analyzing the same data, stating the NHTSA conclusion was "not well-founded".[206] Part of the data verification included scrutiny of the 43,781 vehicles NHTSA claimed had Autosteer installed; of those, only 5,714 had an exact odometer reading at the time that Autosteer was installed and airbag deployment data; collectively, the data for those 5,714 vehicles showed 32 airbag deployments in the 42,001,217 mi (67,594,407 km) traveled before installation, and 64 airbag deployments in the 52,842,182 mi (85,041,249 km) after.[207] That means the crash rate, as measured by the rate of airbag deployments per million miles of travel, actually increased from 0.76 to 1.21 after the installation of Autosteer,[208]: 9  an increase of 59%.[207]

Tesla accident rates according to its self-published report[2]
Autopilot
engaged
Yes No
Year / Quarter (Reported as millions of miles
driven per accident, so higher
numbers imply a lower rate of
accidents.)
2018 Q3 3.35 1.92
Q4 2.84 1.23
2019 Q1 2.88 1.24
Q2 3.24 1.40
Q3 3.85 1.56
Q4 3.11 1.48
2020 Q1 4.86 1.45
Q2 5.08 1.63
Q3 5.09 1.78
Q4 3.76 1.26
2021 Q1 4.64 0.984
Q2 4.94 1.36
Q3 5.54 1.58
Q4 4.35 1.52
2022 Q1 6.57 1.21
Q2 5.10 1.54
Q3 6.26 1.71
Q4 4.85 1.40
2023 Q1 5.18 1.10
Q2 6.18 1.46
Q3 5.88 1.52
Q4 5.39 1.00

Starting in 2018, Tesla began publishing safety statistics on a quarterly basis,[209] using the values to demonstrate decreased accident rates while using Autopilot.[210] The data have been difficult to interpret, as the actual crash counts, baseline mileage, and basic definition of a crash are not available.[211]: 3  Because of this lack of accurate reporting, Green Car Reports noted that "While these updated numbers for Autopilot are encouraging, it's clear that Tesla's claims of its vastly superior safety—at least in terms of fatal accidents—are still vapor. It's way too soon to come to any firm conclusions about Autopilot safety."[210]

In February 2020, Andrej Karpathy, Tesla's head of AI and computer vision, stated that Tesla cars have driven 3 billion miles on Autopilot, of which 1 billion have been driven using Navigate on Autopilot; Tesla cars have performed 200,000 automated lane changes; and 1.2 million Smart Summon sessions have been initiated with Tesla cars.[212] He also stated that Tesla cars are avoiding pedestrian accidents at a rate of tens to hundreds per day.[213] The company stopped publishing safety statistics in 2022, but resumed in January 2023.[214] The first comparable safety statistics using Full Self-Driving were released in March 2023; Tesla stated that vehicles operating under FSD experienced a crash that deployed the airbag approximately every 3.2 million miles, compared to all crashes with airbag deployment reported to the police, which occur approximately every 0.6 million miles.[215]

Additionally, a statistical analysis first published as a preprint in 2021[211] and in final form in 2023[216] criticized the self-reported Tesla crash rate data, as it failed to account for vehicle owner demographics as well as the types of roads on which Autopilot was being operated.[211]: 3  While the government baseline crash rate used as a comparison drew from vehicles of all ages, operating on roads ranging from highways, rural roads, and city streets, Tesla vehicles are relatively newer and Autopilot is limited to operations on freeways and highways.[209] When adjusted for driver age and road type, Autopilot crash rates were found to be nearly the same as using "active safety features" only.[211]: Fig.4 

An MIT study published in September 2021 found that Autopilot is not as safe as Tesla claims, and led to drivers becoming inattentive.[217][218]

Fatal crashes[edit]

As of April 2024, there have been forty-four verified fatalities involving Tesla's Autopilot function, though other deadly incidents involving suspected Autopilot use remain outstanding.[219] Many of these incidents have received varying degrees of attention from news publications.

General concerns[edit]

The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) criticized Tesla's lack of system safeguards in a fatal 2018 Autopilot crash in California,[220] and for failing to foresee and prevent "predictable abuse" of Autopilot.[221][222] Following this collective criticism amid increased regulatory scrutiny of ADAS systems, especially Tesla Autopilot,[223] in June 2021, the NHTSA announced an order requiring automakers to report crashes involving vehicles equipped with ADAS features in the United States.[224] In April 2024, the NHTSA released the findings of a 3-year investigation of 956 vehicle collisions in which Tesla Autopilot was thought to have been in use that found that the system had contributed to at least 467 collisions including 13 that resulted in fatalities.[225]

Driver monitoring[edit]

Musk stated in October 2015 that "we're advising drivers to keep their hands on the wheel [when Autopilot is engaged]". Despite this, multiple videos were posted to YouTube at the time showing drivers using Autopilot to drive hands-free, including Musk's ex-wife Talulah Riley.[226] Other drivers have been found sleeping at the wheel, driving under the influence of alcohol, and performing other inappropriate tasks with Autopilot engaged.[227][228] As initially released, the Autopilot system uses a torque sensor to detect if the driver's hands were on the steering wheel[229][230] and gives audible and visual warnings for the driver to take the wheel when no torque is detected, but several owners confirmed they could drive for several minutes hands-free before receiving a warning.[226] At least one device designed to defeat the torque sensor was ordered by NHTSA to discontinue sales in 2018.[231] Initially, Tesla decided against adding more advanced driver monitoring options to ensure drivers remained engaged with the driving task.[232]

In late May 2021, a new version of the software enabled driver-facing cameras inside new Model 3 and Model Y (i.e. the first cars as part of the switch to Tesla Vision) to monitor driver attentiveness while using Autopilot.[233] Model S and Model X cars made before 2021 do not have an inside camera and therefore physically cannot offer such capabilities, although the refreshed versions are expected to have one.[234] A review of the in-cabin camera-based monitoring system by Consumer Reports found that drivers could still use Autopilot even when looking away from the road or using their phones, and could also enable FSD beta software "with the camera covered."[235]

In 2022, Musk agreed to a proposal on Twitter that "users with more than 10,000 miles on FSD Beta should be given the option to turn off the steering wheel nag",[236] saying the system would be updated in January 2023.[237][238] In April, Musk confirmed the nag was being reduced gradually.[239] That June, a hacker discovered that FSD Beta had an undocumented mode which disables all driver monitoring.[240] The NHTSA wrote a letter to Tesla under the authority of EA 22-002 on July 26, noting the new mode "could lead to greater driver inattention and failure of the driver to properly supervise Autopilot". The letter was attached a Special Order requesting when the software was updated with the hidden mode, detailed steps or conditions required to unlock that mode, and the reasons why Tesla issued the updates.[241] Tesla responded by August 25;[242] the response was considered confidential and no public version is available.[243]

A "nag elimination" module sold as an aftermarket accessory automatically adjusts the volume from the steering wheel, which is registered as steering wheel input, allowing drivers to take their hands off the wheel. Anecdotal evidence has shown the module is effective only for Tesla vehicles sold in the United States and Canada, leading to speculation the driver monitoring software is different by region.[244]

Detecting stationary vehicles at speed[edit]

Autopilot may not detect stationary vehicles; the manual states: "Traffic-Aware Cruise Control cannot detect all objects and may not brake/decelerate for stationary vehicles, especially in situations when you are driving over 50 mph (80 km/h) and a vehicle you are following moves out of your driving path and a stationary vehicle or object is in front of you instead."[245] This has led to numerous crashes with stopped emergency vehicles.[246][247][248][249]

Dangerous and unexpected behavior[edit]

In a 2019 Bloomberg survey, hundreds of Tesla owners reported dangerous behaviors with Autopilot, such as phantom braking, veering out of lane, or failing to stop for road hazards.[250] Autopilot users have also reported the software crashing and turning off suddenly, collisions with off ramp barriers, radar failures, unexpected swerving, tailgating, and uneven speed changes.[251]

Ars Technica notes that the brake system tends to initiate later than some drivers expect.[252] One driver claimed that Tesla's Autopilot failed to brake, resulting in collisions, but Tesla pointed out that the driver deactivated the cruise control of the car prior to the crash.[253] The automatic emergency braking (AEB) system also initiates sooner than some drivers expect due to a software error, which led to a recall in 2021 for false activation of the AEB system.[254]

Ars Technica also noted that while lane changes may be semi-automatic (if Autopilot is on, and the vehicle detects slow moving cars or if it is required to stay on route, the car may automatically change lanes without any driver input), the driver must show the car that he or she is paying attention by touching the steering wheel before the car makes the change.[255] In 2019, Consumer Reports noted that Tesla's automatic lane-change feature is "far less competent than a human driver".[256]

Data collection[edit]

Most late-model vehicles, including Teslas, are equipped with event data recorders which collect approximately five seconds of data to aid crash investigations, including speed, acceleration, brake use, steering input, and driver assistance feature status; Tesla vehicles permanently record this data as "gateway log" files onto a microSD card in the Media Control Unit, at a rate of approximately 5 times per second (hertz or Hz). Gateway log files are uploaded to Tesla when the vehicle connects to a Wi-Fi network.[257]

The Autopilot computer stores images and video (only images for model year 2015 and earlier vehicles) along with driving data similar to that captured in gateway log files at a higher temporal resolution (up to 50 Hz) and uploads these to Tesla periodically. These "snapshots" are deleted locally after being uploaded. Tesla has been silent about its data retention policies.[257] Snapshot data always are captured when the vehicle crashes (defined as deploying the airbags) and are uploaded via a 4G cellular network.[257] Snapshots sometimes also are captured for other events defined by Tesla. Even when Autopilot is not actively providing steering, throttle, and brake controls, 2016 and later model year Teslas operate Autopilot in "Shadow Mode".[258] When the control inputs generated by the shadow mode Autopilot do not match those of the human driver, the vehicle may record a snapshot to assist in training the system, after which the data may be reviewed by the Autopilot team.[259] As explained by Karpathy, Tesla can deploy additional software "detectors" triggered by specific situations identified by snapshot data, which then upload camera and other data to Tesla when similar situations are detected. These data are used to revise the existing detectors.[259]

For Teslas built after mid-2017, the Autopilot computer also records "trail" data, including the car's route as determined by GPS "breadcrumbs" for the entire trip. A trip starts when the vehicle shifts from Park to Drive, and ends when shifted back to Park. Trail data also includes vehicle speed, road type used, and Autopilot status. Like the snapshots, these trail data are deleted locally after being uploaded to Tesla.[257] The trail data are meant to be anonymized by stripping the vehicle identification number (VIN) and assigning a temporary identifier, but the same temporary identifier can be assigned to a single vehicle for several weeks.[260]

Under Tesla's privacy policies,[261] the company does not sell customer and vehicle data, but may share the data with government entities.[260]

Regulatory and legal actions[edit]

Regulation[edit]

In 2015, a spokesman for the NHTSA said that "any autonomous vehicle would need to meet applicable federal motor vehicle safety standards" and the NHTSA "will have the appropriate policies and regulations in place to ensure the safety of this type of vehicles".[262] On February 1, 2021, Robert Sumwalt, chair of the NTSB, wrote a letter to NHTSA regarding that agency's "Framework for Automated Driving System Safety", which had been published for comment in December 2020.[263][264][265] In the letter, Sumwalt recommended that NHTSA include user monitoring as part of the safety framework and reiterated that "Tesla's lack of appropriate safeguards and NHTSA's inaction" to act on the NTSB's recommendation "that NHTSA develop a method to verify that manufacturers of vehicles equipped with Level 2 incorporate system safeguards that limit the use of automated vehicle control systems to the conditions for which they were designed" was a contributing cause to a fatal crash of a vehicle in Delray Beach, Florida in 2019.[264]: 7 

NHTSA announced Standing General Order (SGO) 2021-01 on June 29, 2021. Under this General Order, manufacturers and operators of vehicles equipped with advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS, SAE J3016 Level 2) or automated driving systems (ADS, SAE Level 3 or higher) are required to report crashes.[224] An amended order was issued and became effective on August 12, 2021.[266] Reporting is limited to crashes where the ADAS or ADS was engaged within 30 seconds prior to the crash that involve an injury that requires hospitalization, a fatality, a vehicle being towed from the scene, an air bag deployment, or involving a "vulnerable road user" (e.g., pedestrian or bicyclist); these crashes are required to be reported to NHTSA within one calendar day, and an updated report is required within 10 calendar days.[267]: 13–14  On August 16, 2021, after reports of 17 injuries and one death in car crashes involving emergency vehicles, the US auto safety regulators opened a formal safety probe (PE 21-020) into Tesla's driver assistance system Autopilot.[268]

Initial data from SGO 2021-01 were released in June 2022; 12 manufacturers reported 392 crashes involving ADAS (Level 2) between July 2021 and May 15, 2022. Of those 392 crashes, 273 were Tesla vehicles, out of approximately 830,000 Tesla vehicles equipped with ADAS. Honda had the next highest total, with 90 crashes reported out of approximately 6 million Honda vehicles equipped with ADAS.[269] The NHTSA said Tesla's numbers may appear high because it has real-time crash reports, whereas other automakers do not, so their crash reports may be delivered more slowly or not reported at all.[270] Collectively, five people were killed and six more were seriously hurt in the 392 ADAS crashes that were reported.[269] According to updated data, by June 2023, Tesla drivers using Autopilot had been involved in 736 crashes and 17 fatalities cumulatively since 2019; 11 fatalities had occurred since May 2022.[271][272]

SGO 2021-01 also applied to manufacturers of vehicles equipped with ADS (Levels 3 through 5); 25 ADS manufacturers reported 130 crashes in total from the initial data release in June 2022, led by Waymo (62), Transdev Alternative Services (34), and Cruise LLC (23). In most cases, these crashes involved the ADS vehicle being struck from the rear; only one serious injury was reported, and 108 of the 130 crashes resulted in no injury.[269]

Court cases[edit]

Tesla's Autopilot was the subject of a class action suit brought in 2017 that claimed the second-generation Enhanced Autopilot system was "dangerously defective".[273] The suit was settled in 2018; owners who in 2016 and 2017 paid $5,000 (equivalent to $6,348 in 2023) to equip their cars with the updated Autopilot software were compensated between $20 and $280 for the delay in implementing Autopilot 2.0.[274]

In 2020, a German court ruled in a lawsuit brought in 2019 by The Center for Combating Unfair Competition [de] that Tesla had violated advertising regulations with its marketing of Autopilot.[275][276][277] Upon appeal, that decision was reversed in 2021 by a higher court under the condition that Tesla clarify the capabilities of Autopilot on its website.[278][279]

In July 2022, a German court awarded a plaintiff most of the €112,000 that she had paid for a Model X, based in part on a technical report that demonstrated Autopilot did not reliably recognize obstacles and would unnecessarily activate its brakes, which could cause a "massive hazard" in cities; Tesla's lawyers argued unsuccessfully that Autopilot was not designed for city traffic.[280]

In September 2022, a class action lawsuit was filed in the U.S. District Court (Northern California) alleging that "for years, Tesla has deceptively and misleading marketed its ADAS technology as autonomous driving technology under various names, including 'Autopilot,' 'Enhanced Autopilot,' and 'Full Self-Driving Capability'", adding that Tesla represented "that it was perpetually on the cusp of perfecting that technology and finally fulfilling its promise of producing a fully self-driving car", while "Tesla knew for years its statements regarding its ADAS technology were deceptive and misleading, but the company made them anyway."[281][282] Tesla filed a motion in November 2022 to dismiss the case, defending the company's actions as "mere failure to realize a long-term, aspirational goal [of a fully self-driving car] [and] not fraud", basing the motion on the private arbitration clause in the purchasing contract signed by each buyer.[283][284]

A second class action lawsuit was filed in the same court by Tesla shareholders in late February 2023.[285] The complaint alleges the defendants "had significantly overstated the efficacy, viability, and safety of [Tesla's] Autopilot and FSD technologies" and those same systems "created a serious risk of accident and injury", which "subjected Tesla to an increased risk of regulatory and governmental scrutiny and enforcement action", linking multiple specific accidents to documented decreases in share prices.[286]

In April 2023, Tesla was found not liable in a lawsuit filed in 2020 by a driver who sued for damages after she claimed the Autopilot system guided her Tesla Model S into a curb, resulting in an airbag deployment and facial injuries.[287] Jurors explained in post-trial interviews that "Autopilot never confessed to be self pilot. It's not a self-driving car ... [Tesla] were adamant about a driver needing to always be aware."[288]

Additional lawsuits have been filed by the estates of two drivers killed in 2019 while using Autopilot, one in California and one in Florida. In the California case, which had not previously been reported, Tesla has argued the driver had consumed alcohol and it is not clear that Autopilot was engaged;[289] the plaintiff's lawyers alleged that a known defect in the Autopilot system had caused the vehicle to veer off a highway at 65 mph (105 km/h) and strike a palm tree.[290] Tesla prevailed in that case, with the jury voting 9–3 in October 2023 that there was no manufacturing defect.[291] For the Florida case, the judge rejected Tesla's motion to dismiss, concluding that he could not "imagine how some ordinary consumers would not have some belief that the Tesla vehicles were capable of driving themselves hands free",[292] citing "reasonable evidence" demonstrating that Tesla had "engaged in a marketing strategy that painted the products as autonomous" and that Musk's statements "had a significant effect on the belief about the capabilities of the products".[67]

False or misleading advertising[edit]

I don't think that something should be called, for example, an Autopilot, when the fine print says you need to have your hands on the wheel and eyes on the road at all times.

 — Pete Buttigieg, U.S. Secretary of Transportation, Interview with Associated Press, May 2023[293]

The Center for Auto Safety and Consumer Watchdog wrote to the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) in 2018, asking them to open an investigation into the marketing of Autopilot. The letter stated "the marketing and advertising practices of Tesla, combined with Elon Musk's public statements, have made it reasonable for Tesla owners to believe, and act on that belief, that a Tesla with Autopilot is an autonomous vehicle capable of 'self-driving'".[294] The groups renewed their appeal to the FTC and added the California DMV in 2019,[295] noting that "Tesla continues to be the only automaker to describe its Level 2 vehicles as 'self-driving' and the name of its driver assistance suite of features, Autopilot, connotes full autonomy."[296] U.S. Senators Ed Markey (D-MA) and Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) echoed these concerns to the FTC in 2021.[297]

A 2019 IIHS study showed that the name "Autopilot" causes more drivers to misperceive behaviors such as texting or taking a nap to be safe, versus similar level 2 driver-assistance systems from other car companies.[298] In 2020, UK safety experts called Tesla's Autopilot "especially misleading".[299]

In 2020, usability engineer Dixon published a paper which called Tesla's descriptions of Autopilot and FSD capabilities exaggerated.[300]

In 2021, following more than a dozen Autopilot crashes (some fatal), the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) started a criminal investigation to determine if Tesla misled consumers, investors, and regulators about Autopilot.[301] Tesla confirmed the DOJ had requested Autopilot and FSD-related documents in its 10-K filing for 2022.[302] The Securities and Exchange Commission also opened an independent civil probe into statements made by Tesla and its executives about Autopilot.[303][304]

In July 2022, the California DMV filed two complaints with the state Office of Administrative Hearings that alleged Tesla "made or disseminated statements that are untrue or misleading, and not based on facts" relating to both "Autopilot and Full Self-Driving technologies".[305][306][307] In August 2022, Tesla requested a hearing to present its defense.[308]

In September 2022, California governor Gavin Newsom signed state bill SB 1398,[309] which took effect January 1, 2023 and prohibits any manufacturer or dealer of cars with partial driver automation features from using misleading language to advertise their vehicles as autonomous, such as by naming the system "Full Self-Driving".[310][311]

NHTSA investigations[edit]

According to a document released in June 2021, the NHTSA has initiated at least 30 investigations into Tesla crashes that were believed to involve the use of Autopilot, with some involving fatalities.[312][313]

In August 2021, the NHTSA Office of Defects Investigation (ODI) opened a preliminary evaluation (PE) designated PE 21-020 and released a list of eleven crashes involving Tesla vehicles striking stationary emergency vehicles; in each instance, NHTSA confirmed that Autopilot or Traffic Aware Cruise Control were active during the approach to the crashes. Of the eleven crashes, seven resulted in seventeen total injuries, and one resulted in one fatality. The scope of the planned evaluation of the Autopilot system specifically addressed the systems used to monitor and enforce driver engagement.[314] In September 2021, NHTSA added a twelfth accident in Orlando from August 2021 to the investigation list.[315]

NHTSA sent a request for information relating to PE 21-020 to Tesla's director of field quality in August 2021. The response was due by October 22, 2021.[316][317] In September 2021, NHTSA sent a request for information to Tesla and other automobile manufacturers for comparative ADAS data.[318][319][320] After Tesla deployed its Emergency Light Detection Update in September 2021, NHTSA sent a follow-up letter to Tesla in October 2021 asking for "a chronology of events, internal investigations, and studies" that led to the deployment of the update,[321] as it potentially addressed a safety defect, which requires a formal recall.[322]

List of crashes in NHTSA ODI Preliminary Evaluation (PE) 21-020[314]
Date City/County State Notes/Refs
Jan 22, 2018 Culver City California Tesla struck a stationary fire truck on southbound I-405.[323]
May 29, 2018 Laguna Beach California Tesla struck a stationary patrol vehicle on Laguna Canyon Road at 11:07 a.m.[324] Later removed from investigation as patrol vehicle was parked out of right-of-way and emergency lights were not active.[325]
Dec 7, 2019 Norwalk Connecticut Tesla struck a stationary police cruiser with its emergency lights flashing on I-95 near exit 15. Driver stated he had been checking on his dog in the back seat.[326]
Dec 29, 2019 Cloverdale Indiana Tesla struck a stationary fire truck on I-70 near mile marker 38; passenger in Tesla was killed.[327]
Jan 22, 2020 West Bridgewater Massachusetts Tesla struck a stationary patrol vehicle at 10 p.m. on Route 24. Driver stated that Autopilot was engaged.[328]
Jul 14, 2020 Cochise County Arizona Tesla struck a stationary patrol vehicle at 3 a.m. on I-10 near Benson, Arizona.[329]
Aug 26, 2020 Charlotte North Carolina Tesla struck a stationary patrol vehicle on US-64W near the border of Nash and Franklin counties. Driver was watching a movie.[330]
Feb 27, 2021 Montgomery County Texas Tesla struck a stationary police cruiser at 1:15 a.m. on the Eastex Freeway near East River Road.[331]
Mar 17, 2021 Lansing Michigan Tesla struck a stationary patrol car at 1:10 a.m. on I-96 in Eaton County.[332]
May 19, 2021 Miami Florida Tesla struck a stationary Florida Department of Transportation road ranger truck at 5:30 a.m. on I-95 near 103rd St.[333]
Jul 10, 2021 San Diego California Tesla struck a stationary patrol car at 1:45 a.m. on State Route 56.[334]

In February 2022, NHTSA ODI opened a second preliminary evaluation (PE 22-002) for "phantom braking" in 2021–2022 Tesla Model 3 and Model Y vehicles.[335] PE 22-002 was correlated to the removal of radar hardware from those vehicles in May 2021; at the time PE 22-002 was opened, the NHTSA was not aware of any crashes or injuries resulting from the complaints.[336] According to some complaints, while using Autopilot, "rapid deceleration can occur without warning, at random, and often repeatedly in a single drive cycle."[335] The Washington Post also published an article detailing the surge in complaints to NHTSA over false positives to its automatic emergency-braking system.[337] By May 2022, NHTSA had received 758 reports of unexpected braking when Autopilot was in use and requested that Tesla respond to questions by June 20, 2022.[338][339]

Also in June 2022, NHTSA ODI upgraded PE 21-020 to an engineering analysis (EA) and designated it as EA 22-002, covering an estimated 830,000 Tesla vehicles sold between 2014 and 2022.[325] Data for PE 21-020 had been supplemented by prior information requests to Tesla (April 19, 2021) and Standing General Order (SGO) 2021-01,[340] issued June 29, 2021[341] and amended on August 5, 2021,[325] which required manufacturers of advanced driving assistance systems to promptly report crashes to NHTSA.[342]

List of crashes added in NHTSA ODI Engineering Analysis (EA) 22-002[325]
Date City/County State Notes/Refs
Nov 2020 Houston Texas [343]: Report ID 13781-2451 
Jan 2021 Mount Pleasant South Carolina Involved crash attenuator truck[325]
Apr 2021 Belmont California Involved first responder[325]
Aug 28, 2021 Orlando Florida Tesla struck a stationary patrol car at 5 a.m. on I-4.[344][343]: Report ID 13781-1140 
Sep 2021 Petaluma California [343]: Report ID 13781-1357 
Jan 2022 Desert Center California [343]: Report ID 13781-2201 

The investigation was expanded to an engineering analysis after NHTSA reviewed data from 191 crashes involving the use of Autopilot or related ADAS Level 2 technologies (Traffic-Aware Cruise Control, Autosteer, Navigate on Autopilot, or Auto Lane Change).[345] 85 were removed because other drivers were involved or there was insufficient data.[345] It was found that in approximately 12 of the remaining 106 crashes, the driver was not sufficiently responsive to the driving task, and approximately 14 of the 106 resulted from operating Autopilot outside of limited-access highways, or when traction and weather conditions could interfere.[345] Detailed telemetry existed for 43 of the 106 crashes; of these, data from 37 indicated the driver's hands were on the steering wheel in the last second prior to collision.[325]

The Laguna Beach incident identified initially in PE 21-020 was removed from EA 22-002 as it was found "the struck vehicle was parked out of traffic with no lights illuminated."[325] Six incidents were added, making a total of sixteen accidents where a Tesla struck stationary emergency vehicle(s), including the August 2021 incident in Orlando.[325] In these 16 incidents, NHTSA found that a majority resulted in forward collision warnings and approximately half resulted in automatic emergency braking.[325] On average, when video was available, drivers would have been able to see a potential impact eight seconds prior to collision, yet Autopilot would abort control "less than one second prior to the first impact",[346] which may not have been enough time for the driver to assume full control.[347] In addition, the data suggest that Tesla's requirement for Autopilot drivers to have their hands on the wheel at all time may not be sufficient to ensure the driver is paying attention to the driving task.[348][345]

NHTSA sent a second letter for EA 22-002 to Tesla in August 2022, which included requests for a description of the role of the driver-facing camera, identification of all lawsuits or arbitration resulting from Autopilot use, including complete transcripts of depositions, and "the engineering and safety explanation and evidence for design decisions regarding enforcement of driver engagement / attentiveness".[349] Tesla submitted a response in September. A follow-up letter was submitted in July 2023, asking for current data and updates to the prior response.[350] Starting in October 2023, NHTSA conveyed its preliminary conclusions to Tesla during several meetings, followed by Tesla conducting a voluntary recall on December 5, 2023, to provide an over-the-air software update to "incorporate additional controls and alerts ... to further encourage the driver to adhere to their continuous driving responsibility whenever Autosteer is engaged ... [and providing] additional checks upon engaging Autosteer and while using the feature outside controlled access highways", while not concurring with NHTSA's analysis.[351] When filing its Defect Information Report associated with the December 2023 recall, Tesla concluded that "in certain circumstances, Autopilot's system controls may be insufficient for a driver assistance system that requires constant supervision by a human driver."[352]

EA 22-002 was closed in April 2024.[353] ODI concluded their "analysis of crash data indicates that, prior to [the December 2023 recall], Autopilot's design was not sufficient to maintain drivers' engagement", citing data showing that in 59 of 109 crashes, hazards were visible for at least five seconds prior to the collision. Also ODI added, based on vehicle telemetry, "the warnings provided by Autopilot when Autosteer was engaged did not adequately ensure that drivers maintained their attention on the driving task", showing that in approximately 80% of 135 incidents, braking and/or steering did not occur until less than one second before a collision.[352] A comparison to similar Level 2 ADAS led ODI to conclude "Tesla [is] an industry outlier in its approach to L2 technology by mismatching a weak driver engagement system with Autopilot's permissive operating capabilities".[352]

As a result, ODI immediately opened a second investigation into the effectiveness of the December 2023 recall,[354] noting "concerns [identified] due to post-remedy crash events and results from preliminary NHTSA tests of remedied vehicles. Also, Tesla has stated that a portion of the remedy both requires the owner to opt in and allows a driver to readily reverse it. Tesla has also deployed non-remedy updates to address issues that appear related to ODI's concerns under EA22002."[355]

Recalls[edit]

Tesla issued an "Emergency Light Detection Update" for Autopilot in September 2021 which was intended to detect "flashing emergency vehicle lights in low light conditions and then [respond] to said detection with driver alerts and changes to the vehicle speed while Autopilot is engaged", after NHTSA had opened PE 21-020 the previous month. After the update was issued, NHTSA sent a letter to Tesla asking why the update had not been performed under the recall process, as "any manufacturer issuing an over-the-air update that mitigates a defect that poses an unreasonable risk to motor vehicle safety is required to timely file an accompanying recall notice to NHTSA."[356][357]

Tesla issued a recall of 11,728 vehicles in October 2021 due to a communication error that could lead to false forward-collision warnings or unexpected activations of the automatic emergency braking system. The error had been introduced by the Full Self-Driving beta software version 10.3 over-the-air firmware update, and was reversed by another over-the-air update the same month.[358] The recalled vehicles were reverted to 10.2, then updated to 10.3.1.[254]

FSD 10.3 also was released with different driving profiles to control vehicle behavior, branded 'Chill', 'Average', and 'Assertive'; the 'Assertive' profile attracted negative coverage in January 2022 for advertising that it "may perform rolling stops" (passing through stop signs at up to 5.6 mph), change lanes frequently, and decrease the following distance.[359][360] On February 1, after the NHTSA advised Tesla that failing to stop for a stop sign can increase the risk of a crash and threatened "immediate action" for "intentional design choices that are unsafe",[361] Tesla recalled nearly 54,000 vehicles to disable the rolling stop behavior,[362] removing the feature with an over-the-air software update.[363]

On February 16, 2023, Tesla issued a recall notice for all vehicles equipped with the Full Self-Driving beta software, including 2016–23 Model S and X; 2017–23 Model 3; and 2020–23 Model Y, covering 362,758 vehicles in total.[364] NHTSA identified four specific traffic situations in a letter sent to Tesla on January 25,[365][366] and Tesla voluntarily chose to pursue a recall to address those situations,[364] which include vehicles operating under FSD Beta performing the following inappropriate actions:[365]

  1. Traveling or turning through an intersection on a "stale yellow traffic light"
  2. Not stopping perceptibly at stop signs
  3. Not adjusting speed appropriately in response to posted speed limit signs
  4. Continuing straight while traveling in turn-only lanes

The recall, which covers all versions of FSD Beta,[365] was performed by pushing out a software update in March 2023.[148][364]

On December 12, 2023, following a 2-year-long investigation by the NHTSA,[367] Tesla issued a wider recall on all vehicles equipped with any version of Autosteer, including 2012–2023 Model S; 2016–2023 Model X; 2017–2023 Model 3; and 2020–2023 Model Y, covering 2,031,220 vehicles in total.[351] The NHTSA concluded that Autosteer's controls were not sufficient to prevent misuse and did not ensure that the drivers maintained "continuous and sustained responsibility for vehicle operation".[351] An over-the air software update was deployed to a subset of vehicles upon the release of the recall notice, with plans to roll it out to the remaining fleet at a later date, which made visual alerts more prominent within the user interface, simplified the process to turn Autosteer on and off, added additional checks when Autosteer is used near intersections or on streets that are not limited-access roads, and disabled Autosteer if the driver repeatedly failed to demonstrate driving responsibility while using the feature.[351] In February 2024, Consumer Reports claimed that its testing of Tesla's Autopilot recall update did not fully address the safety concerns raised by the NHTSA, saying that the recall "addresses minor inconveniences rather than fixing the real problems."[368]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Williams, Elliot (March 4, 2019). "Does Tesla's Autosteer Make Cars Less Safe?". Hackaday. Retrieved March 5, 2019.
  2. ^ a b c "Tesla Vehicle Safety Report". tesla.com. Retrieved April 29, 2024. In the 4th quarter [of 2023], we recorded one crash for every 5.39 million miles driven in which drivers were using Autopilot technology. For drivers who were not using Autopilot technology, we recorded one crash for every 1.00 million miles driven. By comparison, the most recent data available from NHTSA and FHWA (from 2022) shows that in the United States there was an automobile crash approximately every 670,000 miles.
  3. ^ Shepardson, David (March 18, 2021). "U.S. safety agency reviewing 23 Tesla crashes, three from recent weeks". Reuters. Retrieved May 19, 2021.
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