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The sub-list contains simulators that are based on theoretical models. Due to the high number of pre-print research created and driving by the Covid-19 pandemic,<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Brierley|first=Liam|title=The role of research preprints in the academic response to the COVID-19 epidemic|url=https://www.authorea.com/users/305982/articles/436710-the-role-of-research-preprints-in-the-academic-response-to-the-covid-19-epidemic?commit=bbd7a90d14b09c2d509b6abfb0fbf2a9882ef43b|language=en|doi=10.22541/au.158516578.89167184|doi-access=free}}</ref> especially newer models should only be considered with further [[scientific rigor]].<ref>{{Cite web|title=Another 178,000 deaths? Scientists' latest virus projection is a warning|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/science/science-news/vindicated-covid-19-models-warn-pandemic-far-over-n1240934|access-date=2021-02-22|website=NBC News|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Tufekci|first=Zeynep|date=2020-04-02|title=Don’t Believe the COVID-19 Models|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/04/coronavirus-models-arent-supposed-be-right/609271/|access-date=2021-02-22|website=The Atlantic|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Gonçalves|first=Bruno|date=2020-09-09|title=Epidemic Modeling 102: All CoVID-19 models are wrong, but some are useful|url=https://medium.com/data-for-science/epidemic-modeling-102-all-covid-19-models-are-wrong-but-some-are-useful-c81202cc6ee9|access-date=2021-02-22|website=Medium|language=en}}</ref>
The sub-list contains simulators that are based on theoretical models. Due to the high number of pre-print research created and driving by the Covid-19 pandemic,<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Brierley|first=Liam|title=The role of research preprints in the academic response to the COVID-19 epidemic|url=https://www.authorea.com/users/305982/articles/436710-the-role-of-research-preprints-in-the-academic-response-to-the-covid-19-epidemic?commit=bbd7a90d14b09c2d509b6abfb0fbf2a9882ef43b|language=en|doi=10.22541/au.158516578.89167184|doi-access=free}}</ref> especially newer models should only be considered with further [[scientific rigor]].<ref>{{Cite web|title=Another 178,000 deaths? Scientists' latest virus projection is a warning|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/science/science-news/vindicated-covid-19-models-warn-pandemic-far-over-n1240934|access-date=2021-02-22|website=NBC News|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Tufekci|first=Zeynep|date=2020-04-02|title=Don’t Believe the COVID-19 Models|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/04/coronavirus-models-arent-supposed-be-right/609271/|access-date=2021-02-22|website=The Atlantic|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Gonçalves|first=Bruno|date=2020-09-09|title=Epidemic Modeling 102: All CoVID-19 models are wrong, but some are useful|url=https://medium.com/data-for-science/epidemic-modeling-102-all-covid-19-models-are-wrong-but-some-are-useful-c81202cc6ee9|access-date=2021-02-22|website=Medium|language=en}}</ref>


* [[CovidSim]] (Neil Ferguson)
* [[CovidSim]] ([[Neil Ferguson (epidemiologist)|Neil Ferguson]] et al.)
* [[Youyang Gu COVID model]]
* [[Youyang Gu COVID model]]
* [https://www.hm.edu/en/research/projects/project_details/koester_1/covidsim.en.html CovidSim (Research project by Munich University of Applied Sciences, Prof Köster)]
* [https://www.hm.edu/en/research/projects/project_details/koester_1/covidsim.en.html CovidSim (Research project by Munich University of Applied Sciences, Prof Köster)]
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*[https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/COVIDSurge.html COVID-19 Surge] (by CDC)<ref>{{Cite web|last=CDC|date=2020-02-11|title=Healthcare Workers|url=https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/COVIDSurge.html|access-date=2021-02-22|website=Centers for Disease Control and Prevention|language=en-us}}</ref>
*[https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/COVIDSurge.html COVID-19 Surge] (by CDC)<ref>{{Cite web|last=CDC|date=2020-02-11|title=Healthcare Workers|url=https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/COVIDSurge.html|access-date=2021-02-22|website=Centers for Disease Control and Prevention|language=en-us}}</ref>
*[http://rocs.hu-berlin.de/corona/ Event Horizon - COVID-19] (by HU Berlin based on ''SIR-X model''<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Maier|first=Benjamin F.|last2=Brockmann|first2=Dirk|date=2020-05-15|title=Effective containment explains subexponential growth in recent confirmed COVID-19 cases in China|url=https://science.sciencemag.org/content/368/6492/742|journal=Science|language=en|volume=368|issue=6492|pages=742–746|doi=10.1126/science.abb4557|issn=0036-8075|pmid=32269067|doi-access=free}}</ref>)
*[http://rocs.hu-berlin.de/corona/ Event Horizon - COVID-19] (by HU Berlin based on ''SIR-X model''<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Maier|first=Benjamin F.|last2=Brockmann|first2=Dirk|date=2020-05-15|title=Effective containment explains subexponential growth in recent confirmed COVID-19 cases in China|url=https://science.sciencemag.org/content/368/6492/742|journal=Science|language=en|volume=368|issue=6492|pages=742–746|doi=10.1126/science.abb4557|issn=0036-8075|pmid=32269067|doi-access=free}}</ref>)
*CovidSIM<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Schneider|first=Kristan A.|last2=Ngwa|first2=Gideon A.|last3=Schwehm|first3=Markus|last4=Eichner|first4=Linda|last5=Eichner|first5=Martin|date=2020-11-19|title=The COVID-19 pandemic preparedness simulation tool: CovidSIM|url=https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-020-05566-7|journal=BMC Infectious Diseases|volume=20|issue=1|pages=859|doi=10.1186/s12879-020-05566-7|issn=1471-2334|pmc=PMC7675392|pmid=33213360}}</ref> (Schneider et al.)
*{{Incomplete list|date=February 2021}}


=== Consortia, research clusters, other collections ===
=== Consortia, research clusters, other collections ===

Revision as of 14:49, 13 March 2021

List of Covid-19 modelling theories and simulations. The list should not be confused with COVID-19 apps used mainly for digital contact tracing.

List with mostly scientific backing[1][2]

The sub-list contains simulators that are based on theoretical models. Due to the high number of pre-print research created and driving by the Covid-19 pandemic,[3] especially newer models should only be considered with further scientific rigor.[4][5][6]

Consortia, research clusters, other collections

  • CDC list of Forecast Inclusion and Assumptions (large list with different models, etc.)
  • SIMID - Simulation Models of Infectious Diseases (Belgium research consortium)
  • COVID-19 Forecast Hub (Serves as a central repository of forecasts and predictions from over 50 international research groups.[15][16])
  • UT Austin COVID-19 Modeling Consortium
  • RAMP - Rapid Assistance in Modelling the Pandemic[17] (UK)

Others including commercial and open-source

The sub-list contains simulators, which should be considered purely for educational purposes only not claiming scientific relevance or accuracy.

Related

Trainings and other resources

See also

References

  1. ^ Frigg, Roman; Hartmann, Stephan (2020), Zalta, Edward N. (ed.), "Models in Science", The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy (Spring 2020 ed.), Metaphysics Research Lab, Stanford University, retrieved 2021-02-22
  2. ^ Winsberg, Eric (2019), Zalta, Edward N. (ed.), "Computer Simulations in Science", The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy (Winter 2019 ed.), Metaphysics Research Lab, Stanford University, retrieved 2021-02-22
  3. ^ Brierley, Liam. "The role of research preprints in the academic response to the COVID-19 epidemic". doi:10.22541/au.158516578.89167184. {{cite journal}}: Cite journal requires |journal= (help)
  4. ^ "Another 178,000 deaths? Scientists' latest virus projection is a warning". NBC News. Retrieved 2021-02-22.
  5. ^ Tufekci, Zeynep (2020-04-02). "Don't Believe the COVID-19 Models". The Atlantic. Retrieved 2021-02-22.
  6. ^ Gonçalves, Bruno (2020-09-09). "Epidemic Modeling 102: All CoVID-19 models are wrong, but some are useful". Medium. Retrieved 2021-02-22.
  7. ^ "COVID-19 simulation model creates scenarios". www.vtnews.vt.edu. Retrieved 2021-02-21.
  8. ^ Gorji, Hossein; Arnoldini, Markus; Jenny, David F.; Hardt, Wolf-Dietrich; Jenny, Patrick (2020-12-02). "Smart Investment of Virus RNA Testing Resources to Enhance Covid-19 Mitigation". medRxiv: 2020.11.30.20239566. doi:10.1101/2020.11.30.20239566.
  9. ^ User, Super. "Policy Simulator Methodology". COVID-19 Simulator. Retrieved 2021-02-21. {{cite web}}: |last= has generic name (help)
  10. ^ Chang, Serina; Pierson, Emma; Koh, Pang Wei; Gerardin, Jaline; Redbird, Beth; Grusky, David; Leskovec, Jure (2020-11-10). "Mobility network models of COVID-19 explain inequities and inform reopening". Nature. 589 (7840): 82–87. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2923-3. ISSN 1476-4687.
  11. ^ Chen, Tian-Mu; Rui, Jia; Wang, Qiu-Peng; Zhao, Ze-Yu; Cui, Jing-An; Yin, Ling (2020-02-28). "A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus". Infectious Diseases of Poverty. 9 (1): 24. doi:10.1186/s40249-020-00640-3. ISSN 2049-9957. PMC 7047374. PMID 32111262.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: unflagged free DOI (link)
  12. ^ CDC (2020-02-11). "Healthcare Workers". Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Retrieved 2021-02-22.
  13. ^ Maier, Benjamin F.; Brockmann, Dirk (2020-05-15). "Effective containment explains subexponential growth in recent confirmed COVID-19 cases in China". Science. 368 (6492): 742–746. doi:10.1126/science.abb4557. ISSN 0036-8075. PMID 32269067.
  14. ^ Schneider, Kristan A.; Ngwa, Gideon A.; Schwehm, Markus; Eichner, Linda; Eichner, Martin (2020-11-19). "The COVID-19 pandemic preparedness simulation tool: CovidSIM". BMC Infectious Diseases. 20 (1): 859. doi:10.1186/s12879-020-05566-7. ISSN 1471-2334. PMC 7675392. PMID 33213360.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: PMC format (link) CS1 maint: unflagged free DOI (link)
  15. ^ Boice, Ryan Best, Jay (2020-05-01). "Where The Latest COVID-19 Models Think We're Headed — And Why They Disagree". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2021-02-21.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  16. ^ "Home - COVID 19 forecast hub". covid19forecasthub.org. Retrieved 2021-02-21.
  17. ^ "Rapid Assistance in Modelling the Pandemic: RAMP | Royal Society". royalsociety.org. Retrieved 2021-03-09.
  18. ^ Prabowo, Arian (2020-05-03). "COVID19: Top 7 online interactive simulations, curated". Medium. Retrieved 2021-02-21.
  19. ^ "COVID-19 Simulation Resources". Retrieved 2020-02-21.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  20. ^ Ng, Mark (2020-12-23), nkymark/COVIDSim, retrieved 2021-03-09
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