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Outcome switching is to the practice of changing the primary or secondary outcomes of a clinical trial after its initiation. Outcome switching can undermine the reliability of the trial, for instance when outcome are switched after researchers have become aware of the data. It can lead to bias in terms of benefits and harms. For example, when the findings using the original protocol were statistically insignificant, a research may cherry pick a new outcome measure that is statistically significant. Incomplete or misleading reporting of outcomes is an example of unethical research practice.[1]

Primary outcomes for clinical trials need to be defined upfront to prevent a biased selection of outcomes. Some medical journal require adherence to the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials (CONSORT), which requires authors to document any deviations from the initial study protocol and explain why changes were made. For instance, JAMA and the British Medical Journal require inclusion of the CONSORT checklist.[1]

Despite problems with outcome switching, the practice is common. Changes in primary outcome metrics are present in nearly one in three studies.[2] Outcome switching also occurs frequently in follow-up studies.[3] In oncology, outcome switching is more common in studies with a male first author, and in studies funded by non-profits.[4] One study analysed outcome switching in five top medical journals, writing letters for each misreported trial outcome. Journal editors and clinical trial authors typically responded dismissively when concerns were raised, misrepresenting ethical standards and including ad hominem attacks.[5]

References

  1. ^ a b Altman DG, Moher D, Schulz KF (February 2017). "Harms of outcome switching in reports of randomised trials: CONSORT perspective". BMJ (Clinical Research Ed.). 356: j396. doi:10.1136/bmj.j396. PMID 28196813.
  2. ^ Jones CW, Keil LG, Holland WC, Caughey MC, Platts-Mills TF (November 2015). "Comparison of registered and published outcomes in randomized controlled trials: a systematic review". BMC Medicine. 13: 282. doi:10.1186/s12916-015-0520-3. PMC 4650202. PMID 26581191.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: unflagged free DOI (link)
  3. ^ Kampman JM, Sperna Weiland NH, Hollmann MW, Repping S, Hermanides J (September 2021). "High incidence of outcome switching observed in follow-up publications of randomized controlled trials: Meta-research study". Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. 137: 236–240. doi:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.05.003. PMID 34004339.
  4. ^ Falk Delgado A, Falk Delgado A (August 2017). "Outcome switching in randomized controlled oncology trials reporting on surrogate endpoints: a cross-sectional analysis". Scientific Reports. 7 (1): 9206. doi:10.1038/s41598-017-09553-y. PMC 5569019. PMID 28835682.
  5. ^ Goldacre B, Drysdale H, Marston C, Mahtani KR, Dale A, Milosevic I, Slade E, Hartley P, Heneghan C (February 2019). "COMPare: Qualitative analysis of researchers' responses to critical correspondence on a cohort of 58 misreported trials". Trials. 20 (1): 124. doi:10.1186/s13063-019-3172-3. PMC 6374909. PMID 30760328.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: unflagged free DOI (link)

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