2024 United States presidential election in Iowa
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| Elections in Iowa |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Iowa is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Iowa voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Iowa has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.[2]
Caucuses
Republican Caucus/straw poll
Since 2016, the Republican party's caucuses is a binding "straw poll" akin to a primary.
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Kristi Noem |
Mike Pence |
Mike Pompeo |
Mitt Romney |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence[A] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 508 (LV) | – | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 15% |
| WPA Intelligence[A] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 11% |
| Neighborhood Research and Media[B] | Jun 22 – Jul 1, 2022 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 1% | 17% | 2% | 1% | 2% | – | – | 38% | 1%[b] | 38% |
| Victory Insights | March 5–8, 2021 | 630 (RV) | – | 4% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 61%[c] | 5% | 3% |
| 16% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 19% | 6% | 5% | –[d] | 7% | 6% |
Democratic Caucus
The Iowa caucuses operate very differently from primary elections used by most other states (see U.S. presidential primary). The caucuses are generally defined as "gatherings of neighbors". Rather than going to polls and casting ballots, Iowans gather at a set location in each of Iowa's precincts. Typically, these meetings occur in schools, churches, public libraries, or even individuals' houses. Caucuses are held quadrennially, during the presidential election seasons.
The rules of the caucus process to determine delegates to national conventions are determined by the party and differ substantially from cycle to cycle. The district caucuses select delegates to district conventions, who in turn select delegates to the state convention, who at last select those to the National Convention.
Polling
- With Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Insights | April 8, 2021 | 600 (V) | – | 63% | 11%[e] | 26% |
- Without Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
John Kerry |
Amy Klobuchar |
Michelle Obama |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Insights | April 8, 2021 | 600 (V) | – | 15% | 28% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 16% |
General election
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | October 2–4, 2022 | 959 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Cygnal (R)[C] | October 2–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
| Cygnal (R)[C] | July 13–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[C] | February 20–22, 2022 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
| Selzer & Co. | November 7–10, 2021 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[C] | October 18–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 41% | 5% |
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Courageous Conservatives PAC
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
References
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
