Haitz's law

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Illustration of Haitz's law. Light output per LED as a function of time, note the logarithmic scale on the vertical axis.

Haitz's law is an observation and forecast about the steady improvement, over many years, of light-emitting diodes (LEDs).

It states that every decade, the cost per lumen (unit of useful light emitted) falls by a factor of 10, and the amount of light generated per LED package increases by a factor of 20, for a given wavelength (color) of light. It is considered the LED counterpart to Moore's law, which states that the number of transistors in a given integrated circuit doubles every 18 to 24 months.[1] Both laws rely on the process optimization of the production of semiconductor devices.

Haitz's law is named after Dr. Roland Haitz, a now-retired scientist at Agilent Technologies. It was first presented to the larger public at Strategies in Light 2000, the first of a series of annual conferences organized by Strategies Unlimited.[2] Besides the forecast of exponential development of cost per lumen and amount of light per package, the publication also forecast that the efficacy of LED-based lighting could reach 200 lm/W (lumen per Watt) in 2020, crossing 100 lm/W in 2010. This would be the case if enough industrial and government resources were spent for research on LED-lighting. More than 50% of the electricity consumption for lighting (20% of the totally consumed electrical energy) would be saved reaching 200 lm/W. This prospect and other stepping-stone applications of LEDs (e.g. mobile phone flash and LCD-backlighting) led to a massive investment in LED-research so that the LED efficacy did indeed cross 100 lm/W in 2010. If this trend continues, LEDs will become the most efficient light source by 2020.

In 2010, Cree Inc., developed and marketed the XM-L LED that claimed 1000 lumens at 100 lm/W efficacy and 160 lm/W at 350 mA and 150 lm/W at 700 mA.[3] They also claimed to have broken the 200 lm/W barrier in R&D with a prototype producing 208 lm at 350 mA.[4] In May 2011, Cree announced another prototype with 231 lm/W efficacy at 350 mA.[5] In March 2014, Cree announced another prototype with a record breaking 303 lm/W efficacy at 350 mA.[6]

The theoretical maximum for a white LED with phosphorescence mixing is 250 lm/W.[7]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Haitz's law. doi:10.1038/nphoton.2006.78. Retrieved 2009-03-04. 
  2. ^ Solid-state lighting: ‘The case’ 10 years after and future prospects. doi:10.1002/pssa.201026349. 
  3. ^ "Cree’s New Lighting-Class LEDs Shatter Industry Performance Standards". 10 November 2010. Retrieved 27 July 2011. [dead link]
  4. ^ "Cree Breaks 200 Lumen per Watt Efficacy Barrier". 3 February 2010. Retrieved 27 July 2011. [dead link]
  5. ^ "Cree 231 Lumen per Watt LED Shatters LED Efficacy Records". 9 May 2011. Retrieved 27 July 2011. [dead link]
  6. ^ "Cree First to Break 300 Lumens-per-Watt Barrier". 26 March 2014. Retrieved 7 May 2014. 
  7. ^ "Maximum Efficiency of White Light". Retrieved 2011-07-31. 

External links[edit]