United States presidential election in Iowa, 2008

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
  (Redirected from Iowa Republican caucuses, 2008)
Jump to: navigation, search
United States presidential election in Iowa, 2008
Iowa
2004 ←
November 4, 2008 → 2012

  Obama portrait crop.jpg John McCain official portrait with alternative background.jpg
Nominee Barack Obama John McCain
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Illinois Arizona
Running mate Joe Biden Sarah Palin
Electoral vote 7 0
Popular vote 828,940 682,379
Percentage 53.93% 44.39%

Iowa presidential election results 2008.svg

County Results
  Obama—60-70%
  Obama—50-60%
  Obama—<50%
  McCain—<50%
  McCain—50-60%
  McCain—60-70%
  McCain—70-80%
  McCain—80-90%

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Iowa took place on November 4, 2008 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 7 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

Iowa was won by the Democratic nominee, Senator Barack Obama of Illinois, by a 9.54% margin of victory. Obama took 53.93% of the vote while his Republican opponent, Senator John McCain of Arizona, took 44.39%. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Obama would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state. In 2004, Republican George W. Bush had very narrowly won Iowa in his re-election bid, although prior to that the state had gone Democratic for four elections straight. A Midwestern state where agriculture plays a critical role in the daily lives of its citizens, Iowa is nevertheless an independent state. However, due to Obama's victory in the Iowa caucuses, Bush's unpopularity, and the troubling economy, the state easily fell into Obama's column later in the election season.

Caucuses[edit]

The 2008 Iowa caucuses took place on January 3, 2008. They are an unofficial primary, with the delegates to the state convention selected proportionally via a straw poll. The Iowa caucuses mark the traditional formal start of the delegate selection process for the 2008 United States presidential election. It was the first election of the 2008 presidential election. Also referred to as "the First in the Nation Caucus," it was the first election of the primary season on both the Democratic and Republican sides.

Democratic caucuses[edit]

Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2008
Iowa
2004 ←
January 3, 2008 (2008-01-03) → 2012

  Official portrait of Barack Obama.jpg John Edwards, official Senate photo portrait.jpg Hillary Clinton official Secretary of State portrait crop.jpg
Nominee Barack Obama John Edwards Hillary Rodham Clinton
Party Democratic Democratic Democratic
Home state Illinois North Carolina New York
Percentage 37.6% 29.7% 29.4%

Of the eight major Democratic presidential candidates, then-U.S. Senator Barack Obama of Illinois received the most votes and was ultimately declared the winner of the Iowa Democratic Caucus of 2008, making him the first African American to win the caucus.[1] Former U.S. Senator John Edwards of North Carolina came in second place and then-U.S. Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York finished third, though Clinton received more delegates than Edwards. Campaigning had begun as early as two years before the event.

History of the Caucus[edit]

The Iowa Caucuses have historically been the first held in the United States. The caucus marked the traditional and formal start of the delegate selection process for the 2008 United States presidential election, and the process in which members of the Democratic Party gathered to make policy decisions.[2]

Iowa state law mandates that its caucus must be held at least eight days before any other meeting, caucus, or primary for the presidential nominating process. Therefore, the Iowa Caucuses have always been traditionally the leading state in the nominating process. Not only did controversy brew between the candidates, but the caucuses themselves drew a large amount of media attention. The decisions of the Iowans often affect the rest of the campaign season.[3] Barack Obama's victory in Iowa helped establish him as one of the Democratic frontrunners of 2008 and was a first step toward his eventual nomination.[4]

Process[edit]

The caucuses followed the regular procedures of the Democratic Party process. Any voter who was a registered Democrat and a resident of Iowa was eligible to participate in the event. Individuals could have chosen to register or change their party affiliation at the door.[2] It was estimated that 60 percent of the caucusgoers would have attended the caucuses for the first time.[5] All of the caucusgoers met in public buildings or schools in their respective precincts and divided themselves into groups; each group represented a candidate. The voting was done publicly (viva voce).[6] To be viable, each preference group/candidate must have had at least 15 percent of the caucusgoers' votes. If a candidate received less than 15 percent of the caucusgoers' votes, then the supporters of that non-viable candidate had 30 minutes to join a viable candidate's group, join another non-viable candidate's group to make the candidate viable, join an uncommitted group, or choose not to be counted as a voter.[5]

In Iowa, there were 1,784 precincts for the caucuses. Each viable preference group at each caucus elected a certain number of delegates proportional to the group's size that would represent the candidate at the county conventions. There are 99 counties in Iowa, and their Democratic conventions took place on March 15, 2008. At these conventions, a subset of delegates were chosen to attend the district, then state conventions. At the Iowa Democratic Party State Convention on June 14, 2008, a subset of delegates were chosen to attend the Democratic National Convention held August 25–28, 2008, in Denver, Colorado. As in the precinct caucuses, the pledged delegates to the national convention proportionally represented the candidates compared to the results of the state caucus.[6]

Delegate Allocation[edit]

The delegate allocation to the Democratic National Convention was as follows: 29 district delegates proportionally represented a candidate's support at each congressional district.[7][8] The First Congressional District receives six pledged delegates, the Second Congressional District receives seven, the Third Congressional District receives six, the Fourth Congressional District receives six, and the Fifth Congressional District receives four. All of these pledged delegates represent each congressional district independently; they are not affected by the results of the state convention.[8]

At the Iowa Democratic Party State Convention, on the other hand, 16 pledged delegates proportionally represented the candidates' support. Ten of these delegates were designated as at-large, meaning that they represent the entire state as a whole.[7] The other six were referred to as Party Leaders and Elected Officials (PLEO).[8] These may include members of the Democratic National Committee (DNC), members of the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate, the Governor, and former party leaders. Not all of the PLEOs were pledged,[7] but if they were, they would represent the state as a whole along with the at-large delegates. In total, the Democratic presidential candidates were allocated a total of 45 pledged delegates, depending on their support in each district and in the state.[8]

Twelve delegates that did not represent caucus results were sent to the Democratic National Convention; they are referred to as unpledged. Eleven of them are PLEOs, which include six members of the DNC, one U.S. Senator, three U.S. Representatives, and one Governor.[7][8] Because these unpledged delegates' profiles are usually high profile elected officials, they are referred to as superdelegates.[9] The other unpledged delegate is an add-on delegate, who is selected at the Iowa Democratic Party State Convention.[7][8]

While this process lasts for a period of approximately five months, the results of the state caucus are usually predictable by the results of the precincts' caucuses combined. Therefore, the results of the precinct caucuses provide a good measurement of Iowa's delegation to the Democratic National Convention.[2]

Pre-Caucus Polls[edit]

Pre-caucus opinion polling statistics throughout the campaign season.

Before the caucuses, the Des Moines Register reported that during a poll of 800 likely Democratic caucus goers from December 27 to December 30, 2007, the candidates had the following results:

The above results have a margin of sampling error of ±3.5 percentage points.[5]

Barack Obama's results in the opinion polls rose from 28% in the Des Moines Register's poll in late November 2007. This was in part a result of a "dramatic influx of first-time caucusgoers, including a sizable bloc of political independents."[5] Hillary Rodham Clinton remained at a constant 25%, while John Edwards was almost unchanged when his ratings increased to 24% from 23% in November. Approximately one-third of likely caucusgoers said that they could have been persuaded to choose a different candidate before the caucuses.[5]

The December results of the Des Moines Register's poll also showed a widened gap between the three-way contest for the lead — Clinton, Edwards, and Obama — and the rest of the Democratic candidates. No other Democrat received more than 6 percent support of caucusgoers.[5]

Thirty percent of the sample population from the Des Moines Register's poll said that a candidate's ability to bring about change in the United States was the most important to them; 27% said that a candidate who would be most successful in unifying the country would have taken priority in their votes. Most caucusgoers also said that Obama was strong in both of these areas. Having the experience and competence to lead was considered the most important aspect of a candidate by 18 percent of the sample population; Hillary Rodham Clinton was rated best on this trait. Only 6 percent of the sample population said that being best able to win the general election was the top priority; Clinton, again, was rated best on this trait.[5]

Results[edit]

Map showing results by county.[10]
Caucus Results[edit]

Caucus Date: January 3, 2008

National Pledged Delegates Determined: 0 (of 45)

Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus Results – 2008
Party Candidate State Delegates Percentage Delegates
Democratic Barack Obama 940 37.6% 16
Democratic John Edwards 744 29.7% 14
Democratic Hillary Rodham Clinton 737 29.4% 15
Democratic Bill Richardson 53 2.1% 0
Democratic Joe Biden 23 0.9% 0
Democratic Uncommitted 3 0.2% 0
Democratic Christopher Dodd 1 0.0% 0
Totals 2,500 100.00% 45
Voter turnout  %

The Iowa Democratic Party does not release vote counts (it releases only the number of delegates to the state convention).[11] Since Hillary Rodham Clinton had the highest delegate strength in Iowa's 5th congressional district (a district allocated four national convention delegates) and received the same amount of national delegates elsewhere, she was projected to receive one more national delegate than Edwards despite receiving fewer projected delegates to the state convention.[11]

The Democratic National Committee gives the 50 states 794 superdelegates. According to a January 4, 2008 poll conducted by the Associated Press, most of the superdelegates were undecided, but 160 had endorsed Clinton, compared to 59 for Obama and 32 for Edwards. Along with the delegates that the candidates secured from Iowa, the numbers were as follows: 175 for Clinton, 75 for Obama, and 46 for Edwards. (To win the Democratic nomination for President, 2,025 delegates are needed.)[12] Thus, Clinton initially retained an overall delegate lead following the Iowa results.

Dennis Kucinich and Barack Obama competed against each other in the Iowa Caucuses, but Kucinich asked that Iowans caucusing for him, should they fail to build a viable preference group on Caucus Night to realign to Barack Obama in the second round. Both had fought for the same priorities including ending the Iraq War, reforming Washington, D.C., and creating a better life for working families. In the 2004 Iowa Democratic Caucuses, Kucinich made a similar announcement in favor of John Edwards. At that caucus, Edwards's aides claimed that this request helped put him in second place. In the 2008 Iowa Caucus, however, Kucinich did not conduct much of a campaign in Iowa. He paid for no organizers nor offices in the state, and he was not invited to the Des Moines Register's debate in December 2007.[13][14] Mike Gravel didn't conduct an active campaign in Iowa either.[15]

The 2008 Iowa Caucuses saw a record turnout for both parties, but more notably for the Democrats which drew more than 239,000 voters, almost double the Republican turnout.[11] Entrance polling indicated that a significant portion of the turnout came from first-time caucus attendees, as well as attendees under the age of 30; two groups of voters that primarily lent their support to Barack Obama. Women, previously expected to largely back Hillary Clinton, split their vote between Clinton and Obama, the latter of whom actually received slightly more support.[11] In the aftermath of the results from the Iowa Caucuses, Chris Dodd and Joe Biden dropped out of the presidential race.[11]

As a result of the Iowa Caucus, Barack Obama received a significant surge of support in the next competition, the New Hampshire Democratic Primary five days after.[16] In New Hampshire pre-primary polls conducted from January 4 to January 6, 2008, Obama enjoyed a 13-point lead over Clinton.[17]

County Convention Results[edit]

Convention Date: March 15, 2008

National Pledged Delegates Determined: 0 (of 45)

Iowa Democratic Presidential County Convention Results – 2008
Party Candidate County Delegates Percentage National Delegates
Democratic Barack Obama 1,299 51.96% 25
Democratic Hillary Rodham Clinton 802 32.08% 14
Democratic John Edwards 388 15.52% 6
Democratic Uncommitted 11 0.42% 0
Totals 2,500 100.00% 45
Voter turnout  %
District Convention Results[edit]

Convention Date: April 26, 2008

National pledged delegates determined: 29 (of 45)

Iowa Democratic Presidential District Convention Results – 2008
Party Candidate District Delegates Percentage District Delegates National Delegates
Democratic Barack Obama 16 55.17% 20 18
Democratic Hillary Rodham Clinton 9 31.03% 9 14
Democratic John Edwards 4 13.79% 0 3
Totals 29 100.00% 29 45
Voter turnout  %

Analysis[edit]

Barack Obama scored a major victory in the Iowa Democratic Caucuses due to a number of factors. According to exit polls, 93 percent of voters in the Iowa Democratic Caucus were Caucasian and 33 percent voted for Obama, 27 percent for Clinton, and 24 percent for Edwards; 4 percent of voters were African American and 72 percent voted for Obama, 16 percent for Clinton, and 8 percent for Edwards; 3 percent represented other races and they went 49 percent for Obama, 26 percent for Clinton, 10 percent for Richardson, and 5 percent for Edwards. Obama also won young voters ages 17–44 with 52 percent of the vote compared to 16 percent for both Clinton and Edwards. Edwards won middle-age voters ages 45–59 with 30 percent while Obama received 29 percent and Clinton took in 26 percent of their support. Clinton did best among elderly voters ages 60 and over with 40 percent of the vote while Edwards received 27 percent and Obama took in 19.5 percent of their support. Obama won self-identified Democrats by a margin of 32-31-23 (Obama-Clinton-Edwards), Independents backed Obama 41-23-17 (Obama-Edwards-Clinton), as well as self-identified Republicans who supported Obama 44-32-10 (Obama-Edwards-Clinton). Obama also won moderates and liberals but Edwards won conservatives. Socioeconomic class was not really a factor in how voters made their decisions, as Obama won all groups of family incomes.

Obama performed best in Eastern Iowa, which is considered to be the more liberal part of the state, and Central Iowa which is considered to be the more moderate part of the state. Clinton performed best in Western Iowa, which is considered to be the most conservative part of the state.

Republican caucuses[edit]

Iowa Republican caucuses, 2008
Iowa
2000 ←
January 3, 2008 (2008-01-03) → 2012

  Huckabee-SF-CC-024.jpg Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6.jpg Fred Thompson.jpg
Nominee Mike Huckabee Mitt Romney Fred Thompson
Party Republican Republican Republican
Home state Arkansas Massachusetts Tennessee
Popular vote 40,954 30,021 15,960
Percentage 34.36% 25.19% 13.39%

  John McCain official portrait 2009.jpg Ron Paul, official Congressional photo portrait, 2007.jpg Rudy Giuliani.jpg
Nominee John McCain Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani
Party Republican Republican Republican
Home state Arizona Texas New York
Popular vote 15,536 11,841 4,099
Percentage 13.03% 9.93% 3.44%

IowaCaucusRepublican2008.png

Election results by county. Blue denotes counties won by Huckabee, Red denotes those won by Romney, and Yellow denotes those won by Paul.

Prior to the 2008 caucuses, as in previous election cycles with a competitive presidential race, an unofficial Ames Straw Poll was held, on August 11, 2007. The official one, electing delegates to the state convention, was held on January 3, 2008, the same day as the Democratic contest. In the Ames Straw Poll, Mitt Romney finished first with 32% of the vote. In the January 2008 caucuses, Mike Huckabee finished first with 34% of the vote.

Process[edit]

Unlike the Democratic caucus, the Republican Party does not use voting rounds or have minimum requirements for a percent of votes. The Republican version is done with a straw vote of those attending the caucus. This vote is sometimes done by a show of hands or by dividing themselves into groups according to candidate. However, officially it is done with voters receiving a blank piece of paper with no names on it, and the voter writing a name and placing it in a ballot box.[18]

Following the straw poll, delegates are then elected from the remaining participants in the room, as most voters leave once their vote is cast. All delegates are officially considered unbound,[19] but media outlets either apportion delegates proportionally[20] or apportion them in terms of winner-take-all by counties.[21] In precincts that elect only one delegate, the delegate is chosen by majority vote and the vote must be by paper ballot.[22] The state party strongly urges that delegates reflect the results of the preference poll, but there is no obligation that they do so.

The Ames Straw Poll[edit]

Main article: Ames Straw Poll

The 2007 Ames straw poll was held at Iowa State University (Ames)'s Hilton Coliseum on August 11, 2007.[23] This was primarily a fundraising event for the state's Republican Party, and only Iowa residents who paid the $35 price for a ticket were eligible to vote. Tickets were available through the various presidential campaigns and the Iowa Republican Party's headquarters.

In general, the candidates bought large blocks of tickets and gave them out for free to whoever agreed to go and vote for that candidate. The candidates also rented buses to transport voters to Ames.

Mitt Romney finished first with 32% of the vote, followed by Mike Huckabee (18%), Sam Brownback (15%), Tom Tancredo (14%), and Ron Paul (10%). Six other candidates shared the remaining 14% of the vote.

Pre-caucus polls[edit]

Pre-caucus opinion polling statistics throughout the campaign season.

Before the caucuses, the Des Moines Register reported the following results from a poll of 800 likely Republican caucus goers from December 27 to December 30, 2007:

The above results have a margin of sampling error of ±3.5 percentage points.[5]

Mike Huckabee's results in the opinion polls rose from 29% in the Des Moines Register's poll in late November 2007. Mitt Romney rose two points from 24% in November to 26% in December. John McCain enjoyed the biggest increase from November, increasing six points from 7% to 13%, while Rudy Giuliani suffered the biggest drop from November, decreasing eight points from 13% to 5%. Giuliani's large drop was attributed to his strategy of skipping early states such as Iowa and New Hampshire in favor of larger, delegate-rich states such as Florida, California, and New York.[5] No other candidate polled more than 10%.

Huckabee's poll numbers in Iowa rose dramatically from October to December, in part due to his backing among evangelical voters, who accounted for almost one-half of those polled. Huckabee led Romney in that group 47%-20%. Huckabee also polled higher than Romney among the group who said it was more important to be a social conservative than a fiscal conservative, while Romney led Huckabee 29%-25% among the group who said that being fiscally conservative was most important. In addition, Romney also polled highest in the categories of experience and competence, the ability to bring about change, and electability.

Results[edit]

As of 11:05 p.m. EDT, January 3, 2008, with 100% of the votes reported, the results were:

100% of precincts reporting[24]
Candidate Votes[24] Percentage Delegates
Mike Huckabee 40,954 34.36% 17
Mitt Romney 30,021 25.19% 12
Fred Thompson 15,960 13.39% 0
John McCain 15,536 13.03% 3
Ron Paul 11,841 9.93% 2
Rudy Giuliani 4,099 3.44% 0
Duncan Hunter 506 0.42% 0
Alan Keyes 247 0.21% 0
John Cox* 10 .01% 0
Hugh Cort 5 0% 0
Tom Tancredo* 5 0% 0
Vern Wuensche 2 0% 0
Sam Brownback* 1 0% 0
Cap Fendig 1 0% 0
Total 119,188 100% 34

*Candidate had already dropped out of the race prior to caucus.

Only three candidates won majorities in the individual counties: Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, and Ron Paul. The Giuliani campaign followed an unusual strategy of focusing on larger states that vote later in the process, and had done little if any campaigning in Iowa. Tancredo had already withdrawn from the presidential race two weeks earlier and endorsed Romney,[25] but his name remained in the official list of candidates of the Iowa Republican Party.

Some 120,000 Iowa Republicans attended the 2008 caucuses, a new record. About 87,000 attended in 2000; in 2004, George W. Bush ran unopposed.[26]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

There were 17 organizations or websites that made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

  1. D.C. Political Report: Democrat[27]
  2. Cook Political Report: Leaning Democrat[28]
  3. Takeaway: Leaning Obama[29]
  4. Election Projection: Solid Obama[30]
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Strong Democrat[31]
  6. Washington Post: Solid Obama[32]
  7. Politico: Solid Obama[33]
  8. Real Clear Politics: Solid Obama[34]
  9. FiveThirtyEight.com: Solid Obama[32]
  10. CQ Politics: Safe Democrat[35]
  11. New York Times: Leaning Democrat[36]
  12. CNN: Safe Democrat[37]
  13. NPR: Solid Obama[32]
  14. MSNBC: Leaning Obama[32]
  15. Fox News: Democrat[38]
  16. Associated Press: Democrat[39]
  17. Rasmussen Reports: Safe Democrat[40]

Polling[edit]

Obama won every single pre-election poll taken in the state. The final 3 polls averaged Obama leading 54% to 39%.[41]

Fundraising[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $680,641 in the state. Barack Obama raised $2,250,696.[42]

Advertising and visits[edit]

Obama and his interest groups spent $15,334,065. McCain and his interest groups spent $5,817,988.[43] The Republican ticket visited the state 9 times. The Democratic ticket visited the state 4 times.[44]

Analysis[edit]

Despite its closeness in recent elections, Iowa was not in close contention in the 2008 election. During primary season, Barack Obama had campaigned extensively in the state and won a substantial victory that established him as the Democratic front-runner and ultimately propelled him to victory over Hillary Rodham Clinton. In contrast, John McCain did not campaign at all in Iowa and ended up placing fourth in the Iowa Republican Caucus. Moreover, McCain's stand against Congressional ethanol subsidies proved unpopular in a state that had a large corn crop; conversely, Obama supported these subsidies. Polls consistently gave Barack Obama a double-digit lead in the state.

On Election Day, Obama won by a 9.54-point margin. The reliably Republican western part of the state turned out for McCain as expected. When a Republican wins Iowa, everything west of the state capital, Des Moines, is coated red. Indeed, John Kerry didn't win a single county in western Iowa in 2004, a major factor in Bush's narrow victory here. However, Obama significantly improved on Kerry's performance four years earlier. Pottawattamie County, home to Council Bluffs, went from an 18-point win for Bush to only a two-point win for McCain.

Moreover, Obama did very well in traditionally Democratic Eastern Iowa. Obama was already a familiar face to many voters in eastern Iowa; the Quad Cities area spills into Obama's home state of Illinois. He also did very well in more swingy central Iowa, anchored by Des Moines. Every county in the state, except for Clarke County in Western Iowa, voted more Democratic than in 2004.

At the same time, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Tom Harkin was reelected with 62.66% of the vote over Republican Christopher Reed, a businessman, who received 37.26%. At the state level, Democrats expanded their leads in the Iowa state legislature, picking up four seats in the Iowa House of Representatives and two seats in the Iowa Senate.

Results[edit]

United States presidential election in Iowa, 2008
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Democratic Barack Obama 828,940 53.93% 7
Republican John McCain 682,379 44.39% 0
Peace and Freedom Ralph Nader 8,014 0.52% 0
N/A Write-ins 6,737 0.44% 0
Libertarian Bob Barr 4,590 0.30% 0
Constitution Chuck Baldwin 4,445 0.29% 0
Green Cynthia McKinney 1,423 0.09% 0
Socialist Workers James Harris 292 0.02% 0
Socialist Brian Moore 182 0.01% 0
Party for Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva 121 0.01% 0
Invalid or blank votes 13,882 0.01%
Totals 1,544,268 100% 7
Voter Turnout (Voting age/Registered) 69%/73%

By county[edit]

County Obama Votes McCain Votes Others Votes
Adair 47.5% 1,924 50.8% 2,060 1.7% 69
Adams 50.2% 1,118 46.9% 1,046 2.9% 64
Allamakee 56.1% 3,971 41.9% 2,965 2.0% 140
Appanoose 48.1% 2,970 49.9% 3,086 2.0% 123
Audubon 50.1% 1,739 47.1% 1,634 2.7% 95
Benton 51.3% 7,058 46.8% 6,447 1.9% 264
Black Hawk 60.2% 39,184 37.9% 24,662 1.9% 1,214
Boone 52.5% 7,356 44.9% 6,293 2.6% 362
Bremer 53.8% 6,940 44.5% 5,741 1.8% 227
Buchanan 58.4% 6,050 40.0% 4,139 1.6% 165
Buena Vista 47.9% 4,075 49.7% 4,223 2.4% 203
Butler 46.7% 3,364 51.4% 3,700 1.9% 140
Calhoun 44.7% 2,341 52.4% 2,741 2.9% 151
Carroll 50.5% 5,302 46.9% 4,922 2.6% 270
Cass 43.3% 3,211 54.0% 4,006 2.6% 195
Cedar 53.8% 5,221 44.2% 4,289 2.1% 202
Cerro Gordo 59.3% 14,405 38.6% 9,375 2.1% 513
Cherokee 45.4% 2,890 53.0% 3,372 1.7% 106
Chickasaw 59.1% 3,923 38.5% 2,557 2.4% 161
Clarke 49.8% 2,218 47.5% 2,118 2.7% 119
Clay 46.5% 3,925 51.6% 4,355 1.9% 162
Clayton 57.8% 5,195 40.6% 3,651 1.6% 144
Clinton 60.4% 15,018 37.5% 9,324 2.1% 533
Crawford 51.0% 3,715 45.9% 3,345 3.2% 230
Dallas 46.2% 15,149 51.8% 16,954 2.0% 656
Davis 44.0% 1,680 53.1% 2,029 2.9% 109
Decatur 48.4% 1,986 49.2% 2,020 2.4% 100
Delaware 52.2% 4,649 46.2% 4,113 1.6% 141
Des Moines 60.2% 12,462 37.3% 7,721 2.5% 510
Dickinson 46.5% 4,625 51.9% 5,162 1.6% 155
Dubuque 59.3% 28,611 38.7% 18,651 2.1% 993
Emmet 50.6% 2,570 46.7% 2,373 2.7% 135
Fayette 57.1% 5,908 40.7% 4,205 2.2% 227
Floyd 59.0% 4,822 37.3% 3,051 3.7% 304
Franklin 49.4% 2,575 48.0% 2,501 2.5% 132
Fremont 46.9% 1,848 50.5% 1,989 2.6% 104
Greene 48.8% 2,371 48.4% 2,349 2.8% 138
Grundy 40.5% 2,790 57.3% 3,945 2.2% 155
Guthrie 44.8% 2,625 52.5% 3,074 2.7% 159
Hamilton 49.3% 4,018 48.0% 3,913 2.6% 213
Hancock 46.9% 2,805 50.4% 3,016 2.7% 162
Hardin 49.1% 4,393 48.2% 4,315 2.8% 248
Harrison 46.5% 3,555 51.2% 3,909 2.3% 173
Henry 46.1% 4,349 51.2% 4,822 2.7% 255
Howard 62.2% 2,941 36.4% 1,722 1.4% 66
Humboldt 42.1% 2,160 56.4% 2,895 1.6% 81
Ida 41.0% 1,454 57.4% 2,036 1.6% 57
Iowa 49.1% 4,202 48.9% 4,188 1.9% 166
Jackson 61.3% 6,102 36.9% 3,673 1.8% 182
Jasper 52.4% 10,250 44.9% 8,794 2.7% 522
Jefferson 58.4% 5,070 38.3% 3,324 3.2% 281
Johnson 69.7% 51,027 28.3% 20,732 2.0% 1,472
Jones 54.0% 5,446 43.7% 4,405 2.3% 229
Keokuk 46.9% 2,518 50.5% 2,712 2.5% 136
Kossuth 50.3% 4,625 47.0% 4,329 2.7% 249
Lee 56.6% 9,821 40.7% 7,062 2.7% 469
Linn 59.8% 68,037 38.4% 43,626 1.8% 2,058
Louisa 50.8% 2,523 46.6% 2,314 2.6% 131
Lucas 45.3% 2,029 52.1% 2,330 2.6% 117
Lyon 26.8% 1,675 71.5% 4,471 1.7% 109
Madison 43.8% 3,733 53.7% 4,579 2.5% 217
Mahaska 40.8% 4,464 57.3% 6,271 2.0% 217
Marion 43.4% 7,421 54.1% 9,256 2.6% 438
Marshall 53.4% 10,023 44.1% 8,278 2.5% 464
Mills 40.6% 2,976 57.1% 4,183 2.3% 168
Mitchell 55.1% 3,179 42.8% 2,469 2.0% 118
Monona 47.8% 2,295 50.3% 2,411 1.9% 91
Monroe 46.0% 1,798 51.2% 2,000 2.8% 111
Montgomery 44.0% 2,326 54.6% 2,887 1.4% 76
Muscatine 56.8% 10,920 41.2% 7,929 2.0% 387
O'Brien 31.8% 2,338 66.5% 4,894 1.7% 122
Osceola 33.0% 1,037 64.5% 2,027 2.6% 81
Page 39.3% 2,900 59.0% 4,351 1.6% 119
Palo Alto 50.0% 2,428 47.2% 2,294 2.8% 136
Plymouth 37.0% 4,629 62.0% 7,765 1.0% 121
Pocahontas 44.5% 1,800 52.9% 2,138 2.6% 107
Polk 56.1% 120,984 41.6% 89,668 2.4% 5,099
Pottawattamie 48.0% 20,436 49.9% 21,237 2.1% 907
Poweshiek 55.0% 5,519 43.3% 4,340 1.7% 174
Ringgold 46.0% 1,236 52.1% 1,401 1.9% 52
Sac 44.6% 2,256 53.5% 2,705 1.9% 95
Scott 56.6% 48,927 42.1% 36,365 1.3% 1,086
Shelby 44.3% 2,863 54.0% 3,488 1.7% 112
Sioux 18.2% 3,030 80.9% 13,490 1.0% 159
Story 56.8% 26,548 40.7% 18,995 2.5% 1,179
Tama 55.0% 4,899 42.9% 3,820 2.1% 185
Taylor 44.5% 1,347 53.1% 1,607 2.5% 75
Union 50.3% 3,000 46.6% 2,781 3.1% 183
Van Buren 42.5% 1,546 54.6% 1,986 3.0% 108
Wapello 54.9% 8,820 41.4% 6,663 3.7% 592
Warren 49.4% 12,299 48.7% 12,144 1.9% 469
Washington 48.6% 5,170 49.3% 5,247 2.1% 225
Wayne 45.5% 1,357 52.5% 1,565 2.0% 59
Webster 53.0% 9,917 44.6% 8,337 2.4% 454
Winnebago 53.2% 3,254 44.6% 2,730 2.3% 138
Winneshiek 60.1% 6,829 37.6% 4,273 2.3% 265
Woodbury 49.1% 21,983 49.6% 22,219 1.4% 613
Worth 59.9% 2,567 37.6% 1,612 2.4% 103
Wright 48.5% 3,102 50.0% 3,198 1.5% 95

By congressional district[edit]

Barack Obama carried four out of the state’s five congressional districts, including one district held by a Republican.

District McCain Obama Representative
1st 40.72% 58.24% Bruce Braley
2nd 38.57% 60.18% David Loebsack
3rd 44.66% 54.03% Leonard Boswell
4th 45.53% 53.11% Tom Latham
5th 54.60% 44.25% Steve King

Electors[edit]

Technically the voters of Iowa cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Iowa is allocated 7 electors because it has 5 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 7 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 7 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[45] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 7 pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden:

  1. Elwood Thompson
  2. Slayton Thompson
  3. Kathleen O'Leary
  4. Jon Heitland
  5. Dennis Ryan
  6. Joe Judge
  7. Audrey Linville

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Shepherd, Julianne (2008-01-04). "Barack Obama Takes Iowa Caucuses; Senator Could Become America's First Black President". Vibe. Retrieved 2008-03-05. 
  2. ^ a b c "About the Iowa Caucuses". Iowa Caucus 2008. Iowa Department of Economic Development. 2007. Retrieved 2008-01-03. 
  3. ^ Best, Amy. "Iowa Caucuses: The Importance of Being First.". The Cube. Iowa Department of Economic Development. Retrieved 2008-02-01. 
  4. ^ Murray, Shailagh (2008-05-20). "Obama's Triumphant Iowa Return". Washingtonpost.com. Retrieved 2009-01-13. 
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i Beaumont, Thomas (2008-01-01). "New Iowa Poll: Obama widens lead over Clinton". DesMoinesRegister.com (Des Moines Register and Tribune Company). Retrieved 2008-01-03. 
  6. ^ a b Gill, Kathy (2008). "How Do The Iowa Caucuses Work?". About.com US Politics. About. Retrieved 2008-01-09. 
  7. ^ a b c d e "How To Become A Delegate". The 2008 Democratic National Convention. 2008 Democratic National Convention Committee. 2008. Retrieved 2008-01-15. 
  8. ^ a b c d e f Berg-Andersson, Richard E. (2008-05-15). "Iowa Democratic Delegation 2008". The Green Papers. Retrieved 2008-05-16. 
  9. ^ The Associated Press (2007-12-20). "What Are Delegates?". AOL News. Retrieved 2008-01-24. 
  10. ^ "ElectionCenter2008; Iowa Caucuses (Special Coverage) County Results". CNN. 2008-01-03. CNN. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/county/#val=IADEM1.
  11. ^ a b c d e "America Votes 2008; Iowa Caucuses (Special Coverage)". CNN. 2008-01-03. CNN. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008.
  12. ^ Associated Press (2008-01-04). "Clinton still leads in overall delegate race, despite losing in Iowa". Retrieved 2008-01-04. 
  13. ^ Kucinich Asks Supporters to Back Obama. Associated Press. 2008-01-02.[dead link]
  14. ^ Zeleny, Jeff. Kucinich Tells Supporters to Caucus for Obama. The New York Times. 2008-01-01.
  15. ^ "Second-Tier Dems Hope for Caucus Boost". WHO-TV. 2008-01-03. Retrieved 2008-01-04. 
  16. ^ Liasson, Mara; Siegel, Robert (2008-01-08). "What's at Stake in the New Hampshire Primary". National Public Radio (NPR and the Associated Press). Retrieved 2008-01-14. 
  17. ^ Memmott, Mark; Lawrence, Jill (2008-01-06). "Obama up by 13 points, McCain up by 4 in USAT/Gallup Poll in N.H.". USAToday.com (USA Today). Retrieved 2008-01-14. 
  18. ^ Leibovich, Mark (2008-01-04). "One Republican Caucus Is Found to Be an Uncomplicated Affair". The New York Times. Retrieved 2010-05-05. 
  19. ^ Republican Party of IOWA | Caucuses
  20. ^ "Election Center 2008: Primary Results - Elections & Politics news from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-05. 
  21. ^ ABC News: Primary Results By State
  22. ^ Iowa Caucus 2008
  23. ^ Ames Straw Poll date set from OvalOffice2008.com.
  24. ^ a b "Election Center 2008: Primary Results for Iowa". CNNPolitics.com (Cable News Network). 2008-01-04. Retrieved 2008-01-04. 
  25. ^ Pulliam, Jason (2007-12-20). "Tancredo drops out, endorses Romney". USA Today. Retrieved 2007-12-20. 
  26. ^ Woodward, Whitney (2008-01-04). "Democrat turnout outnumbers GOP by 2-1". Quad-City Times. Retrieved 2008-01-04. 
  27. ^ D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries
  28. ^ Presidential | The Cook Political Report
  29. ^ Adnaan (2008-09-20). "Track the Electoral College vote predictions". The Takeaway. Retrieved 2009-11-14. 
  30. ^ Election Projection: 2008 Elections - Polls, Projections, Results
  31. ^ Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
  32. ^ a b c d Based on Takeaway
  33. ^ POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com
  34. ^ RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map
  35. ^ CQ Politics | CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008
  36. ^ "Electoral College Map". The New York Times. Retrieved 2010-05-26. 
  37. ^ "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-26. 
  38. ^ "Winning the Electoral College". Fox News. 2010-04-27. 
  39. ^ roadto270
  40. ^ Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports™
  41. ^ Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  42. ^ Presidential Campaign Finance
  43. ^ "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-26. 
  44. ^ "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-26. 
  45. ^ "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Retrieved 2008-11-01. 

External links[edit]