Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election
Template:Import-blanktable In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.
The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held on 6 May 2021, to the next election, which can be held no later than 7 May 2026.
Constituency vote
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7–11 Oct 2022 | Panelbase | Alba Party | 1,000~ | 45% | 15% | 28% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 17% |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,067 | 49% | 13% | 26% | 8% | – | 4% | 23% |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 47% | 17% | 25% | 8% | – | 2% | 22% |
| 28–29 Sep 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,011 | 45% | 14% | 30% | 6% | – | 4% | 15% |
| 17–19 Aug 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,133 | 47% | 17% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 25% |
| 29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,010 | 47% | 17% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 25% |
| 23–28 Jun 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,000~ | 46% | 18% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 21% | |
| 18–23 May 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,115 | 47% | 18% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 24% |
| 2022 Scottish local elections | ||||||||||
| 26 Apr – 3 May 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,010 | 46% | 18% | 25% | 7% | – | 4% | 21% |
| 26–29 Apr 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,009 | 42% | 19% | 24% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 18% |
| 25–31 Mar 2022 | BMG | The Herald | 1,012 | 44% | 21% | 22% | 8% | – | 4% | 22% |
| 24–28 Mar 2022 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,002 | 46% | 20% | 25% | 7% | – | 2% | 21% |
| 10–16 Mar 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,008 | 46% | 20% | 24% | 7% | – | TBC | 22% |
| 24–28 Feb 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Economist | 1,866 | 47% | 21% | 22% | 8% | – | 2% | 25% |
| 1–4 Feb 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,014 | 44% | 19% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 22% |
| 14–18 Jan 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 47% | 19% | 22% | 8% | – | 4% | 25% |
| 22–29 Nov 2021 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,107 | 52% | 19% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 33% |
| 18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 48% | 21% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 27% |
| 9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,781 | 47% | 20% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 27% |
| 22–28 Oct 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,005 | 48% | 20% | 22% | 7% | – | 3% | 26% |
| 6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 46% | 22% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 24% |
| 3–9 Sep 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,016 | 48% | 22% | 20% | 7% | – | 3% | 26% |
| 2–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 51% | 21% | 18% | 6% | – | 4% | 30% |
| 20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats[1] | |||||||||
| 16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 46% | 24% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 22% |
| 6 May 2021 | 2021 Scottish Parliament election[2] | – | 47.7% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 25.8% | |
Regional vote
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Green | Lib Dem | Alba | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7–11 Oct 2022 | Panelbase | Alba Party | 1,000~ | 37% | 17% | 26% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 11% |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,067 | 38% | 14% | 24% | 12% | 8% | – | 3% | 14% |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 32% | 19% | 26% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| 28–29 Sep 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,011 | 31% | 14% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 4% |
| 29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,010 | 41% | 19% | 22% | 7% | 8% | – | 3% | 19% |
| 23–28 Jun 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | n/a | 33% | 20% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
| 18–23 May 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,115 | 39% | 18% | 21% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 18% |
| 2022 Scottish local elections | |||||||||||
| 26 Apr – 3 May 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,010 | 31% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 8% |
| 26–29 Apr 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,009 | 36% | 20% | 22% | 10% | 7% | – | 5% | 14% |
| 25–31 Mar 2022 | BMG | The Herald | 1,012 | 33% | 20% | 22% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 4%
Reform UK on 2% Other on 2% |
11% |
| 24–28 Mar 2022 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,002 | 34% | 19% | 23% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 11% |
| 10–16 Mar 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,008 | 34% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 12% |
| 24–28 Feb 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Economist | 1,866 | 34% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
| 1–4 Feb 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,014 | 38% | 21% | 20% | 9% | 8% | – | 5% | 17% |
| 14–18 Jan 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 38% | 18% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 18% |
| 22–29 Nov 2021 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,107 | 43% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 23% |
| 18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 38% | 19% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 19% |
| 9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,781 | 41% | 21% | 18% | 10% | 8% | – | 2% | 20% |
| 22–28 Oct 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,005 | 38% | 22% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 16% |
| 6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 38% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 8% | – | 4% | 15% |
| 3–9 Sep 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,016 | 36% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
| 2–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 40% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 10% | 19% |
| 20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats[1] | ||||||||||
| 16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 38% | 23% | 17% | 9% | 6% | – | 6% | 15% |
| 6 May 2021 | 2021 Scottish Parliament election[2] | – | 40.3% | 23.5% | 17.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 16.8% | |
See also
Notes
References
- ^ a b "Alex Cole-Hamilton confirmed as new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 August 2021. Retrieved 21 August 2021.
- ^ a b "Full votes and seats by party etc - SPE21". Electoral Management Board for Scotland. 9 May 2021. Archived from the original on 2 August 2021. Retrieved 2 August 2021.