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One of the first attempts at the scientific study of earthquakes followed the [[1755 Lisbon earthquake]]. Other especially notable earthquakes that spurred major developments in the science of seismology include the [[1906 San Francisco earthquake]], the [[1964 Alaska earthquake]] and the 2004 [[Sumatra-Andaman earthquake]]. An extensive list of famous earthquakes can be found on the [[earthquake]] page.
One of the first attempts at the scientific study of earthquakes followed the [[1755 Lisbon earthquake]]. Other especially notable earthquakes that spurred major developments in the science of seismology include the [[1906 San Francisco earthquake]], the [[1964 Alaska earthquake]] and the 2004 [[Sumatra-Andaman earthquake]]. An extensive list of famous earthquakes can be found on the [[earthquake]] page.


==Earthquake prediction==
In the 1980's Advance Warning P-Waves were seismically discovered by David Berger, retired geologist, currently living in Valley Center, Kansas. Advance Warning P-Waves are detectable 24 hours a day, non-stop, for hours/days/weeks and rarely over 2 months in advance of an earthquake. ALL MAGNITUDES of EARTHQUAKES are detectable before they strike; length of time depends on the earthquake, all earthquakes are different.

Advance Warning P-Waves are the largest detectable waves emitted by earthquake cells which give all the details needed to give 100% accurate earthquake forecasts up to days in advance. Earthquake Cells show the size of the earthquake; therefore letting you determine the upcoming Magnitude of the coming earthquake by isoseismic mapping. An Advance Warning P-Wave of a 1.5 magnitude earthquake is considerably larger than the largest seismically detected S-Wave of any recorded earthquake in history.

Advance Warning P-Waves of an earthquake cell shows the EXACT EPICENTER of the coming earthquake hours and days in advance; the Epicenter never moves. AWPW allows for the EXACT DEPTH OF THE FOCUS to be determined hours to days in advance also, and it never moves.

Advance Warning P-Waves also tell when an Earthquake is going to strike, by watching for the exact moment of the release at a linked earthquake cell, and then plotting the route/time for it to strike at the other linked area.

The USGS and the Department of the Interior had an offer to seismically detect earthquakes scientifically hours/days/weeks before they strike using these seismic systems in August of 1996 and turned down the offer for 300 AWPW units that could be used to cover the continental USA; over 400,000 people have died around the world since then.

Since Advance Warning P-Waves are detectable so far in advance, and there is plenty of time studying faults under abnormal pressure; other means of early detection has come about. Faults at the Earths surface that are under abnormal pressure emit a visually detectable emission. The emission is visually detectable for hundreds of miles in all direction when a larger earthquake is getting ready to strike at that fault. The visual detection shows the lay of the earthquake, showing it to be extremely wide when looking at it from the broadside for up to hundreds of miles away; and showing it to be extremely narrow when looking at it from the ends, even from up to hundreds of miles away.

==Earthquake prediction is nothing but guesses, because earthquakes occur scientifically as chain reactions of other earthquakes and earthquake cells.==
:''Main article: [[Earthquake prediction]]
:''Main article: [[Earthquake prediction]]


Most seismologists do not believe that a system to provide timely warnings for individual earthquakes has yet been developed, and many believe that such a system would be unlikely to give significant warning of impending seismic events. More general forecasts, however, are routinely used to establish seismic hazard. Such forecasts estimate the probability of an earthquake of a particular size affecting a particular location within a particular time span.
Current day seismologists aren't interested in scientifically detecting earthquakes seismically before they strike in order to give 100% correct earthquake forecasts, they are more interested in giving worthless future predictions that don't have any "science" behind them. The earthquake predictions that seismologists give out today are no more correct than if they were predicting where the next 200 million dollar lottery winner currently lives. That is why the Federal Government of the USA BANNED them from making forecasts using their predictions without any direct science being involved.


Various attempts have been made by seismologists and others to create effective systems for precise earthquake predictions, including the [[VAN method]]. Such methods have yet to be generally accepted in the seismology community.
Earthquakes are very easily detectable in advance by the activity given off by the earthquake cell they are propagated in, that shows each individual earthquakes activity. Earthquake chain reactions are clearly detectable, as well as crustal directional movements through the detection of Advance Warning P-Waves.


==Notable seismologists==
==Notable seismologists==

Revision as of 04:12, 6 September 2007

Seismology (from the Greek seismos = earthquake and λόγος,logos = knowledge ) is the scientific study of earthquakes and the propagation of elastic waves through the Earth. The field also includes studies of earthquake effects, such as tsunamis as well as diverse seismic sources such as volcanic, tectonic, oceanic, atmospheric, and artificial processes (such as explosions). A related field that uses geology to infer information regarding past earthquakes is paleoseismology. A recording of earth motion as a function of time is called a seismogram.

Earthquakes, and other sources, produce different types of seismic waves. These waves travel through rock, and provide an effective way to image both sources and structures deep within the Earth. There are three basic types of seismic waves in solids: P-waves and S-waves (both body waves) and surface waves. The two basic kinds of surface waves (Rayleigh and Love), can be fundamentally explained in terms of interacting P- and/or S-waves.

Pressure waves, also called Primary waves or P-waves, travel at the greatest velocity within solids and are therefore the first waves to appear on a seismogram. P-waves are fundamentally pressure disturbances that propagate through a material by alternately compressing and expanding (dialating) the medium, where particle motion is parallel to the direction of wave propagation. For a visual example of this movement, try laying a coil (like a Slinky) on a flat surface. Tap lightly on one end, and you will see the coil compress and then expand along the whole length of the coil. This is a P-wave-like phenomenon.

S-waves, also called Shear waves or secondary waves, are transverse waves that travel more slowly than P-waves and thus appear later than P-waves on a seismogram. Particle motion is perpendicular to the direction of wave propagation. Shear waves do not exist in fluids such as air or water.

Surface waves travel more slowly than P-waves and S-waves, however, because they are trapped in the vicinity of the Earth's surface, they can be much larger in amplitude than body waves, and can form the largest signals seen in earthquake seismograms. They are particularly strongly excited when the seismic source is close to the surface of the Earth.

For large enough earthquakes, one can observe the normal modes of the Earth. These modes are excited as discrete frequencies and can be observed for days after the generating event. The first observations were made in the 1960s as the advent of higher fidelity instruments coincided with two of the largest earthquakes of the 20th century - the 1960 Great Chilean earthquake and the 1964 Great Alaskan earthquake. Since then, the normal modes of the Earth have given us some of the strongest constraints on the deep structure of the Earth.

One of the earliest important discoveries (suggested by Richard Dixon Oldham in 1906 and definitively shown by Harold Jeffreys) in 1926) was that the outer core of the Earth is liquid. Pressure waves (P-waves) pass through the core. Transverse or shear waves (S-waves) that shake side-to-side require rigid material so they do not pass through the outer core. Thus, the liquid core causes a "shadow" on the side of the planet opposite of the earthquake where no direct S-waves are observed. The reduction in P-wave velocity of the outer core also causes a substantial delay for P waves penetrating the core from the (sesimically faster velocity) mantle.

Seismic waves produced by explosions or vibrating controlled sources are the primary method of underground exploration. Controlled source seismology has been used to map salt domes, faults, anticlines and other geologic traps in petroleum-bearing rocks, geological faults, rock types, and long-buried giant meteor craters. For example, the Chicxulub impactor, which is believed to have killed the dinosaurs, was localized to Central America by analyzing ejecta in the cretaceous boundary, and then physically proven to exist using seismic maps from oil exploration.

File:Hydro-seismic.jpg

Using seismic tomography with earthquake waves, the interior of the Earth has been completely mapped to a resolution of several hundred kilometers. This process has enabled scientists to identify convection cells, mantle plumes and other large-scale features of the inner Earth.

Seismographs are instruments that sense and record the motion of the Earth. Networks of seismographs today continuously monitor the seismic environment of the planet, allowing for the monitoring and analysis of global earthqaukes and tsunami warnings, as well as recording a variety of seismic signals arising from nonearthquake phenomena such as large meteors entering the atmosphere, pressure variations on the ocean floor induced by ocean waves (the global microseism), cryospheric events associated with large icebergs and glaciers, or underground nuclear tests. Above-ocean meteor strikes as large as ten kilotons of TNT, (equivalent to about 4.2 × 1013 J of effective explosive force) have been reported.

One of the first attempts at the scientific study of earthquakes followed the 1755 Lisbon earthquake. Other especially notable earthquakes that spurred major developments in the science of seismology include the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, the 1964 Alaska earthquake and the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake. An extensive list of famous earthquakes can be found on the earthquake page.

Earthquake prediction

Main article: Earthquake prediction

Most seismologists do not believe that a system to provide timely warnings for individual earthquakes has yet been developed, and many believe that such a system would be unlikely to give significant warning of impending seismic events. More general forecasts, however, are routinely used to establish seismic hazard. Such forecasts estimate the probability of an earthquake of a particular size affecting a particular location within a particular time span.

Various attempts have been made by seismologists and others to create effective systems for precise earthquake predictions, including the VAN method. Such methods have yet to be generally accepted in the seismology community.

Notable seismologists

See also

References