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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana

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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana
← 2008 November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02) 2012 →
All 9 Indiana seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 4 5
Seats won 6 3
Seat change Increase2 Decrease2
Popular vote 972,671 679,462
Percentage 55.65% 38.88%
Swing Increase9.31% Decrease13.01%
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The 2010 congressional elections in Indiana were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Indiana in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013, except for the winner of the 3rd District's special election, who will serve the few remaining weeks of the 111th Congress.

Indiana has nine seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States Census.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana, 2010[1]
Party Votes Percentage Seats +/–
Republican 972,671 55.65% 6 +2
Democratic 679,462 38.88% 3 -2
Libertarian 84,289 4.82% 0 -
Independents 11,298 0.65% 0 -
Totals 1,747,720 100.00% 9 -

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana by district:[2]

District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 65,558 38.63% 99,387 58.56% 4,762 2.81% 169,707 100.0% Democratic Hold
District 2 88,803 46.84% 91,341 48.18% 9,447 4.98% 189,591 100.0% Democratic Hold
District 3 116,140 62.76% 61,267 33.11% 7,642 4.13% 185,049 100.0% Republican Hold
District 4 138,732 68.57% 53,167 26.28% 10,423 5.15% 202,322 100.0% Republican Hold
District 5 146,899 62.14% 60,024 25.39% 29,484 12.47% 236,407 100.0% Republican Hold
District 6 126,027 66.57% 56,647 29.92% 6,635 3.51% 189,309 100.0% Republican Hold
District 7 55,213 37.81% 86,011 58.89% 4,815 3.30% 146,039 100.0% Democratic Hold
District 8 117,259 57.55% 76,265 37.43% 10,240 5.02% 203,764 100.0% Republican Gain
District 9 118,040 52.34% 95,353 42.28% 12,139 5.38% 225,532 100.0% Republican Gain
Total 972,671 55.65% 679,462 38.88% 95,587 5.47% 1,747,720 100.0%

Congressional districts

District 1

See also: Indiana's 1st congressional district

Democrat Pete Visclosky has represented this district since 1985. The PVI is D+8. He faced Republican activist Mark Leyva and Libertarian candidate Jon Morris. Visclosky was endorsed by the Northwest Indiana Times and the Indianapolis Star.[3][4]

2010

Indiana's 1st Congressional District Election (2010)
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pete Visclosky (incumbent) 99,387 58.56
Republican Mark J. Leyva 65,558 38.63
Libertarian Jon Morris 4,762 2.81
Total votes 169,707 100.00
Turnout  
Democratic hold

District 2

See also: Indiana's 2nd congressional district

Democrat Joe Donnelly has represented this district since 2007 and ran for reelection. He was challenged by Republican nominee State Representative Jackie Walorski, whom he defeated.[5]

Obama carried this district with 54% of the vote in 2008.[6]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joe
Donnelly (D) 		Jackie
Walorski (R) 		Undecided
EPIC-MRA October 20–22, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 48% 43% n/a
EPIC-MRA October 1–3, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 48% 39% 7%
American Action Forum via South Bend Tribune August 16–19, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 46% 44% n/a
The Polling Company July 31-August 3, 2010 309 ± 5.6% 52% 35% 11%

2010

Indiana's 2nd Congressional District Election (2010)
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Donnelly (incumbent) 91,341 48.18
Republican Jackie Walorski 88,803 46.84
Libertarian Mark Vogel 9,447 4.98
Total votes 189,591 100.00
Turnout  
Democratic hold

District 3

See also: Indiana's 3rd congressional district

Republican Mark Souder represented this district from 2003 until his resignation on May 18, 2010. Fellow Republican John McCain carried this district with 56% of the vote in the 2008 presidential election.[7]

In the Republican primary, car dealer Bob Thomas gave Souder a strong challenge in the primary. An April SurveyUSA poll showed Thomas within six percentage points of Souder. Other Republican candidates included attorney Phil Troyer and Tea Party activist Greg Dickman. Souder won the primary with 48% of the vote. He was to face Democrat Fort Wayne councilman Tom Hayhurst.

However, as Souder announced his resignation from Congress and his resignation as the Republican candidate for Congress on May 18, 2010, the Governor of Indiana set a date for a special election to be held concurrently with the general election in November. A caucus was be held to choose the Republican candidate for the special election and the general election. The Republican caucus to choose the nominee was held on June 12, 2010. State Senator Marlin Stutzman was selected as the Republican nominee for both the special and general elections.

Republican primary polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Mark Souder Bob Thomas Phil Troyer Greg Dickman Undecided
Survey USA (Link) April 22–26, 2010 35% 29% 19% 2% 16%

2010

Indiana's 3rd Congressional District Special Election (2010)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Marlin Stutzman 115,415 62.65
Democratic Thomas Hayhurst 60,880 33.05
Libertarian Scott W. Wise 7,914 4.30
Total votes 184,209 100.00
Turnout  
Republican hold
Indiana's 3rd Congressional District General Election (2010)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Marlin Stutzman 116,140 62.76
Democratic Thomas Hayhurst 61,267 33.11
Libertarian Scott W. Wise 7,631 4.12
No party Others 11 0.01
Total votes 185,049 100.00
Turnout  
Republican hold

District 3 Special

The 2010 special election for Indiana's 3rd congressional district will be held November 2, contemporaneously with the regularly scheduled general election. The special election was called to fill the vacancy left by Republican Mark Souder, who resigned after an affair with a staffer was revealed.[8]

Democratic candidates

Republican candidates

Nominee

Lost Nomination

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Marlin Stutzman (R) Tom Hayhurst (D) Scott Wise (L) Undecided
Riggs Research October 27–28, 2010 400 ±4.9% 36% 40% 3% n/a
SurveyUSA October 21–25, 2010 400 ±4.9% 57% 32% 7% 2%
American Viewpoint July 19–20, 2010 400 ±4.9% 56% 29% 2% n/a

District 4

See also: Indiana's 4th congressional district

Republican Steve Buyer did not run for re-election. McCain carried the district with 56% of the vote. Todd Rokita, the Republican Secretary of State of Indiana, Republican State Senator Brandt Hershman, Cheryl Denise Allen and Mark Seitz filed to run for Buyer's vacant seat.[11] Rokita won the primary and defeated Democrat David Sanders in the general election.

2010

Indiana's 4th Congressional District Election (2010)[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Todd Rokita 138,732 68.57
Democratic David Sanders 53,167 26.28
Libertarian John Duncan 10,423 5.15
Total votes 202,322 100.00
Turnout  
Republican hold

District 5

See also: Indiana's 5th congressional district

Republican Dan Burton has represented this district since 2003. John McCain carried 59% of the vote in 2008.[13]

Former Republican candidate Brose McVey, Indiana Republican Party Executive Director Luke Messer, State Representative Mike Murphy, and 2008 primary challenger John McGoff all formally announced their intention to run. Burton won the primary with just 30% of the vote. He faced Democrat Tim Crawford in the general election.[14]

Republican primary polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Dan Burton Luke Messer Brose McVey John McGoff Mike Murphy Andy Lyons Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (Link) March 5, 2010 43% 9% 8% 8% 4% 2% 26%

2010

Indiana's 5th Congressional District Election (2010)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Burton (incumbent) 146,899 62.14
Democratic Tim Crawford 60,024 25.39
Libertarian Richard Reid 18,266 7.73
Independent Jesse C. Trueblood 11,218 4.75
Total votes 236,407 100.00
Turnout  
Republican hold

District 6

See also: Indiana's 6th congressional district

Republican Mike Pence represented this district since 2003. In the 2008 presidential election, Republican nominee McCain carried the district with 52% of the vote. Pence faced Democratic nominee Barry Welsh,[15] a minister, and defeated him to keep his seat.

2010

Indiana's 6th Congressional District Election (2010)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Pence (incumbent) 126,027 66.57
Democratic Barry A. Welsh 56,647 29.92
Libertarian Talmage "T.J." Thompson, Jr. 6,635 3.51
Total votes 189,309 100.00
Turnout   41
Republican hold

District 7

See also: Indiana's 7th congressional district

Democrat André Carson has served since 2008. President Obama carried this district with 71% of the vote, considered safe or solid by most sources. He again faced perennial Republican candidate Marvin Scott, who took issue with Carson's Muslim faith during the general election.[16] However, Carson defeated Scott by a large margin to retain his seat.[17]

2010

Indiana's 7th Congressional District Election (2010)
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic André Carson (incumbent) 86,011 58.90
Republican Marvin B. Scott 55,213 37.81
Libertarian Dav Wilson 4,815 3.30
Total votes 146,039 100.00
Turnout  
Democratic hold

District 8

See also: Indiana's 8th congressional district

This was an open seat as Democratic incumbent Brad Ellsworth ran (unsuccessfully) for the U.S. Senate. The Democratic nominee was lawyer and State Representative Trent Van Haaften. The Republican nominee was Larry Bucshon, president of Ohio Valley HeartCare.

Bucshon received support from the National Republican Congressional Committee and was named a GOP Young Gun.[18] During the campaign, Bucshon was endorsed by several conservative interest groups and elected officials, including the Indiana Chamber of Commerce Congressional Action Committee, United States Chamber of Commerce, National Right to Life Committee, Indiana Right to Life, Indiana Manufacturers Association, Campaign for Working Families, House Minority Leader John Boehner, U.S. Congressman Mike Pence, and Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels.[19]

Bucshon received significant campaign contributions from medical groups[20]

Bucshon defeated van Haaften by a margin of 21 points, winning all 18 counties in the district.[21]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Trent Van Haaften (D) Larry Bucshon (R) Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies July 21–22, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 27% 43% n/a
OnMessage September 13–14, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 20% 41% n/a

2010

Indiana's 8th Congressional District Election (2010)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Larry Bucshon 117,259 57.55
Democratic Trent Van Haaften 76,265 37.43
Libertarian John Cunningham 10,240 5.03
Total votes 203,764 100.00
Turnout  
Republican gain from Democratic

District 9

See also: Indiana's 9th congressional district

Democratic incumbent Baron Hill was challenged by Republican Todd Young (campaign site, PVS, WhoRunsGov), Libertarian Greg Knott (campaign site, PVS), and Independent Jerry Lucas (campaign site, PVS). He was defeated, and was defeated by Todd Young.

Primaries

Five-term Congressman Democrat Baron Hill has won in the ninth district since 1998, except for in 2004, when he lost to Republican Mike Sodrel by 1,425 votes. Hill narrowly regained his seat from Sodrel in 2006 and won another race with Sodrel in 2008 by a wider margin. McCain carried the district with only 50% of the vote. In 2010, Sodrel sought another rematch, but lost to former Marine Captain and Orange County Deputy Prosecutor Todd Young in the Republican primary.[22][23] Independent Jerry Lucas, a nurse and army veteran, has also filed to run.[24][25] Greg Knott entered the race as the Libertarian Party candidate.

Prior to the campaign season, Hill came under increasing public pressure following the passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. At public meetings, Hill had to be escorted by state police for his protection and had heated verbal exchanges with the public which made local news on several occasions and leading Hill to refuse to hold additional public meetings in person.[26]

General

Hill launched a series of campaign ads beginning in mid August questioning Young's intentions for the future of Social Security and highlighting a comment made by Young referring to it as a "Ponzi scheme".[27] Local media covering the debate questioned both candidates about their ads; Hill defended his support of healthcare, stimulus, and new regulatory legislation as the correct votes for the future of the country.

Young reconfirmed his position, stating Social Security was indeed a "Ponzi scheme" and needed reform to remain financially viable and called on Hill to explain his financial plans for the nation.[28]

The last week of August, the Young campaign began running ads on radio and television pointing out Hill's record of supporting spending legislation and calling on fiscal restraint in Congress. On the night of August 30, Young's Bloomington campaign headquarters were vandalized; the air conditioner was stolen, the phone and internet lines into the building were cut, the power disconnected.[27] The Young campaign requested that Hill participate in seven town hall style debates.[29] The first scheduled debate will be held October 18 at the Buskirk-Chumley Theater in Bloomington.[30]

In a post-primary June Public Opinion Strategies poll, Hill had a 41–33 lead over Young.[31] An August poll conducted by the Young campaign suggested only 37% of voters believed Hill deserved another term.[28] During the first week of September Real Clear Politics had the race rated as a toss-up.[25]

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Baron Hill (D) Todd Young (R) Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies May 25–26, 2010 300 ±5.7% 41% 34% n/a
Public Opinion Strategies July 26–28, 2010 300 ±4.9% 42% 41% n/a
The Hill/ANGA October 16–19, 2010 400 ±4.9% 46% 44% 9%
Public Opinion Strategies October 24–25, 2010 n/a ±5.7% 37% 49% n/a
Results

2010

Indiana's 9th Congressional District Election (2010)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Todd Young 118,040 52.34
Democratic Baron Hill (incumbent) 95,353 42.28
Libertarian Greg "No Bull" Knott 12,070 5.35
No party Others 69 0.03
Total votes 225,532 100.00
Turnout  
Republican gain from Democratic

References

  1. ^ "Indiana General Election November 2, 2010". In.gov. Retrieved 2016-11-12.
  2. ^ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  3. ^ "EDITORIAL: We endorse Visclosky, Donnelly". Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  4. ^ "U.S. House endorsements | Indianapolis Star | indystar.com". www.indystar.com. Archived from the original on 26 January 2013. Retrieved 26 January 2022.
  5. ^ South Bend Tribune. "Walorski announces plans to run for Congress". South Bend Tribune. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  6. ^ Member Profile (1955-09-29). "Profile for Rep. Joe Donnelly, Indiana Democrat, North central - South Bend, parts of Elkhart and Kokomo". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on February 25, 2010. Retrieved 2009-07-28.
  7. ^ Giroux, Greg (2010-04-29). "Poll: Souder's Small Lead in Indiana - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Archived from the original on 2010-05-02. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  8. ^ Cilizza, Chris; Burke, Aaron (May 18, 2010). "Mark Souder to resign after affair". Washington Post.
  9. ^ a b c d Isenstadt, Alex (May 18, 2010). "Stutzman to seek Souder seat". Politico 2010.
  10. ^ "State Rep. Culver enters race for Souder's seat". South Bend Tribune. May 27, 2010.
  11. ^ de la Bastide, Ken (February 3, 2010). "Hershman throws hat into ring". Pharos-Tribune. Logansport, Indiana. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
  12. ^ Karen L. Haas (June 3, 2011). Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010 (PDF) (Report). Retrieved February 25, 2019.
  13. ^ Member Profile (1938-06-21). "Profile for Rep. Dan Burton, Indiana Republican, East central - part of Indianapolis and suburbs". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on July 5, 2009. Retrieved 2009-07-28.
  14. ^ "Burton gets a win, but not a majority". Archived from the original on May 8, 2010. Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  15. ^ "The Ball State Daily News - Rep. Pence, challenger Welsh to meet again in midterm elections". Bsudailynews.com. 2010-05-04. Archived from the original on 2011-09-27. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  16. ^ Tully, Matthew (September 15, 2010). "Marvin Scott's tactics are ugly, shameless, par for the course". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved January 3, 2011.
  17. ^ King, Mason (December 22, 2010). "Leading Questions: Carson talks Congress, whips, soft rock". Indianapolis Business Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2011.
  18. ^ "Candidates". GOP Young Guns. NRCC. Archived from the original on 21 July 2011. Retrieved 27 November 2011.
  19. ^ "CQ Politics | Ellsworth's Seat Looks to Be a Difficult Hold". Archived from the original on 2010-09-18. Retrieved 2012-03-09.
  20. ^ Isenstadt, Alex (2010-10-06). "Doc groups helping their own". Politico.com. Retrieved 2010-10-07.
  21. ^ "Election Results, United States Representative". Indiana Secretary of State. 2010-11-22. Retrieved 2010-11-30.
  22. ^ "Indiana poised to play major role in battle for Congress". Fwdailynews.com. 2010-01-11. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  23. ^ "Todd Young Bio". Real Clear Politics.com. Retrieved 2010-09-01.
  24. ^ "November 2, 2010 General Election" (PDF). In.gov. Retrieved 2016-11-12.
  25. ^ a b "Online Guide to Indiana Politics". Politics1. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  26. ^ "Hill's Town Hall Meeting on Healthcare". Fox41.com. Archived from the original on 2012-09-05. Retrieved 2010-09-01.
  27. ^ a b Shella, Jim (2010-08-31). "Rep. Todd Young's headquarters hit by vandals". WISHTV8.
  28. ^ a b Arnold, Joe (2010-07-12). "Hill and Young Spar Over Social Security". WHAS 11. Retrieved 2010-09-01.
  29. ^ "Young Hill Campaign debate schedule". Indiana Public Media. Retrieved 2010-09-01.
  30. ^ Salomon, Evie (2010-09-20). "Questions for the Debate". Indiana Daily Student. Archived from the original on 2012-02-29. Retrieved 2010-09-22.
  31. ^ Howley, Brian (2010-08-27). "Baron Hill Walks to Save His Career". Pilot News. Archived from the original on January 1, 2011. Retrieved 2010-09-01.
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