Dan Johnson (economist)
Daniel K. N. Johnson | |
|---|---|
| Born | Daniel Kent Neil Johnson c. 1969 (age 54–55) |
| Nationality | Canadian-American |
| Academic career | |
| Institution | Colorado College Wellesley College Harvard University Yale University |
| Field | Economics |
| Alma mater | Yale University (Ph.D. 1998) London School of Economics (M.Sc. 1992) University of Ottawa (B.Soc.Sc. 1991) |
Daniel Kent Neil Johnson (born c. 1969) is a Canadian-American microeconomist and entrepreneur. He is currently an associate professor in the economics department at Colorado College. His most notable research has been in predicting Olympic medals.[1]
Research[edit]
Johnson's Olympic Medals Model uses five variables: country's per-capita income, population, political structure, climate, and host-nation advantage.[2] The model does not take into account athletic abilities of any star Olympians.[3] It has demonstrated 94% accuracy for predicting national medal counts and 87% accuracy for gold medal counts.[4] Since 2000, Johnson's model has become increasingly more accurate at predicting the number of gold medals a country will win, while becoming marginally less accurate at predicting the total number of medals.[5]
Johnson's other work is in microeconomic analysis, with emphasis on business development. He has worked in the areas of commodity analysis, technology growth, and innovation, among others.
Entrepreneurship[edit]
In 2012, Johnson formed BookCheetah, an online textbook trading service. [6]
Selected publications[edit]
- 'Learning-by-Licensing': R & D and Technology Licensing in Brazilian Invention
- A Tale of Two Seasons: Participation and Medal Counts at the Summer and Winter Olympic Games
- Time in Purgatory: Determinants of the Grant Lag for U.S. Patent Applications
- Are Many Heads Better than Two? Recent Changes in International Technological Collaboration
- Selling Ideas: The Determinants of Patent Value in an Auction Environment
- Fueling the Innovative Process: Oil Prices and Induced Innovation in Automotive Energy-Efficient Technology
- Semester, Trimester or Block Plan? Retention of Economics Principles by Undergraduates on Alternative Curricular Structures
- Lending a Hand: A Quantile Regression Analysis of Micro-Lending's Poverty Impact
- Financing Environmental Improvements: A Literature Review of the Constraints on Financing Environmental Innovation
- Thought for Food: A New Dataset on Innovation for Agricultural Use
Selected Awards and Honors[edit]
- Ontario Scholar, 1987
- University of Ottawa Academic Scholar, 1987–91
- University of Ottawa Gold Medal, top standing in Honors Social Sciences, 1991
- Yale Academic Scholar, 1992–96
- International Honor Society in Economics Merit Certificate, 1995
- John F. Enders Research Fellow, 1996
- National Science Foundation Awards for Integration of Research & Education, 1999-2003
- Banco do Brasil / University of Brasilia Economics Prize, 2003
References[edit]
- ^ "The Man Who Predicts the Medals". Forbes.
- ^ Gross, Daniel (2 March 2010). "Why the economic model predicting Olympic medal counts drastically underestimated the U.S. Haul". Slate.
- ^ "Dan Johnson: "The Man Who Predicts Medals" - Colorado College". Archived from the original on 2016-09-21. Retrieved 2012-12-04.
- ^ Futterman, Matthew (13 August 2012). "Our Medal Projections Stick the Landing". Wall Street Journal.
- ^ "The dismal dash". The Economist. 28 July 2012.
- ^ http://www.coloradoconnection.com/news/story.aspx?id=797492#.ULqWK9PjlN0 [dead link]
External links[edit]
| International | |
|---|---|
| National | |
