Irish general election, 2007

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This article is about the general election in the Republic of Ireland. For the assembly election in Northern Ireland, see Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2007.
Irish general election, 2007
Republic of Ireland
2002 ←
members
24 May 2007
TDs elected
→ 2011
members

165 of 166 seats in Dáil Éireann
84 seats were needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
  BertieAhernBerlin2007.jpg EndaKenny2007FineGael2.jpg PatRabbitte.jpg
Leader Bertie Ahern Enda Kenny Pat Rabbitte
Party Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Party
Leader since 19 December 1994 2 June 2002 25 October 2002
Leader's seat Dublin Central Mayo Dublin South–West
Last election 81 seats, 41.5% 31 seats, 22.5% 20 seats, 10.8%
Seats before 78 32 21
Seats won 77 51 20
Seat change Decrease1 Increase19 Decrease 1
Popular vote 858,565 564,428 209,175
Percentage 41.6% 27.3% 10.1%
Swing Increase0.1% Increase4.8% Decrease0.7%

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Trevor Sargent.jpg Gerry Adams 2013.jpg No image.png
Leader Trevor Sargent Gerry Adams Michael McDowell
Party Green Party Sinn Féin Progressive Democrats
Leader since 6 October 2001 13 November 1983 11 September 2006
Leader's seat Dublin North N/A Dublin South–East
(defeated)
Last election 6 seats, 3.8% 5 seats, 6.5% 8 seats, 4.0%
Seats before 6 5 8
Seats won 6 4 2
Seat change Steady 0 Decrease1 Decrease6
Popular vote 96,936 143,410 56,396
Percentage 4.7% 6.9% 2.7%
Swing Increase0.9% Increase0.4% Decrease1.3%

Irish general election 2007.png

Percentage of seats gained by each of the five biggest parties, and number of seats gained by smaller parties and independents.

Taoiseach before election

Bertie Ahern
Fianna Fáil

Subsequent Taoiseach

Bertie Ahern
Fianna Fáil

The Irish general election of 2007 took place on 24 May 2007 after the dissolution of the 29th Dáil by the President on 30 April 2007, at the request of the Taoiseach. The electorate was given the task of choosing the members of the 30th Dáil who met on 14 June 2007 to nominate a Taoiseach and ratify the ministers of the Government of the 30th Dáil. While Fine Gael gained 20 seats, Fianna Fáil remained the largest party. The election was considered a success for Fianna Fáil; however, Fianna Fáil's junior coalition partners in the 29th Dáil, the Progressive Democrats, lost six of their eight seats.

On 12 June 2007, Fianna Fáil and the Green Party reached agreement on a draft Programme for Government, this was subsequently ratified by the Fianna Fáil parliamentary party and Green Party members on 13 June 2007. This resulted in the formation of a coalition government on 14 June 2007 between Fianna Fáil, the Green Party and the Progressive Democrats. The government was initially supported by four Independent TDs.[1]

Election date and system[edit]

On 29 April 2007, President Mary McAleese dissolved the 29th Dáil on the request of the Taoiseach, Bertie Ahern. The election date was officially set as 24 May 2007; the 30th Dáil would convene on 14 June 2007 at which stage the Taoiseach would be nominated and the rest of the Government approved for appointment by the President. Official campaigning began as soon as the announcement had been made.

Current statute requires that the Dáil be dissolved within five years after its first meeting (6 June 2002) following the previous election and the election must take place not later than thirty days after the dissolution.[2]

The Taoiseach extended the life of the 29th Dáil close to a full five years. After the 2002 general election he commented that his prior confirmation of this policy had caused problems in the last year of his government. There was speculation in 2005 that he might have moved to dissolve parliament early in order to catch the opposition off guard, although this did not transpire.

In 2005, in anticipation of the election date, the parties began candidate selections and from mid-2005 some TDs announced their retirement plans.

A statement by Minister of State for Children Brian Lenihan in November 2006 suggested that the election would take place in May 2007, as was the case.[3] In December 2006, Bertie Ahern stated unambiguously that the election would take place in summer 2007.[4]

There was some controversy[5] over which day of the week the election should have been held on, as some opposition parties insisted that a weekend polling day would have made it easier for those studying or working away from home to vote. Ireland's voter registration process presents difficulties for people who live at a second address for part of the week. Previous elections and referendums have been held on Thursdays, Fridays and (in one case) a Wednesday. For the 2007 election, polling day was a Thursday.

The Taoiseach denied that the election was called on Sunday, 29 April 2007 to prevent the Mahon Tribunal recommencing investigations the following day concerning alleged payments to politicians (including Mr. Ahern). Because of the election campaign, the Mahon Tribunal suspended its public hearings on Monday, 30 April 2007 and resumed them four days after the general election on 28 May 2007.[6]

The closing time and date for nominations was 12:00 Irish Summer Time on Wednesday, 9 May 2007.

Polls were open from 07:30 until 22:30 IST. The system of voting was Proportional Representation with a Single Transferable Vote, also known as PR-STV.[7] The general election took place in 43 parliamentary constituencies throughout Ireland for 165 of the 166 Dáil Éireann seats (the Ceann Comhairle is automatically re-elected).[8]

Campaign[edit]

Election posters in Dublin South–East during the campaign

As a result of falling opinion poll ratings for the outgoing government in the months approaching the start of the campaign, the election was one of the more closely fought in decades, with the outcome being very uncertain.

This election was fought as a contest for Taoiseach between the outgoing Fianna FáilProgressive Democrats coalition and the "Alliance for Change"; a proposed Fine GaelLabour Party coalition. Opinion polls did not show either option as being certain, and other possibilities include Fianna Fáil-led coalition with other parties, or Fine Gael and the Labour Party with the Green Party. Fine Gael and the Labour Party had an agreed transfer pact. The Green Party was non-aligned but made statements favouring a change from the outgoing Government. All parties, with the exception of the Green Party, claimed that they would not include Sinn Féin in a new Government.

Due to the run-up of the Dáil to the maximum allowable life-span, it was clear to all parties that the election would be held early summer 2007 and all parties held "conferences" during the spring to announce policies. At this time Fine Gael launched a "Contract for a Better Ireland" which was a centrepiece of their campaign. The early conferences led to the campaign being described as one of the longest in recent times. The campaign officially kicked off on the dissolution of the Dáil and the manner of this dissolution, done early on a Sunday morning, led to speculation about the reason for this during the first week of the campaign. The leaking and publication just before the election was called, of evidence about personal finance transactions in December 1994 given to the Mahon Tribunal by the Taoiseach Bertie Ahern led to the first two weeks of the campaign being dominated by questions about his fitness to serve as Taoiseach, and required the Progressive Democrats to decide if they would pull out of Government before the election was held, but they decided to remain. The Tribunal itself decided to postpone sittings during the campaign.

Following a statement by the Taoiseach, the remainder of the campaign concentrated on the traditional issues of health, education, crime and the economy, with debate centring on the ability of the various parties to deliver on the various totals of hospital beds, Gardaí and pupil-teacher ratios they were promising. Prime Time hosted a debate among the potential candidates for Tánaiste and a separate debate between Ahern and Enda Kenny coverage of which concentrated on Kenny's ability to serve as Taoiseach given his lack of experience. Fianna Fáil Ministers Dick Roche and Martin Cullen were given little exposure on the national media during the campaign, but Finance minister Brian Cowen engaged in some robust exchanges towards the end of the campaign was reported to have been an asset to the party.

Opinion polls during the early stages of the campaign showed the Alliance for Change gaining on the Government and the likelihood of Kenny becoming Taoiseach increased, with some commentators predicting that Fianna Fáil would return with only 65 seats. In the last week of the campaign, following the leaders debate, an Irish Times/MRBI poll showed a recovery for Fianna Fáil to 41% which was replicated on polling day.

Constituency changes[edit]

See Parliamentary constituencies in the Republic of Ireland and Electoral (Amendment) Act 2005 for full details of the constituencies for the 30th Dáil.

The preliminary findings from the 2006 Census of Population disclosed that the population of Dublin West, Dublin North and Meath East could have prompted further revisions.[9] The advice of the Attorney-General was sought by the Minister for the Environment, Heritage and Local Government. It was decided to make no further constituency revisions before the election. Two outgoing deputies, however, challenged this decision in the High Court. The election went ahead while the parties awaited the High Court's reserved judgment in this action.[10]

Overview[edit]

The general election result was significant for a number of reasons:

  • The election was considered a success for Fianna Fáil. It returned with a total of 78 seats, three fewer than it won at the previous general election, despite predictions earlier in the campaign that it could lose more than 20 seats.[11]
  • A resurgence in Fine Gael support, which saw the main opposition party increase from 32 to 51 seats.
  • A sharp drop in support for the Progressive Democrats, which saw their seats drop from 8 to 2, including the loss of party leader, Tánaiste and Minister for Justice, Equality and Law Reform Michael McDowell.
  • The failure of the Labour Party to increase its seat total and had a net loss of 1 seat.
  • The failure of the smaller opposition parties to increase their support:
  • The reduction in the number of independent (non-party) TDs to 5 from 14 in the previous general election.

The 2007 election results saw Fine Gael win seats at the expense of the smaller parties and independents. The proportion of votes only increased significantly for Fine Gael, and increased slightly for both the Green Party and Sinn Féin, despite their disappointing seat totals. Negotiations began the following week for the formation of the new government, with Bertie Ahern stating that his preferred option was for a coalition of Fianna Fáil, the Progressive Democrats and like-minded independents. The Fine Gael leader, Enda Kenny, did not rule out forming an alternative government, stating that he would talk to all parties except Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin.[12] The election for Taoiseach took place in the Dáil on 14 June 2007 with Bertie Ahern becoming Taoiseach again.

Result[edit]

Party Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Party Green Party Sinn Féin Progressive Democrats
Leader Bertie Ahern Enda Kenny Pat Rabbitte Trevor Sargent Gerry Adams Michael McDowell
Votes 41.56%, 858,565 27.32%, 564,428 10.13%, 209,175 4.69%, 96,936 6.94%, 143,410 2.73%, 56,396
Seats 77 (46.6%) 51 (30.9%) 20 (12.1%) 6 (3.6%) 4 (2.4%) 2 (1.2%)
77 / 166
51 / 166
20 / 166
6 / 166
4 / 166
2 / 166
77 51 20 17
Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Party Others



Circle frame.svg

Vote Share of different parties in the election.

  Fianna Fáil (41.6%)
  Fine Gael (27.3%)
  Labour Party (10.1%)
  Sinn Féin (6.9%)
  Green Party (4.7%)
  Other (6.7%)
30th Irish general election – 24 May 2007[13]
Party Leader Seats ±  % of
seats
First Pref
votes
 % FPv ±%
Fianna Fáil Bertie Ahern 77 −4 46.6 858,565 41.56 +0.1
Fine Gael Enda Kenny 51 +20 30.9 564,428 27.32 +4.8
Labour Party Pat Rabbitte 20 ±0 12.1 209,175 10.13 −0.7
Green Party Trevor Sargent 6 ±0 3.6 96,936 4.69 +0.9
Sinn Féin Gerry Adams 4 −1 2.4 143,410 6.94 +0.4
Progressive Democrats Michael McDowell 2 −6 1.2 56,396 2.73 −1.3
Socialist Party Joe Higgins 0 −1 0 13,218 0.64 −0.2
People Before Profit N/A 0 N/A 0 9,333 0.45 N/A
Workers' Party Seán Garland 0 ±0 0 3,026 0.15 N/A
Christian Solidarity Cathal Loftus 0 ±0 0 1,705 0.08 N/A
Fathers Rights Liam Ó Gógáin 0 N/A 0 1,355 0.07 N/A
Immigration Control Áine Ní Chonaill 0 N/A 0 1,329 0.06 N/A
Irish Socialist Network N/A 0 N/A 0 505 0.02 N/A
Independent N/A 5 −8 3.0 106,429 5.15 −3.8
Ceann Comhairle N/A 1 N/A 0.6 N/A N/A N/A
Spoilt votes 19,435
Total 166 0 100 2,085,245 100
Electorate/Turnout 3,110,914 67.0%

The Ceann Comhairle is a Fianna Fáil member.

The Fathers Rights-Responsibility Party, Immigration Control Platform and Irish Socialist Network were not registered as political parties, so their candidates appeared on ballot papers as "Non-Party". The People Before Profit Alliance registered as a political party after the deadline for their party name to appear on ballot papers, so their candidates also appeared as "Non-Party".[14]

Turnout[edit]

The total Irish electorate registered as eligible to vote as of 24 February 2007 was 3,110,914.[15] As 2,085,245 first preference votes and invalid votes were cast in the general election this equates to a voter turnout of 67.03%.

Dáil membership changes[edit]

The following changes took place as a result of the election:

  • 19 outgoing TDs retired
  • 146 outgoing TDs stood for re-election (plus Rory O'Hanlon – the Ceann Comhairle who was automatically returned)
    • 116 of those were re-elected
    • 30 failed to be re-elected
  • 49 successor TDs were elected
  • There were 8 successor female TDs, decreasing the total by 1 to 22
  • There were changes in 36 of the 43 constituencies contested

Outgoing TDs are listed in the constituency they represented in the outgoing Dáil. For Batt O'Keeffe and possibly others, this differs from the constituency they contested in the election. O'Keeffe, who was elected in his largely new constituency of Cork North–West, is listed both as a departing TD from his old constituency of Cork South–Central and a successor TD from Cork North–West. Where more than one change took place in a constituency the concept of successor is an approximation for presentation only.

Constituency Departing TD Party Change Comment Successor TD Party
Carlow–Kilkenny Liam Aylward Fianna Fáil Retired Elected as an MEP Bobby Aylward Fianna Fáil
Séamus Pattison[16] Labour Party Retired Mary White Green Party
Cavan–Monaghan Paudge Connolly Independent Lost seat Margaret Conlon Fianna Fáil
Clare James Breen Independent Lost seat Joe Carey Fine Gael
Síle de Valera[17] Fianna Fáil Retired Timmy Dooley Fianna Fáil
Cork East Joe Sherlock[16] Labour Party Retired Seán Sherlock Labour Party
Cork North–Central Dan Wallace Fianna Fáil Retired Seat eliminated
Cork North–West Donal Moynihan Fianna Fáil Lost seat Batt O'Keeffe Fianna Fáil
Gerard Murphy Fine Gael Lost seat *Michael Creed Fine Gael
Cork South–Central Dan Boyle Green Party Lost seat Ciarán Lynch Labour Party
John Dennehy Fianna Fáil Lost seat *Deirdre Clune Fine Gael
Batt O'Keeffe Fianna Fáil Moved Ran instead in Cork NW Michael McGrath Fianna Fáil
Cork South–West Denis O'Donovan Fianna Fáil Lost seat *P. J. Sheehan Fine Gael
Joe Walsh Fianna Fáil Retired Christy O'Sullivan Fianna Fáil
Donegal North–East Cecilia Keaveney Fianna Fáil Lost seat Joe McHugh Fine Gael
Donegal South–West No membership changes
Dublin Central Dermot Fitzpatrick Fianna Fáil Retired Cyprian Brady Fianna Fáil
Dublin Mid–West Seat added Joanna Tuffy Labour Party
Dublin North Jim Glennon[18] Fianna Fáil Retired Michael Kennedy Fianna Fáil
Seán Ryan[16] Labour Party Retired James Reilly Fine Gael
G. V. Wright[19] Fianna Fáil Retired Darragh O'Brien Fianna Fáil
Dublin North–Central Ivor Callely Fianna Fáil Lost seat Seat eliminated
Dublin North–East Martin Brady Fianna Fáil Lost seat Terence Flanagan Fine Gael
Dublin North–West No membership changes
Dublin South Liz O'Donnell Progressive Democrats Lost seat *Alan Shatter Fine Gael
Dublin South–Central Gay Mitchell[20] Fine Gael Retired Elected as an MEP Catherine Byrne Fine Gael
Dublin South–East Michael McDowell Progressive Democrats Lost seat Lucinda Creighton Fine Gael
Eoin Ryan Fianna Fáil Retired Elected as an MEP Chris Andrews Fianna Fáil
Dublin South–West Seán Crowe Sinn Féin Lost seat *†Brian Hayes Fine Gael
Dublin West Joe Higgins Socialist Party Lost seat Leo Varadkar Fine Gael
Dún Laoghaire Fiona O'Malley Progressive Democrats Lost seat *Seán Barrett Fine Gael
Galway East Joe Callanan Fianna Fáil Lost seat *†Michael Kitt Fianna Fáil
Paddy McHugh Independent Lost seat *†Ulick Burke Fine Gael
Galway West No membership changes
Kerry North No membership changes
Kerry South Breeda Moynihan-Cronin Labour Party Lost seat Tom Sheahan Fine Gael
Kildare North Catherine Murphy Independent Lost seat Áine Brady Fianna Fáil
Seat added Michael Fitzpatrick Fianna Fáil
Kildare South No membership changes
Laois–Offaly Tom Parlon Progressive Democrats Lost seat *Charles Flanagan Fine Gael
Limerick East Tim O'Malley Progressive Democrats Lost seat Kieran O'Donnell Fine Gael
Limerick West Michael Collins Fianna Fáil Retired Niall Collins Fianna Fáil
Longford–Westmeath Donie Cassidy Fianna Fáil Lost seat *†Mary O'Rourke Fianna Fáil
Paul McGrath Fine Gael Retired James Bannon Fine Gael
Mae Sexton Progressive Democrats Lost seat Seat eliminated
Louth No membership changes
Mayo John Carty Fianna Fáil Lost seat Dara Calleary Fianna Fáil
Jerry Cowley Independent Lost seat John O'Mahony Fine Gael
Meath East Seat added Thomas Byrne Fianna Fáil
Meath West No membership changes
Roscommon–South Leitrim John Ellis Fianna Fáil Lost seat Frank Feighan Fine Gael
Sligo–North Leitrim Marian Harkin Independent Retired Elected as an MEP Eamon Scanlon Fianna Fáil
Tipperary North Michael Smith Fianna Fáil Lost seat Noel Coonan Fine Gael
Tipperary South Noel Davern[21] Fianna Fáil Retired Mattie McGrath Fianna Fáil
Séamus Healy Independent Lost seat Martin Mansergh Fianna Fáil
Waterford Ollie Wilkinson Fianna Fáil Lost seat *†Brendan Kenneally Fianna Fáil
Wexford Tony Dempsey Fianna Fáil Retired Seán Connick Fianna Fáil
Liam Twomey Fine Gael Lost seat Michael W. D'Arcy Fine Gael
Wicklow Mildred Fox[20] Independent Retired Andrew Doyle Fine Gael
Joe Jacob[22] Fianna Fáil Retired Joe Behan Fianna Fáil

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Greens and PDs to make Ahern Taoiseach again". The Irish Times. 14 June 2007. 
  2. ^ Article 16.5 of the Constitution of Ireland states that the Dáil may sit for a period of up to seven years from its first meeting. It also allows a shorter period to be fixed by law; this is currently fixed at five years.
  3. ^ "Referendum to come before election: Lenihan". RTÉ News. 19 November 2006. 
  4. ^ "Taoiseach says election set for summer". RTÉ News. 21 December 2006. 
  5. ^ "Should general elections be held at weekends?". The Irish Times. 2007. 
  6. ^ "Ahern denies 'prior knowledge'". RTÉ News. 30 April 2007. 
  7. ^ "Proportional Representation". Irish Citizens Information Board. 
  8. ^ Article 16.6 of the constitution requires that "provision shall be made by law" such that the Ceann Comhairle "be deemed without any actual election to be elected a member of Dáil Éireann". The current law making such provision is the Electoral Act, 1992.
  9. ^ "Preliminary Census report 2006". Central Statistics Office. July 2006. 
  10. ^ "Constituencies Constitutional Challenge". McGarr Solicitors. 7 June 2007. 
  11. ^ Sheahan, Fionnan (15 May 2007). "FF in a nosedive". Irish Independent. 
  12. ^ "Ahern's preferred option is PD deal plus Independents". The Irish Times. 28 May 2007. 
  13. ^ "30th Dáil general election May, 2007 – Election Results and Transfer of Votes". Houses of the Oireachtas. Retrieved 10 March 2009. 
  14. ^ "Small groups seek to end large parties' dominance". The Irish Times. 19 May 2007. 
  15. ^ "Oireachtas Electoral Handbook, p. 58". Oireachtas Éireann. 
  16. ^ a b c "Country's longest serving TD to retire from politics". Irish Independent. 22 September 2005. 
  17. ^ "Sile de Valera to step down as Minister for State today". Irish Independent. 8 December 2006. 
  18. ^ "Setback for FF as Glennon quits Dáil". Irish Independent. 16 October 2006. 
  19. ^ "Glennon poll boost as GV Wright opts out of next election". Irish Independent. 17 January 2006. 
  20. ^ a b "Fox & Mitchell not standing in election". RTÉ News. 24 November 2006. 
  21. ^ "The four who could scupper Bertie's date with destiny". Irish Independent. 7 January 2006. 
  22. ^ "Fine Gael and Independent TDs opt out of running in next election". Irish Independent. 25 November 2006. 

External links[edit]

Campaign
Results