United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho, 2010

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United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho, 2010
Idaho
2008 ←
November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)
→ 2012

All 2 Idaho seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 1 1
Seats won 2 0
Seat change Increase 1 Decrease 1
2010 election results by district

The 2010 congressional elections in Idaho were held on November 2, 2010, and determined who would represent the state of Idaho in the United States House of Representatives. Idaho has two seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States Census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the winners served in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011 until January 3, 2013.

Overview[edit]

United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho, 2010[1]
Party Votes Percentage Seats +/–
Republican 263,699 58.97% 2 +1
Democratic 150,884 33.74% 0 -1
Independents 27,865 6.23% 0
Libertarian 4,696 1.05% 0 -
Totals 447,144 100.00% 2

District 1[edit]

Id01 109.gif

Overview[edit]

In this heavily conservative[2] district that consists of western Idaho and the Idaho Panhandle, incumbent Democratic Congressman Walt Minnick was seen as vulnerable,[3] especially considering the fact that he won in 2008 against an embattled, weakened incumbent. Minnick, however, worked to build a profile as a moderate-to-conservative Democrat, voting against the 2009 Stimulus,[4] the health care reform bill,[5] and the American Clean Energy and Security Act,[6] Furthermore, Congressman Minnick was the only Democrat to receive a perfect score from the Club for Growth, typically an organization that supports conservative Republican candidates for office.[7]

Republican primary[edit]

Several Republican candidates, including Iraq War veteran Vaughn Ward, State Representatives Raúl Labrador and Ken Roberts, and physician Allan Salzberg, ran for the Republican nomination to challenge Minnick. Roberts eventually dropped out, as did Salzberg; both former candidates endorsed Labrador.[8] Vaughn Ward's campaign received coverage from as far away as Great Britain[9] as Sarah Palin came to Idaho endorse Ward, who was one of the National Republican Congressional Committee's Young Guns.[10] Critics seized on various troubles with the campaign, including multiple instances of plagiarism,[11] Ward's failure to vote in the 2008 presidential elections[12] and his referral to Puerto Rico as a "country."[13] Ultimately, despite the fact that many prominent conservatives had lined up behind Ward, Labrador triumphed in a contentious primary election.

Republican primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Raúl Labrador 38,711 47.6%
Republican Vaughn Ward 31,582 38.9%
Republican Michael Chadwick 5,356 6.6%
Republican Harley Brown 3,168 3.9%
Republican Allan Salzberg 2,471 3.0%
Totals 81,288 100%

General election[edit]

A contentious general election ensued, with both Minnick and Labrador launching aggressive campaign ads against each other. When Labrador accused the Congressman of supporting a middle class tax increase in a television ad, controversy quickly ensued; Idaho Public Television threatened to pull the ad for its inaccuracy and critics accused Labrador of taking Minnick's remarks out of context.[15] When Minnick aired an ad, Labrador attacked it for including pictures that made him "look like an illegal immigrant." [16] Minnick strongly stressed his independent credentials; his claims were seemingly validated when the Tea Party Express, the largest group affiliated with the broader movement, endorsed his campaign for re-election.[17] Going into election night, polling indicated Minnick with a lead over Labrador, but after the votes were tallied, Labrador defeated Minnick by a solid margin in a surprising upset.

Polling[edit]

Poll Source Dates Administered Walt Minnick (D) Raúl R. Labrador (R) Undecided
Greg Smith & Associates October 28–30, 2010 48% 38% -
Mason-Dixon October 20–22, 2010 44% 41% -
Moore Information October 5–6, 2010 37% 31% -
Mason-Dixon September 13–15, 2010 46% 36% -
Qualtrics September 1–9, 2010 59.8% 29.6% -
GS Strategy Group July 29, 2010 52% 29% -
Moore Information July 12–13, 2010 37% 27% 26%
Greg Smith & Associates June 7–8, 2010 29% 40% -

Results[edit]

Idaho's 1st congressional district election, 2010[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Raúl Labrador 126,231 51.02%
Democratic Walt Minnick (inc.) 102,135 41.28%
Independent Dave Olson 14,365 5.81%
Libertarian Mike Washburn 4,696 1.90%
Totals 247,427 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

District 2[edit]

Id02 109.gif

Campaign[edit]

This conservative[2] district, based in eastern Idaho and the Magic Valley region of Idaho, has been represented by incumbent Republican Congressman Mike Simpson since he was first elected in 1998. Simpson did not face a serious challenge in his bid for a seventh term from Democratic candidate Mike Crawford or independent candidate Brian Schad and was re-elected by a large margin on election day.

Results[edit]

Idaho's 2nd congressional district election, 2010[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Simpson (inc.) 137,468 68.83%
Democratic Mike Crawford 48,749 24.41%
Independent Brian Schad 13,500 6.76%
Totals 199,717 100.00%
Republican hold

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2010election.pdf
  2. ^ a b "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 111th Congress." The Cook Political Report. N.p., n.d. Web. 19 June 2011. <http://www.cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/pvistate.pdf>.
  3. ^ http://www.spokesman.com/blogs/hbo/2009/nov/02/minnick-makes-vulnerable-top-10/
  4. ^ http://washingtonexaminer.com/editorials/2009/02/blue-dog-nips-obama-better-stimulus-idea
  5. ^ FINAL VOTE RESULTS FOR ROLL CALL 887 (Affordable Health Care for America Act) House.gov
  6. ^ FINAL VOTE RESULTS FOR ROLL CALL 477 (American Clean Energy and Security Act) House.gov
  7. ^ Cadei, Emily. Minnick Earns Perfect Score on 'RePork Card' CQ Politics. 13 August 2009.
  8. ^ Hurst, Dustin. "Labrador receives another endorsement from a former congressional foe". Idaho Reporter. 
  9. ^ Adams, Richard (May 25, 2010). "Vaughn Ward: the dumb and paste Republican candidate". The Guardian (London). 
  10. ^ Berman, Russell (May 18, 2010). "Republican favorite losing ground in Idaho primary". The Hill. 
  11. ^ Neuman, Johanna (May 25, 2010). "Idaho Republican endorsed by Sarah Palin plagiarizes Obama's 'a brighter day will come' speech. Ouch.". Los Angeles Times (Los Angeles). Retrieved 2010-05-27. 
  12. ^ Popkey, Dan; Bonner, Jessie (May 14, 2010). "Vaughn Ward didn't vote in 2008". Idaho Statesman. 
  13. ^ Deshais, Nicholas (May 25, 2010). "Ward goes national". The Pacific Northwest Inlander. 
  14. ^ "May 25, 2010 Primary Election Results". Secretary of State of Idaho. Retrieved November 24, 2013. 
  15. ^ http://www.idahostatesman.com/2010/10/22/1388442/labrador-ad-takes-remark-by-minnick.html
  16. ^ http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/10/15/in-idaho-debate-raul-labrador-lands-punches-as-walt-minnick-def/
  17. ^ Stein, Sam (April 15, 2010). "Walt Minnick Tea Party Endorsement: Minnick Campaign Accepts". Huffington Post. 

External links[edit]