United States Senate election in Missouri, 2010

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United States Senate election in Missouri, 2010
Missouri
2004 ←
November 2, 2010
→ 2016

  Roy Blunt, Official Portrait, 112th Congress.jpg SOS Robin Carnahan.jpg
Nominee Roy Blunt Robin Carnahan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,054,160 789,736
Percentage 54.2% 40.6%

Missouri Senatorial Election Results by County, 2010.svg

County results

U.S. Senator before election

Kit Bond
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Roy Blunt
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate election in Missouri occurred on November 2, 2010 alongside 36 other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on August 3, 2010. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Kit Bond decided to retire instead of seeking a fifth term. Republican nominee Roy Blunt won the open seat.[1]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Robin Carnahan 266,349 83.9%
Democratic Richard Charles Tolbert 33,731 10.6%
Democratic Francis Vangeli 17,511 5.5%
Totals 317,591 100%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Dates administered Roy Blunt Chuck Purgason Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 27–28, 2010 48% 18% 34%
Public Policy Polling November 13–15, 2009 53% 16% 31%

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Roy Blunt 411,040 70.9%
Republican Chuck Purgason 75,663 13.1%
Republican Kristi Nichols 40,744 7.0%
Republican Deborah Solomon 15,099 2.6%
Republican Hector Maldonado 8,731 1.5%
Republican Davis Conway 8,525 1.5%
Republican R.L. Praprotnik 8,047 1.4%
Republican Tony Laszacs 6,309 1.1%
Republican Mike Vontz 5,190 0.9%
Totals 579,348 100%

Other primaries[edit]

Constitution[edit]

  • Jerry Beck
  • Joe Martellaro
  • Mike Simmons
Constitution Party primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Constitution Jerry Beck 819 43.5%
Constitution Mike Simmons 554 29.4%
Constitution Joe Martello 511 27.1%
Totals 1,884 100%

Libertarian[edit]

  • Jonathan Dine
  • Cisse Spragins
Libertarian primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jonathan Dine 2,069 58.6%
Libertarian Cisse Spragins 1,460 41.4%
Totals 3,529 100%

General election[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Carnahan and national Democrats have heavily criticized Blunt for his support of bailouts, calling him "Bailout Blunt."[3] Blunt has criticized her for supporting President Obama's stimulus package, the cap-and-trade energy bill, and the health care reform bill.[4]

Carnahan has been endorsed by the Kansas City Star,[5] the St. Louis Post-Dispatch,[6] and the St. Louis American.[7]

Blunt has been endorsed by the Quincy Herald-Whig[8] and the St. Joseph News-Press.[9]

Debates[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Leans R[13] October 25, 2010
Rothenberg Lean R[14] October 22, 2010
Swing State Project Leans R[citation needed]
RealClearPolitics Likely R[15] October 25, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely R[16] October 21, 2010
CQ Politics Leans R[17] October 25, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Safe R[13] October 25, 2010

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Roy Blunt (R) Robin Carnahan (D) Other Undecided
KSN3/Missouri State University October 20–27, 2010 821 ± 3.8% 54% 41% 3% 2%
Mason-Dixon October 18–20, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 49% 40% 3% 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 19, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 52% 43% 4% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 17–18, 2010 646 ± 3.9% 46% 41% 6% 7%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 16, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 49% 43% 5% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 5, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 51% 43% 3% 2%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 1–5, 2010 1,398 ± 2.5% 53% 40% 4% ––
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 2, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 50% 42% 5% 3%
Rasmussen Reports September 21, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 52% 44% 2% 3%
Rasmussen Reports September 7, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 53% 43% 2% 2%
Rasmussen Reports August 23, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 51% 40% 5% 4%
Public Policy Polling August 14–15, 2010 –– ± 3.73% 45% 38% 8% 9%
Rasmussen Reports August 10, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 50% 43% 3% 4%
Rasmussen Reports July 27, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 49% 43% 4% 4%
Mason Dixon July 19–21, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 48% 42% –– 10%
Rasmussen Reports July 13, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 47% 45% 2% 6%
Rasmussen Reports June 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 43% 3% 6%
Rasmussen Reports June 2, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 44% 4% 6%
Rasmussen Reports May 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 50% 42% 4% 4%
Rasmussen Reports April 6, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 42% 3% 7%
Public Policy Polling March 27–28, 2010 495 ± 4.4% 45% 41% –– 13%
Rasmussen Reports March 9, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 41% 4% 8%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 42% 3% 6%
Rasmussen Reports January 19, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 43% 3% 5%
YouGovPolimetrix January 6–11, 2010 500 –– 39% 43% –– 19%
Rasmussen Reports December 15, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 44% 46% 4% 6%
Public Policy Polling November 13–15, 2009 763 ± 3.6% 42% 43% –– 15%
Rasmussen Reports September 21, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 46% 46% 2% 5%
Momentum Analysis (D) September 19, 2009 802 ± 3.5% 45% 48% –– 7%
Democracy Corps (D) April 28–30, 2009 800 ± 3.5% 44% 53% –– 3%
Wilson Strategies (R) March 7–9, 2009 600 ± 4.0% 44% 47% –– 9%
Public Policy Polling January 10–11, 2009 867 ± 3.3% 44% 45% –– 11%

Fundraising[edit]

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Roy Blunt (R) $8,203,670 $4,537,049 $4,003,030 $0
Robin Carnahan (D) $7,297,929 $3,658,278 $3,639,651 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[18]

Results[edit]

United States Senate election in Missouri, 2010[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Roy Blunt 1,054,160 54.23% -1.86%
Democratic Robin Carnahan 789,736 40.63% -2.17%
Libertarian Jonathan Dine 58,663 3.02% +2.29%
Constitution Jerry Beck 41,309 2.13% +1.74%
Majority 264,424 13.60%
Total votes 1,943,868 100%
Republican hold Swing

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Missouri election results 2010: Robin Carnahan defeated by Roy Blunt, Washington Post, 2 November 2010
  2. ^ a b c d "Missouri Senate Primary results". Missouri SOS. August 3, 2010. Retrieved August 3, 2010. 
  3. ^ Congressman 'Bailout' Blunt Tries to Redefine His Role in the $700 Billion Bailout | Fired Up! Missouri
  4. ^ Blunt's 2nd ad attacks Carnahan on Obama event
  5. ^ Recommendations for Missouri’s top races, editorial board, Kansas City Star, October 24, 2010
  6. ^ Carnahan for Senate: Part of the solution, not the problem, editorial board, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, October 22, 2010
  7. ^ American endorses Robin Carnahan and Barbara Fraser, editorial board, St. Louis American, October 21, 2010
  8. ^ Roy Blunt for Senate
  9. ^ Roy Blunt for Senate
  10. ^ [1][dead link]
  11. ^ Senate candidate heavyweights debate at lake - Camdenton, MO - Serving Missouri's Lake of the Ozarks region including Osage Beach, Camdenton, Lake Ozark, Eldon and Sunrise Bea...
  12. ^ Blunt and Carnahan Fire Up Supporters - KTVI
  13. ^ a b "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 25, 2010. 
  14. ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 25, 2010. 
  15. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 25, 2010. 
  16. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 25, 2010. 
  17. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 25, 2010. 
  18. ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Missouri". fec.gov. Retrieved August 19, 2010. 
  19. ^ http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/statewideresults.asp?eid=300

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites