User:Ixfd64/predictions: Difference between revisions
New Horizons |
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The [[:de:|German Wikipedia]] reaches its millionth article, which will be about a musical group. It is the first non-English Wikipedia to reach one million articles. |
The [[:de:|German Wikipedia]] reaches its millionth article, which will be about a musical group. It is the first non-English Wikipedia to reach one million articles. |
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=== February 8, 2010 === |
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==== The 48th [[Mersenne prime]] is discovered ==== |
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The [[Great Internet Mersenne Prime Search]] discovers the 48th Mersenne prime, which will be around 15 million digits long. |
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=== April 17, 2011 === |
=== April 17, 2011 === |
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==== The English Wikipedia reaches ten million articles ==== |
==== The English Wikipedia reaches ten million articles ==== |
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The English Wikipedia |
The English Wikipedia reaches its ten millionth article, which will be about a chemical compound produced by a certain type of insect. The Wikimedia Foundation hosts a commemorative social event, complete with a dinner and dance. The majority of proceeds from the ticket sales go towards improving the Wikimedia projects, with the remainder going to a charity chosen by the Wikimedia community. |
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=== April 12, 2015 === |
=== April 12, 2015 === |
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==== [[New Horizons]] reaches Pluto ==== |
==== [[New Horizons]] reaches Pluto ==== |
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NASA's New Horizons probe reaches the dwarf planet [[Pluto]]. NASA releases about 1,500 images of Pluto, making Wikimedia Commons users really happy. |
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=== c. 2017 === |
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==== Bots can now detect 25% of vandalism ==== |
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Due to advancing [[artificial intelligence|AI]], more open source AI engines become available. [[Wikipedia:Bots|Wikipedia bots]] can now detect about 25% of all vandalism. |
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=== February 13, 2018 === |
=== February 13, 2018 === |
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As part of the [[Constellation program]], the United States sends astronauts on the first manned mission to the Moon since the [[Apollo program]] over 50 years ago. Due to the ease of accessing information nowadays, the Wikipedia article for this mission is much longer than that of any Apollo mission. |
As part of the [[Constellation program]], the United States sends astronauts on the first manned mission to the Moon since the [[Apollo program]] over 50 years ago. Due to the ease of accessing information nowadays, the Wikipedia article for this mission is much longer than that of any Apollo mission. |
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=== August 26, 2019 === |
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==== The English Wikipedia reaches 20 million articles ==== |
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The English Wikipedia reach its 20 millionth article, which will be about a video game character. |
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=== c. 2030 === |
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==== Bots can now detect 50% of vandalism ==== |
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Due to the large amount AI research over the last two decades, robots can now perform a large number of human tasks. As for Wikipedia, bots can now detect around 50% of all vandalism. |
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=== February 14, 2035 === |
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==== First [[manned mission to Mars]] ==== |
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After decades of planning, the first manned mission to [[Mars]] is underway. Due to the enormous costs involved, the mission is a joint international effort headed by [[NASA]] and the [[European Space Agency|ESA]]. Due to the launch date of the mission, it is informally called the ''Valentine's Day Mission'' and ''Cupid's Flight''. |
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The mission is originally planned for 2031, but is delayed to lack of funding. |
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NASA releases about 200,000 photographs, about 50,000 of which are uploaded to Wikimedia Commons. |
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=== c. 2056 === |
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==== Bots can now detect 99% of vandalism ==== |
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[[Moore's law]] still holds true, and AI has almost reached the level of human intelligence.<ref>http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2050-2059.htm#2052</ref> Human [[Wikipedia:Recent changes patrol|RC patrolling]] is rarely needed now, and even [[Wikipedia:Huggle|Huggle]] has a "bot mode" that can run without human intervention. However, it will still be many decades before AI fully reaches human sentience. |
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== References == |
== References == |
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Revision as of 07:50, 23 November 2009
This is a speculative timeline of the future. These semi-serious predictions are based on current trends, and a large number of such predictions are related to Wikipedia, dealing with things like community issues, policies, milestones and software advances.
January 7, 2010
The German Wikipedia reaches one million articles
The German Wikipedia reaches its millionth article, which will be about a musical group. It is the first non-English Wikipedia to reach one million articles.
February 8, 2010
The 48th Mersenne prime is discovered
The Great Internet Mersenne Prime Search discovers the 48th Mersenne prime, which will be around 15 million digits long.
April 17, 2011
The English Wikipedia reaches five million articles
The English Wikipedia will reach its five millionth article, which will be about a species of fish.
January 29, 2014
The English Wikipedia reaches ten million articles
The English Wikipedia reaches its ten millionth article, which will be about a chemical compound produced by a certain type of insect. The Wikimedia Foundation hosts a commemorative social event, complete with a dinner and dance. The majority of proceeds from the ticket sales go towards improving the Wikimedia projects, with the remainder going to a charity chosen by the Wikimedia community.
April 12, 2015
New Horizons reaches Pluto
NASA's New Horizons probe reaches the dwarf planet Pluto. NASA releases about 1,500 images of Pluto, making Wikimedia Commons users really happy.
c. 2017
Bots can now detect 25% of vandalism
Due to advancing AI, more open source AI engines become available. Wikipedia bots can now detect about 25% of all vandalism.
February 13, 2018
Eta Carinae goes supernova
Eta Carinae has already gone supernova. The light from the supernova reaches Earth on this day, and the event will be called SN 2018cf. This causes widespread panic that lasts for a few days. The Wikipedia article for this event instantly becomes one of the most popular.
June 10, 2019
Astronauts return to the Moon
As part of the Constellation program, the United States sends astronauts on the first manned mission to the Moon since the Apollo program over 50 years ago. Due to the ease of accessing information nowadays, the Wikipedia article for this mission is much longer than that of any Apollo mission.
August 26, 2019
The English Wikipedia reaches 20 million articles
The English Wikipedia reach its 20 millionth article, which will be about a video game character.
c. 2030
Bots can now detect 50% of vandalism
Due to the large amount AI research over the last two decades, robots can now perform a large number of human tasks. As for Wikipedia, bots can now detect around 50% of all vandalism.
February 14, 2035
First manned mission to Mars
After decades of planning, the first manned mission to Mars is underway. Due to the enormous costs involved, the mission is a joint international effort headed by NASA and the ESA. Due to the launch date of the mission, it is informally called the Valentine's Day Mission and Cupid's Flight.
The mission is originally planned for 2031, but is delayed to lack of funding.
NASA releases about 200,000 photographs, about 50,000 of which are uploaded to Wikimedia Commons.
c. 2056
Bots can now detect 99% of vandalism
Moore's law still holds true, and AI has almost reached the level of human intelligence.[1] Human RC patrolling is rarely needed now, and even Huggle has a "bot mode" that can run without human intervention. However, it will still be many decades before AI fully reaches human sentience.