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2008 Atlantic hurricane season

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2008 Atlantic hurricane season
Seasonal boundaries
First system formedMay 31, 2008
Last system dissipatedSeason currently active
Strongest storm
NameArthur
 • Maximum winds40 mph (65 km/h)
 • Lowest pressure1005 mbar (hPa; 29.68 inHg)
Seasonal statistics
Total depressions1
Total storms1
HurricanesNone
Major hurricanes
(Cat. 3+)
None
Total fatalities9 direct
Total damage$26.5 million (2008 USD)
Atlantic hurricane seasons
2005 2006 2007 2008 Post-2008

The 2008 Atlantic hurricane season is an ongoing event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation. The season officially started on June 1 and will run through November 30. These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin, though the season began slightly early when Tropical Storm Arthur formed off the coast of Belize on May 31.

Seasonal forecasts

Predictions of tropical activity in the 2008 season
Source Date Named
storms
Hurricanes Major
hurricanes
CSU Average (1950–2000)[1] 9.6 5.9 2.3
NOAA Average (1950–2005)[2] 11.0 6.2 2.7
Record high activity 28 15 8
Record low activity 4 2 0
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
CSU December 7, 2007 13 7 3
CSU April 9, 2008 15 8 4
NOAA May 22, 2008 12–16 6–9 2–5
CSU June 3, 2008 15 8 4
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
Actual activity 1 0 0

Forecasts of hurricane activity are issued before each hurricane season by noted hurricane experts Dr. Philip J. Klotzbach, Dr. William M. Gray, and their associates at Colorado State University; and separately by NOAA forecasters.

Dr. Klotzbach's team (formerly led by Dr. Gray) defined the average number of storms per season (1950 to 2000) as 9.6 tropical storms, 5.9 hurricanes, and 2.3 major hurricanes (storms exceeding Category 3 strength in the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale). A normal season, as defined by NOAA, has 9 to 12 named storms, with 5 to 7 of those reaching hurricane strength, and 1 to 3 major hurricanes.[1][2]

Pre-season forecasts

On December 7, 2007, Klotzbach's team issued its first extended-range forecast for the 2008 season, predicting above-average activity (13 named storms, 7 hurricanes, 3 of Category 3 or higher).[1] On April 9, 2008, the CSU issued a new forecast, anticipating a well above average hurricane season of 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 intense hurricanes. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted an above average season with 12 to 16 storms, 6 to 9 hurricanes, and 2 to 5 major hurricanes on May 22.[3][4]

Storms

Tropical Storm Arthur

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
 
DurationMay 31 – June 2
Peak intensity40 mph (65 km/h) (1-min);
1005 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Storm Arthur formed near the Belize coast on May 31, developing out of the interaction between a tropical wave and the remnants of Tropical Storm Alma, and made landfall on Belize a short while later.[5] The system traversed the Yucatán Peninsula slowly and dissipated inland on June 2.[6] Arthur is the first tropical storm to form in May since Tropical Storm Arlene in 1981. Other systems have formed (such as Subtropical Storm Andrea in 2007), but were subtropical. The formation of Arthur also marks the first time that a named storm formed in May for two consecutive years.


Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) Rating

ACE (104kt²) (Source) — Storm:
1 0.368 Arthur
Total: 0.368

The table on the right shows the ACE for each storm in the season. ACE is, broadly speaking, a measure of the power of the hurricane multiplied by the length of time it existed, so storms that last a long time, as well as particularly strong hurricanes, have high ACEs. ACE is only officially released for full advisories on tropical systems at or exceeding 34 knots (39 mph, 63 km/h) or tropical storm strength. Subtropical storms are not included in season totals.

Timeline of events

May

May 31
  • 1 p.m. EDT (1700 UTC): Tropical Storm Arthur forms near the Belize coast and makes landfall there with 40 mph (65 km/h) winds.[7]

June

June 1
  • 12 a.m. EDT (0400 UTC): The 2008 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins.
  • 10 a.m. EDT (1500 UTC): Tropical Storm Arthur weakens to a tropical depression.[8]
  • 10 p.m. EDT (0300 UTC June 2): The NHC issues its final advisory on dissipating Tropical Depression Arthur.[9]

2008 storm names

The following names will be used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2008. Retired names, if any, will be announced by the World Meteorological Organization in the spring of 2009. The names not retired from this list will be used again in the 2014 season. The list is the same as the 2002 list except for Ike and Laura which will replace Isidore and Lili, respectively.

  • Arthur
  • Bertha (unused)
  • Cristobal (unused)
  • Dolly (unused)
  • Edouard (unused)
  • Fay (unused)
  • Gustav (unused)
  • Hanna (unused)
  • Ike (unused)
  • Josephine (unused)
  • Kyle (unused)
  • Laura (unused)
  • Marco (unused)
  • Nana (unused)
  • Omar (unused)
  • Paloma (unused)
  • Rene (unused)
  • Sally (unused)
  • Teddy (unused)
  • Vicky (unused)
  • Wilfred (unused)

See also

Template:Tcportal

References

  1. ^ a b c Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray (2007-12-07). "Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and U.S. Landfall Strike Probability for 2008" (PDF). Colorado State University. Retrieved 2007-12-07. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  2. ^ a b Climate Prediction Center (2006-08-08). "BACKGROUND INFORMATION: THE NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON". National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved 2006-12-08. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  3. ^ Neale, Rick, Experts predict 'very active' Atlantic hurricane season, USA Today, retrieved 2008-04-09
  4. ^ Klotzbach, Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. GrayEXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND U.S. LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2008 (as of 9 April 2008), Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, retrieved 2008-04-09
  5. ^ http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al01/al012008.discus.001.shtml?
  6. ^ http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al01/al012008.discus.007.shtml?
  7. ^ Tropical Storm ARTHUR
  8. ^ http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al01/al012008.public.005.shtml?
  9. ^ http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al01/al012008.public.007.shtml?

Template:2000-2009 Atlantic hurricane seasons