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1978 January subtropical storm

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Subtropical Storm One
Subtropical storm (SSHWS/NWS)
Image of the storm near peak intensity
FormedJanuary 18, 1978
DissipatedJanuary 23, 1978
Highest winds1-minute sustained: 45 mph (75 km/h)
Lowest pressure1002 mbar (hPa); 29.59 inHg
FatalitiesNone
DamageNone
Areas affectedNo land areas
Part of the 1978 Atlantic hurricane season

Subtropical Storm One in 1978 was the only Atlantic subtropical cyclone on record to form during the month of January. It formed on January 18 well to the east-northeast of the Lesser Antilles, and throughout its duration it maintained a general westward track. The storm attained peak winds of about 45 mph (75 km/h), and only briefly threatened the northeastern Caribbean islands before dissipating on January 23. There have been two other tropical cyclonesHurricane Alice in 1955 and Tropical Storm Zeta in 2006 – which existed in January, but both formed in December.

Meteorological history

Map plotting the storm's track and intensity, according to the Saffir–Simpson scale
Map key
  Tropical depression (≤38 mph, ≤62 km/h)
  Tropical storm (39–73 mph, 63–118 km/h)
  Category 1 (74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h)
  Category 2 (96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h)
  Category 3 (111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h)
  Category 4 (130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h)
  Category 5 (≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h)
  Unknown
Storm type
triangle Extratropical cyclone, remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression

In the middle of January, an upper-level trough in the westerlies spawned a surface low pressure area to the east-northeast of the Lesser Antilles. The low developed south of the subtropical ridge, and as such was isolated from the detrimental effects of the westerlies. Its formation was non-tropical in nature, and initially it intensified under a baroclinic energy source, or one that derives energy from the interaction of cold and warm air. Convection increased slightly in association with the low despite cool sea surface temperatures of around 75° F (24° C). At 1200 UTC on January 18, it organized into a subtropical depression about 1725 miles (2790 km) east-northeast of Puerto Rico.[1]

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) initiated Dvorak classifications on the cyclone at 0000 UTC on January 19, assessing a Dvorak number of T2.5; at that time, the storm was exhibiting both tropical and subtropical characteristics.[2] On the same day, the pressure gradient between the storm and the subtropical ridge to its north produced gale force winds in association with the storm.[1] It maintained a general westward track throughout its duration, initially moving west-northwestward.[1] By early on January 20, the storm maintained minimal convection near its center, with its primary rainband revolved cyclonically around its well-defined center.[3] Later that day, its banding features improved, and the storm strengthened slightly to attain peak winds of 45 mph (75 km/h).[4] Its intensity was supported by both ship reports and the Hurricane Hunters.[1]

Late on January 21, the outer rainbands to the south and east of the center began diminishing, which began a weakening trend after the storm maintained peak winds for about 36 hours.[5] At around that time, the cyclone was moving west-southwestward, and within 72 hours was forecast by one hurricane forecast model to be located over Hispaniola.[6] By midday on January 22, the winds decreased to below gale force after the convection dissipated near the center.[7] Subsequently it turned more to the west away from land, and by January 23 the circulation degenerated into a remnant trough about 185 mi (300 km) north of the Lesser Antilles.[8]

Impact, records, and naming

Satellite image of the storm weakening north of the Lesser Antilles

The storm was the first Atlantic subtropical cyclone on record to develop in the month of January. Throughout the entire Atlantic hurricane database, the storm remains the only tropical or subtropical cyclone to form during the month, making January the only month without a tropical cyclone formation. However, two storms that formed in late December persisted into January. In 1954, Hurricane Alice developed in the same region as the subtropical storm, which moved through the Lesser Antilles in early January 1955 as a minimal hurricane. The other storm was Tropical Storm Zeta, which lasted from December 2005 to January 2006 over the open Atlantic Ocean.[8] The NHC did later note, however, that "subtropical cyclones have only been tracked since 1968 (tropical cyclone records go back to 1871) and it is possible some systems that were designated extratropical prior to 1968 could have been subtropical."[9]

The subtropical storm was not named, as such cyclones remained unnamed at the time; had it received a name, it would have been Amelia.[8]

See also

Template:Tcportal

References

  1. ^ a b c d Miles B. Lawrence (1979). "Atlantic Hurricane Season of 1978" (PDF). American Meteorological Society. Retrieved 2008-11-02.
  2. ^ JBL (1978-01-19). "Tropical and Subtropical Cyclone Classification on Subtropical Storm One (1)". SSFS/Miami NHC. Retrieved 2008-11-02.
  3. ^ MM (1978-01-20). "Tropical and Subtropical Cyclone Classification on Subtropical Storm One". SSFS/Miami NHC. Retrieved 2008-11-02.
  4. ^ SCT (1978-01-20). "Tropical and Subtropical Cyclone Classification on Subtropical Storm One". SSFS/Miami NHC. Retrieved 2008-11-02.
  5. ^ MM (1978-01-21). "Tropical and Subtropical Cyclone Classification on Subtropical Storm One". SSFS/Miami NHC. Retrieved 2008-11-03.
  6. ^ National Hurricane Center (1978-01-21). "SANBAR Model Forecast for Subtropical Storm One". Retrieved 2008-11-03.
  7. ^ JBL (1978-01-21). "Tropical and Subtropical Cyclone Classification on Subtropical Storm One". SSFS/Miami NHC. Retrieved 2008-11-03.
  8. ^ a b c NHC Hurricane Research Division (2008). "Atlantic hurricane best track". NOAA. Retrieved 2008-11-03.
  9. ^ National Hurricane Center (1992). "Subtropical Storm One Preliminary Report". Retrieved 2007-08-21.