2024 Bay of Quinte provincial by-election

2024 Bay of Quinte provincial by-election

September 19, 2024 (2024-09-19)
Riding of Bay of Quinte
Turnout	38.45% ( 7.46)
First party Second party Third party   PC LIB NDP Candidate Tyler Allsopp Sean Kelly Amanda Robertson Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic Last election 49.30% 18.45% 20.92% Popular vote 14,430 12,428 8,607 Percentage 38.69% 33.32% 23.08% Swing 10.61 pp 14.87 pp 2.16 pp
MPP before election Todd Smith PC Elected MPP Tyler Allsopp PC

A by-election was held in the provincial riding of Bay of Quinte on September 19, 2024, to elect a new member of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario following the resignation of Progressive Conservative MPP and cabinet minister Todd Smith for a new job in the private sector. It resulted in the victory of PC candidate Tyler Allsopp, though by a reduced margin compared to his predecessor.

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Last Date of Polling	Link	PC	OLP	ONDP	Green	Other	Margin of Error	Sample Size	Polling Method
By-election 2024	September 19, 2024		38.69	33.32	23.08	3.17	1.74
Liaison Strategies	September 9, 2024		35	36	18	5	6	±4.21 pp	541	IVR
Election 2022	June 2, 2022		49.30	18.45	20.92	6.27	5.06

Results

Ontario provincial by-election, September 19, 2024 Resignation of Todd Smith
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Tyler Allsopp	14,430	38.69	-10.61
	Liberal	Sean Kelly	12,428	33.32	+14.87
	New Democratic	Amanda Robertson	8,607	23.08	+2.16
	Green	Lori Borthwick	1,186	3.18	-3.09
	New Blue	Margaret Schuler	369	0.99	-1.61
	Independent	John Turmel	149	0.40
	Libertarian	Mark Snow	129	0.35
Total valid votes/Expense limit
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots
Turnout			38.45
Eligible voters			97,016

2022 result

2022 Ontario general election: Bay of Quinte
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Todd Smith	21,381	49.30	+1.28	$76,706
	New Democratic	Alison Kelly	9,073	20.92	−10.92	$55,474
	Liberal	Emilie Leneveu	8,003	18.45	+3.56	$31,230
	Green	Erica Charlton	2,719	6.27	+2.84	$0
	New Blue	Rob Collins	1,128	2.60		$5,066
	Ontario Party	Noah Wales	1,062	2.45		$3,779
Total valid votes/Expense limit			43,366	99.59		$133,230
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots			179	0.41	-0.68
Turnout			43,545	45.91	-10.55
Eligible voters			94,852
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing		+6.10
Source(s) "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on May 18, 2023. "Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on May 21, 2023.

See also

• List of Ontario by-elections