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Constance Hunter

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Constance L. Hunter
NationalityAmerican
Academic career
FieldChief economist
Macroeconomics
Financial forecasting
InstitutionAmerican International Group
Alma materSchool of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University (SIPA)
New York University
Contributions"Covid's economic reset: making the quixotic quotidian"[1]
WebsiteAIG/ConstanceHunter

Constance L. Hunter is an American chief economist and macroeconomics analyst.[2] She is a former principal and chief economist at KPMG, and has served as president of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE). A member of several think tanks, including the Council on Foreign Relations, she is among the first economists to forecast various historic economic events,[2] including the 2001 dot-com bubble, the 2007–2008 mortgage and credit crisis,[2] and the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Education

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She attended New York University, receiving a bachelor's degree in Economics and Sociology, then earned a master's degree from the School of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University (SIPA).[3] She also holds a Certified Business Economist (CBE) designation.[4]

Career

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Since the 1990s, she has held various upper-level asset management positions, serving as chief investment officer (CIO) or chief economist for over a decade prior to joining KPMG.[1] She began her career in 1994, as an economist on foreign exchange at Chase Manhattan Bank,[5] was subsequently a portfolio manager for Firebird Management, which invested hedge funds in countries formerly of the Soviet Union.[6][7] She was chief economist at Galtere Ltd.;[3] then managing director and chief economist at Aladdin Capital Management.[8][9] In 2011, she became deputy CIO at Axa Investment Managers,[10] with over $500 billion in managed assets.[2] That year, she was an early forecaster of the recovery of U.S. housing markets.[11] Hunter became known for accurately forecasting major economic events.[1] the dot-com bubble burst of 2001; the 2007–08 credit and real estate crisis that contributed to the subsequent global financial crisis;[12] low bond yields concurrent with U.S. housing market recovery, from 2012;[2] and the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on U.S. and international economies.[1][13] She often appears as an economic commentator for broadcast media.[1][14]

KPMG

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In 2013, she was appointed chief economist of KPMG, where she was responsible for macroeconomic analysis and economic forecasting.[15] A former principal of the firm,[16] she joined its strategy leadership team in 2020, and the advisory board of its pension committee.[1] A year after the U.S. imposed new tariffs on its trading partners, in 2018, Hunter stated that the result was that the higher tariffs were disruptive to the business environment. The following year, The Wall Street Journal noted Hunter among the first economists to officially forecast Federal Reserve rate cuts[5][17] and economic recession for 2019.[18][19] She was also one of the first economists to begin forecasting the extensive economic impacts of COVID-19 on the U.S.,[20] noting a March 2020 start to economic recession,[21] emerging obstacles, such as job loss and decreased consumer consumption;[22] mask wearing resistance;[23] virus variants;[24] political uncertainty;[25] and recovery,[26] through such as federal rate changes[27] and social shifts,[28] as well as the pandemic's effect on Chinese economies in February 2020.[29] In early 2021, she forecast economic changes subsequent to societal adaptations due to the pandemic,[26][30] outlined in the report, "Covid's economic reset: making the quixotic quotidian".[1]

AIG

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In early 2022, Hunter joined AIG as executive vice president, global head of strategy and environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG).[12][31] In the newly created role,[31] her ESG responsibilities include supporting businesses as they navigate climate change, as well as meeting AIG's own net-zero by 2050 goal to match those of the Paris Agreement, and other commitments.[32]

Boards and associations

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Hunter is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations,[33] She served as president of the National Association for Business Economics for 2019 to 2020,[34] and is a NABE Fellow and board member, where her focus is diversity and inclusion.[1][5] She serves on the board of NPO GallopNYC[1] and is a member of various economic associations, including the New York Association of Business Economics, Money Marketeers[35] and 100 Women in Finance.[36]

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i "Covid’s economic reset: making the quixotic quotidian" Business Economics (Cleveland, Ohio), vol. 56,1, January 29, 2021. doi:10.1057/s11369-020-00200-5 Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  2. ^ a b c d e "People Moves: Chubb Changes Commercial P/C Leadership; BHSI Promotes Meyer in Life Sciences; AIG Adds Hunter to ESG; J.D. Power Hires Ellingsworth" Insurance Journal, December 20, 2021. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  3. ^ a b "Constance Hunter" The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  4. ^ "International Roundtable Events" National Association for Business Economics. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  5. ^ a b c "Meet the Economist Who Predicted the Fed’s Rate Cut" Nick Timiraos, The Wall Street Journal, August 1, 2019. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  6. ^ "INVESTING IT; An Emerging-Markets Bog: Time to Wade In Again?" Jonathan Fuerbringer, The New York Times, May 31, 1998"] Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  7. ^ "THE MARKETS: Market Place; Ruble Throws Another Scare Into Markets" Jonathan Fuerbringer, The New York Times, August 14, 1998. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  8. ^ "Italy faces structural problems, lacks competition drive: Constance Hunter, Aladdin Capital" The Economic Times, November 9, 2011. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  9. ^ "China’s Food-Driven Inflation Won’t Hit Global Economy Soon" Paul Panckhurst and Shobhana Chandra, Bloomberg, September 8, 2011. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  10. ^ "Summit examines future of alternative investments" Cayman Compass, September 14, 2012. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  11. ^ "The Year Everyone Was Wrong (Again) About Home Prices" Nick Timiraos, The Wall Street Journal, January 22, 2013. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  12. ^ a b AIG hires respected economist as global head of strategy and ESG Roxanne Libatique, Business, December 15, 2021. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  13. ^ "KPMG’s Constance Hunter on the Delta Variant’s Impact on Job Growth and Market Expectations" Diversity Inc, October 15, 2021. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  14. ^ "Constance Hunter" Fox Business. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  15. ^ "KPMG hires Constance Hunter as chief economist for alternative investments practice" Hedgeweek, June 6, 2016. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  16. ^ "Constance L. Hunter" KPMG. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  17. ^ "2019 Is All About Recession Watch and Risk, KPMG's Hunter Says" Bloomberg, December 16, 2018. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  18. ^ "Chance of recession rises to the highest level of the Trump presidency: CNBC Fed Survey" Steve Liesman, CNBC, December 18, 2018. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  19. ^ "Most Economists Expect Fed Will Hold Rates Steady at Least Until June" Kate Davidson, The Wall Street Journal, January 10, 2013. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  20. ^ "Covid has been a catastrophe. Can it also be an opportunity?" Tim Harford, Financial Times, April 1, 2021. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  21. ^ "Covid-19: US already in recession; Trump accuses China of taking advantage" Business Standard, April 11, 2020. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  22. ^ "Record 6.6 Million Americans Sought Unemployment Benefits Last Week" Sarah Chaney, The Wall Street Journal, April 2, 2020. Retrieved October 17, 2022.]
  23. ^ "Trump says masks are a 'double-edged sword.' Goldman Sachs says they could help save the economy" Matt Egan, CNN, June 30, 2020. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  24. ^ "Omicron’s Economic Toll: Missing Workers, More Uncertainty and Higher Inflation (Maybe)" Ben Casselman and Sydney Ember, The New York Times, January 24, 2022. Retrieved October 17, 2022.]
  25. ^ Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  26. ^ a b "The Covid Reset: A Chat With Constance Hunter" CARDIFF GARCIA. NPR, March 16, 2021. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  27. ^ "Fed will raise rates more aggressively if needed, Powell says" Ann Saphir and Lindsay Dunsmuir, Reuters, March 21, 2022. Retrieved October 17, 2022.]
  28. ^ "9 charts that show the good, the bad and the alarming of this early economic recovery" Heather Long, The Washington Post, July 16, 2020. Retrieved October 17, 2022.]
  29. ^ "'Everyone is guessing' about coronavirus economic impacts, say experts" Ross Kerber, Heather Timmons, Reuters, February 11. 2020. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  30. ^ "The Indicator from Planet Money" SYLVIE DOUGLIS, NPR, Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  31. ^ a b "AIG 2021 ANNUAL REPORT Chairman & CEO letter to shareholders" American International Group, August 2021. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  32. ^ "AIG targets net zero GHG emissions across underwriting & investments by 2050" Luke Gallin, Reinsurance News, March 1, 2022. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  33. ^ "Membership Roster" Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  34. ^ "NABE Board of Directors 2021–22" National Association for Business Economics. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  35. ^ "A Macro Outlook with Dr. Nouriel Roubini" CTHFA, September 10, .Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  36. ^ "Global Events" 100 Women in Finance, 2018. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
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