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Estimated prognosis by age and sex based on cases from France and Diamond Princess ship Percentage of infected people who are hospitalized 0–19 20–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60–69 70–79 80+ Total Female 0.1
(0.07–0.2) 0.5
(0.3–0.8) 0.9
(0.5–1.5) 1.3
(0.7–2.1) 2.6
(1.5–4.2) 5.1
(2.9–8.3) 7.8
(4.4–12.8) 19.3
(10.9–31.6) 2.6
(1.5–4.3) Male 0.2
(0.08–0.2) 0.6
(0.3–0.9) 1.2
(0.7–1.9) 1.6
(0.9–2.6) 3.2
(1.8–5.2) 6.7
(3.7–10.9) 11.0
(6.2–17.9) 37.6
(21.1–61.3) 3.3
(1.8–5.3) Total 0.1
(0.08–0.2) 0.5
(0.3–0.8) 1.1
(0.6–1.7) 1.4
(0.8–2.3) 2.9
(1.6–4.7) 5.8
(3.3–9.5) 9.3
(5.2–15.1) 26.2
(14.8–42.7) 2.9
(1.7–4.8) Percentage of hospitalized people who go to Intensive Care Unit 0–19 20–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60–69 70–79 80+ Total Female 16.7
(14.3–19.3) 8.7
(7.5–9.9) 11.9
(10.9–13.0) 16.6
(15.6–17.7) 20.7
(19.8–21.6) 23.1
(22.2–24.0) 18.7
(18.0–19.5) 4.2
(4.0–4.5) 14.3
(13.9–14.7) Male 26.9
(23.1–31.1) 14.0
(12.2–16.0) 19.2
(17.6–20.9) 26.9
(25.4–28.4) 33.4
(32.0–34.8) 37.3
(36.0–38.6) 30.2
(29.1–31.3) 6.8
(6.5–7.2) 23.1
(22.6–23.6) Total 22.2
(19.1–25.7) 11.6
(10.1–13.2) 15.9
(14.5–17.3) 22.2
(21.0–23.5) 27.6
(26.5–28.7) 30.8
(29.8–31.8) 24.9
(24.1–25.8) 5.6
(5.3–5.9) 19.0
(18.7–19.44) Percent of hospitalized people who die 0–19 20–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60–69 70–79 80+ Total Female 0.5
(0.2–1.0) 0.9
(0.5–1.3) 1.5
(1.2–1.9) 2.6
(2.3–3.0) 5.2
(4.8–5.6) 10.1
(9.5–10.6) 16.7
(16.0–17.4) 25.2
(24.4–26.0) 14.4
(14.0–14.8) Male 0.7
(0.3–1.5) 1.3
(0.8–1.9) 2.2
(1.7–2.7) 3.8
(3.3–4.4) 7.6
(7.0–8.2) 14.8
(14.1–15.6) 24.6
(23.7–25.6) 37.1
(36.1–38.2) 21.2
(20.8–21.7) Total 0.6
(0.2–1.3) 1.1
(0.7–1.6) 1.9
(1.5–2.3) 3.3
(2.9–3.8) 6.5
(6.0–7.0) 12.6
(12.0–13.2) 21.0
(20.3–21.7) 31.6
(30.9–32.4) 18.1
(17.8–18.4) Percent of infected people who die – infection fatality rate (IFR) 0–19 20–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60–69 70–79 80+ Total Female 0.001
(<0.001–0.002) 0.004
(0.002–0.007) 0.01
(0.007–0.02) 0.03
(0.02–0.06) 0.1
(0.08–0.2) 0.5
(0.3–0.8) 1.3
(0.7–2.1) 4.9
(2.7–8.0) 0.4
(0.2–0.6) Male 0.001
(<0.001–0.003) 0.007
(0.003–0.01) 0.03
(0.02–0.05) 0.06
(0.03–0.1) 0.2
(0.1–0.4) 1.0
(0.6–1.6) 2.7
(1.5–1.4) 14.0
(7.9–22.7) 0.7
(0.4–1.1) Total 0.001
(<0.001–0.002) 0.005
(0.003–0.01) 0.02
(0.01–0.03) 0.05
(0.03–0.08) 0.2
(0.1–0.3) 0.7
(0.4–1.2) 1.9
(1.1–3.2) 8.3
(4.7–13.5) 0.5
(0.3–0.9) Numbers in parentheses are 95% credible intervals for the estimates.