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User:Hostgeeky

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I think this pretty much sums it up:


1 The decline represents a change in the rate of retention of desirable, good-faith newcomers.

  • The proportion of newcomers that edit in good-faith has not changed since 2006.
  • These desirable newcomers are more likely to have their work rejected since 2007.

2 This increased rejection predicts the observed decline in retention.

  • Semi-autonomous vandal fighting tools (like Huggle) are partially at fault.
  • An increasing proportion of desirable newcomers are having their work rejected by automated tools.
  • These automated reverts exacerbate the predicted negative effects of rejection on retention.
  • Users of Huggle tend to not engage in the best practices for discussing the reverts they perform.

3 New users are being pushed out of policy articulation.

  • The formalized process for vetting new policies and changes to policies ensures that newcomers' edits do not survive.
  • Both newcomers and experienced editors are moving increasingly toward less formal spaces.

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