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Opinion polls

[edit]

First round

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2020
Poll source Date(s)
administered[1]
Luis
Arce
Carlos
Mesa
Jeanine
Áñez
Luis F.
Camacho
Chi Hyun
Chung
Jorge
Qurioga
Feliciano
Mamani
Other Would not
vote
Undecided
Atlas Electoral April 26–May 6, 2020 42.5% 19.4% 8.3% 6.2% 5.3% 2.3% 1.1% - 4.7% 10.2%
Ciesmori March 5–11, 2020 33.3% 18.3% 16.9% 7.1% 3.8% 1.7% 1.9% - 6.2% 8.1%
CELAG February 10–March 4, 2020 33.1% 17.4% 20.5% 7.4% 5.6% 1.5% 1.3% - 5.7% 7.5%
Miský Utaha´a February 21–23, 2020 29.2% 15.3% 13.7% 11.1% 8.6% 6.7% 0.5% 0.1%[a] 11.3% 3.5%
Mercados y Muestras SRL February 14–17, 2020 32% 23% 21% 15% 6% 2% 1% - - -
Ciesmori February 7–13, 2020 31.6% 17.1% 16.5% 9.6% 5.4% 1.6% 1.6% 0.5%[b] 7.5% 8.7%
January 24, 2020 Áñez announces her candidacy[2]
January 19, 2020 Arce announced as candidate of MAS[3]
United States Embassy January 2020 37% 9% 9% 11% 4% - - 3% 7% 20%
Mercados y Muestras SRL January 9–13, 2020 26% 17% 12% 17% 6% 3% - 2%[c] 8% 9%
2019
Poll source Date(s)
administered
MAS
Candidate
Carlos
Mesa
Jeanine
Áñez
Luis F.
Camacho
Chi Hyun
Chung
Marco
Pumari
Ortiz
Antelo
Félix
Patzi
Doria
Medina
Jorge
Quiroga
Johnny
Fernandez
Other Would not
vote
Undecided
Ciesmori December 21–30, 2019 20.7%[d] 13.8% 15.6% 6.9% 8.1% 8.2% - - 1.8% 1.6% - 0.9% 10.2% 12.2%
Mercados y Muestras SRL December 13–16, 2019 23%[e] 21% - 13% 9% 10% - - - 2% - - 14% 8%
[citation needed] December 5–15, 2019 18.4%[f] 11.9% 7.5% 12.8% 8.5% - 3.7% 2.8% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 2.6% 5.1% 21.8%
12.0%[g] 13.7% 10.0% - 9.4% 8.0% 4.8% 3.7% 2.5% 1.7% 2.3% 3.5% 5.1% 23.3%
13.6%[h] 10.6% 7.3% 11.1% 8.4% 5.7% 4.2% 2.6% 2.2% 2.7% - 11.0%[i] 3.0% 17.6%
Mercados y Muestras SRL November 26–27, 2019 16%[j] 14% - 16% 10% 16% - - - - - 8% 8% 12%

Second round

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Arce v. Áñez
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Arce Áñez Would not
vote
Undecided
Ciesmori March 5–11, 2020 43.2% 42.6% 8.3% 6%
Mercados y Muestras February 14–17, 2020 36% 48% 12% 4%
Ciesmori February 7–13, 2020 42.3% 43.6% 10.6% 3.5%
Arce v. Mesa
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Arce Mesa Would not
vote
Undecided
Ciesmori March 5–11, 2020 42.9% 41% 10.4% 5.7%
Mercados y Muestras February 14–17, 2020 37% 48% 11% 4%
Ciesmori February 7–13, 2020 40.8% 40.7% 15.2% 3.3%
Arce v. Camacho
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Arce Camacho Would not
vote
Undecided
Ciesmori March 5–11, 2020 46% 42% 16% 5.9%
Mercados y Muestras February 14–17, 2020 40% 37% 19% 4%
Ciesmori February 7–13, 2020 44.5% 33.6% 18% 3.9%
Mesa v. Áñez
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Mesa Áñez Would not
vote
Undecided
Ciesmori March 5–11, 2020 32.6% 31.6% 29.6% 6.2%
Ciesmori February 7–13, 2020 30.3% 33.8% 32.3% 3.6%
Camacho v. Áñez
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Camacho Áñez Would not
vote
Undecided
Ciesmori March 5–11, 2020 15.6% 41.4% 37.0% 6%
Ciesmori February 7–13, 2020 16.3% 40.8% 38.7% 4.2%
  1. ^ "Bolivia electoral 2020". 2020.boliviaelectoral.com. Retrieved 2020-03-14.
  2. ^ "Bolivia's interim President Anez shakes up election race with plan to run". Reuters. 2020-01-25. Retrieved 2020-03-12.
  3. ^ "Morales announces candidates for MAS party in Bolivia's elections". Reuters. 2020-01-20. Retrieved 2020-03-12.


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