2024 Northern Territory general election
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All 25 seats in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly 13 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2024 Northern Territory general election is scheduled to be held on 24 August 2024 to elect all 25 members of the Legislative Assembly in the unicameral Northern Territory Parliament.
Members will be elected through full preferential instant-runoff voting in single-member electorates. The incumbent centre-left Labor Party (ALP) majority government, currently led by Chief Minister Natasha Fyles, will attempt to win a third consecutive four-year term of government. It will be challenged by the centre-right Country Liberal Party (CLP) opposition, currently led by Opposition Leader Lia Finocchiaro.
The election will be conducted by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission.
Background
In the event both current leaders remain in place, this will be the first election in the Northern Territory where both major political parties are led by women, and the third in any Australian state or territory after the 1995 ACT election and 2020 Queensland election.
Previous election
At the 2020 election, the Labor government led by Chief Minister Michael Gunner was re-elected with a reduced majority, winning 14 of the 25 seats in the parliament. The Country Liberals (CLP) won 8 seats, whilst the Territory Alliance party won 1 seat and a further 2 seats were won by independents.
Parliamentary composition
Robyn Lambley, the Territory Alliance's sole representative in the parliament, left the party in October 2020 to sit as an independent.[1] Labor MLA Mark Turner was expelled from the party-room caucus in February 2021 due to what he acknowledged as an "inappropriate relationship" with a Labor Party staffer, though he remained a Labor-designated member in the assembly.[2]
A by-election was held for the seat of Daly on 11 September 2021, caused by the resignation of CLP member Ian Sloan due to health and personal issues. Labor candidate Dheran Young won the seat, the first time that an incumbent government has won a seat from the opposition in the history of the Legislative Assembly.[3]
On 10 May 2022, Chief Minister and Labor leader Michael Gunner announced his immediate resignation from both positions, citing his desire to spend more time with his family following the birth of his and his wife's second son on 29 April.[4] Following a party-room meeting on 13 May, Labor minister Natasha Fyles was elected unopposed to the leadership, and was sworn in as the new Chief Minister later day.[5] Gunner resigned from the seat of Fannie Bay on 27 July and a by-election was held on 20 August 2022. Labor retained the seat at the by-election, with candidate Brent Potter victorious despite recording a 7 per cent swing against the party.[6]
Election date
The parliament has fixed four-year terms, with elections to be held on the fourth Saturday of August every four years.[7]
Pre-election pendulum
| Labor seats | |||
| Marginal | |||
| Blain | Mark Turner | ALP | 0.2 |
| Arnhem | Selena Uibo | ALP | 1.6 v IND |
| Port Darwin | Paul Kirby | ALP | 2.1 |
| Fong Lim | Mark Monaghan | ALP | 2.6 |
| Arafura | Lawrence Costa | ALP | 3.6 |
| Fairly safe | |||
| Drysdale | Eva Lawler | ALP | 7.9 |
| Fannie Bay | Brent Potter[a] | ALP | 9.6[b] |
| Karama | Ngaree Ah Kit | ALP | 9.8 |
| Safe | |||
| Casuarina | Lauren Moss | ALP | 15.9 |
| Gwoja | Chansey Paech | ALP | 16.2 |
| Johnston | Joel Bowden | ALP | 16.5 |
| Wanguri | Nicole Manison | ALP | 17.3 |
| Sanderson | Kate Worden | ALP | 19.3 |
| Nightcliff | Natasha Fyles | ALP | 24.3 |
| Country Liberal seats | |||
| Marginal | |||
| Barkly | Steve Edgington | CLP | 0.1 |
| Namatjira | Bill Yan | CLP | 0.3 |
| Brennan | Marie-Clare Boothby | CLP | 1.2 |
| Daly | Dheran Young[c] | ALP | 1.2[d] |
| Braitling | Joshua Burgoyne | CLP | 1.3 |
| Katherine | Jo Hersey | CLP | 2.3 |
| Fairly safe | |||
| Nelson | Gerard Maley | CLP | 8.3 v IND |
| Safe | |||
| Spillett | Lia Finocchiaro | CLP | 15.0 |
| Crossbench seats | |||
| Araluen | Robyn Lambley | IND | 0.5 v CLP |
| Mulka | Yingiya Mark Guyula | IND | 5.0 v ALP |
| Goyder | Kezia Purick | IND | 6.8 v CLP |
- ^ Brent Potter was elected at the 2022 Fannie Bay by-election after the resignation of former Chief Minister Michael Gunner
- ^ The margin after the 2022 Fannie Bay by-election is 2.2%
- ^ Dheran Young was elected at the 2021 Daly by-election after the resignation of Ian Sloan
- ^ The margin after the 2021 Daly by-election is 7.3%
References
- ^ James, Felicity (21 October 2020). "Territory Alliance party ousts Robyn Lambley, leaving it with no seats in Parliament". ABC News. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
- ^ Jane Gibson (18 February 2021). "Blain MLA Mark Turner exiled from NT Labor caucus as staffer resigns over scandal". ABC News.
- ^ "Results - 2021 Division of Daly - by-election". Northern Territory Electoral Commission. 24 September 2021. Archived from the original on 27 February 2022. Retrieved 27 February 2022.
- ^ "Northern Territory Chief Minister Michael Gunner to resign". ABC News. 10 May 2022. Retrieved 10 May 2022.
- ^ "Natasha Fyles sworn in as Northern Territory Chief Minister, replacing Michael Gunner". ABC News. 13 May 2022.
- ^ "VIDEO: Labor's Brent Potter wins Fannie Bay by-election". ABC News. 22 August 2022.
- ^ "So when is the next election?". Aph.gov.au. 1 September 2016. Retrieved 28 September 2017.
External links
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