Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Bulletin Atomic Scientists Cover.jpg
The cover of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists has featured the famous Doomsday Clock since it debuted in 1947, when it was set at seven minutes to midnight.
Editor John Mecklin[1]
Frequency Bimonthly
Year founded 1945
Company SAGE Publications for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Country United States
Based in Chicago
Language English
Website www.thebulletin.org
ISSN 0096-3402

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is a nontechnical online magazine that covers global security and public policy issues related to the dangers posed by nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction, climate change,[2] and emerging technologies.[3] It has been published continuously since 1945, when it was founded by former Manhattan Project physicists after the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki as the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists of Chicago. The Bulletin's primary aim is to inform the public about nuclear policy debates while advocating for the international control of nuclear weapons.[4] It is currently published by SAGE Publications.

One of the driving forces behind the creation of the Bulletin was the amount of public interest surrounding atomic energy at the dawn of the atomic age. In 1945 the public interest in atomic warfare and weaponry inspired contributors to the Bulletin to attempt to inform those interested about the dangers and destruction that atomic war could bring about.[5] To convey the particular peril posed by nuclear weapons, the Bulletin devised the Doomsday Clock in 1947. The original setting was seven minutes to midnight. The minute hand of the Clock first moved closer to midnight in response to changing world events in 1949, following the first Soviet nuclear test. The Clock, now set at five minutes to midnight (2014),[6] is recognized as a universal symbol of threats to humanity from a variety of sources: nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction, climate change,[7] and emerging technologies.[8] In the 1950s, the Bulletin was involved in the formation of the Pugwash Conferences on Science and World Affairs, annual conferences of scientists concerned about nuclear proliferation, and, more broadly, the role of science in modern society.

Founders and contributors[edit]

The original founder and editor of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists was biophysicist Eugene Rabinowitch (1901–1973). He founded the magazine alongside physicist Hyman Goldsmith. Rabinowitch was a professor of botany and biophysics at the University of Illinois and was also a founding member of the Continuing Committee for the Pugwash Conferences on Science and World Affairs.[9] In addition to Rabinowitch and Goldsmith, contributors have included: Morton Grodzins, Hans Bethe, Anatoli Blagonravov, Max Born, Harrison Brown, Stuart Chase, Brock Chisholm, E.U. Condon, Albert Einstein, E.K. Fedorov, Bernard T. Feld, James Franck, Ralph E. Lapp, Richard S. Leghorn, J. Robert Oppenheimer, Lord Boyd Orr, Michael Polanyi, Louis Ridenour, Bertrand Russell, Nikolay Semyonov, Leó Szilárd, Edward Teller, A.V. Topchiev, Harold C. Urey, Paul Weiss, James L. Tuck, among many others.[10]

In 1949, the Educational Foundation for Nuclear Science incorporated as a not-for-profit 501(c)(3) organization to serve as the parent organization and fundraising mechanism of the Bulletin. In 2003, the Board of Directors voted to officially change the foundation's name to Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

Purpose[edit]

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists began as an emergency action undertaken by scientists who saw urgent need for an immediate educational program about atomic weapons.[11] One of the purposes of the Bulletin was to educate fellow scientists about the relationship between their world of science and the world of national and international politics. A second was to help the American people understand what nuclear energy and its possible applications to war meant. The Bulletin contributors believed the atom bomb would only be the first of many dangerous presents from "Pandora's box of modern science."[11] The aim of the Bulletin was to carry out the long, sustained effort of educating man about the realities of the scientific age.

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists seeks to educate citizens, policy makers, scientists, and journalists by providing non-technical, scientifically sound and policy-relevant information about nuclear weapons and other global security issues. The Bulletin also serves as a reliable, high-quality global forum for diverse international opinions on the best means of reducing reliance on nuclear weapons. Since its inception in 1945, the Bulletin has sought to educate the American public of the continual danger posed by nuclear weapons and other global dangers, most recently adding climate change and emerging technologies in the life sciences to the list of concerns.

Changing focus[edit]

Throughout the history of the Bulletin there have been many different focuses of the contributors to the Bulletin. In the early years of the Bulletin it was separated into three distinct stages.[12] These stages, as defined by founder Eugene Rabinowitch in "The Atomic Age" were Failure, Peril, and Fear. The "Failure" stage surrounded the Bulletin's failed attempts to convince the American people that the best and most effective way to control them was to eliminate their use. In the "Peril" stage, the contributors focused on warning readers about the dangers of full scale atomic war. In the "Fear" stage, the unsuccessful attempts at deterring readers from supporting the disarmament of nuclear weapons led many, including the contributors to the Bulletin, to question the patriotism of others.[12][clarification needed]

"Failure"[edit]

Even before the Bulletin was established in December 1945, there was an effort by the scientists working inside the United States to prevent atomic warfare from ever taking place. These fears and uncertainties about the effects of atomic warfare existed long before the United States dropped the first bomb on Hiroshima. The contributors strongly felt that the best and most effective way to prevent nuclear war was to prevent the use of atomic weapons.[12] The contributors to the Bulletin insisted that, once it was known that the United States possessed atomic weapons, it was important that the control of the nuclear energy be out of the hands of the state.[12] In one article of the June 1946 Bulletin, written by J. Robert Oppenheimer entitled, "International Control of Atomic Energy," he examined the idea that non state officials should control atomic energy. He said, "It may be permitted that men who have no qualifications in state-craft concern themselves with the control of atomic energy."[13] This period of the Bulletin's history was coined as the "Failure" stage by Eugene Rabinowitch because the Bulletin's attempt to establish control over atomic weapons was unsuccessful.

"Peril"[edit]

While the first stage of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists was labeled as the Failure stage by founder Eugene Rabinowitch, the second stage was labeled Peril.[14] Following the Soviet Union's first atomic test on September 24, 1949, the focus of the Bulletin shifted to warning against the dangers of full-scale atomic war. Once the Soviet Union established that it had atomic capabilities, the arms race began and the danger of atomic war was continually growing. In an article entitled, "The Dangers We Face," written in the November 1957 issue of the Bulletin, Harrison Brown stated, "I believe that we (the United States) are rapidly approaching the time when industrial society will reach a 'point of no return' – a point beyond which recovery from major disruption may literally be impossible..."[14] The dangers of full-scale nuclear war were a major concern of the Bulletin contributors, and the fear and "Peril" that they felt was expressed through their writing.

Doomsday Clock[edit]

Main article: Doomsday Clock
The Bulletin's logo of the Doomsday Clock.

Once the Soviet Union developed atomic weapons, the concern surrounding the world's destruction was a great fear of the scientists working on the Bulletin. The proximity of nuclear devastation was a popular interest and, as a result, the Bulletin scientists developed a symbol of nuclear danger in 1947 known as the Doomsday Clock.[15] The clock, which only has bullets labeling the numbers in the upper left hand corner, has graced the cover of the Bulletin many times since its creation. The proximity of the minute hand to midnight has been the Bulletin contributors' way of predicting the potential of nuclear war. When it began in 1947, the minute hand was 7 minutes to midnight. In 1953, when the Soviet Union continued to test more and more nuclear devices, it was 2 minutes to midnight.[16] This proximity to midnight of the Doomsday Clock during the early 1950s shows the concern that the Bulletin contributors had about the Soviet Union and the arms race. The warnings of the Bulletin continued throughout the 1950s and 1960s, and the focus of the efforts shifted slightly from warning about the dangers of nuclear war to the necessity of disarmament. Throughout the history of the Doomsday Clock, it has moved closer to midnight, and farther away, depending upon the status of the world at that time.[16] The Doomsday Clock has been getting closer to midnight since 1991, when it was set to 17 minutes to midnight after the superpowers reached agreement on a nuclear arms reductions.

As of January 14, 2014, the Doomsday Clock stands at 5 minutes to midnight.[6] The decision to move the hand of the Clock is made each fall by the Bulletin's Science and Security Board at the Doomsday Clock Symposium; the announcement of the decision is made each January. The 5th Annual Doomsday Clock Symposium[17] was November 14, 2013; it was a daylong event that was open to the public and featured panelists discussing various issues on the theme "Communicating Catastrophe." There was also an evening event at the Hirshhorn Museum and Sculpture Garden in conjunction with the Hirshhorn's current exhibit, "Damage Control: Art and Destruction Since 1950."[18] The panel discussions, held at the American Association for the Advancement of Science, were streamed live from the Bulletin's website, and can still be viewed there.[19] Reflecting international events dangerous to humankind, the Clock's hand has been adjusted twenty times since its inception in 1947,[20] when the Clock was initially set to seven minutes to midnight (11:53pm).

"Fear"[edit]

As the United States and Soviet Union continued to develop more nuclear weapons, it was obvious that the best way to secure world safety was to disarm, deter and control the arms.[21] The "Peril" stage was relatively unsuccessful in deterring the United States from ending the nuclear arms race and, as a result, the next stage, coined by Rabinowitch as "Fear," set in. During this time period, many people were suspicious of others for not being patriotic Americans, and these issues were an interest of the Bulletin for some time. The issues of foreign espionage, loyalty, and security were all main topics of discussion for the Bulletin in the early arms race years.[22]

Throughout all of these times, there were also discussions in the Bulletin of the applications of nuclear energy as a possible harvestable energy source. Today, this has become a focal point of the Bulletin due to the increasing use of nuclear power to fulfill the world's energy needs. With the understanding that the world’s resources were depleting, many scientists described the pros and cons of using nuclear energy as an alternative to those that were already in use.[23]

Today[edit]

In more recent years, articles of the Bulletin have focused on many topics, ranging from the dangers of radiation following the Chernobyl disaster to the impact of the fall of the Soviet Union. In the wake of the Soviet Union's collapse, other articles have focused on issues such as military spending[24] and the continued funding of missile defense systems designed to thwart nuclear attacks but that in reality may not work.[25] With the ever-growing number of nuclear power plants and the demand for nuclear energy as a solution to climate change, the Bulletin has focused a great deal on the dangers and problems surrounding nuclear energy.[26] Although the arms race and the Cold War, which were focuses of the Bulletin for many of the earlier years, are no longer occurring, the Bulletin still focuses on the nuclear dangers that exist in the world today.[27] As more countries such as Pakistan and India have tested nuclear weapons, the Bulletin has focused on the dangers posed by these countries.[28] The Bulletin's bi-monthly "Nuclear Notebook" is written by Federation of American Scientists experts Hans Kristensen and Robert "Stan" Norris, and tracks the number of nuclear weapons in the world by country[29]

In the 21st Century, articles have covered threats to humanity from a variety of sources. The potential dangers of nuclear weapons[30] and energy,[31] military and political developments in the Post-Cold War world, political unrest in the Middle East (and its attendant potential for proliferation risks of nuclear and chemical weapons), myriad negative consequences of climate change, cyber warfare, and changes wrought by emerging technologies[32] have all been examined in the Bulletin in the most recent years. Examples include North Korea,[33] Middle East,[34] Syria,[35][36] Fukushima,[37] Cybersecurity,[38] and Climate Change.[39]

The Bulletin sponsors the Leonard M. Rieser Fellowship in Science, Technology, and Global Security,[40] which provides one-time awards of $2,500-$5,000 to undergraduate students seeking to explore the connections between science, technology, global security, and public policy.

The current Executive Director of the Bulletin is Kennette Benedict. The editor-in-chief is John Mecklin.[41]

Online editions[edit]

The Bulletin has been partially available on-line for some years. As of 2008, the Bulletin launched a redesign of its website to accommodate both free web content and subscription-based premium content (the John A. Simpson Collection).[42] The backfile of the Bulletin has also been made available for free via Google Books.[43] This includes the first 1945 issue through the November 1998 issue.[44] Several e-newsletters and feeds are also available for free by signing up via the Bulletin website.[45]

In November 2008, it was announced that November/December 2008 would be the last print edition of the Bulletin and that it would be digital-only in the future.[46] SAGE Publications began publishing the Bulletin in September 2010.

See also[edit]

Notes and references[edit]

The records of the Bulletin are kept at the Special Collections Research Center of the University of Chicago Library.

  1. ^ John Mecklin to succeed Mindy Kay Bricker as Editor of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
  2. ^ Stover, Dawn. "How Many Hiroshimas Does it Take to Describe Climate Change?". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved September 26, 2013. 
  3. ^ Kristin Bergtora Sandvik; Maral Mirshah; Nicholas Marsh. "The Struggle to Ban Killer Robots" (in English). The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved May 17, 2014. 
  4. ^ Reif, Kingston. "Ukraine and the Future of Nonproliferation". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved May 17, 2014. 
  5. ^ Boyer, Paul S. (1985). By the Bomb's Early Light. Pantheon. p. 70. ISBN 9780394528786. 
  6. ^ a b "Five Minutes is Too Close". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved January 14, 2014. 
  7. ^ Benedict, Kennette. "Existential Threats, Fast and Slow". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved July 18, 2013. 
  8. ^ Goldenberg, Suzanne (January 10, 2012). "Doomsday Clock ticks one minute closer to midnight". The Guardian. 
  9. ^ Grodzins, Morton; Rabinowitch, Eugene, eds. (1963). The Atomic Age: Scientists in National and World Affairs. New York: Basic Book Publishing. p. xv. 
  10. ^ The Atomic Age, pp. xv-xviii
  11. ^ a b The Atomic Age, p. vii
  12. ^ a b c d The Atomic Age, p. 5
  13. ^ The Atomic Age, p. 53
  14. ^ a b The Atomic Age, p. 173
  15. ^ Benedict, Kennette. "Science, Art, and the Legacy of Maryl". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved April 9, 2013. 
  16. ^ a b Bulletin Staff. "Doomsday Clock Timeline". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 
  17. ^ "Doomsday Clock Symposium". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved September 10, 2013. 
  18. ^ "Damage Control: Art and Destruction Since 1950". Hirshhorn Museum and Sculpture Garden. 
  19. ^ "5th Annual Doomsday Clock Symposium". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved September 14, 2013. 
  20. ^ "Doomsday Clock ticks closer to midnight". Washington Post. 2012-01-10. Retrieved 2012-01-10. 
  21. ^ The Atomic Age, pp. 269-275
  22. ^ The Atomic Age, pp. 355-493
  23. ^ The Atomic Age, pp. 498-522
  24. ^ Kingston, Reif. "Pentagon Pushes for Billions to Refurbish Nuclear Bombs". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved October 25, 2013. 
  25. ^ Podvig, Pavel. "Shooting Down the Star Wars Myth". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved April 30, 2013. 
  26. ^ Miller, John. "A False Fix for Climate Change". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved September 11, 2013. 
  27. ^ Siddharth Mallavarapu; Jaime Aguirre Gómez; Robert Mtonga. "Nuclear Detonations: Contemplating Catastrophe". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved September 12, 2013. 
  28. ^ Vishwanathan, Arun. "Nuclear Signals in South Asia". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved August 9, 2013. 
  29. ^ Hans Kristensen; Robert S. Norris. "Nuclear Notebook". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved May 17, 2013. 
  30. ^ Siddharth Mallavarapu; Jaime Aguirre Gómez; Robert Mtonga. "Nuclear Detonations: Contemplating Catastrophe". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved September 20, 2013. 
  31. ^ Barzashka, Ivanka. "Converting a civilian enrichment plant into a nuclear weapons material facility". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 
  32. ^ Gubrud, Mark. "US Killer Robot Policy: Full Speed Ahead". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved September 20, 2013. 
  33. ^ Duff-Brown, Beth (April 5, 2013). "Interview with Siegfried Hecker: North Korea complicates the long-term picture". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 
  34. ^ Salsabili, Mansour; Eiran, Ehud; Malin, Martin B.; Khalil, Ayman (June 21, 2013). "Banning WMD from the Middle East". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 
  35. ^ Walker, Paul. "How to Destroy Chemical Weapons". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved September 13, 2013. 
  36. ^ Blair, Charles (August 26, 2013). "The Chemical Weapons of Syria". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 
  37. ^ Suzuki, Tatsujiro. "Suzuki's Fukushima Updates". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved October 26, 2013. 
  38. ^ Brenner, Joel (September–October 2013). "Eyes Wide Shut: The Growing Threat of Cyber Attacks on Industrial Control Systems" (pdf). Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 69 (5): 15–20. doi:10.1177/0096340213501372. 
  39. ^ Carlson, Robert. "From National Security to Natural Security". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved December 11, 2013. 
  40. ^ Bulletin Staff. "Undergraduate Fellowships". The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 
  41. ^ "Bulletin Staff". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved 2013-07-20. 
  42. ^ "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists". Sage Journals. Retrieved 2013-07-20. 
  43. ^ "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists". Google Books (Educational Foundation For Nuclear Science, Inc). 
  44. ^ "1945-1998 Bulletin backfile available via Google Books". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. December 10, 2008. Archived from the original on 2008-12-12. 
  45. ^ "Feeds". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Retrieved September 7, 2013. 
  46. ^ "Bulletin magazine goes all-digital in 2009". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. November 19, 2008. Archived from the original on 2008-12-19. 

External links[edit]