Saanich—Gulf Islands

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Saanich—Gulf Islands
Flag of British Columbia.svg British Columbia electoral district
Saanich—Gulf Islands.png
Saanich—Gulf Islands based on other Vancouver Island federal electoral districts.
Federal electoral district
Legislature House of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Elizabeth May
Green
District created 1987
First contested 1988
Last contested 2011
District webpage profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1] 116,749
Electors (2011) 91,822
Area (km²)[1] 504.01
Pop. density (per km²) 231.6
Census divisions Capital
Census subdivisions Saanich, Central Saanich, Sidney, North Saanich, Capital F, Capital G

Saanich—Gulf Islands is a federal electoral district in British Columbia, Canada, that has been represented in the Canadian House of Commons since 1988. It is named for its geographical location across the Gulf Islands and Saanich Peninsula in the Vancouver Island region.

Demographics[edit]

More than 21 per cent of the residents are immigrants, and more than 19 per cent are older than 65, making this the riding with the third largest senior population in Canada. The riding has a median age of 48.3, making it the riding with the highest median age in Canada.[2] The average family income is $70,814; unemployment is 5.9 per cent.

Geography[edit]

The riding of Saanich—Gulf Islands consists of the north part of the Municipality of Saanich, as well as the municipalities of Central Saanich, North Saanich, and Sidney on Vancouver Island. The district also includes a number of the southern Gulf Islands, including Salt Spring Island, the Pender Islands, Galiano Island, Mayne Island and Saturna Island. The district's southeastern border runs along the University of Victoria.

History[edit]

The electoral district was created in 1987 from Esquimalt—Saanich and Cowichan—Malahat—The Islands ridings.

In the 2008 election, there were allegations of electoral fraud around Gary Lunn's campaign.[3]

Members of Parliament[edit]

This riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Esquimalt—Saanich and Cowichan—Malahat—The Islands prior to 1987
34th 1988–1993     Lynn Hunter New Democratic
35th 1993–1997     Jack Frazer Reform
36th 1997–2000     Gary Lunn Reform
2000     Canadian Alliance
37th 2000–2003
2003–2004     Conservative
38th 2004–2006
39th 2006–2008
40th 2008–2011
41st 2011–present     Elizabeth May Green

Political geography[edit]

Despite the usually close vote between the various parties, the Canadian Alliance, Reform and Conservative parties have consistently won here for the past decade. Since 1953, the riding and its predecessor, Esquimalt-Saanich, have only gone to a non-conservative candidate three times: 1968 to Liberal David Anderson, in 1988 to New Democrat Lynn Hunter, and in 2011 to Green party leader Elizabeth May. The 1988 Conservative loss is attributed to vote splitting between the Progressive Conservatives and the new Reform party.

Current Member of Parliament[edit]

Its Member of Parliament is Green Party leader Elizabeth May. She was elected in 2011 and is the first Green MP to be elected to the House of Commons. She defeated Conservative Incumbent and cabinet minister Gary Lunn.

Future[edit]

The 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution concluded that the electoral boundaries of Saanich—Gulf Islands should be adjusted, and a modified electoral district of the same name will be contested in future elections.[4] The redefined Saanich—Gulf Islands loses a small portion of its current territory in the urbanized portion of Saanich to the new district of Saanich—Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca. These new boundaries will be legally defined in the 2013 representation order, which is likely to come into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for October 2015. In the unlikely event an election is called prior to April 2014, the current electoral boundaries would remain in effect.[5]

Election results[edit]

Canadian federal election, 2011: Saanich—Gulf Islands
Party Candidate Votes % ±pp Expenditures
Green Elizabeth May 31,890 46.33 +35.88 $87,738
Conservative Gary Lunn 24,544 35.66 -7.77 $89,604
New Democratic Edith Loring-Kuhanga 8,185 11.89 +6.20 $66,273
Liberal Renée Hetherington 4,208 6.11 -33.25 $50,002
Total valid votes/Expense limit 68,827 100.00 $293,617
Total rejected ballots 160
Turnout 68,987 75.25
Eligible voters 91,673
     Green Party gain from Conservative Swing


Canadian federal election, 2008: Saanich—Gulf Islands
Party Candidate Votes % ±pp
Conservative Gary Lunn 27,988 43.43 +6.28
Liberal Briony Penn 25,367 39.36 +13.28
Green Andrew Lewis 6,732 10.45 +0.51
New Democratic Julian West 3,667 5.69 -20.85
Libertarian Dale P. Leier 246 0.38
Western Block Patricia O'Brien 195 0.3 +0.03
Canadian Action Jeremy Arney 139 0.2
Christian Heritage Dan Moreau 114 0.2
Total valid votes 64,448 100.00%

Julian West was selected as the New Democratic Party candidate for the 2008 election, but withdrew after the filing deadline following a scandal.[6] Because of the late withdrawal his name did appear on the ballot.


Canadian federal election, 2006: Saanich—Gulf Islands
Party Candidate Votes % ±pp Expenditures
Conservative Gary Lunn 24,416 37.15% +2.58 $80,272
New Democratic Jennifer Burgis 17,455 26.54% +4.96 $50,412
Liberal Sheila Orr 17,144 26.08% -0.70 $79,489
Green Andrew Lewis 6,533 9.94% -6.77 $19,061
Western Block Patricia O'Brien 183 0.27% $0
Total valid votes 65,721 100.00
Total rejected ballots 134 0.20
Turnout 65,855 73.2


Canadian federal election, 2004: Saanich—Gulf Islands
Party Candidate Votes % ±pp Expenditures
Conservative Gary Lunn 22,050 34.57% -18.86 $81,613
Liberal David Mulroney 17,082 26.78% -5.51 $61,819
New Democratic Jennifer Burgis 13,763 21.58% +13.56 $40,318
Green Andrew Lewis 10,662 16.71% +11.20 $79,731
Independent Mary Moreau 214 0.33% $12
Total valid votes 63,771 100.00%
Total rejected ballots 159 0.25%
Turnout 63,930 73.97%

Conservative change is from a combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative votes.


Canadian federal election, 2000: Saanich—Gulf Islands
Party Candidate Votes % ±pp Expenditures
Alliance Gary Lunn 25,392 43.15% +0.09 $61,497
Liberal Karen Knott 19,002 32.29% +0.82 $63,669
Progressive Conservative Don Page 6,049 10.28% +2.76 $10,385
New Democratic Pat O'Neill 4,721 8.02% -6.31 $9,666
Green Wally Du Temple 3,243 5.51% +2.77 $7,217
Natural Law Kathleen Lapeyrouse 217 0.36% -0.07 $100
Independent Dan Moreau 123 0.20%
Communist Charley Stimac 88 0.14% $189
Total valid votes 58,835 100.00%
Total rejected ballots 165 0.28%
Turnout 59,000 70.60%


Canadian federal election, 1997: Saanich—Gulf Islands
Party Candidate Votes % ±pp Expenditures
Reform Gary Lunn 24,275 43.06% +5.91 $61,075
Liberal Clark Roberts 17,742 31.47% +5.45 $59,743
New Democratic Chuck Beyer 8,080 14.33% -4.53 $29,672
Progressive Conservative Marilyn Loveless 4,243 7.52% -4.00 $23,349
Green Julia Lerner 1,546 2.74% $745
Natural Law Andy Guest 248 0.43% -0.31 $321
Canadian Action Valerie Rampone 234 0.41% $4,335
Total valid votes 56,368 100.00%
Total rejected ballots 181 0.32%
Turnout 56,549 74.26%
Canadian federal election, 1993
Party Candidate Votes % ±pp
Reform Jack Frazer 26,016 37.15 +24.67
Liberal Alex Phillips 18,226 26.02 +8.40
New Democratic Lynn Hunter 13,207 18.86 -16.54
Progressive Conservative Marilyn Loveless 8,070 11.52 -21.94
National Judith Rayburn 3,730 5.33
Natural Law Andy Guest 521 0.74
Independent C.R. Bob Ward 215 0.31
Canada Party Arleigh Rolind 52 0.07
Total valid votes 70,037 100.00
Canadian federal election, 1988
Party Candidate Votes %
New Democratic Lynn Hunter 23,168 35.40
Progressive Conservative Patrick D. Crofton 21,900 33.46
Liberal Kathryn Clout 11,534 17.62
Reform Bob Slavick 8,165 12.48
Independent Patrick Kelly 216 0.33
Libertarian William St. John Buckler 214 0.33
Independent Doug Christie 172 0.26
Communist Ernie Knott 78 0.12
Total valid votes 65,447 100.00

See also[edit]

References[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b Stastistics Canada: 2012
  2. ^ "Census « Pundits' Guide to Canadian Federal Elections". Punditsguide.ca. Retrieved 2010-05-13. 
  3. ^ Colonist, Times (2008-10-30). "Saanich-Gulf Islands election tactics under microscope". Canada.com. Retrieved 2010-05-13. 
  4. ^ Final Report – British Columbia 
  5. ^ Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts 
  6. ^ Colonist, Times (2008-09-24). "Departure of NDP candidate throws race wide open". Canada.com. Retrieved 2010-05-13. 

External links[edit]

Coordinates: 48°41′42″N 123°24′11″W / 48.695°N 123.403°W / 48.695; -123.403