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42nd Canadian federal election

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42nd Canadian federal election
Canada
2011 ←
members
Tentatively scheduled for October 19, 2015 (2015-10-19) → 43rd

338 seats in the House of Commons of Canada
170 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Stephen-Harper-Cropped-2014-02-18.jpg Tom-Mulcair-Cropped-2014-05-08.jpg Justin Trudeau 2014-1.jpg
Leader Stephen Harper Thomas Mulcair Justin Trudeau
Party Conservative New Democratic Liberal
Leader since March 20, 2004 March 24, 2012 April 14, 2013
Leader's seat Calgary Southwest
running in Calgary Heritage
Outremont Papineau
Last election 166 seats, 39.62% 103 seats, 30.63% 34 seats, 18.91%
Current seats 159 95 36

 
BQ
Elizabeth May 2a.jpg
FD
Leader Mario Beaulieu Elizabeth May Jean-François Fortin
Party Bloc Québécois Green Forces et Démocratie
Leader since June 25, 2014 August 27, 2006 October 21, 2014
Leader's seat Running in La Pointe-de-l'Île Saanich—Gulf Islands Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia
running in Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia
Last election 4 seats, 6.04% 1 seat, 3.91% pre-creation
Current seats 2 2 2

Incumbent Prime Minister

Stephen Harper
Conservative

The 42nd Canadian general election, to elect members to the House of Commons of Canada of the 42nd Parliament of Canada, is scheduled to occur on October 19, 2015.[1]

Amendment to the Canada Elections Act[edit]

As set forth in the Canada Elections Act,[2][3] a general election is to be held on the third Monday of October in the fourth calendar year following the polling day for the preceding general election.[4] As such, the election for the 42nd Canadian parliament is to take place on October 19, 2015.

The Canada Elections Act, however, does not affect the power of the Governor General of Canada to call an election at any time prior to that date.[2][5] Such an act of the royal prerogative is carried out on the advice of the prime minister, which, by convention, the governor general must almost always follow.

If the date set for the election conflicts with another Canadian provincial, territorial, or municipal election, or a cultural or religious holiday, the Chief Electoral Officer may recommend to the Governor-in-Council that the election be moved one day or one week later. If the date of the election is to be moved, it must be ordered by the Governor-in-Council no later than August 1, 2015.[2] Municipal elections for cities, towns and villages are scheduled for the same day in Nunavut (1) and the Northwest Territories (6).[6]

2012 federal electoral redistribution[edit]

As set forth in the Fair Representation Act,[7] which received Royal Assent and came into force on December 16, 2011, the number of seats in the House of Commons to be contested in the 42nd Canadian federal election will be 338, an increase of thirty seats from the current 308 seats that make up the House of Commons of the 41st Parliament.[8]

Current standings[edit]

e • d  Summary of the current standings of the House of Commons of Canada
Party Party leader Seats
2011 Current
Conservative Stephen Harper 166 159
New Democratic Thomas Mulcair 103 95
Liberal Justin Trudeau 34 36
  Independent 0 8
Bloc Québécois Mario Beaulieu 4 2
Green Elizabeth May 1 2
  Forces et Démocratie Jean-François Fortin * 2
  Vacant 4
Total 308 308

Timeline[edit]

2015[edit]

Leadership elections: 2011-15[edit]

Candidates by party[edit]

Articles on parties' candidates for the 42nd election:

Incumbent MPs who will not run for re-election[edit]

Opinion polls[edit]

Evolution of voting intentions since the 41st Canadian federal election on May 2, 2011. Points represent results of individual polls. Trend lines represent three-poll moving averages.

Leaders' Debates[edit]

Traditionally, party leaders participated in two televised debates during the federal election - once in English and once in French. These debates were produced by a consortium of major television broadcasters, including CBC, Radio-Canada, CTV and Global.[63] In May 2015, the Conservatives said they would not participate in the traditional leaders’ debates and instead would take part in as many as five independently staged debates in the run-up to the fall federal election.[63] The Conservatives have accepted proposals for Stephen Harper to participate in two debates, one in French hosted by TVA and one in English hosted by Rogers/Macleans/CityTV.[64] The New Democratic Party confirmed that their leader, Tom Mulcair has accepted every invitation so far, including TVA, Rogers/Maclean's and Up For Debate, a coalition of women's groups calling for a nationally broadcast leaders' debate on issues identified by women.[65] Currently, Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party have made no commitments to debate beyond the broadcast consortium.[64]

Proposed debates:

Subject Organizer Confirmed Participants Date Notes
General Macleans Magazine, Rogers, and CityTV[64] Conservatives;[64] NDP,[64] Greens[66] "as early as August"[67] English language debate.
Economy Globe and Mail and Google Canada[68] Conservatives; NDP [68] To be determined English language debate. The event will be open to all media and will be live streamed on globeandmail.com, in partnership with Google Canada, and distributed through YouTube.[68]
Foreign Policy Munk School of Global Affairs[66] Conservatives; NDP [68] To be determined English language debate.[68] Invitations limited to officially recognised parties in the House of Commons (at least 10 seats).[66]
General TVA Conservative;[64] NDP[64] To be determined French language debate.
General Broadcast Consortium English Debate NDP;[67] Liberals;[67] Greens[67] To be determined English language debate. Conservative have stated they will not participate in the Broadcast Consortium debate.[67][69]
General Broadcast Consortium French Debate NDP;[67] Liberals;[67] Greens;[67] Bloc[69] To be determined French language debate. Conservative have stated they will not participate in the Broadcast Consortium debates, but later indicated willingness to participate in a French language debate produced by the consortium[67][69]
Women's Issues Up For Debate[70] NDP;[71] Greens[71] To be determined Focused on issues identified by an alliance of women's organizations.[72]
Elderly Issues Canadian Association of Retired Persons[73] NDP;[73]
Economy Bloomberg News[74] To be determined English language debate. Bloomberg News approached the Conservatives, NDP, and Liberals.[74]
General Hugffington Post, Twitter Canada, and Samara Canada[75] To be determined

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/election-2015-will-harper-spring-forward-or-fall-back-on-fixed-date-1.2776175
  2. ^ a b c Amendment to Canada Elections Act, Queen's Printer for Canada, November 6, 2006, archived from the original on June 29, 2011, retrieved July 29, 2011 
  3. ^ Canada Elections Act, S.C. 2000, c.9., as Amended, Queen's Printer for Canada, October 1, 2014, retrieved January 15, 2015 
  4. ^ "Fixed-Date Elections In Canada". Parliament of Canada. Retrieved May 4, 2011. 
  5. ^ Department of Justice (January 14, 2015), Constitution Act, 1982, retrieved January 15, 2015
  6. ^ "2015 Elections". Government of Canada. Retrieved January 17, 2015. 
  7. ^ "Fair Representation Act, S.C. 2011, c. 26". laws.justice.gc.ca. Queen's Printer for Canada. December 16, 2011. Retrieved January 17, 2015. 
  8. ^ "30 more MPs for rebalanced House of Commons". CBC.ca. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 26 October 2011. Retrieved 8 June 2014. 
  9. ^ "NDP's Glenn Thibeault 'proud' to defect to Ontario Liberals". CBC News. December 16, 2014. Retrieved December 16, 2014. 
  10. ^ "Thibeault, Glenn". Parliament of Canada. Retrieved January 17, 2015. 
  11. ^ "Eve Adams, former Conservative MP, to join Liberal Party". CBC News. February 9, 2015. Retrieved February 9, 2015. 
  12. ^ "John Baird, former foreign affairs minister, resigning as MP March 16". CBC News. March 11, 2015. Retrieved March 11, 2015. 
  13. ^ "B.C. MP James Lunney leaving Conservative caucus". CTV News. Retrieved 31 March 2015. 
  14. ^ "Barrie MP Patrick Brown resigns seat as he shifts to lead provincial PCs". Ottawa Citizen. May 13, 2015. Retrieved May 18, 2015. 
  15. ^ July 2013 "Calgary Conservative MP Diane Ablonczy joins 2015 exodus, won't run again". Winnipeg Free Press. 4 July 2013. 
  16. ^ a b Funke, Alice (April 22, 2014). "UPDATED: Fifteen MP Retirements and Their Impact in 2015". Pundits Guide. Retrieved April 22, 2014. 
  17. ^ "Which MPs could be in or out next year?". Toronto Star. December 26, 2014. Retrieved December 27, 2014. 
  18. ^ "MP Ray Boughen will not seek re-election". Global News. 27 April 2013. Retrieved 30 April 2014. 
  19. ^ "GARRY BREITKREUZ NOT SEEKING 8TH TERM". 7 April 2014. Retrieved 17 April 2014. 
  20. ^ Rabson, Mia (7 January 2015). "Bruinooge says he won't run in next election". Winnipeg Free Press. Retrieved 7 January 2015. 
  21. ^ Morden, Paul (14 November 2014). "MP planning to step aside after what will be 35 years in politics". Sarnia Observer. Retrieved 14 November 2014. 
  22. ^ "Tory MP Barry Devolin won't seek re-election". Mississauga.com. 14 November 2013. Retrieved 14 November 2013. 
  23. ^ a b "Christian Paradis, Shelly Glover, federal ministers, won't seek re-election". April 3, 2014. Retrieved April 3, 2015. 
  24. ^ "Longtime Edmonton MP Peter Goldring won’t seek re-election in 2015". Edmonton Journal. September 8, 2014. Retrieved September 9, 2014. 
  25. ^ "Harris not seeking re-election, endorses Doherty". The Prince George Citizen. October 25, 2014. Retrieved October 28, 2014. 
  26. ^ "So long, Laurie Hawn: Edmonton MP says he won't run in 2015 election". CBC News. March 10, 2014. Retrieved March 10, 2014. 
  27. ^ "Surrey Tory MP Russ Hiebert won't seek re-election". Surrey Now. February 20, 2014. Retrieved February 24, 2014. 
  28. ^ "B.C. Conservative MP Randy Kamp won’t seek re-election". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved February 1, 2015. 
  29. ^ "MP Gerald Keddy announces he will not seek 2015 re-election". CBC News. May 26, 2014. Retrieved May 26, 2014. 
  30. ^ "Greg Kerr won’t re-offer in next federal election". Nova News Now. April 26, 2014. Retrieved April 28, 2014. 
  31. ^ "Souris-Moose Mountain MP Komarnicki will not seek re-election in 2015". Estevan Mercury. March 6, 2013. Retrieved March 10, 2013. 
  32. ^ "Okanagan-Shuswap MP won't seek re-election". Vernon Morning Star. April 12, 2014. Retrieved April 24, 2014. 
  33. ^ "Rick Norlock will not be Candidate for 2015 election". Conservative Party of Canada Northumberland-Peterborough South Electoral District. August 16, 2014. Retrieved August 18, 2014. 
  34. ^ Rana, Abbas (May 19, 2014). "Conservative MP O’Connor won’t seek re-election, Sen. White might run". The Hill Times. Retrieved May 19, 2014. 
  35. ^ Gallant, Collin (July 4, 2014). "Payne will not run again". Medicine Hat News. Retrieved July 22, 2014. 
  36. ^ "Veteran MP Joe Preston won't run in 2015 federal election". CTV News. June 29, 2014. Retrieved June 29, 2014. 
  37. ^ "Perth-Wellington MP Schellenberger to retire, not seek re-election". CTV News. September 25, 2014. Retrieved September 26, 2014. 
  38. ^ "Joy Smith leaving federal politics". The Winnipeg Free Press. Retrieved January 13, 2015. 
  39. ^ Cullen, Catherine (August 22, 2014). "Brian Storseth, critical of temporary foreign worker changes, won't run in 2015". CBC News. Retrieved August 22, 2014. 
  40. ^ "Vellacott won’t run again". The StarPhoenix. July 25, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2013. 
  41. ^ "MP Alex Atamanenko will not run for another term". The Castlegar Source. October 29, 2013. Retrieved October 29, 2013. 
  42. ^ "Jeanne LeBer MP Tyrone Benskin loses nomination in Ville Marie-Le Sud Ouest-Ile-des-Soeurs". March 30, 2015. Retrieved March 30, 2015. 
  43. ^ "Number of MPs not seeking re-election continues to grow". Ottawa Citizen. September 10, 2014. Retrieved September 18, 2014. 
  44. ^ "Chris Charlton won't run for Hamilton Mountain MP again". CBC. December 5, 2014. Retrieved December 7, 2014. 
  45. ^ "NDP's Joe Comartin will not seek re-election". CBC News. June 26, 2014. Retrieved June 26, 2014. 
  46. ^ "Jean Crowder, Veteran B.C. NDP MP, Says She Won't Run Again". The Huffington Post Canada. January 23, 2014. Retrieved January 23, 2014. 
  47. ^ "Libby Davies, NDP deputy leader, won't run in 2015". CBC News. December 12, 2014. Retrieved December 12, 2014. 
  48. ^ Hazlewood, Julianne (January 9, 2015). "NDP MP Yvon Godin won't run in the next election". CBC News. Retrieved January 9, 2015. 
  49. ^ "Le député Pierre Jacob ne se représentera pas". Le Devoir. March 20, 2015. Retrieved March 20, 2015. 
  50. ^ La Haye, Dominique (February 6, 2015). "Élections fédérales de 2015: Alexandrine Latendresse ne sera pas candidate". Le Journal de Montreal. Retrieved February 6, 2015. 
  51. ^ "Le député Morin battu à l'investiture du NPD". Retrieved March 1, 2015. 
  52. ^ "Pas de nouveau mandat pour Marie-Claude Morin". La Voix de l'Est. July 2, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014. 
  53. ^ "Gerry Byrne ready to pull the trigger on provincial politics". CBC. September 22, 2014. Retrieved September 23, 2014. 
  54. ^ "Irwin Cotler To Retire: Liberal MP Won't Run In Next Election". The Huffington Post Canada. February 5, 2014. Retrieved February 5, 2014. 
  55. ^ "Ted Hsu, Liberal Kingston MP, won't seek re-election". CBC News. August 7, 2014. Retrieved August 7, 2014. 
  56. ^ "Liberal MP Frank Valeriote won't run in next federal election". CTV News. November 14, 2014. Retrieved November 15, 2014. 
  57. ^ "Bloc Quebecois to lose another MP". Sun News Network. August 19, 2014. Retrieved August 20, 2014. 
  58. ^ Noik, Sherry (March 19, 2015). "Suspended Liberal MP Scott Andrews says he won't seek re-election". Toronto Sun. Retrieved March 25, 2015. 
  59. ^ "MP André Bellavance leaves Bloc Québécois Will spend the rest of his term as an independent". Montreal Gazette. August 25, 2014. Retrieved August 25, 2014. 
  60. ^ Quebec NDP MP Sana Hassainia defects over Mideast position by Susana Mas, CBC News, Aug 20, 2014.
  61. ^ "James Lunney Quits: Conservative MP Won't Seek Re-Election". The Huffington Post Canada. October 11, 2013. Retrieved October 12, 2013. 
  62. ^ "Suspended MP Massimo Pacetti won't seek re-election". CTV News. March 18, 2015. Retrieved March 18, 2015. 
  63. ^ a b http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/broadcasters-fight-back-against-federal-leaders-debate-changes/article24442646/
  64. ^ a b c d e f g http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/05/12/conservatives-turn-down-traditional-tv-debates-for-leaders.html
  65. ^ http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/federal-election-2015-conservatives-shake-up-debates-with-pre-campaign-plan-1.3070684
  66. ^ a b c http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/federal-election-2015-munk-debates-wins-bid-to-host-foreign-policy-face-off-1.3081976
  67. ^ a b c d e f g h i http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/federal-conservatives-wont-take-part-in-traditional-debates/article24389767/
  68. ^ a b c d e http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/conservatives-ndp-agree-to-globe-election-debate-on-economy/article24510188/
  69. ^ a b c http://globalnews.ca/news/2010151/canadas-broadcasters-to-host-debates-with-ndp-liberals-greens-and-bloc/
  70. ^ http://upfordebate.ca/our-vision
  71. ^ a b http://upfordebate.ca/campaign-news/are-stephen-harper-and-justin-trudeau-debate
  72. ^ http://upfordebate.ca/
  73. ^ a b http://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2015/05/21/conservative-debate-dance-card-nearly-full-with-four-match-ups/#.VV4KBk_pdBc
  74. ^ a b http://www.canada.com/News/canada/Gargoyle+Another+media+organization+jumps+election+debate+fray/11055621/story.html
  75. ^ http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/kenny-yum/leaders-debate_b_7346668.html

External links[edit]