2012 Japanese general election: Difference between revisions

Japanese general election, 2012

← 2009

16 December 2012

All 480 seats to the House of Representatives of Japan
241 seats needed for a majority


Leader	Yoshihiko Noda	Shinzō Abe	Ichirō Ozawa
Party	Democratic	Liberal Democratic	People's Life First
Leader since	29 August 2011	26 September 2012	11 July 2012
Leader's seat	Chiba-4th	Yamaguchi-4th	Iwate-4th
Last election	308 seats 47.43% (votes) 42.41% (block)	119 seats 38.68% (votes) 26.73% (block)	new party
Current seats	243 seats	117 seats	46 seats

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Incumbent Prime Minister

Yoshihiko Noda
Democratic

The next Japanese general election will be held on 16 December 2012.^[1] It will see voting take place in all Representatives constituencies of Japan including proportional blocks, in order to appoint Members of Diet to seats in the House of Representatives, the lower house of the National Diet of Japan. This will be the 46th general election of members of the House of Representatives (第46回衆議院議員総選挙, dai-yonjūrokkai Shūgiin giin sōsenkyo) in Japan since 1890.

In July 2012 it was reported that the deputy prime minister Katsuya Okada had approached the Liberal Democratic Party to sound them out about dissolving the house of representatives and holding the election in January 2013.^[2] An agreement was reached in August that will dissolve the Diet and hold early elections "shortly" following the passage of a bill that will raise the national consumption tax.^[3]

Background

Following the 2009 election, the Democratic Party of Japan, led by Yukio Hatoyama, governed for the first time since World War II. Due to the characteristics of the Japanese election system, DPJ candidates won 308 seats in the Lower House (64.2% of seats), enabling Hatoyama to become prime minister. Since then, Japan has had two other prime ministers, Naoto Kan and Yoshihiko Noda. On 16 November, Noda dissolved parliament, thus allowing for a new election in a month's time. He cited the lack of funds to carry on the functions of government and the need for an emergency budget.

Approval ratings

Graph of poll results since 2009

Democratic

Liberal Democratic

New Komeito

Communist

Social Democratic

Your Party

Others incl. NPN, PNP, NRP and SP

No Party

Source: NHK

Parties approval ratings from August to December 2009

Date	DPJ	LDP	NKP	YP	JCP	SDP	Other	No Party	Undecided
19–20 August (after GE)	42.0%	18.9%	2.2%	0.2%	1.2%	2.7%	2.0%	26.0%	4.3%
10–12 October	39.7%	16.7%	3.8%	0.2%	0.8%	3.0%	0.3%	29.1%	5.9%
6–8 November	37.7%	14.1%	3.8%	0.5%	1.6%	1.6%	0.3%	33.8%	6.3%
11–13 December	35.6%	17.1%	1.6%	0.2%	2.3%	1.2%	0.3%	34.6%	5.8%

Parties approval ratings from 2010

Date	DPJ	LDP	NKP	YP	JCP	SDP	Other	No Party	Undecided
9–11 January	34.9%	18.3%	3.3%	1.2%	1.9%	0.8%	0.6%	33.8%	5.2%
5–7 February	30.0%	18.2%	2.3%	1.2%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%	37.6%	6.2%
5–7 March	25.8%	17.1%	2.7%	3.5%	2.1%	1.0%	0.5%	41.7%	5.6%
9–11 April	22.2%	16.1%	3.6%	2.9%	2.5%	1.1%	1.0%	44.4%	6.2%
5–7 May	20.8%	17.9%	3.0%	3.1%	2.2%	0.9%	1.8%	44.4%	7.0%
11–13 May (Before Kan)	30.7%	17.0%	3.8%	1.9%	2.8%	1.8%	1.2%	35.2%	5.7%
11–13 June	34.3%	15.8%	2.9%	2.7%	1.6%	1.5%	0.9%	32.7%	7.6%
17–19 July	29.8%	20.1%	3.2%	8.6%	2.7%	1.4%	0.7%	27.4%	6.1%
6–8 August	28.9%	19.5%	3.1%	7.4%	2.3%	0.7%	0.4%	30.4%	7.3%
18–20 September	36.2%	18.8%	3.2%	4.2%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%	29.5%	5.2%
9–11 October	29.6%	21.5%	2.6%	4.2%	1.8%	1.0%	0.4%	33.6%	5.3%
5–7 November	24.1%	22.1%	3.3%	4.6%	2.9%	0.2%	0.7%	35.9%	6.2%
10–12 December	21.3%	22.6%	3.1%	3.2%	2.6%	1.2%	0.6%	39.0%	6.4%

Parties approval ratings from 2011

Date	DPJ	LDP	NKP	JCP	SDP	YP	Other	No Party	Undecided
8–10 January	21.9%	22.0%	2.9%	3.7%	1.8%	1.4%	0.3%	40.7%	5.3%
11–13 February	20.2%	21.7%	3.9%	2.9%	2.3%	1.0%	0.6%	42.1%	5.5%
15–17 April	19.2%	23.3%	2.8%	2.7%	2.2%	0.8%	0.4%	41.9%	6.7%
13–15 May	17.6%	22.6%	3.7%	1.8%	2.6%	0.7%	0.8%	45.2%	5.0%
10–12 June	20.4%	21.1%	4.5%	2.3%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	43.1%	6.0%
8–10 July	13.6%	23.4%	3.4%	2.8%	2.2%	1.0%	0.2%	46.2%	7.2%
5–7 August	16.4%	25.0%	3.0%	2.7%	2.7%	0.8%	0.4%	42.8%	6.3%
9–11 September	24.9%	19.1%	2.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.0%	0.1%	44.1%	4.7%
8–10 October	22.6%	18.4%	4.1%	2.2%	1.9%	1.5%	0.3%	42.6%	6.4%
11–13 November	20.9%	20.4%	3.3%	2.9%	1.6%	1.1%	0.1%	42.9%	6.7%
9–11 December	16.9%	18.3%	3.4%	4.4%	1.8%	0.7%	0.8%	45.5%	8.3%

Parties approval ratings from 2012

Date	DPJ	LDP	NKP	JCP	SDP	YP	Other	No Party	Undecided
7–9 January	18.5%	18.3%	3.7%	2.7%	2.0%	0.7%	1.0%	46.1%	7.2%
10–12 February	17.6%	16.9%	3.1%	2.9%	1.6%	0.6%	0.8%	49.4%	7.2%
9–11 March	18.1%	17.2%	2.9%	2.9%	2.6%	1.1%	1.1%	48.7%	5.4%
6–8 April	16.7%	18.8%	2.8%	1.2%	2.2%	0.8%	1.5%	49.2%	6.8%
11–13 May	18.4%	19.9%	3.8%	1.1%	0.5%	2.2%	1.5%	47.1%	5.6%
8–10 June	16.9%	20.9%	2.4%	1.7%	0.3%	2.7%	1.3%	47.3%	6.6%
6–8 July	15.2%	19.8%	2.9%	1.7%	0.3%	1.1%	0.7%	52.0%	6.3%
10–12 August	14.3%	23.9%	3.0%	2.4%	0.1%	2.1%	0.9%	45.9%	6.6%
7–9 September	16.7%	20.1%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%	1.3%	2.3%	45.2%	6.9%
6–8 October	13.8%	26.2%	2.8%	1.6%	0.4%	1.2%	3.4%	45.2%	5.4%
9-11 November	12.7%	25.0%	3.0%	2.0%	0.5%	1.2%	3.0%	45.2%	7.4%

Graph of the current Cabinet Approval/Disapproval Ratings

Current polling

Party polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Undecided	No party or declined	DPJ	LDP	JRP	NKP	JCP	YP	SDP	LF
Poll source	Date(s) administered	Undecided	No party or declined	bgcolor=Template:Democratic Party of Japan/meta/color \|	bgcolor=Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color \|	bgcolor=Template:Japan Restoration Party/meta/color \|	bgcolor=Template:New Komeito Party/meta/color \|	bgcolor=Template:Japanese Communist Party/meta/color \|	bgcolor=Template:Your Party/meta/color \|	bgcolor=Template:Social Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color \|	bgcolor=Template:People's Life First/meta/color \|
Asahi Shimbun	15–16 November 2012	44%	60%	16%	23%	6%	3%	2%	2%	1%	1%

PM polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered
		bgcolor=Template:Democratic Party of Japan/meta/color \|	bgcolor=Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color \|
		Noda DPJ	Abe LDP
Asahi Shimbun	15–16 November 2012	31%	33%

References

^ Reynolds, Isabel; Hirokawa, Takashi (14 November 2012). "Japan Prepares for Election With Ruling Party Poised for Defeat". Bloomberg. Retrieved 14 November 2012.
^ "Okada eyes Jan. dissolution of lower house". The Daily Yomuiri. Jiji Press. 30 July 2012. Retrieved 14 November 2012.
^ Harlan, Chico (18 August 2012). "In Japan, new taxes levy political toll on Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda". The Washington Post. Retrieved 20 August 2012.

v t e Elections in Japan
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Councillors elections	1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025
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Supreme Court retention elections	1949 1952 1955 1958 1960 1963 1967 1969 1972 1976 1979 1980 1983 1986 1990 1993 1996 2000 2003 2005 2009 2012 2014 2017 2021 2025
See also: Gubernatorial elections Prefectural Assembly elections

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 {{Infobox Election
-| election_name      = Next Japanese general election
+| election_name      = Japanese general election, 2012
 | country            = Japan
 | type               = parliamentary

Revision as of 18:21, 18 November 2012