2024 Inala state by-election: Difference between revisions
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| country = Queensland |
| country = Queensland |
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| type = parliamentary |
| type = parliamentary |
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| ongoing = |
| ongoing = no |
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| election_date = 16 March 2024 |
| election_date = 16 March 2024 |
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| seats_for_election = [[Electoral district of Inala]] in the [[Queensland Legislative Assembly]] |
| seats_for_election = [[Electoral district of Inala]] in the [[Queensland Legislative Assembly]] |
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| candidate1 = {{nowrap|Margie Nightingale}} |
| candidate1 = {{nowrap|Margie Nightingale}} |
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| party1 = Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch) |
| party1 = Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch) |
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| popular_vote1 = |
| popular_vote1 = '''247''' |
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| percentage1 = |
| percentage1 = '''37.8%''' |
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| swing1 = |
| swing1 = {{decrease}} 29.7 |
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| image2 = [[File:LNP Placeholder.png|150x150px]] |
| image2 = [[File:LNP Placeholder.png|150x150px]] |
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| candidate2 = Trang Yen |
| candidate2 = Trang Yen |
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| party2 = Liberal National Party of Queensland |
| party2 = Liberal National Party of Queensland |
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| popular_vote2 = |
| popular_vote2 = 157 |
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| percentage2 = |
| percentage2 = 24.0% |
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| swing2 = |
| swing2 = {{increase}} 7.5 |
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| 1blank = [[Two-party-preferred vote|TPP]] |
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| 2blank = TPP swing |
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| 1data1 = '''54.7%''' |
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| 2data1 = {{decrease}} 23.5 |
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| 1data2 = 45.3% |
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| 2data2 = {{increase}} 23.5 |
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| map_image = [[File:ECQ-2017-Final-Inala.pdf|300px]] |
| map_image = [[File:ECQ-2017-Final-Inala.pdf|300px]] |
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| map_caption = Map of boundaries |
| map_caption = Map of boundaries |
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Revision as of 10:00, 16 March 2024
 | This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the last updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. |
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Electoral district of Inala in the Queensland Legislative Assembly | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Votes counted | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Map of boundaries | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A by-election for the electoral district of Inala in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland will be held on 16 March 2024 following the resignation of former Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk, which was announced on 10 December 2023 and took effect the following 31 December. The by-election is being held on the same day as the Ipswich West by-election and the statewide local government elections.[1]
Background
Seat details
The electoral district of Inala was established in 1990 following one vote one value electoral reforms by Wayne Goss and was contested for the first time at the 1992 Queensland state election. Throughout its existence, Inala has been a stronghold for the Queensland Labor Party. The seat was initially held by Henry Palaszczuk, who had transferred from Archerfield, and he served as Inala's Member of Parliament until the 2006 Queensland state election. At that point, his daughter, Annastacia Palaszczuk, succeeded him.
Inala has consistently been a secure seat for Labor, often holding the distinction of being the safest for the party in the state. The seat faced a notable challenge in 2012 when Annastacia Palaszczuk experienced a significant decline in her primary vote, marking the only instance since its establishment where Labor did not secure the seat outright on the primary vote. Despite a 14-point two-party swing and a reduced majority of 6.2 percent, she emerged as the leader of the remaining Labor representation and successfully led her party back to government in 2015.
Under Annastacia Palaszczuk's leadership, Inala reverted to its traditional status as a comfortably safe Labor seat. Her majority soared to 25 percent, making it the second-safest seat in the entire chamber. This substantial lead was further consolidated in the 2017 and 2020 elections, with Annastacia Palaszczuk currently holding a commanding majority of 28.1 percent, making Inala the safest seat in the state.
Demographics
Inala, located in the southwestern suburbs of Brisbane, boasts a diverse demographic profile. According to the 2021 Australian Census, the electorate's boundaries exhibits a median age of 34, lower than both the state and national averages. Notably, 18.8 percent of the electorate holds a bachelor's degree, accompanied by a personal weekly income of $659. Additionally, Inala has a significant presence of Vietnamese Australians. Approximately 15.6 percent of households utilise the Vietnamese language, and 14.4 percent of residents identify with Vietnamese ancestry.[2]
| Election | 1992 | 1995 | 1998 | 2001 | 2004 | 2006 | 2009 | 2012 | 2015 | 2017 | 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labor | 76.40% | 68.90% | 77.40% | 71.50% | 81.00% | 76.30% | 71.50% | 56.90% | 75.12% | 76.10% | 78.17% | |
| Liberal/LNP | 23.60% | 31.10% | 22.60% | — | 19.00% | 23.70% | 28.50% | 43.10% | 24.88% | 23.90% | 21.83% | |
| Independent | — | — | — | 28.50% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Government | ALP | ALP | ALP | ALP | ALP | ALP | ALP | LNP | ALP | ALP | ALP | |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labor | Annastacia Palaszczuk | 19,888 | 67.42 | −0.54 | |
| Liberal National | Miljenka Perovic | 4,879 | 16.54 | −4.15 | |
| Greens | Peter Murphy | 2,275 | 7.71 | −3.63 | |
| One Nation | Scott Reid | 1,341 | 4.55 | +4.55 | |
| Legalise Cannabis | Nigel Quinlan | 734 | 2.49 | +2.49 | |
| Independent | Terry Jones | 197 | 0.67 | +0.67 | |
| Civil Liberties & Motorists | Michael Vidal | 183 | 0.62 | +0.62 | |
| Total formal votes | 29,497 | 95.10 | +2.25 | ||
| Informal votes | 1,521 | 4.90 | −2.25 | ||
| Turnout | 31,018 | 86.85 | +0.27 | ||
| Two-party-preferred result | |||||
| Labor | Annastacia Palaszczuk | 23,057 | 78.17 | +2.07 | |
| Liberal National | Miljenka Perovic | 6,440 | 21.83 | −2.07 | |
| Labor hold | Swing | +2.07 | |||
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Background | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Linh Nguyen | ||
| Independent Democrats | Chris Simpson | Project manager and tradesman; former member of Master Builders Queensland[4] | |
| Independent Progressive | Edward Carroll | State leader of the unregistered Queensland Progressives; also endorsed by the Fusion Party[5] | |
| Legalise Cannabis | Nigel Quinlan | Candidate for Inala in 2004 (Greens) and 2020 (LCQ)[6] | |
| Liberal National | Trang Yen | Acting chief financial officer of Trade Investment Queensland; former government bureaucrat[7] | |
| Independent | Nayda Hernandez | ||
| Greens | Navdeep Singh Sidhu | ||
| Labor | Margie Nightingale | Former teacher and policy advisor to Cameron Dick | |
Labor
William Bowe from the Poll Bludger and the "Feeding the Chooks" column in The Australian, suggested Jon Persley, Annastacia Palaszczuk's deputy chief of staff, as a potential successor. However, concerns arose about representation due to the multicultural demographics of the electorate, a point highlighted by The Australian.[8] In January 2024, Persley told The Australian that he would not be contesting for preselection due to Labor's gender quota rules being a 'big factor'. Instead, the preselection is now favoured towards Margie Nightingale, a former teacher and current policy adviser to Treasurer Cameron Dick for the party.[9]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Linh Nguyen | ||||
| Independent Democrat | Chris Simpson | ||||
| Independent Progressives | Edward Carroll | ||||
| Legalise Cannabis | Nigel Quinlan | ||||
| Liberal National | Trang Yen | ||||
| Independent | Nayda Hernandez | ||||
| Greens | Navdeep Singh Sidhu | ||||
| Labor | Margie Nightingale | ||||
| Turnout | |||||
See also
References
- ^ Remeikis, Amy (10 December 2023). "Queensland premier Annastacia Palaszczuk retires from politics". Guardian Australia. Archived from the original on 12 December 2023.
- ^ Australian Bureau of Statistics (28 June 2022). "Inala". 2021 Census QuickStats. Retrieved 11 December 2023.
- ^ 2020 State General Election – Inala – District Summary, ECQ.
- ^ "Chris Simpson For Inala". Chris Simpson For Inala. Retrieved 5 February 2024.
- ^ "Fusion Backs Heath McKenzie for Dunkley By-Election". Fusion Party.
- ^ "Legalise Cannabis Queensland Party is happy to announce that Nigel Quinlan is their endorsed candidate for the Inala By Election". Twitter. Legalise Cannabis Qld.
- ^ Johnson, Hayden (2 February 2024). "Premier's bureaucrat to run for LNP in Inala as Palaszczuk dodges hustings". The Courier-Mail. Retrieved 3 February 2024.
...28-year public servant Trang Yen, who worked in the Department of State Development under Mr Miles, was on Friday endorsed as the LNP's Inala candidate.
- ^ Bowe, William (10 December 2023). "Annastacia Palaszczuk resigns". pollbludger.net. Archived from the original on 12 December 2023. Retrieved 11 December 2023.
- ^ Lynch, Lydia (1 January 2024). "Woman tipped to replace Annastacia Palaszczuk in ultra-safe Labor seat of Inala". The Australian.
