Opinion polling on Catalan independence
This page lists public opinion polls that have been conducted in relation to the issue of Catalan independence.
Polling institutions
Centre for Opinion Studies
The Centre for Opinion Studies (Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió; CEO) fell under the purview of the Economy Ministry of the Generalitat of Catalonia until early 2011. Since then it has been placed under direct control of the Presidency of the Generalitat and is currently headed by Jordi Argelaguet i Argemí. Since the second quarter of 2011, CEO has conducted polls regarding public sentiments toward independence.
Date | In favor (%) | Against (%) | Others (%) | Abstain (%) | Do not know (%) | Did not reply (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2011 2nd series[1] | 42.9 | 28.2 | 0.5 | 23.3 | 4.4 | 0.8 |
2011 3rd series[2] | 45.4 | 24.7 | 0.6 | 23.8 | 4.6 | 1.0 |
2012 1st series[3] | 44.6 | 24.7 | 1.0 | 24.2 | 4.6 | 0.9 |
2012 2nd series[4] | 51.1 | 21.1 | 1.0 | 21.1 | 4.7 | 1.1 |
2012 3rd series[5] | 57.0 | 20.5 | 0.6 | 14.3 | 6.2 | 1.5 |
2013 1st series[6] | 54.7 | 20.7 | 1.1 | 17.0 | 5.4 | 1.0 |
2013 2nd series[7] | 55.6 | 23.4 | 0.6 | 15.3 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
2014 1st seriesa | – | – | - | - | – | – |
2014 2nd series[8] | 44.5 | 45.3 | - | - | 7.5 | 2.8 |
2015 1st series[9] | 44.1 | 48.0 | - | - | 6.0 | 1.8 |
2015 2nd series[10] | 42.9 | 50.0 | - | - | 5.8 | 1.3 |
2015 3rd series[11] | 46.7 | 47.8 | - | - | 3.9 | 1.7 |
2016 1st series[12] | 45.3 | 45.5 | - | - | 7.1 | 2.1 |
2016 2nd series[13] | 47.7 | 42.4 | - | - | 8.3 | 1.7 |
2016 3rd series[14] | 44.9 | 45.1 | - | - | 7.0 | 2.9 |
2017 1st series[15] | 44.3 | 48.5 | - | - | 5.6 | 1.6 |
2017 2nd series[16] | 41.1 | 49.4 | - | - | 7.8 | 1.7 |
2017 3rd series[17] | 48.7 | 43.6 | - | - | 6.5 | 1.3 |
2018 1st series[18] | 48.0 | 43.7 | - | - | 5.7 | 2.6 |
2018 2nd series[19] | 46.7 | 44.9 | - | - | 6.7 | 1.6 |
2019 1st series[20] | 48.4 | 44.1 | - | - | 6.7 | 1.6 |
2019 2nd series[21] | 44.0 | 48.3 | - | - | 5.5 | 2.1 |
a The question was not asked in this survey; instead the two part question was asked (see below).
CEO likewise conducted polls in the 1st and 2nd series of 2014 based on the 9N independence referendum format. The questions and choices involved were:
- Do you want Catalonia to become a State? (Yes/No)
- If the answer for question 1 is in the affirmative: Do you want this State to be independent? (Yes/No)
Date | Yes + Yes (%) | Yes + No (%) | No (%) | Abstain (%) | Others (%) | Do not know/Did not reply (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 1st series[22] | 47.1 | 8.6 | 19.3 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 11.2 |
2014 2nd series[8] | 49.4 | 12.6 | 19.7 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 3.3 |
In addition, CEO performs regular polls studying opinion of Catalan citizens regarding Catalonia's political status within Spain. The following table contains the answers to the question "Which kind of political entity should Catalonia be with respect to Spain?":[23]
Date | Independent state (%) | Federal state within Spain (%) | Autonomous community within Spain (%) | Region within Spain (%) | Do not know (%) | Did not reply (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 2005 | 13.6 | 31.3 | 40.8 | 7.0 | 6.2 | 1.1 |
November 2005 | 12.9 | 35.8 | 37.6 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 1.2 |
March 2006 | 13.9 | 33.4 | 38.2 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 1.2 |
July 2006 | 14.9 | 34.1 | 37.3 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 0.7 |
October 2006 | 14.0 | 32.9 | 38.9 | 8.3 | 5.1 | 0.8 |
November 2006 | 15.9 | 32.8 | 40.0 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
March 2007 | 14.5 | 35.3 | 37.0 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 2.2 |
July 2007 | 16.9 | 34.0 | 37.3 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 1.0 |
October 2007 | 18.5 | 34.2 | 35.0 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 1.5 |
December 2007 | 17.3 | 33.8 | 37.8 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 1.0 |
January 2008 | 19.4 | 36.4 | 34.8 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
May 2008 | 17.6 | 33.4 | 38.9 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
July 2008 | 16.1 | 34.7 | 37.0 | 6.1 | 5.2 | 0.9 |
November 2008 | 17.4 | 31.8 | 38.3 | 7.1 | 4.2 | 1.2 |
February 2009[24] | 16.1 | 35.2 | 38.6 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 2.0 |
May 2009[25] | 20.9 | 35.0 | 34.9 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
July 2009[26] | 19.0 | 32.2 | 36.8 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 1.6 |
December 2009[27] | 21.6 | 29.9 | 36.9 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
2010 1st series[28] | 19.4 | 29.5 | 38.2 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
2010 2nd series[29] | 21.5 | 31.2 | 35.2 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 0.7 |
2010 3rd series[30] | 24.3 | 31.0 | 33.3 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
2010 4th series[31] | 25.2 | 30.9 | 34.7 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
2011 1st series[32] | 24.5 | 31.9 | 33.2 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
2011 2nd series[1] | 25.5 | 33.0 | 31.8 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
2011 3rd series[2] | 28.2 | 30.4 | 30.3 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
2012 1st series[3] | 29.0 | 30.8 | 27.8 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 1.8 |
2012 2nd series[4] | 34.0 | 28.7 | 25.4 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 1.3 |
2012 3rd series[5] | 44.3 | 25.5 | 19.1 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 2.2 |
2013 1st series[6] | 46.4 | 22.4 | 20.7 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 1.2 |
2013 2nd series[7] | 47.0 | 21.2 | 22.8 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
2013 3rd series[33] | 48.5 | 21.3 | 18.6 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 2.2 |
2014 1st series[22] | 45.2 | 20.0 | 23.3 | 2.6 | 6.9 | 2.0 |
2014 2nd series[8] | 45.3 | 22.2 | 23.4 | 1.8 | 6.5 | 0.9 |
2015 1st series[9] | 39.1 | 26.1 | 24.0 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 2.0 |
2015 2nd series[10] | 37.6 | 24.0 | 29.3 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
2015 3rd series[11] | 41.1 | 22.2 | 27.4 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 |
2016 1st series[12] | 38.5 | 26.3 | 25.1 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
2016 2nd series[13] | 41.6 | 20.9 | 26.5 | 4.0 | 5.6 | 1.3 |
2016 3rd series[14] | 38.9 | 23.2 | 24.1 | 5.7 | N/A | N/A |
2016 4th series[34] | 36.1 | 29.2 | 23.6 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
2017 1st series[15] | 37.3 | 21.7 | 28.5 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
2017 2nd series[16] | 34.7 | 21.7 | 30.5 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 1.7 |
2017 3rd series[17] | 40.2 | 21.9 | 27.4 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 1.2 |
2018 1st series[18] | 40.8 | 22.4 | 24.0 | 6.3 | 4.6 | 2.0 |
2018 2nd series[19] | 38.8 | 22.4 | 25.5 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 1.1 |
2019 1st series[20] | 39.7 | 21.5 | 26.3 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
2019 2nd series[21] | 34.5 | 24.5 | 27.0 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 1.6 |
Social and Political Sciences Institute of Barcelona
The Political Sciences Institute of Barcelona (Institut de Ciències Polítiques i Socials; ICPS) performed an opinion poll annually from 1989, which sometimes included a section on independence. The results are in the following table:[35]
Year | Support (%) | Against (%) | Indifferent (%) | Did not reply (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
1991 | 35 | 50 | 11 | 4 |
1992 | 31 | 53 | 11 | 5 |
1993 | 37 | 50 | 9 | 5 |
1994 | 35 | 49 | 14 | 3 |
1995 | 36 | 52 | 10 | 3 |
1996 | 29 | 56 | 11 | 4 |
1997 | 32 | 52 | 11 | 5 |
1998 | 32 | 55 | 10 | 3 |
1999 | 32 | 55 | 10 | 3 |
2000 | 32 | 53 | 13 | 3 |
2001 | 33 | 55 | 11 | 1 |
2002 | 34 | 52 | 12 | 1 |
2003[a] | 43 | 43 | 12 | 1 |
2004[a] | 39 | 44 | 13 | 3 |
2005 | 36 | 44 | 15 | 6 |
2006 | 33 | 48 | 17 | 2 |
2007 | 31.7 | 51.3 | 14.1 | 2.9 |
2011 | 41.4 | 22.9 | 26.5 | 9.2 |
a telephonic instead of door-to-door interview
Newspaper polls
Catalan newspapers El Periódico and La Vanguardia also published surveys up to 2013.
El Periódico
Date | Yes (%) | No (%) | Others (%) |
---|---|---|---|
October 2007[36] | 33.9 | 43.9 | 22.3 |
December 2009[37] | 39.0 | 40.6 | 20.4 |
June 2010[38] | 48.1 | 35.5 | 16.6 |
January 2012[39] | 53.6 | 32.0 | 14.4 |
September 2012[40] | 46.4 | 22.0 | 25.7 |
November 2012[41] | 50.9 | 36.9 | 12.2 |
November 2012[a][41] | 40.1 | 47.8 | 12.1 |
May 2013[42] | 57.8 | 36.0 | 6.3 |
a The same poll, but asking what would be the case if a yes vote would imply leaving the EU
La Vanguardia
Date | Yes (%) | No (%) | Others (%) |
---|---|---|---|
November 2009[43] | 35 | 46 | 19 |
March 2010[44] | 36 | 44 | 20 |
May 2010[45] | 37 | 41 | 22 |
July 2010[46] | 47 | 36 | 17 |
September 2010[47] | 40 | 45 | 15 |
April 2011[48] | 34 | 30 | 35 |
September 2012[49] | 54.8 | 33.5 | 10.16 |
December 2013[50] | 44.9 | 45 | 10.1 |
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