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Kotte Polling Division

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Kotte
Location of Kotte
Coordinates: 6°53′03″N 79°54′00″E / 6.884263°N 79.899926°E / 6.884263; 79.899926
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictColombo Electoral District
Area
 • Total17.06 km2 (6.59 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total107,883
 • Density6,324/km2 (16,380/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-01I

The Kotte Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kotte has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Kotte is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kotte Colombo Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.63% SLPP 2.60%
2015 NDF NDF 2.08% NDF 6.44%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.82% UPFA 5.98%
2005 UNP UNP 1.45% UPFA 1.02%
1999 PA PA 0.77% PA 0.84%
1994 PA PA 0.17% PA 2.40%
1988 SLFP UNP 5.53% UNP 6.77%
1982 UNP UNP 1.39% UNP 5.06%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 1.73% 8/8 3.89%
Party Kotte[4] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 31,853 54.56% 727,713 53.19% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 22,628 38.76% 559,921 40.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,439 4.18% 53,803 3.93% 418,553 3.16%
NPP 875 1.50% 10,335 0.76% 49,655 0.37%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 591 1.01% 16,405 1.20% 295,797 2.23%
Valid Votes 58,386 98.74% 1,368,177 98.89% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 745 1.26% 15,333 1.11% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 59,131 79.99% 1,383,510 82.82% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 73,926 1,670,403 15,992,568
Party Kotte[5] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 34,614 58.09% 725,073 55.93% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 24,663 41.39% 562,614 43.40% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 311 0.52% 8,673 0.67% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 59,588 98.83% 1,296,360 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 703 1.17% 15,334 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 60,291 80.46% 1,311,694 81.34% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 74,934 1,612,660 15,585,942
Party Kotte[6] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,125 52.17% 614,740 52.93% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 26,129 46.81% 533,022 45.90% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 571 1.02% 13,620 1.17% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 55,825 99.01% 1,161,382 99.03% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 557 0.99% 11,394 0.97% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 56,382 77.23% 1,172,776 76.09% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 73,009 1,541,242 15,734,587
Party Kotte[7] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,106 49.73% 569,627 51.12% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 26,987 49.51% 534,431 47.96% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 411 0.75% 10,192 0.91% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 54,504 99.06% 1,114,250 98.86% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 516 0.94% 12,879 1.14% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 55,020 75.09% 1,127,129 75.85% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 73,274 1,486,021 14,136,979
Party Kotte[8] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,782 49.93% 474,310 49.18% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 21,455 43.22% 425,185 44.08% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,075 4.18% 44,009 4.56% 343,927 4.08%
SMBP 763 1.54% 8,209 0.85% 35,854 0.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 561 1.13% 12,821 1.33% 140,825 1.67%
Valid Votes 49,636 96.74% 964,534 97.06% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,675 3.26% 29,197 2.94% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 51,311 72.86% 993,731 73.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 70,424 1,354,025 11,965,536
Party Kotte[9] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,646 64.66% 557,708 64.82% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 16,331 33.37% 288,741 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
SMBP 521 1.06% 6,059 0.70% 32,651 0.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 447 0.91% 7,878 0.92% 104,389 1.38%
Valid Votes 48,945 98.47% 860,386 98.17% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 762 1.53% 16,060 1.83% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 49,707 69.80% 876,446 69.59% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 71,213 1,259,484 11,158,880
Party Kotte[10] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 22,607 51.85% 339,958 46.23% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 18,834 43.19% 361,337 49.14% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 2,163 4.96% 34,020 4.63% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 43,604 98.73% 735,315 98.49% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 563 1.27% 11,295 1.51% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 44,167 65.73% 746,610 67.53% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 67,194 1,105,583 9,283,143
Party Kotte[11] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,129 59.35% 436,290 57.86% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 14,814 34.99% 274,476 36.40% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,731 4.09% 28,580 3.79% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 527 1.24% 9,655 1.28% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 140 0.33% 5,030 0.67% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 42,341 99.12% 754,031 98.95% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 374 0.88% 7,990 1.05% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 42,715 72.34% 762,021 76.88% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 59,048 991,194 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kotte has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Kotte is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kotte Colombo Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 1.43% UNP 6.20%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.51% UPFA 8.92%
2004 UPFA UNP 3.91% UPFA 5.16%
2001 UNP UNP 0.64% UNP 3.90%
2000 UNP UNP 0.69% PA 4.14%
1994 PA PA 1.97% PA 3.90%
1989 UNP UNP 6.20% UNP 4.66%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 2.34% 7/7 5.27%
Party Kotte[14] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,247 54.21% 640,743 53.04% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 20,797 37.27% 474,063 39.25% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 4,075 7.30% 81,391 6.74% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 677 1.21% 11,752 0.97% 93,045 0.84%
Valid Votes 55,796 97.38% 1,207,949 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,457 2.54% 43,372 3.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 57,300 76.47% 1,252,271 78.93% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 74,934 1,586,598 15,044,490
Party Kotte[15] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 22,799 49.42% 480,896 51.23% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 16,374 35.49% 339,750 36.19% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 6,729 14.59% 110,683 11.79% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 232 0.50% 7,292 0.78% 48,240 0.60%
Valid Votes 46,134 96.04% 938,723 94.85% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1,877 3.91% 50,354 5.09% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 48,036 65.79% 989,729 64.17% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 73,009 1,542,457 14,097,690
Party Kotte[16] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 20,070 37.61% 414,688 39.20% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 19,635 36.80% 441,841 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 13,192 24.72% 190,618 18.02% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 460 0.86% 10,713 1.01% 90,868 0.98%
Valid Votes 53,357 97.42% 1,057,860 96.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 1,413 2.58% 38,605 3.52% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 54,772 73.86% 1,096,571 74.71% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 74,159 1,467,751 12,909,631
Party Kotte[17] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,717 51.44% 546,417 51.62% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 18,573 34.47% 353,401 33.39% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 5,275 9.79% 117,404 11.09% 815,353 9.10%
SU 1,694 3.14% 16,970 1.60% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 625 1.16% 24,289 2.29% 510,616 5.70%
Valid Votes 53,884 96.95% 1,058,481 96.28% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 1,698 3.05% 40,901 3.72% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 55,582 74.97% 1,099,382 76.31% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 74,140 1,440,682 12,428,762
Party Kotte[18] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,207 42.79% 440,684 43.45% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 20,249 39.02% 394,146 38.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
SU 4,881 9.40% 49,671 4.90% 127,859 1.49%
JVP 3,566 6.87% 78,133 7.70% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 997 1.92% 51,586 5.09% 375,083 4.36%
Valid Votes 51,900 N/A 1,014,220 N/A 8,602,617 N/A
Party Kotte[19] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,106 53.70% 469,642 50.94% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 21,215 40.53% 385,100 41.77% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 1,975 3.77% 42,734 4.64% 68,538 0.86%
SLPF 742 1.42% 11,454 1.24% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 301 0.58% 13,003 1.41% 51,995 0.65%
Valid Votes 52,339 97.24% 921,933 96.18% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,485 2.76% 36,635 3.82% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 53,824 75.58% 958,568 76.04% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 71,213 1,260,686 11,163,064
Party Kotte[20] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,113 46.93% 374,530 51.67% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 17,007 39.68% 205,053 28.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
MEP 3,030 7.07% 76,966 10.62% 90,480 1.62%
USA 2,041 4.76% 31,873 4.40% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 670 1.56% 36,420 5.02% 269,739 4.82%
Valid Votes 42,861 96.60% 724,842 95.36% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,507 3.40% 35,271 4.64% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 44,368 67.24% 760,113 69.87% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 65,984 1,087,891 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kotte Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (84.8%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kotte Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kotte[1]

  Sinhalese (84.8%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (6.9%)
  Moor (5.1%)
  Other (3.2%)

Religion

The Kotte Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (77.1%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kotte Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%) [1]

Religion in Kotte[1]

  Buddhist (77.1%)
  Roman Catholic (7.3%)
  Muslim (6.3%)
  Other Christian (4.7%)
  Hindu (4.5%)
  Other (0.1%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kotte and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kotte and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kotte and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kotte and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.