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Opinion polling for the 1996 Spanish general election

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In the run up to the 1996 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 6 June 1993, to the day the next election was held, on 3 March 1996.

Party vote

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Color key:

  Multi-scenario poll   Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Polling firm/Link Last date
of polling
PSOE PP IU CiU CDS PNV Margin
of error
Sample
size
Lead
style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:United Left (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Convergence and Union/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Democratic and Social Centre (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Basque Nationalist Party/meta/color;"|
General Election March 3, 1996 37.6 38.8 10.5 4.6 0.2 1.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 1.2
Eco Consulting March 3, 1996 34.8 40.2 11.2 4.4 1.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.4
Demoscopia March 3, 1996 34.7 40.7 11.2 4.6 1.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.0
Sigma Dos March 3, 1996 33.7 41.1 11.4 4.2 1.6 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.4
CIS March 1, 1996 36.8 39.2 11.5 4.0 0.9 ±2.0 pp 2,491 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.4
Metra Seis February 25, 1996 32.2 41.7 11.9 4.2 1.3 ±0.8 pp 15,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.5
Sigma Dos February 24, 1996 31.4 42.3 12.2 4.2 1.5 ±1.3 pp 6,048 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.9
Inner Line February 22, 1996 36.1 40.6 11.9 4.4 ±1.3 pp 6,048 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.5
Demoscopia February 21, 1996 33.4 42.4 12.3 4.2 1.1 ±1.7 pp 3,500 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.0
CIS February 21, 1996 34.1 41.2 11.4 4.5 1.3 ±1.2 pp 6,642 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.1
Opina February 20, 1996 35.0 41.0 10.5 4.5 1.5 ±2.0 pp 2,369 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.0
Metra Seis February 19, 1996 32.5 41.5 12.0 4.0 ±1.1 pp 7,566 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.0
Vox Pública February 16, 1996 33.5 41.2 11.7 4.5 1.3 ±0.9 pp 12,069 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.7
Tábula-V February 10, 1996 32.5 44.1 12.8 4.2 0.8 ±1.8 pp 3,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 11.6
Sigma Dos February 8, 1996 31.5 41.8 11.9 4.2 1.3 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.3
Demoscopia February 7, 1996 32.6 41.7 12.8 4.5 1.3 ±1.7 pp 3,500 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.1
Opina February 6, 1996 34.0 40.5 11.0 4.5 1.5 ±2.8 pp 1,185 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.5
Tábula-V February 5, 1996 29.8 40.0 14.3 4.9 1.1 ±1.3 pp 4,503 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.2
PP February 3, 1996 31.5 42.0 13.5 4.2 1.0 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.5
Vox Pública January 31, 1996 31.8 42.5 12.0 4.4 ±2.2 pp 2,028 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.7
Gallup January 31, 1996 34.5 38.8 12.4 5.0 1.3 ±2.2 pp 2,010 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.3
Tábula-V January 26, 1996 30.0 43.0 11.0 5.5 1.5 ±2.9 pp 1,200 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 13.0
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública January 25, 1996 31.4 41.4 12.6 4.0 1.4 ±0.9 pp 11,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.0
Demoscopia January 14, 1996 33.8 40.5 12.2 4.5 1.1 ±2.0 pp 2,500 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.7
CIS January 14, 1996 33.7 40.6 11.0 4.4 0.4 1.3 ±2.0 pp 2,499 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.9
Sigma Dos January 11, 1996 30.9 40.6 13.0 4.4 1.3 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.7
Opina January 9, 1996 34.0 39.5 10.5 4.5 1.5 ±2.5 pp 1,500 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.5
Gallup January 7, 1996 32.7 39.0 12.9 4.6 0.9 ±2.2 pp 2,031 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.3
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública January 4, 1996 31.2 40.3 13.1 4.6 1.2 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.1
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública December 20, 1995 31.5 40.2 13.3 4.7 1.2 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.7
Tábula-V December 18, 1995 25 41 16 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 16
Sigma Dos December 14, 1995 30.2 41.3 13.6 4.7 1.2 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 11.1
CIS December 14, 1995 33.7 40.5 11.9 5.0 0.5 1.3 ±2.0 pp 2,478 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.8
Imagen & Opinión November 23, 1995 32.7 42.4 12.8 4.5 1.2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.7
CIS November 13, 1995 32.1 39.4 13.3 5.1 0.5 1.3 ±2.0 pp 2,486 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.3
PSOE October 8, 1995 32.5 38.5 ±1.8 pp 3,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.0
Eco Consulting October 6, 1995 31.0 39.6 12.3 5.1 ±2.3 pp 1,870 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.6
Demoscopia October 2, 1995 29.8 41.5 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 11.7
CIS September 17, 1995 31.9 40.2 12.7 5.2 1.3 1.3 ±2.0 pp 2,493 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.3
Sigma Dos September 14, 1995 28.3 42.0 14.1 4.7 1.2 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 13.7
Sigma Dos July 31, 1995 29.3 41.7 13.5 4.6 1.3 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 12.4
CIS July 17, 1995 31.7 41.5 13.0 4.5 0.9 1.2 ±2.0 pp 2,494 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.8
CIS June 30, 1995 32.3 42.2 12.0 4.4 0.8 1.2 ±2.0 pp 2,484 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.9
CIS June 19, 1995 31.6 41.8 13.3 5.0 0.1 1.3 ±1.2 pp 6,510 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.2
CIS May 31, 1995 32.0 42.6 12.3 4.4 0.5 1.3 ±2.0 pp 2,492 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.6
Municipal Elections May 28, 1995 30.8 35.3 11.7 4.4 0.3 1.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.5
Sigma Dos May 16, 1995 28.2 41.8 14.2 5.1 ±0.8 pp 15,500 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 13.6
Demoscopia May 15, 1995 27.0 43.0 15.0 4.7 ±0.8 pp 16,700 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 16.0
Sigma Dos May 2, 1995 27.8 42.3 14.6 4.8 1.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 14.5
CIS April 23, 1995 31.7 41.6 13.0 4.7 0.8 1.3 ±2.0 pp 2,497 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.9
CIS March 26, 1995 32.0 40.3 14.0 4.6 0.6 1.4 ±2.0 pp 2,496 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.3
Demoscopia March 7, 1995 30.7 38.1 15.5 4.2 1.3 ±2.8 pp 1,200 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.4
Sigma Dos March 2, 1995 28.7 41.0 14.4 5.0 1.3 ±0.8 pp 16,150 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 12.3
CIS February 9, 1995 33.1 39.9 12.8 5.0 0.8 1.2 ±2.0 pp 2,496 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.8
CIS January 30, 1995 33.3 39.6 12.4 5.5 0.9 1.3 ±1.6 pp 3,991 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.3
Gallup January 27, 1995 30.9 39.6 13.3 5.5 1.4 ±2.2 pp 2,008 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.7
CIS January 17, 1995 33.0 39.4 13.6 4.9 0.9 1.3 ±2.0 pp 2,496 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.4
Gruppo January 2, 1995 28.0 41.0 17.0 4.7 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 13.0
CIS December 19, 1994 34.8 37.1 13.0 5.3 1.0 1.3 ±2.0 pp 2,488 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.3
Demoscopia December 13, 1994 30.7 38.2 15.7 ±2.8 pp 1,200 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.5
CIS December 13, 1994 35.5 37.8 12.4 4.8 0.9 1.2 ±2.0 pp 2,491 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.3
Sigma Dos December 11, 1994 28.5 40.8 16.3 4.8 1.2 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 12.3
Tábula-V December 2, 1994 24 40 19 ±2 pp 4,542 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 16
CIS November 16, 1994 35.1 37.2 12.9 5.0 0.8 1.3 ±2.0 pp 2,493 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.1
OTR/IS November 16, 1994 28.2 41.3 15.2 4.9 1.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 13.1
CIS October 24, 1994 35.3 37.4 12.1 5.0 1.1 1.5 ±2.0 pp 2,494 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.1
Gruppo October 6, 1994 31.5 40.5 14.5 4.5 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.0
Opina October 1, 1994 35.0 37.0 15.0 5.0 1.5 ±2.2 pp 2,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.0
OTR/IS September 30, 1994 29.8 39.6 14.7 4.9 1.4 ±2.9 pp 1,204 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.8
Sigma Dos September 5, 1994 29.6 41.2 14.3 4.9 1.5 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 11.6
OTR/IS July 13, 1994 28.4 41.6 14.7 5.1 1.2 ±2.9 pp 1,200 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 13.2
CIS July 5, 1994 31.1 40.2 14.9 4.5 0.6 1.3 ±2.0 pp 2,492 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.1
EP Election June 12, 1994 30.8 40.1 13.4 4.7 1.0 1.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.3
Sigma Dos June 4, 1994 30.6 40.2 13.7 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.6
Vox Pública June 2, 1994 30.5 40.7 15.2 4.1 1.3 ±2.6 pp 1,303 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.2
Opina June 1, 1994 34.0 39.0 14.0 5.0 1.0 1.5 ±2.2 pp 2,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.0
Gruppo May 30, 1994 31.1 39.2 14.4 5.0 0.7 ±2.3 pp 2,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.1
Gruppo May 10, 1994 31.7 38.5 14.0 4.7 0.8 ±2.3 pp 2,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.8
Opina April 11, 1994 36.0 38.0 12.0 5.0 1.0 1.5 ±2.2 pp 2,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.0
OTR/IS April 3, 1994 34.5 37.8 11.6 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.3
Sigma Dos March 24, 1994 34.4 37.7 11.2 4.5 ±3.2 pp 1,000 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.3
IOPE-ETMAR January 19, 1994 31.0 36.2 11.0 5.7 1.5 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.2
Sigma Dos January 2, 1994 36.0 36.5 11.6 4.8 0.6 1.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 0.5
General Election June 6, 1993 38.8 34.8 9.6 4.9 1.8 1.2 style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.0

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

Color key:

  Multi-scenario poll   Exit poll

176 seats needed for a majority
Polling firm/Link Last date
of polling
PSOE PP IU CiU CDS PNV
style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:United Left (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Convergence and Union/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Democratic and Social Centre (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Basque Nationalist Party/meta/color;"|
General Election March 3, 1996 141 156 21 16 0 5
Eco Consulting March 3, 1996 125/135 160/171 22/25 14/15 0 6/7
Demoscopia March 3, 1996 124/131 167/174 19/24 14/15 0 5/6
Sigma Dos March 3, 1996 120/132 164/174 22/25 13/14 0 6/7
Metra Seis February 25, 1996 116/130 173/181 20/27 14/16 0 5/6
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública February 24, 1996 113/123 170/179 25/29 14/15 0 6/7
Inner Line February 22, 1996 136/142 158/166 21/22 14/15 0 5
Demoscopia February 21, 1996 118/128 170/178 24/27 13/15 0 5/6
Opina February 20, 1996 135/145 160/170 19/21 14/15 0 5/6
Metra Seis February 19, 1996 120/128 170/175 23/29 14 0 5
Vox Pública February 16, 1996 119/129 165/175 18/27 14/16 0 5
ABC February 14, 1996 118/119 172 30/31 13 0 7
Tábula-V February 10, 1996 117/125 176/184 22/28 13/14 0 4/5
Opina February 6, 1996 135/140 160/170 19/21 13/15 0 5/6
Tábula-V February 5, 1996 108/123 168/172 24/35 15/17 0 5/6
Tábula-V January 26, 1996 117 181 22 18 0 4
Sigma Dos January 11, 1996 115/120 167/174 27/30 15/17 0 5
Opina January 9, 1996 135/145 155/165 20/22 14/16 0 4/5
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública January 4, 1996 115/120 165/173 29/30 16/17 0 5
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública December 20, 1995 115/123 165/173 29/30 16/17 0 5
Imagen & Opinión November 23, 1995 127 172 25 14 0 5
Sigma Dos May 16, 1995 106 177 33 18 0 5
Sigma Dos May 2, 1995 107 175
Sigma Dos March 2, 1995 110 170 35 18 0 5
Gruppo January 2, 1995 110/119 162/170 30/34 14/17
EP Election June 12, 1994 115 170 30 19 0 5
General Election June 6, 1993 159 141 18 17 0 5

Voting preferences

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.