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Template:Brexit/Post-referendum opinion polling (2016-2020): Three options

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Date(s) conducted Round Remain Deal No deal None Lead Sample Conducted by Polling type Notes
17–18 Oct 2019 — 45% 34% 17% 5% 11% 1,025 Survation Online [note 1]
— 41% 38% 18% 4% 3% [note 1][note 2]
— 42% 42% — 16% 0%
17 Oct 2019 EU and UK negotiators agree a new withdrawal agreement.[1]
2–14 Oct 2019 — 42% 30% 20% 8% 12% 26,000 ComRes [note 1][note 2]
5–6 Sep 2019 — 55% — 41% 5% 14% 864 Panelbase Online Likely voters
24 Jul 2019 Boris Johnson replaces Theresa May as Prime Minister
2–5 Jul 2019 — — 26% 34% 40% 8% 1,532 BMG Research Online
— 43% 25% — 32% 18%
— 44% — 38% 18% 6%
23 May 2019 2019 European Parliament election in the United Kingdom
23–24 Apr 2019 I 44% 10% 28% 18% 15% 1,787 YouGov Online
— 45% 29% — 26% 17%
9–12 Apr 2019 — 45% 36% — 19% 8% 2,007 Opinium
29 Mar 2019 The House of Commons votes to reject the Government's proposed withdrawal agreement for the third time.
28–29 Mar 2019 — 46% 38% — 16% 8% 2,008 Opinium
19 Mar 2019 — 46% 30% — 24% 16% 2,084 YouGov Online
— 46% — 36% 18% 10% YouGov
15 Mar 2019 — — 36% 35% 29% 1% 1,007 Survation Online [note 1]
14–15 Mar 2019 — 47% 32% — 22% 15% 1,823 YouGov Online
— 47% — 38% 15% 9% YouGov
12 Mar 2019 The House of Commons votes to reject the Government's proposed withdrawal agreement for the second time.
30 Jan 2019 I 46% 19% 26% 9% 19% 1,029 Survation Online A new deal without the Northern Ireland backstop
10–17 Jan 2019 I 37% 23% 29% 10% 8% 1,030 Number Cruncher Politics Online [note 1]
16 Jan 2019 — 47% 27% — 26% 20% 1,070 YouGov Online
— 48% — 35% 16% 13% YouGov
15 Jan 2019 The House of Commons votes to reject the Government's proposed withdrawal agreement for the first time.[2]
10–11 Jan 2019 I 41% 22% 30% 8% 11% 1,013 Survation Online
21 Dec 2018 – 4 Jan 2019 — 46% 29% — 26% 17% 25,537 YouGov Online
— 46% — 34% 20% 12% YouGov
12–14 Dec 2018 — 45% 31% — 23% 14% 5,043 YouGov Online
6–7 Dec 2018 I 45% 15% 24% 17% 21% 1,652 YouGov Online
II 57% — 43% — 14%
— 47% 29% — 24% 18% YouGov
30 Nov – 3 Dec 2018 — 45% 33% — 22% 12% 2,007 Opinium
9–30 Nov 2018 Ministers including Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab and Work and Pensions Secretary Esther McVey resign in protest to the government's proposed withdrawal agreement (or to plans preceding it).[3]
26–27 Nov 2018 I 27% 18% 15% 40% 9% 1,013 Deltapoll[4] Online [note 1]
II 44% 56% — — 12% No "Neither" option. [note 1]
— 48% — 52% — 4%
— — 59% 41% — 18%
23–26 Nov 2018 I 47% 17% 26% 10% 21% 1,119 Sky Data Online
II 57% — 43% — 14%
15 Nov 2018 I 43% 16% 28% 13% 15% 1,070 Survation Online
— 43% 34% — 23% 10%
— — 32% 34% 34% 2%
15 Nov 2018 I 54% 14% 32% — 22% 1,488 Sky Data SMS "Neither" excluded. Not weighted by 2016 vote.
14 Nov 2018 The UK Cabinet approves a new draft withdrawal agreement.[5]
24 Oct – 6 Nov 2018 — 48% 43% — 9% 5% 8,154 Populus Online
28 Sep – 1 Oct 2018 I 51% 12% 28% 9% 23% 1,443 Sky Data Online
II 59% — 41% — 18%
10–11 Sep 2018 I 43% 15% 28% 14% 15% 1,070 Sky Data Online
II 55% — 45% — 10%
17–20 Aug 2018 I 48% 12% 30% 10% 18% 1,330 Sky Data Online
II 52% — 37% 12% 15%
31 Jul – 7 Aug 2018 I 40% 11% 27% 22% 13% 10,121 YouGov Online
II 56% — 44% — 12%
20–23 Jul 2018 I 48% 13% 27% 11% 21% 1,466 Sky Data Online
II 59% — 41% — 18%
19–20 Jul 2018 I 41% 9% 31% 19% 10% 1,668 YouGov Online
II 54% — 46% — 8%
16–17 Jul 2018 I 42% 15% 28% 15% 14% 1,657 YouGov Online
II 55% — 45% — 10%
8–9 Jul 2018 Brexit Secretary David Davis and Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson resign.[6]
6 Jul 2018 The UK Cabinet agrees the Chequers statement, setting out a proposal on the future UK–EU relationship.[7]
23 Jun 2016 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum
  1. ^ a b c d e f g Question was not asked in the context of a referendum.
  2. ^ a b Deal option is to leave with a withdrawal agreement, not necessarily the proposed one.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "New Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration". GOV.UK. Department for Exiting the European Union. 19 October 2019. Retrieved 2 November 2019. The revised Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration were considered and agreed at European Council on 17 October 2019.
  2. ^ "Brexit: Theresa May's deal is voted down in historic Commons defeat". BBC News. 15 January 2019. Retrieved 17 January 2019.
  3. ^ "Tory minister Sam Gyimah resigns in protest at Theresa May's Brexit deal". The Telegraph. 1 December 2018. Retrieved 2 December 2018.
  4. ^ http://www.deltapoll.co.uk/steve-fisher-condorcet
  5. ^ "Brexit: Cabinet backs draft agreement". BBC News. 14 November 2018. Retrieved 2 December 2018.
  6. ^ "Boris Johnson tells PM she is suffocating Brexit 'dream'". BBC News. 9 July 2018. Retrieved 9 July 2018.
  7. ^ "Brexit: Cabinet agrees 'collective' stance on future EU deal". BBC News. 7 July 2018. Retrieved 8 July 2018.
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