Wikipedia talk:Wikipedia Signpost/2015-11-25/Arbitration report

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Side remark: I have the impression that at least one opinion about one candidate was not correctly transcribed. Main remark: concerning the predictive value of the voter guides, I have the impression that quite all voter guide writers would have voted even without the mass message reminder. Are they predictive about the whole set of voters, or only about a smaller subset? The final result will give some clues about the likeliness of such hypotheses. Pldx1 (talk) 10:11, 30 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]

If there are incorrect markings in the table, Pldx1, please feel free to click edit, and fix the problems you see. Or, equivalently, please feel equally free to just leave me a note with the specifics of the error, and I will fix it right up. Some voter-guide authors are still actively making updates, and of course even without that fact, mistakes do happen.
  The predictive value is reasonably strong, in *past* couple arbcom elections at least, for the ordering of the top-dozen-or-so candidates. That said, with the mass-message for the 2015 election, all bets are off.  :-)     But yes, WP:OR strongly suggests that to *closely* match the outcome, it is necessary to use a weighted average of the voter-guides, rather than a raw average, as was used for simplicity/transparency/neutrality in this Signpost article. I too will be curious to see the final outcome, and how well it aligns with the voter-guides. Best, 75.108.94.227 (talk) 11:14, 30 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
Dear 75.108.94.227. Modifying a simple table is quite easy, indeed. But in fact, this table is a spreadsheet. Modifying one or two input cells will perhaps result into modifying several output cells and perhaps result into an occasion to revisit the editorial comment attached to these output cells. That is the reason why I haven't simply SOFIXIT the problem. Obviously, no objection to tell you where are the input cells I was mentioning. Pldx1 (talk) 11:48, 30 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
Fixed now,[1] perhaps? Thanks for your sharp eye, and thanks for writing a voter-guide, too. 75.108.94.227 (talk) 12:19, 30 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]