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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 5 1
Seats won 5 1
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 953,224 490,842
Percentage 65.17% 33.56%
Swing Increase 0.71% Decrease 1.20%
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

District 1

2022 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee James Comer Jimmy Ausbrooks
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 186,711 62,153
Percentage 75.0% 25.0%
U.S. Representative before election

James Comer
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican

See also: Kentucky's 1st congressional district

The 1st district takes in Western Kentucky, including Paducah, Hopkinsville, Murray, and Henderson. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 75.0% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • David Sharp, former chair of the Hopkins County Republican Party[3] (running for state representative)[4]

Endorsements

James Comer
U.S. Executive Branch officials

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jimmy Ausbrooks[6]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid R February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[13] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[14] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe R October 18, 2022

Results

2022 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Comer (incumbent)
Democratic Jimmy Ausbrooks
Write-in
Total votes

District 2

2022 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Brett Guthrie Hank Linderman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 170,486 66,767
Percentage 71.9% 28.1%
U.S. Representative before election

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican

See also: Kentucky's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses west-central Kentucky, taking in Bowling Green, Owensboro, and Elizabethtown. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 70.9% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Brett Guthrie
U.S. Executive Branch officials

Results

Republican primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent) 52,265 78.1
Republican Lee Watts 11,996 17.9
Republican Brent Feher 2,681 4.0
Total votes 66,942 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Democratic primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hank Linderman 20,174 58.2
Democratic William Compton 14,465 41.8
Total votes 34,639 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid R February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[13] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[14] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe R October 18, 2022

Results

2022 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
Democratic Hank Linderman
Write-in
Total votes

District 3

2022 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Morgan McGarvey Stuart Ray
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 160,853 98,622
Percentage 62.0% 38.0%
U.S. Representative before election

John Yarmuth
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Morgan McGarvey
Democratic

See also: Kentucky's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of Louisville Metro, which, since the merger of 2003, is consolidated with Jefferson County, though other incorporated cities, such as Shively and St. Matthews, exist within the county. The incumbent is Democrat John Yarmuth, who was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
State representative Attica Scott from Louisville
Declined

Endorsements

Morgan McGarvey
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Attica Scott
Organizations

Debates and forums

2022 KY-03 Democratic primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
McGarvey Scott
1[36] May 11, 2022 The Louisville Forum Joe Arnold Youtube P P

Results

Democratic primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Morgan McGarvey 52,157 63.3
Democratic Attica Scott 30,183 36.7
Total votes 82,340 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Daniel Cobble[6]
  • Mike Craven[6]
  • Justin Gregory[6]
  • Darien Moreno, tax preparer[6]
  • Rhonda Palazzo[6]
  • Gregory Puccetti[6]
Disqualified
Declined

Results

Republican primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Stuart Ray 9,703 29.5
Republican Rhonda Palazzo 9,645 29.4
Republican Mike Craven 6,488 19.7
Republican Gregory Puccetti 2,980 9.1
Republican Daniel Cobble 1,539 4.7
Republican Justin Gregory 1,293 3.9
Republican Darien Moreno 1,212 3.7
Total votes 32,860 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid D January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid D February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe D January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[11] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid D August 22, 2022
DDHQ[13] Likely D October 18, 2022
538[14] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe D October 18, 2022

Endorsements

Morgan McGarvey (D)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
Organizations

Results

2022 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Morgan McGarvey
Republican Stuart Ray
Write-in
Total votes

District 4

2022 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Thomas Massie Matthew Lehman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 167,541 79,977
Percentage 65% 31%
U.S. Representative before election

Thomas Massie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican

See also: Kentucky's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and a small part of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 67.1% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Alyssa Dara McDowell[43]
  • George Washington[44]
  • Claire Wirth, real estate developer[45][19]

Endorsements

Thomas Massie
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Organizations
Claire Wirth
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Thomas
Massie 		Alyssa Dara
McDowell 		George
Washington 		Claire
Wirth 		Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] April 28 – May 1, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 66% 2% 4% 9% 19%

Results

Republican primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent) 50,301 75.2
Republican Claire Wirth 10,521 15.7
Republican Alyssa Dara McDowell 3,446 5.2
Republican George Washington 2,606 3.9
Total votes 66,874 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Matthew Lehman[6]

Endorsements

Matthew Lehman
Statewide officials
Organizations

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid R February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[13] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[14] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe R October 18, 2022

Results

2022 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent)
Democratic Matthew Lehman
Independent Ethan Osborne
Write-in
Total votes

District 5

2022 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Hal Rogers Conor Halbleib
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 177,714 38,549
Percentage 82.2% 17.8%
U.S. Representative before election

Hal Rogers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican

See also: Kentucky's 5th congressional district

The 5th district is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 84.2% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Richard Van Dam, physician[51]
  • Jeannette Andrews, accountant[6]
  • Gerardo Serrano, farmer and activist[6]
  • Brandon Monhollen, transportation manager[6]

Endorsements

Hal Rogers
U.S. Executive Branch officials

Primary results

Republican primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 77,050 82.6
Republican Gerardo Serrano 5,460 5.8
Republican Jeannette Andrews 4,160 4.5
Republican Brandon Monhollen 3,831 4.1
Republican Richard Van Dam 2,784 3.0
Total votes 93,285 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Conor Halbleib[6]

General election

Conor Halblieb
Organizations
  • LegalizeKY

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid R February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[13] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[14] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe R October 18, 2022

Results

2022 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent)
Democratic Conor Halbleib
Write-in
Total votes

District 6

2022 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
← 2020
2024 →
  File:GeoffreyMYoung.JPG
Nominee Andy Barr Geoff Young
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 154,760 83,003
Percentage 62.9% 33.7%
U.S. Representative before election

Andy Barr
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican

See also: Kentucky's 6th congressional district

The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Derek Petteys, flooring contractor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[6]

Endorsements

Andy Barr
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent) 47,660 87.8
Republican Derek Petteys 6,593 12.2
Total votes 54,253 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Christopher Preece, educator[53]

Endorsements

Christopher Preece
Individuals

Results

Democratic primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Geoff Young 25,722 51.7
Democratic Christopher Preece 24,007 48.3
Total votes 49,729 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid R February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid R May 23, 2022
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[13] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[14] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe R October 18, 2022

Results

2022 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent)
Democratic Geoff Young
Write-in
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Massie's campaign

References

  1. ^ a b c d e f Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
  2. ^ May, Adam (November 5, 2021). "Congressman Comer running for re-election". WHOP. Retrieved November 17, 2021.
  3. ^ "David Sharp announces congressional campaign". Eyewitness News (WEHT/WTVW). May 13, 2021. Retrieved May 14, 2021.
  4. ^ "Sharp withdraws from congressional race to see state House seat". January 24, 2022.
  5. ^ a b c d e Watkins, Morgan. "Trump endorses Kentucky's GOP House members: Guthrie, Rogers, Massie". www.courier-journal.com. The Courier-Journal. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "Election Candidate Filings". Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved January 7, 2022.
  7. ^ a b c d e f "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 24, 2022.
  8. ^ a b c d e f "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved February 22, 2022.
  9. ^ a b c d e f "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 26, 2022. Retrieved January 26, 2022.
  10. ^ a b c d e f "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
  11. ^ a b c d e f "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
  12. ^ a b c d e f "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
  13. ^ a b c d e f "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  14. ^ a b c d e f "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  15. ^ a b c d e f "The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast". The Economist. Retrieved October 18, 2022.
  16. ^ Dean, Kelly. "Rep. Brett Guthrie files for re-election to U.S. House of Representatives". www.wbko.com. Retrieved November 10, 2021.
  17. ^ a b c d e f g h "Kentucky Statewide Official Results". Secretary of State of Kentucky. Retrieved September 1, 2022.
  18. ^ Critchelow, Andrew. "National and state legislative campaign announcements made during local town hall". www.thenewsenterprise.com. The News-Enterprise. Retrieved August 1, 2021.
  19. ^ a b c "Politics1 - Online Guide to Kentucky Elections, Candidates & Politics".
  20. ^ "On heels of Yarmuth retirement announcement, Kentucky Democratic leader says he's running". Courier-Journal. October 12, 2021.
  21. ^ "Kentucky State Rep. Attica Scott announces congressional run for Yarmuth seat". WDRB.com. July 7, 2021.
  22. ^ a b c d e Watkins, Morgan (October 13, 2021). "2022 race for John Yarmuth's House seat: Who's in, who's out, who's a maybe". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved October 31, 2021.
  23. ^ Greenwood, Max; Trudo, Hanna (October 14, 2021). "Democrats fret as longshot candidates pull money, attention". The Hill. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved October 14, 2021.
  24. ^ "Charles Booker says he's out for the open-seat House race in Kentucky's 3rd. But another top contender is all in". Politico. October 13, 2021. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved October 14, 2021.
  25. ^ Recker, Scott (October 21, 2021). "Former LEO Owner Aaron Yarmuth Decides Not To Run For Father's Congress Seat". LEO Weekly.
  26. ^ Przybyla, Heidi; Kamisar, Ben (October 12, 2021). "House Budget Committee Chair John Yarmuth announces he won't seek re-election". NBC News.
  27. ^ a b Watkins, Morgan (February 7, 2022). "Kentucky Rep. John Yarmuth makes his pick on who should succeed him in Congress". Louisville Courier-Journal. Gannett. Retrieved February 7, 2022.
  28. ^ a b Craig, Berry (March 4, 2022). "State AFL-CIO backs Booker, McGarvey". Forward Kentucky. Retrieved March 8, 2022.
  29. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces Slate of New Endorsements for Congress". July 5, 2022. Retrieved July 9, 2022.
  30. ^ a b Akin, Stephanie; Ackley, Kate; McIntire, Mary (March 10, 2022). "At the Races: Retreat rerouted". Roll Call. Retrieved March 12, 2022.
  31. ^ "Join the Bold Progressive Movement!". Progressive Change Campaign Committee.
  32. ^ "Higher Heights for America Pac". Higher Heights for America Pac. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
  33. ^ "Forward Kentucky". Forward Kentucky. March 7, 2022. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
  34. ^ "Future Generations". Future Generations. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
  35. ^ "NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus.
  36. ^ Karthikeyan, Divya (May 11, 2022). "McGarvey, Scott debate ahead of Louisville-area Congressional primary". Retrieved May 22, 2022.
  37. ^ "Robert DeVore Jr. FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved October 25, 2021.
  38. ^ WDRB Staff (May 18, 2022). "Gov. Andy Beshear announces support for McGarvey in congressional race". WDRB. Retrieved May 22, 2022.
  39. ^ "Giffords PAC Endorses Slate of Gun Safety House Challengers". Giffords. August 12, 2022. Retrieved August 19, 2022.
  40. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces Slate of New Endorsements for Congress". www.lcv.org. July 5, 2022.
  41. ^ a b "Congressional Endorsements". Sierra Club Independent Action.
  42. ^ "Congressman Massie Files for Re-Election - Kentucky Fried Politics". www.kentuckyfried.com.
  43. ^ "Election Candidate Filings - Alyssa Dara McDowell, Candidate for US Representative". web.sos.ky.gov.
  44. ^ "Election Candidate Filings - George Washington, Candidate for US Representative". web.sos.ky.gov.
  45. ^ Brammer, Jack. "Kentucky candidate for Congress uses gun giveaway to attract voters". Lexington Herald Leader. Retrieved July 28, 2021.
  46. ^ @MassieforKY (February 7, 2022). ".@RandPaul endorses @MassieforKY for re-election!#KY04" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  47. ^ "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Thomas Massie in Kentucky's Fourth Congressional District". www.freedomworksforamerica.org. September 9, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  48. ^ "Endorsements".
  49. ^ Payne, Mark (August 30, 2022). "Beshear endorses Lehman in race against Massie". linknky.com. Retrieved September 1, 2022.
  50. ^ Schreiner, Bruce. "Hal Rogers Becomes Kentucky's Longest-Serving Member of Congress". US News. Retrieved September 2, 2021.
  51. ^ Neal, Jeff. "Local physician to challenge Rogers". Commonwealth Journal. Retrieved July 28, 2021.
  52. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org.
  53. ^ Taylor, Warren (August 26, 2021). "Berea teacher announces run for U.S. House". www.winchestersun.com. Winchester Sun. Retrieved September 14, 2021.
  54. ^ "Marianne Williamson's Candidate Summit". Candidate Summit. Archived from the original on December 22, 2022. Retrieved December 12, 2021. {{cite web}}: |archive-date= / |archive-url= timestamp mismatch; December 22, 2021 suggested (help)
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign website for 2nd district candidate
Official campaign website for 3rd district candidate
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
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