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Division of Makin

Coordinates: 34°47′56″S 138°41′56″E / 34.799°S 138.699°E / -34.799; 138.699
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Makin
Australian House of Representatives Division
Division of Makin in South Australia, as of the 2019 federal election.
Created1984
MPTony Zappia
PartyLabor
NamesakeNorman Makin
Electors123,243 (2022)
Area130 km2 (50.2 sq mi)
DemographicOuter metropolitan

The Division of Makin is an electoral division for the Australian House of Representatives located in the northeastern suburbs of Adelaide. The 130 km² seat covers an area from Little Para River and Gould Creek in the north-east to Grand Junction Road in the south and Port Wakefield Road in the west, including the suburbs of Banksia Park, Fairview Park, Golden Grove, Greenwith, Gulfview Heights, Ingle Farm, Mawson Lakes, Modbury, Para Hills, Para Vista, Pooraka, Redwood Park, Ridgehaven, Salisbury East, Salisbury Heights, St Agnes, Surrey Downs, Tea Tree Gully, Valley View, Vista, Walkley Heights, Wynn Vale, Yatala Vale, and parts of Gepps Cross and Hope Valley.

Geography

Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[1]

History

Norman Makin, the division's namesake

Established in the South Australian redistribution of 3 September 1984 and named after MP and diplomat Norman Makin, it was a marginal mortgage belt seat with a higher proportion of the population in the area paying off home loans. In the 2006 census, over 42 percent of the seat's electors had a home mortgage; ranking it 19th highest in Australia's 150 seats.[2]

Created ahead of the 1984 election as a notionally fairly safe Labor seat, Labor won marginally. For the first quarter-century of its existence, the seat was a "bellwether" seat held by the party of government, both often typical of mortgage belt seats. During this time, it was usually marginal, with neither party winning more than 54 percent of the two-party vote.

Later years

Labor's Tony Zappia won the seat at the 2007 election with a fairly safe 57.7 percent two-party vote against Liberal candidate Bob Day from an 8.6 percent two-party swing as Labor won government, the largest two-party vote and swing of any party in Makin's history at the time. Zappia won enough primary votes to take the seat on the first count, the first time a candidate won a majority of the primary vote in Makin. At the 2010 election, Zappia technically made it a safe Labor seat with a 62.2 percent two-party vote, again the strongest result for any party in Makin's history. Even though Mawson Lakes was added to Makin in a redistribution, Zappia held the seat at the 2013 election with a reduced marginal 55.1 percent two-party vote even as Labor lost government, becoming the first opposition member in Makin's history. He consolidated his hold on the seat at the 2016 election with a 59.5 percent two-party vote.

Bellwether seat

ABC psephologist Antony Green listed Makin as one of eleven which he classed as "bellwether" electorates in his 2016 election guide. Notably, Makin was the only bellwether located outside of New South Wales and Queensland.[3]

Members

Image Member Party Term Notes
  Peter Duncan
(1945–) 		Labor 1 December 1984 –
2 March 1996 		Previously held the South Australian House of Assembly seat of Elizabeth. Served as minister under Hawke. Lost seat
  Trish Draper
(1959–) 		Liberal 2 March 1996 –
17 October 2007 		Retired
  Tony Zappia
(1952–) 		Labor 24 November 2007 –
present 		Incumbent

Election results

Main article: Electoral results for the Division of Makin
This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in South Australia § Makin.[edit]
2022 Australian federal election: Makin[4]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Tony Zappia 49,843 46.30 −2.12
Liberal Alan Howard-Jones 33,840 31.44 −1.44
Greens Emma Mustaca 12,317 11.44 +2.81
One Nation Rajan Vaid 5,097 4.74 +4.74
United Australia Kimberley Drozdoff 4,638 4.31 −2.13
Federation Abram Lazootin 1,907 1.77 +1.77
Total formal votes 107,642 95.87 +0.36
Informal votes 4,639 4.13 −0.36
Turnout 112,281 91.20 −1.92
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Tony Zappia 65,444 60.80 +1.08
Liberal Alan Howard-Jones 42,198 39.20 −1.08
Labor hold Swing +1.08
Primary voting results in Makin


Two-party-preferred vote results in Makin

See also

References

Notes

  1. ^ Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
  2. ^ Megalogenis, George. "2006 census, customised tables commissioned by The Australian". The Australian. News Limited. Archived from the original on 18 November 2007. Retrieved 25 November 2007.
  3. ^ The Bellwether Contests: Antony Green ABC
  4. ^ Makin, SA, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.

34°47′56″S 138°41′56″E / 34.799°S 138.699°E / -34.799; 138.699

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