Opinion polling for the Spanish general election, 2015

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search

In the run up to the Spanish general election of 2015, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 20 November 2011, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held on 20 December 2015 at the latest, though it may be held earlier if a snap election is called.

Election polling[edit]

National[edit]

Vote[edit]

Graphical summary
15-day average trend line of poll results from November 2011 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.
  PP
  PSOE
  IU
  UPyD
  CiU
  Amaiur
  PNV
  ERC
  C's
  Podemos
Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Date Polling Firm/Source PP PSOE IU UPyD CiU A PNV ERC C's P Others Lead
13 May JM&A 25.7 22.4 3.7 0.6 15.3 17.7 14.6 3.3
1–12 May Encuestamos 23.0 24.3 4.8 0.7 2.5 1.0 1.3 2.6 14.9 20.7 4.2 1.3
23–29 Apr Termómetro Electoral 23.0 21.8 4.6 1.9 18.5 18.2 12.0 1.2
16–26 Apr Encuestamos 22.9 24.0 4.5 0.9 2.8 1.1 1.0 3.0 15.8 21.2 2.8 1.1
20–25 Apr NC-Report 28.6 23.8 6.8 2.0 12.0 12.9 13.9 4.8
17–22 Apr My Word 22.0 21.0 3.1 1.8 19.4 17.9 14.8 1.0
8–13 Apr GESOP 23.5 19.1 3.7 1.4 2.9 1.9 17.7 20.1 9.7 3.4
1–13 Apr Simple Lógica 21.3 21.1 4.1 1.2 2.0 1.3 20.8 21.3 6.8 0.0
9–12 Apr Sigma-2 26.6 19.7 4.4 1.1 2.1 1.2 2.3 16.6 20.9 5.1 5.7
1–12 Apr CIS 25.6 24.3 4.8 1.9 3.2 0.9 0.7 2.0 13.8 16.5 6.3 1.3
7–9 Apr Metroscopia 20.8 21.9 5.0 2.0 19.4 22.1 8.8 0.2
30 Mar–2 Apr NC-Report 29.7 23.5 6.0 2.4 2.7 0.9 1.2 2.1 10.5 14.1 6.9 6.2
13–29 Mar GETS[a] 22.6 27.8 5.1 1.4 11.3 23.4 8.5 4.4
26 Mar Invymark 26.4 20.3 3.0 1.6 14.8 20.8 13.1 5.6
26 Mar Encuestamos 23.7 23.6 3.8 2.5 3.1 1.3 1.2 2.1 14.7 21.7 2.3 0.1
2–13 Mar Simple Lógica 23.0 18.7 5.1 3.2 2.4 1.3 18.0 21.0 7.3 2.0
4–9 Mar My Word 22.0 19.1 2.9 2.3 18.8 23.4 11.5 1.4
2–6 Mar Celeste-Tel[b] 30.4 26.0 4.8 1.3 2.4 1.1 1.0 1.9 11.5 12.0 7.7 4.4
3–4 Mar Metroscopia 18.6 20.2 5.6 3.6 18.4 22.5 11.1 2.3
1 Mar JM&A 25.9 18.6 4.3 3.1 2.8 1.2 1.1 2.0 9.4 24.1 7.5 1.8
23–27 Feb Termómetro Electoral 22.0 19.5 6.0 5.3 9.5 25.7 12.0 3.7
26 Feb Encuestamos 25.5 19.9 4.5 3.8 3.2 1.4 1.3 2.2 10.1 25.4 2.7 0.1
26 Feb Invymark 27.8 21.5 3.8 4.0 6.4 23.6 12.9 4.2
15 Feb NC-Report 29.3 22.8 5.5 3.8 2.6 0.8 1.2 2.0 3.3 22.5 6.2 6.5
14 Feb JM&A 27.1 19.6 4.5 3.5 2.9 1.0 1.0 2.3 4.0 25.6 8.5 1.5
9–12 Feb Sigma-2 29.6 20.1 4.1 1.8 2.6 1.2 2.4 7.3 25.8 5.1 3.8
9–11 Feb My Word 22.5 19.5 3.0 3.3 13.4 24.6 13.7 2.1
2–9 Feb Simple Lógica 26.8 17.8 3.4 3.6 3.0 1.0 8.5 29.6 6.3 2.8
2–6 Feb Celeste-Tel[b] 31.4 24.1 4.4 3.0 2.2 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.1 18.0 6.8 7.3
2–6 Feb DyS 28.3 21.8 4.9 3.9 4.5 25.3 11.3 3.0
3–4 Feb Metroscopia 20.9 18.3 6.5 4.5 12.2 27.7 9.9 6.8
2 Feb Invymark 26.1 20.1 4.3 5.0 3.8 26.0 14.7 0.1
26–29 Jan Sigma-2 27.1 21.4 4.8 4.0 2.5 2.4 5.0 26.3 6.5 0.8
23–28 Jan Termómetro Electoral 24.7 20.6 6.0 5.7 8.2 25.3 9.5 0.6
23 Jan Encuestamos 22.0 19.1 6.0 4.1 3.8 1.4 1.3 2.3 7.6 30.2 2.2 8.2
9–16 Jan GAD3 29.3 19.2 3.7 4.8 2.8 1.0 1.3 1.8 6.3 21.1 8.7 8.2
12–14 Jan Sigma-2 29.4 19.4 4.7 4.1 2.7 1.1 2.7 4.6 26.2 5.1 3.2
7–14 Jan Simple Lógica 24.5 18.6 4.6 6.4 2.3 0.4 5.8 30.8 6.6 6.3
2–12 Jan CIS 27.3 22.2 5.2 4.6 3.0 1.0 0.7 1.6 3.1 23.9 7.4 3.4
11 Jan PP[a] 28.5 20.5 25.0 26.0 3.5
2–9 Jan Celeste-Tel[b] 30.6 23.4 4.6 2.7 2.1 1.1 1.0 2.0 4.4 20.6 7.5 7.2
7–8 Jan Metroscopia 19.2 23.5 5.3 5.0 8.1 28.2 10.7 4.7
30 Dec–6 Jan My Word 24.6 19.0 3.7 5.5 1.9 2.4 5.0 27.5 10.4 2.9
2015
9–30 Dec NC-Report 28.6 23.4 5.1 3.9 2.6 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.8 23.2 6.3 5.2
12–18 Dec Sigma-2 26.5 18.7 5.3 4.4 2.8 1.1 2.8 3.1 28.7 6.6 2.2
15 Dec Invymark 25.5 22.0 4.5 5.2 3.1 25.3 14.4 0.2
9–15 Dec GESOP 26.1 19.8 4.1 6.5 2.9 2.2 3.8 25.6 9.0 0.5
13 Dec DYM 26.1 16.7 5.6 5.9 4.2 29.6 11.9 3.5
1–10 Dec Simple Lógica 23.1 19.3 5.5 5.4 0.9 0.3 31.1 14.5 8.0
1–5 Dec Celeste-Tel[b] 29.5 23.8 4.9 3.1 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.1 3.9 21.4 7.3 5.7
2–4 Dec Sigma-2 26.5 19.6 4.8 4.4 2.6 1.0 2.6 2.4 29.1 7.0 2.6
2–3 Dec Metroscopia 20.0 27.7 5.6 4.8 25.0 16.9 2.7
1 Dec Invymark 25.7 21.8 4.6 5.5 3.0 1.2 3.1 2.7 24.8 7.6 0.9
17–19 Nov Sigma-2 26.3 20.1 4.2 4.5 3.0 1.0 1.1 2.8 2.5 28.3 6.2 2.0
14 Nov JM&A 27.7 22.0 5.5 4.0 2.9 1.0 1.0 2.6 2.6 22.0 8.7 5.7
1–12 Nov Simple Lógica 25.0 18.2 3.6 4.7 2.3 0.7 31.1 14.4 6.1
10 Nov Invymark 26.0 21.6 5.0 5.8 2.9 3.2 2.3 24.7 8.5 1.3
3–7 Nov Celeste-Tel[b] 30.1 24.2 4.4 3.1 1.8 1.0 1.0 2.2 4.0 21.3 6.9 5.9
28 Oct–6 Nov DYM 26.9 19.5 7.3 3.2 5.6 26.3 11.2 0.6
28–29 Oct Metroscopia 20.7 26.2 3.8 3.4 27.7 18.2 1.5
27 Oct Invymark 26.4 20.5 5.3 6.0 2.6 3.4 22.7 13.1 3.7
10–25 Oct Asturbarómetro 29.5 23.9 5.8 5.7 19.0 16.1 5.6
13–16 Oct Sigma-2 28.3 23.7 5.2 3.7 2.5 1.2 2.6 1.8 24.1 6.9 4.2
13 Oct Invymark 28.2 21.4 6.9 6.2 2.7 1.2 3.4 18.6 11.4 6.8
1–13 Oct CIS 27.5 23.9 4.8 4.1 3.8 0.9 1.0 2.3 2.1 22.5 7.1 3.6
15 Sep–12 Oct GETS[a] 21.0 32.5 7.5 2.5 1.3 1.5 3.0 22.5 8.2 10.0
3–10 Oct Simple Lógica 29.7 24.6 3.5 4.2 1.3 1.1 23.3 12.3 5.1
1–7 Oct Celeste-Tel[b] 32.2 25.1 5.3 3.4 2.3 1.0 0.9 1.9 3.5 16.9 7.5 7.1
29–30 Sep Metroscopia 30.2 30.9 5.2 3.4 13.8 16.5 0.7
29 Sep Invymark 28.6 20.9 7.1 6.1 2.8 1.2 3.3 17.9 12.1 7.7
22–26 Sep DyS 32.7 24.2 5.2 4.3 3.1 20.4 10.1 8.5
15 Sep Invymark 29.2 20.7 7.4 6.0 2.8 1.2 3.4 17.6 11.7 8.5
8–12 Sep NC-Report[b] 33.7 23.0 5.7 4.3 16.3 17.0 10.7
5–12 Sep Simple Lógica 32.8 20.0 5.5 5.7 1.7 1.0 23.1 10.3 9.7
1–5 Sep Celeste-Tel[b] 32.7 24.2 4.7 3.9 2.5 1.1 1.0 2.0 3.6 15.9 8.4 8.5
25–30 Aug NC-Report 33.9 23.4 5.6 4.4 2.8 1.2 1.3 2.2 2.6 15.0 7.6 10.5
26–28 Aug Sigma-2 30.1 22.3 4.1 5.6 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.3 21.2 8.4 7.8
10 Aug Metroscopia 32.3 31.7 4.9 3.3 10.7 17.1 0.6
1–8 Aug Simple Lógica 29.4 16.7 4.1 5.4 1.4 0.8 28.4 13.6 1.0
18–24 Jul Celeste-Tel[b] 33.2 23.7 4.9 4.6 2.9 1.1 1.1 1.7 3.6 13.5 9.7 9.5
14 Jul Invymark 26.4 22.7 11.2 7.5 3.1 12.1 17.0 3.7
1–9 Jul CIS 30.0 21.2 8.2 5.9 2.9 1.0 1.0 3.3 0.9 15.3 10.3 8.8
1–8 Jul Simple Lógica 29.0 15.1 6.2 7.9 1.1 1.6 27.1 12.1 1.9
7 Jul Invymark 26.5 22.4 11.3 7.3 3.0 11.8 17.7 4.1
5 Jul DyS 30.0 26.0 7.0 7.0 12.0 18.0 4.0
1–5 Jul Celeste-Tel[b] 32.9 22.8 5.0 4.8 2.9 1.1 1.1 1.7 3.6 13.9 10.2 10.1
2–14 Jun Simple Lógica 28.8 14.7 6.0 6.4 2.4 1.6 26.7 13.5 2.1
28 May–11 Jun NC-Report[b] 34.1 21.6 6.0 5.2 16.1 17.0 12.5
4–6 Jun Celeste-Tel[b] 31.9 21.9 5.5 5.6 3.0 1.2 1.1 1.9 3.6 13.7 10.6 10.0
27–31 May GESOP 25.6 19.4 8.1 7.8 3.4 3.3 3.5 15.1 13.8 6.2
25 May 2014 EP Election 26.1 23.0 10.0 6.5 3.5 1.4 1.4 3.8 3.2 8.0 13.1 3.1
13–15 May Sigma-2 33.8 25.7 10.3 6.2 2.9 3.1 18.0 8.1
6–14 May Simple Lógica 30.9 22.9 12.4 12.3 2.7 1.8 16.9 8.0
5–9 May Celeste-Tel[b] 31.9 28.5 11.9 7.2 2.5 1.4 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.8 9.9 3.4
8 May GESOCLAB 31.1 26.2 11.7 10.2 2.7 18.1 4.9
30 Apr–8 May Feedback 34.9 27.1 12.5 9.2 3.9 1.5 1.4 2.4 7.1 7.8
10–15 Apr Sigma-2 33.1 30.2 10.4 7.2 2.3 1.2 15.6 2.9
1–9 Apr Simple Lógica 28.4 23.8 11.5 13.3 3.5 1.4 18.1 4.6
1–7 Apr CIS 31.9 26.2 10.9 8.9 3.0 1.3 1.1 2.5 14.2 5.7
1–7 Apr Celeste-Tel[b] 31.7 28.4 12.3 7.4 2.6 1.6 1.4 1.9 1.4 11.3 3.3
25 Mar–1 Apr Metroscopia 31.8 32.3 11.7 6.8 2.7 1.7 3.7 9.3 0.5
3–14 Mar NC-Report[b] 32.8 27.4 12.1 7.7 20.0 5.4
3–7 Mar Simple Lógica 29.3 22.8 13.3 12.7 3.5 1.2 17.2 6.5
3–7 Mar Celeste-Tel[b] 31.3 28.3 12.5 7.5 2.5 1.5 1.4 2.0 1.4 11.6 3.0
25 Feb–4 Mar Metroscopia 31.5 32.0 12.0 7.0 17.5 0.5
28 Feb–1 Mar NC-Report 32.6 26.7 12.1 9.4 3.3 1.3 1.6 2.3 10.7 5.9
24 Feb Invymark 28.8 23.6 14.5 12.2 20.9 5.2
13–19 Feb My Word 27.5 23.2 11.5 15.7 22.1 4.3
5–13 Feb GAD3 32.3 26.3 10.7 10.1 3.3 1.3 1.3 2.1 0.9 11.7 6.0
10 Feb Invymark 28.9 23.2 47.9 5.7
3–10 Feb Simple Lógica 29.6 20.3 14.9 11.8 3.8 1.0 18.6 9.3
3–7 Feb Celeste-Tel[b] 30.9 28.1 12.8 7.7 2.3 1.6 1.2 2.1 1.4 11.9 2.8
29 Jan–6 Feb Metroscopia 30.8 31.7 13.5 8.5 15.5 0.9
20–23 Jan GESOP 28.6 24.9 13.2 11.5 3.3 2.1 4.1 12.3 3.7
20 Jan Invymark 28.7 23.3 14.7 12.5 20.8 5.4
3–15 Jan CIS 32.1 26.6 11.3 9.2 3.4 1.2 1.5 2.5 Did not exist 12.2 5.5
2–10 Jan Simple Lógica 28.1 22.0 14.8 13.0 2.6 1.9 17.5 6.1
8–9 Jan Metroscopia 32.0 33.5 12.5 7.3 14.7 1.5
1–8 Jan Celeste-Tel[b] 31.4 28.2 12.9 7.5 2.2 1.6 1.3 2.1 1.3 11.5 3.2
7 Jan Invymark 28.5 23.4 14.7 12.7 20.7 5.1
2014
26–28 Dec Sigma-2 33.3 24.4 14.7 9.8 3.6 1.0 1.6 2.6 Did not exist 9.0 8.9
16 Dec Invymark 28.2 23.6 14.6 12.7 20.9 4.6
2–10 Dec Simple Lógica 30.7 22.8 14.1 13.6 2.8 1.5 14.6 7.9
1–5 Dec Celeste-Tel[b] 31.3 28.0 12.8 7.7 2.3 1.7 1.3 2.2 1.3 11.4 3.3
1 Dec Metroscopia 33.9 31.5 12.0 7.1 2.8 1.2 1.5 2.2 7.8 2.4
25–28 Nov GESOP 29.5 25.1 12.9 11.1 3.0 2.5 4.0 11.9 4.4
18–28 Nov NC-Report[b] 33.7 28.0 12.0 7.3 19.0 5.7
18 Nov Invymark 28.4 23.3 14.5 12.9 20.9 5.1
18 Nov IAOCE 26.3 29.7 11.9 7.3 3.0 1.0 1.2 2.4 17.2 3.4
12–14 Nov Sigma-2 30.6 27.0 13.4 10.1 3.6 1.2 1.4 2.6 10.1 3.6
11–14 Nov GAD3 33.1 28.5 9.2 11.2 3.6 1.3 1.3 2.1 9.7 4.6
4–13 Nov Simple Lógica 30.9 21.7 12.2 14.8 2.3 1.6 16.5 9.2
4–8 Nov Celeste-Tel[b] 31.2 27.6 13.0 7.8 2.3 1.6 1.4 2.3 1.3 11.5 3.6
4 Nov Invymark 28.2 23.1 14.7 13.2 20.8 5.1
30 Oct–4 Nov My Word 27.1 22.7 13.5 15.6 21.1 4.4
22–31 Oct DYM 32.5 21.2 17.3 11.0 18.0 11.3
14 Oct Invymark 27.2 23.4 14.8 13.3 21.3 3.8
16 Sep–14 Oct GETS[a] 27.4 35.2 13.3 7.0 2.4 1.7 2.4 10.6 7.8
2–11 Oct NC-Report 35.0 26.9 12.2 7.8 2.8 1.6 1.6 2.2 9.9 8.1
7–10 Oct GAD3 33.2 25.8 13.1 8.6 3.0 1.4 1.4 2.6 10.9 7.4
1–9 Oct CIS 34.0 26.8 11.3 7.7 2.9 1.2 1.2 2.5 12.4 7.2
1–7 Oct Simple Lógica 27.5 21.6 12.6 13.8 3.0 1.6 19.9 5.9
1–5 Oct Celeste-Tel[b] 30.8 27.5 13.4 7.9 2.4 1.6 1.4 2.2 1.2 11.6 3.3
2–3 Oct Metroscopia 34.1 29.0 11.5 9.1 2.2 1.6 2.7 9.8 5.1
23 Sep Invymark 26.0 23.5 14.8 13.2 22.5 2.5
9–20 Sep NC-Report[b] 33.3 26.1 12.5 7.4 20.7 7.2
10–13 Sep GAD3 32.4 27.4 12.8 9.3 3.1 1.4 1.4 2.1 10.1 5.0
9 Sep Invymark 26.1 23.6 14.7 13.1 22.5 2.5
3–9 Sep Simple Lógica 28.1 23.3 14.9 13.3 2.6 0.9 16.9 4.8
2–6 Sep Celeste-Tel[b] 30.2 27.2 13.9 8.1 2.5 1.6 1.4 2.2 1.2 11.7 3.0
2–6 Sep Feedback 37.9 25.2 12.0 9.6 3.4 1.4 1.2 2.1 7.2 12.7
4–5 Sep Metroscopia 30.1 30.5 11.6 9.0 2.7 1.1 3.6 11.4 0.4
26–30 Aug My Word 28.4 20.9 15.0 14.8 20.9 7.5
1–10 Aug Simple Lógica 29.6 22.2 16.5 10.2 1.9 1.1 18.6 7.4
29–31 Jul TNS-Demoscopia 30.0 25.0 15.0 10.0 20.0 5.0
25–31 Jul Celeste-Tel[b] 30.7 26.6 13.7 8.0 2.6 1.6 1.5 2.1 1.4 11.8 4.1
24–25 Jul Metroscopia[c] 34.7 27.5 11.4 7.7 2.5 1.1 3.5 11.6 7.2
24–25 Jul Metroscopia[d] 23.0 22.8 16.2 11.8 2.5 1.1 3.5 19.1 0.2
16–18 Jul Sigma-2 30.7 27.8 14.3 8.3 4.2 1.1 1.4 1.6 10.6 2.9
1–10 Jul CIS 32.5 27.2 11.5 8.8 3.1 1.4 1.4 2.3 11.8 5.3
1–9 Jul Simple Lógica 25.8 24.2 14.7 12.3 3.4 1.5 18.1 1.6
1–5 Jul Celeste-Tel[b] 31.1 26.5 13.3 7.8 2.7 1.6 1.5 2.1 1.4 12.0 4.6
3–4 Jul Metroscopia 23.0 21.6 16.6 13.0 3.1 1.1 3.4 18.2 1.4
1 Jul Invymark 29.1 24.5 46.4 4.6
25–28 Jun GESOP 28.1 25.5 15.6 12.2 3.0 2.1 13.5 2.6
14–18 Jun My Word 30.3 22.0 15.2 17.7 14.8 8.3
3–11 Jun Simple Lógica 31.9 21.2 12.9 10.6 3.7 1.3 18.4 10.7
10 Jun Invymark 28.9 24.4 46.7 4.5
3–7 Jun Celeste-Tel[b] 30.3 26.0 13.5 8.2 2.9 1.5 1.6 2.1 1.5 12.4 4.3
5–6 Jun Metroscopia 24.5 21.5 16.8 13.4 3.2 1.2 3.3 16.1 3.0
5 May–3 Jun Asturbarómetro 39.7 25.6 14.3 8.6 11.8 14.1
27–30 May GAD3 34.1 25.7 12.5 9.7 3.2 14.8 8.4
13–23 May NC-Report[b] 32.2 24.9 12.3 7.7 22.9 7.3
19 May Metroscopia 28.6 25.1 15.9 10.7 2.9 1.5 1.1 2.7 11.5 3.5
8–10 May Sigma-2 35.4 25.3 13.4 9.6 4.3 1.4 1.3 1.1 8.2 10.1
3–10 May Simple Lógica 29.2 22.4 14.0 12.6 1.7 1.2 18.9 6.8
8–9 May Metroscopia 22.5 20.2 16.6 13.1 3.5 1.2 2.9 20.0 2.3
2–8 May My Word 28.7 24.4 13.3 14.9 18.7 4.3
2–8 May Celeste-Tel[b] 29.7 26.0 13.6 8.6 2.9 1.6 1.4 2.1 1.6 12.5 3.7
6 May Invymark 29.0 24.5 46.5 4.5
8 Apr Invymark 29.2 24.9 45.9 4.3
1–8 Apr Simple Lógica 29.2 21.4 13.6 11.8 2.8 1.7 19.5 7.8
1–8 Apr CIS 34.0 28.2 9.9 7.4 3.4 0.9 1.2 2.0 13.0 5.8
1–5 Apr Celeste-Tel[b] 29.6 26.4 13.6 8.4 3.1 1.6 1.4 2.0 1.6 12.3 3.2
3–4 Apr Metroscopia 24.5 23.0 15.6 13.7 Did not stand 23.2 1.5
18 Mar Invymark 29.1 25.0 45.9 4.1
4–8 Mar Simple Lógica 31.2 21.5 14.2 11.2 2.2 1.2 18.5 9.7
1–7 Mar Celeste-Tel[b] 28.7 27.1 13.5 8.4 3.3 1.6 1.5 1.9 14.0 1.6
27–28 Feb Metroscopia 24.3 23.1 15.4 10.0 27.2 1.2
25 Feb Invymark 29.0 25.0 46.0 4.0
11 Feb Invymark 29.4 24.8 45.8 4.6
6–8 Feb Sigma-2 33.5 28.2 12.3 10.0 4.0 1.3 1.3 1.4 8.0 5.3
4–8 Feb Simple Lógica 33.3 24.2 13.0 9.9 3.2 1.5 14.9 9.1
1–7 Feb Celeste-Tel[b] 29.2 28.0 12.5 8.9 3.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 13.0 1.2
30 Jan–1 Feb Metroscopia 23.9 23.5 15.3 13.6 23.7 0.4
25–29 Jan GESOP 30.2 28.0 12.3 11.5 3.0 1.7 13.3 2.2
21 Jan Invymark 30.0 24.7 45.3 5.3
10–21 Jan NC-Report[b] 36.0 25.9 11.6 7.6 18.9 10.1
4–14 Jan CIS 35.0 30.2 9.4 6.8 3.6 0.9 1.3 2.0 10.8 4.8
7–11 Jan Simple Lógica 32.5 25.5 13.2 10.5 3.2 1.4 13.7 7.0
9–10 Jan Metroscopia 29.8 23.3 15.6 10.1 21.2 6.5
2–9 Jan Celeste-Tel[b] 32.2 28.1 11.8 8.0 3.7 1.5 1.5 1.7 11.5 4.1
8 Jan Invymark 30.6 24.8 44.6 5.8
2013
21–28 Dec Sigma-2 36.7 30.7 9.8 7.1 4.0 1.3 1.2 1.2 Did not stand Did not exist 8.0 6.0
17 Dec Invymark 30.9 24.7 44.4 6.2
3–12 Dec Celeste-Tel[b] 32.4 28.0 11.6 8.3 3.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 11.5 4.4
3–11 Dec Simple Lógica 33.6 23.0 13.5 9.9 3.2 1.4 15.4 10.6
28–29 Nov Metroscopia 31.3 22.7 13.3 10.2 22.5 8.6
5–9 Nov Celeste-Tel[b] 33.0 27.7 11.8 8.3 3.6 1.5 1.6 1.9 10.6 5.3
1–8 Nov Simple Lógica 34.5 24.3 13.4 10.1 3.8 1.0 12.9 10.2
6–7 Nov Metroscopia 31.8 22.9 12.9 8.5 23.9 8.9
5 Nov Invymark 32.0 26.0 42.0 6.0
26–31 Oct My Word 33.0 22.3 9.4 11.9 23.4 10.7
22 Oct Invymark 32.9 26.7 40.4 6.2
15 Sep–17 Oct GETS[a] 31.0 28.7 12.0 8.4 4.4 1.7 1.0 13.0 2.3
2–14 Oct CIS 35.9 28.6 9.4 7.3 3.9 1.6 1.4 1.3 10.6 7.3
1–11 Oct Simple Lógica 34.1 24.5 11.6 9.1 3.9 1.8 15.0 9.6
1–5 Oct Celeste-Tel[b] 32.3 27.5 12.5 8.8 3.7 1.5 1.7 1.5 10.7 4.8
4 Oct NC-Report[b] 38.1 26.3 35.6 11.8
3–4 Oct Metroscopia 29.9 23.9 12.6 10.2 23.4 6.0
17 Sep Invymark 34.1 29.9 36.0 4.2
3–13 Sep Simple Lógica 34.7 26.0 10.7 8.6 2.5 1.0 16.5 8.7
7–12 Sep My Word 31.1 24.8 11.3 13.0 19.8 6.3
3–7 Sep Celeste-Tel[b] 33.5 29.5 10.6 8.5 3.9 1.6 1.6 1.2 9.6 4.0
5–6 Sep Metroscopia 30.9 24.1 12.4 9.8 22.8 6.8
1–10 Aug Simple Lógica 36.4 24.7 11.0 9.5 3.4 0.7 14.3 11.7
26–31 Jul NC-Report[b] 35.4 27.9 36.7 7.5
23–27 Jul Celeste-Tel[b] 33.7 29.1 10.5 8.6 4.2 1.5 1.7 1.3 9.4 4.6
25–26 Jul Metroscopia 30.0 24.7 12.3 9.9 23.1 5.3
17–19 Jul Sigma-2 35.8 29.6 11.7 7.8 4.1 1.3 1.4 1.1 7.2 6.2
2–10 Jul Simple Lógica 37.2 27.7 10.2 9.3 3.7 0.6 11.3 9.5
2–10 Jul CIS 36.6 29.9 8.6 6.6 4.0 1.2 1.5 1.3 11.3 6.7
2–6 Jul Celeste-Tel[b] 40.0 29.0 10.1 5.0 4.1 1.5 1.6 1.1 7.6 11.0
4–5 Jul Metroscopia 37.0 23.1 13.2 7.8 18.9 13.9
2 Jul Invymark 40.5 31.8 27.7 8.7
27–28 Jun DYM 36.8 23.1 13.9 7.5 4.3 1.8 12.6 13.7
14–18 Jun GESOP 38.1 28.1 10.2 7.5 3.7 1.1 1.5 1.0 8.8 10.0
16 Jun PP[a] 38.5 29.0 9.0 8.0 15.5 9.5
1–15 Jun Simple Lógica 39.2 24.4 10.7 6.8 2.5 1.7 14.7 14.8
12–14 Jun Sigma-2 39.1 29.2 9.3 6.8 4.4 1.4 1.4 1.2 7.2 9.9
4–8 Jun Celeste-Tel[b] 40.2 28.9 10.3 5.0 3.9 1.4 1.5 0.9 7.9 11.3
6–7 Jun Metroscopia 37.1 25.9 12.0 5.9 19.1 11.2
21–30 May NC-Report[b] 42.1 27.5 30.4 14.6
1–11 May Simple Lógica 39.9 27.1 10.6 6.5 2.7 0.9 12.3 12.8
9–10 May Metroscopia 37.2 25.8 12.2 6.1 18.7 11.4
2–8 May Celeste-Tel[b] 40.5 28.4 10.4 5.0 3.6 1.4 1.5 1.0 8.2 12.1
25 Apr PSOE 39.8 31.0 29.2 8.8
9–17 Apr CIS 40.6 29.6 8.6 5.1 3.8 1.3 1.2 1.7 8.1 11.0
11–12 Apr Metroscopia 38.1 23.0 11.6 5.9 21.4 15.1
1–11 Apr Simple Lógica 42.0 24.9 10.5 6.5 3.8 1.1 11.2 17.1
2–6 Apr Celeste-Tel[b] 40.7 28.5 10.1 5.2 3.8 1.4 1.5 1.2 7.6 12.2
5–9 Mar Celeste-Tel[b] 44.5 25.7 9.4 5.6 4.0 1.3 1.4 1.2 6.9 18.8
29 Feb–1 Mar Metroscopia 46.3 24.4 9.1 5.1 15.1 21.9
23–28 Feb GESOP 42.0 28.2 7.7 6.4 3.6 1.8 1.2 1.2 7.9 13.8
1–17 Feb NC-Report[b] 45.0 25.2 8.7 5.4 4.0 1.5 1.4 1.1 7.7 19.8
6–10 Feb Celeste-Tel[b] 44.0 27.0 9.0 5.3 4.0 1.4 1.4 1.2 6.7 17.0
8–9 Feb Metroscopia 46.2 23.0 8.8 6.3 15.7 23.2
16–20 Jan NC-Report 46.3 27.8 7.4 5.1 4.2 1.3 1.4 1.1 5.4 18.5
4–15 Jan CIS 42.7 28.0 7.9 5.7 3.4 1.1 1.4 1.4 8.4 14.7
2–6 Jan Celeste-Tel[b] 45.5 28.4 7.5 5.1 3.9 1.3 1.4 1.1 5.8 17.1
4–5 Jan Metroscopia 46.4 26.5 7.7 4.6 14.8 19.9
2012
14–15 Dec Metroscopia 44.9 28.4 7.5 5.0 14.2 16.5
20 Nov 2011 General Election 44.6 28.8 6.9 4.7 4.2 1.4 1.3 1.1 7.0 15.8

Seats[edit]

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

176 seats needed for majority
Date Polling Firm/Source PP PSOE IU UPyD CiU A PNV ERC C's P Others
18 May JM&A 115 94 3 12 4 6 8 45 59 4
13 May JM&A 111 93 2 12 4 6 8 46 64 4
8–13 Apr GESOP 102 / 107 75 / 78 2 / 4 1 / 2 10 / 12 6 / 8 55 / 59 78 / 82 13 / 15
30 Mar–2 Apr NC-Report 136 / 142 99 / 107 8 / 10 2 / 3 11 / 12 5 5 8 / 9 21 / 27 35 / 41 7
2–6 Mar Celeste-Tel 139 / 143 118 / 121 8 / 9 1 / 2 8 / 9 5 / 6 5 / 6 7 / 8 20 / 23 22 / 28 6 / 9
1 Mar JM&A 114 80 4 2 11 5 5 8 19 99 3
15 Feb NC-Report 125 / 136 87 / 91 6 / 9 2 / 4 11 4 6 9 7 71 / 74 7
14 Feb JM&A 121 84 5 3 11 3 5 9 8 96 5
2–6 Feb Celeste-Tel 132 / 139 90 / 93 6 / 8 3 / 4 8 / 9 5 / 6 5 / 6 8 / 9 10 / 11 61 / 64 5 / 9
2–6 Feb DyS 133 75 9 7 10 78 38
23–28 Jan Termómetro Electoral 111 88 6 7 10 103 25
9–16 Jan GAD3 132 80 2 5 11 3 6 8 11 89 3
2–12 Jan CIS[e] 120 91 6 4 14 4 3 6 3 96 3
2–9 Jan Celeste-Tel 128 / 135 89 / 92 7 / 9 3 / 4 9 / 10 6 / 7 5 / 6 9 / 10 9 / 10 62 / 65 6 / 9
2015
9–30 Dec NC-Report 113 / 120 86 / 90 6 / 10 3 / 4 11 / 12 4 6 9 / 10 4 / 7 73 / 77 7
9–15 Dec GESOP 115 / 118 77 / 80 2 / 4 8 / 10 9 / 10 8 / 9 3 / 5 101 / 104 16 / 18
1–5 Dec Celeste-Tel 125 / 130 89 / 94 10 / 11 5 / 6 9 / 10 6 / 7 5 / 6 9 / 10 8 / 10 60 / 66 6 / 10
14 Nov JM&A 123 94 10 5 12 3 4 10 3 80 6
3–7 Nov Celeste-Tel 127 / 131 92 / 97 11 / 12 6 / 7 8 / 9 6 / 7 5 / 6 10 / 11 8 / 10 57 / 61 6 / 10
1–13 Oct CIS[e] 120 101 6 3 15 3 4 8 0 87 3
1–7 Oct Celeste-Tel 137 / 141 90 / 98 13 / 15 6 / 8 10 / 11 6 / 7 5 / 6 8 / 9 7 / 9 42 / 51 6 / 11
22–26 Sep DyS 151 89 12 8 9 6 6 8 5 48 8
1–5 Sep Celeste-Tel 142 / 149 89 / 96 11 / 14 7 / 9 10 / 11 6 / 7 5 / 6 8 / 9 7 / 9 36 / 44 6 / 11
25–30 Aug NC-Report 132 / 138 89 / 93 9 / 13 7 / 10 9 / 11 6 5 8 / 10 4 / 6 56 / 60 7 / 8
18–24 Jul Celeste-Tel 143 / 151 90 / 94 11 / 15 9 / 11 12 / 13 7 / 8 5 / 6 7 / 8 7 / 9 32 / 37 6 / 12
1–9 Jul CIS[e] 142 93 15 9 12 4 5 13 0 52 5
1–5 Jul Celeste-Tel 144 / 149 89 / 92 12 / 15 9 / 12 12 / 13 7 / 8 5 / 6 6 / 7 6 / 8 34 / 37 6 / 13
4–6 Jun Celeste-Tel 139 / 142 94 / 98 13 / 15 12 / 14 12 / 13 7 / 8 6 / 7 7 / 8 5 / 6 28 / 32 10 / 14
27–31 May GESOP 125 / 127 87 / 89 15 / 17 13 / 14 12 / 13 11 / 12 3 / 5 56 / 58 20 / 24
25 May 2014 EP Election (139) (105) (25) (10) (13) (8) (7) (15) (4) (19) (5)
5–9 May Celeste-Tel 138 / 147 114 / 118 25 / 27 11 / 13 11 / 12 7 6 6 / 7 3 / 4 1 14 / 16
30 Apr–8 May Feedback 144 105 38 24 13 6 5 7 2 0 6
1–7 Apr Celeste-Tel 139 / 149 115 / 118 26 / 28 12 / 14 11 / 12 7 6 6 / 7 3 / 4 0 14 / 18
3–7 Mar Celeste-Tel 138 / 150 115 / 118 26 / 28 12 / 14 11 / 12 7 6 6 / 7 2 / 4 0 13 / 15
5–13 Feb GAD3 148 115 21 20 12 6 6 7 1 0 14
3–7 Feb Celeste-Tel 137 / 148 114 / 118 26 / 29 12 / 14 11 / 12 8 6 7 / 8 2 / 4 0 14 / 15
20–23 Jan GESOP 126 / 129 104 / 107 37 / 39 30 / 32 12 / 13 7 / 8 2 / 4 0 23 / 25
3–15 Jan CIS[e] 150 112 26 18 13 6 7 9 0 9
1–8 Jan Celeste-Tel 139 / 149 114 / 118 27 / 29 12 / 14 11 8 6 8 2 / 3 14 / 17
2014
1–5 Dec Celeste-Tel 138 / 148 114 / 118 27 / 30 12 / 14 11 8 6 8 / 9 2 / 3 Did not exist 15 / 16
1 Dec Metroscopia 146 131 25 11 11 5 7 8 0 6
25–28 Nov GESOP 132 / 136 104 / 108 32 / 34 28 / 29 11 / 12 8 / 9 2 / 4 23 / 25
18 Nov IAOCE 124 / 125 136 / 138 35 15 / 16 11 5 6 / 7 9 0 5
11–14 Nov GAD3 150 122 16 21 12 6 6 7 0 10
4–8 Nov Celeste-Tel 138 / 147 113 / 117 27 / 30 12 / 14 11 8 7 8 3 16
2–11 Oct NC-Report 150 / 154 106 / 110 26 / 28 13 / 14 12 7 6 8 0 15
7–10 Oct GAD3 154 109 28 16 10 7 6 8 0 12
1–9 Oct CIS[e] 161 111 24 12 12 7 5 9 0 9
1–5 Oct Celeste-Tel 137 / 143 114 / 116 28 / 31 12 / 15 11 8 7 8 3 16
10–13 Sep GAD3 147 118 27 17 11 7 6 7 0 10
2–6 Sep Celeste-Tel 137 / 140 114 / 115 28 / 31 13 / 16 11 8 7 8 3 16 / 17
2–6 Sep Feedback 153 98 37 25 13 6 5 7 0 6
25–31 Jul Celeste-Tel 139 / 142 114 / 115 28 / 29 13 / 14 11 8 7 8 3 15 / 17
24–25 Jul Metroscopia[c] 148 127 28 12 0 35
1–10 Jul CIS[e] 150 114 26 16 13 7 6 9 0 9
1–5 Jul Celeste-Tel 138 / 144 111 / 116 26 / 28 11 / 14 11 7 7 8 3 / 4 17 / 19
25–28 Jun GESOP 118 / 122 104 / 107 48 / 50 31 / 33 11 / 12 7 / 9 0 24 / 26
3–7 Jun Celeste-Tel 136 / 144 110 / 115 26 / 28 13 / 15 12 7 7 7 3 / 4 18 / 19
27–30 May GAD3 155 111 26 19 10 0 29
19 May Metroscopia 139 90 48 30 10 7 5 9 0 12
2–8 May Celeste-Tel 134 / 144 110 / 116 26 / 29 13 / 16 12 7 7 7 3 / 4 18 / 19
1–8 Apr CIS[e] 155 122 20 12 15 4 6 7 0 9
1–5 Apr Celeste-Tel 136 / 145 112 / 118 26 / 28 13 / 15 12 7 7 6 3 / 4 16 / 19
1–7 Mar Celeste-Tel 134 / 146 114 / 120 25 / 28 13 / 16 13 7 7 5 Did not stand 16 / 18
1–7 Feb Celeste-Tel 136 / 146 117 / 121 23 / 25 14 / 17 14 7 7 4 / 5 15 / 18
25–29 Jan GESOP 133 / 135 120 / 123 22 / 25 23 / 26 13 / 15 6 / 7 22 / 24
4–14 Jan CIS[e] 155 125 18 10 15 4 7 7 9
2–9 Jan Celeste-Tel 146 / 154 113 / 117 21 / 23 10 / 13 14 / 15 7 7 5 / 6 14 / 17
2013
3–12 Dec Celeste-Tel 147 / 154 112 / 117 21 / 23 11 / 13 14 / 15 7 7 5 / 6 Did not stand Did not exist 15 / 17
5–9 Nov Celeste-Tel 148 / 153 112 / 115 22 / 25 11 / 13 15 7 7 6 15 / 17
2–14 Oct CIS[e] 163 119 18 11 17 7 6 3 6
1–5 Oct Celeste-Tel 148 / 151 112 / 114 24 / 26 12 / 14 16 7 7 5 16
3–7 Sep Celeste-Tel 150 / 153 119 / 121 20 / 21 12 / 13 15 7 6 4 12 / 15
23–27 Jul Celeste-Tel 152 / 154 118 / 121 19 / 20 12 / 13 15 7 6 4 / 5 11 / 14
2–6 Jul Celeste-Tel 164 / 168 117 / 125 19 / 20 5 / 7 15 6 7 3 / 5 7 / 11
14–18 Jun GESOP 168 / 172 109 / 112 19 / 20 11 / 12 15 / 16 5 / 6 6 / 7 2 / 3 9 / 11
4–8 Jun Celeste-Tel 164 / 170 118 / 125 20 / 22 5 / 8 15 7 7 3 / 5 7 / 10
2–8 May Celeste-Tel 166 / 170 117 / 123 20 / 21 5 / 7 14 6 7 3 / 4 7 / 9
9–17 Apr CIS[e] 175 / 176 118 / 119 15 5 15 7 5 5 4
2–6 Apr Celeste-Tel 168 / 171 118 / 121 18 / 20 5 / 7 15 6 7 3 / 4 8
5–9 Mar Celeste-Tel 186 / 188 102 / 104 14 / 15 5 / 8 16 6 7 3 / 4 8
23–28 Feb GESOP 179 / 181 110 / 112 13 / 14 9 / 10 14 / 15 7 5 3 / 4 7 / 8
1–17 Feb NC-Report 186 / 187 104 / 108 12 / 13 6 / 7 15 / 16 7 5 3 7 / 9
6–10 Feb Celeste-Tel 184 / 185 105 / 107 14 / 15 5 / 7 15 6 / 7 6 3 / 4 8 / 9
16–20 Jan NC-Report 191 / 193 103 / 105 11 / 12 5 15 / 16 7 5 3 7
2–6 Jan Celeste-Tel 189 / 190 107 / 108 12 5 15 6 6 3 7 / 8
2012
20 Nov 2011 General Election 186 110 11 5 16 7 5 3 7

Voting preference[edit]

Direct Vote Intention (IDV)

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Date Polling Firm/Source PP PSOE IU UPyD CiU A PNV ERC C's P Others No
party
Undec.
23–29 Apr Termómetro Electoral 12.7 12.7 3.7 1.7 11.8 17.5 39.9
17–22 Apr My Word 11.1 8.4 3.4 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.4 3.3 17.8 17.7 9.7 5.9 19.4
8–13 Apr GESOP 14.0 14.5 3.9 1.1 2.3 0.3 0.4 1.2 15.7 18.9 9.8 5.1 12.8
1–13 Apr Simple Lógica 10.4 12.7 2.4 0.6 0.9 0.1 11.7 12.7 3.6 21.6 23.3
1–12 Apr CIS 13.5 15.4 3.1 0.8 1.4 0.4 0.6 1.5 10.0 13.6 6.2 10.9 22.6
7–9 Apr Metroscopia 14.6 15.1 3.5 1.3 1.4 0.2 0.6 1.6 12.5 15.3 3.8 4.6 25.5
25–31 Mar Termómetro Electoral 12.0 11.2 4.1 2.5 10.0 20.3 39.9
2–13 Mar Simple Lógica 11.1 10.2 3.7 1.7 0.9 0.7 11.3 13.6 4.5 18.9 23.4
4–9 Mar My Word 7.2 7.7 3.5 1.7 1.7 0.2 0.4 3.1 15.0 22.7 9.8 7.1 19.9
3–4 Mar Metroscopia 12.8 11.6 4.4 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.5 11.0 17.0 6.4 5.0 26.5
23–27 Feb Termómetro Electoral 13.3 12.0 3.9 3.4 5.0 22.4 40.0
9–11 Feb My Word 12.2 9.1 3.6 3.4 2.4 0.4 0.9 2.6 10.5 23.5 10.8 4.5 16.1
2–9 Feb Simple Lógica 13.9 10.1 3.0 2.6 1.0 0.6 5.3 20.0 4.8 20.2 18.5
3–4 Feb Metroscopia 12.3 11.4 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.8 1.0 6.6 20.5 6.8 6.0 27.4
23–28 Jan Termómetro Electoral 13.6 12.9 3.9 3.8 3.6 22.1 40.1
12–14 Jan Sigma-2 13.3 10.0 2.4 2.0 2.3 14.7 55.3
7–14 Jan Simple Lógica 11.5 9.5 3.4 3.7 1.2 0.2 3.5 20.7 4.5 22.7 19.1
2–12 Jan CIS 12.9 12.4 3.6 2.2 1.7 0.6 0.6 1.3 2.1 19.3 7.7 13.6 22.0
7–8 Jan Metroscopia 12.8 12.3 4.4 3.3 1.5 0.3 0.2 1.8 4.6 20.4 4.9 7.9 25.6
30 Dec–6 Jan My Word 9.8 10.1 4.0 4.5 1.7 0.4 0.2 3.5 4.9 24.0 10.7 7.8 18.4
2015
9–15 Dec GESOP 15.9 13.6 3.6 4.5 0.8 0.2 0.8 2.3 3.2 24.4 10.6 6.5 13.6
13 Dec DYM 7.8 7.2 2.8 2.9 2.9 16.9 16.7 14.4 28.4
2–3 Dec Metroscopia 12.1 16.5 4.1 3.5 18.1 14.1 31.6
28 Oct–6 Nov DYM 7.4 8.9 16.6 67.1
28–29 Oct Metroscopia 10.4 13.1 3.7 3.0 22.2 10.9 36.7
1–13 Oct CIS 11.7 14.3 3.7 2.1 2.0 0.4 0.4 1.9 1.5 17.6 6.8 15.7 21.9
15 Sep–12 Oct GETS 12.5 18.4 5.2 1.5 0.8 0.8 1.9 14.4 3.0 41.5
29–30 Sep Metroscopia 11.9 14.8 4.9 3.2 12.3 12.9 40.0
16–24 Jul Metroscopia 14.5 14.4 3.0 2.0 13.4 10.4 42.3
1–9 Jul CIS 12.8 10.6 6.2 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 0.6 11.9 9.2 19.2 20.8
27–31 May GESOP 15.1 8.3 6.1 4.8 2.3 0.5 0.4 3.5 2.6 16.7 11.5 9.3 18.9
1–7 Apr CIS 13.6 13.4 7.2 4.9 1.4 0.8 0.6 1.9 13.1 20.2 22.9
25 Mar–1 Apr Metroscopia 13.6 13.0 9.5 5.5 1.2 0.3 0.4 2.3 11.3 14.5 28.4
3–7 Mar Simple Lógica 11.5 11.1 8.1 6.6 1.4 0.6 9.9 32.2 18.6
25 Feb–4 Mar Metroscopia 14.1 13.7 10.9 6.9 1.8 0.2 0.8 2.4 12.3 14.7 22.2
13–19 Feb My Word 7.0 9.1 8.3 10.9 2.5 0.4 0.3 3.6 26.6 9.6 21.7
29 Jan–6 Feb Metroscopia 12.6 12.4 11.9 5.5 1.6 0.2 0.8 1.7 12.4 16.8 24.1
20–23 Jan GESOP 15.7 14.6 9.5 8.0 2.2 0.8 0.5 1.6 2.3 13.3 14.7 16.8
3–15 Jan CIS 10.8 11.8 7.1 4.6 1.4 0.5 0.6 1.7 13.7 24.2 23.6
8–9 Jan Metroscopia 12.5 12.9 9.9 4.1 1.3 0.4 0.6 1.4 13.6 19.4 23.9
2014
25–28 Nov GESOP 16.1 17.3 9.3 7.2 1.5 0.7 0.5 2.7 2.7 Did not exist 15.0 11.4 15.6
30 Oct–4 Nov My Word 7.1 9.1 11.0 10.8 1.5 0.8 0.4 3.8 22.4 11.5 21.6
22–31 Oct DYM 7.5 8.7 83.8
16 Sep–14 Oct GETS 14.1 24.1 8.8 3.7 1.4 1.4 1.7 4.8 40.0
1–9 Oct CIS 11.4 13.0 8.5 4.8 1.1 0.6 0.5 2.0 12.0 22.0 24.1
1–7 Oct Simple Lógica 10.1 9.1 6.1 7.0 1.2 0.5 9.3 37.2 19.5
2–3 Oct Metroscopia 14.1 9.6 9.5 7.4 1.2 0.2 1.1 1.5 15.5 13.6 26.3
4–5 Sep Metroscopia 11.1 12.3 10.4 7.3 1.7 0.7 0.4 1.9 13.6 16.4 24.2
26–30 Aug My Word 8.6 8.3 11.6 8.5 26.3 11.0 25.7
24–25 Jul Metroscopia 11.6 10.3 9.8 6.3 16.3 29.2 16.5
1–10 Jul CIS 13.2 12.5 7.8 4.9 1.1 0.5 0.8 1.6 11.7 24.0 21.9
3–4 Jul Metroscopia 10.0 10.4 9.5 6.7 1.7 0.5 0.4 1.6 14.4 26.0 18.8
25–28 Jun GESOP 15.5 17.2 11.5 8.2 1.4 0.6 0.6 1.6 0.7 13.9 13.2 15.6
14–18 Jun My Word 7.5 7.5 13.2 10.7 25.7 12.6 22.8
5–6 Jun Metroscopia 13.7 10.2 10.0 8.0 1.4 0.6 0.5 1.3 10.9 25.8 17.6
8–9 May Metroscopia 11.3 7.8 9.5 5.8 1.3 0.5 0.3 1.3 14.4 25.0 22.8
2–8 May My Word 7.8 11.7 11.1 9.7 29.1 13.3 17.3
1–8 Apr CIS 12.5 13.7 7.1 4.1 1.2 0.3 0.8 1.6 14.5 22.7 21.5
3–4 Apr Metroscopia 13.4 8.8 10.7 6.7 1.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 Did not stand 11.7 27.3 18.0
4–8 Mar Simple Lógica 10.0 8.3 6.6 4.8 0.4 0.1 7.2 40.2 22.4
27–28 Feb Metroscopia 13.6 10.5 8.6 5.7 19.3 25.5 16.8
30 Jan–1 Feb Metroscopia 12.0 12.4 7.8 6.9 16.8 24.6 19.5
25–29 Jan GESOP 13.6 20.8 10.1 7.1 1.8 0.5 0.7 2.1 17.1 12.4 13.8
4–14 Jan CIS 15.8 17.0 6.4 3.8 1.7 0.4 0.8 1.9 11.0 21.5 19.7
9–10 Jan Metroscopia 13.9 11.3 9.8 5.9 17.4 24.7 17.0
2013
6–7 Nov Metroscopia 16.7 13.3 8.1 5.0 Did not stand Did not exist 16.5 24.8 15.6
26–31 Oct My Word 13.6 11.9 9.4 10.2 19.9 10.2 24.8
2–14 Oct CIS 16.1 17.6 7.0 4.4 2.3 0.8 0.8 1.1 11.0 18.8 20.1
3–13 Sep Simple Lógica 14.6 11.1 5.3 4.0 0.8 0.6 8.2 33.5 21.9
2–10 Jul CIS 18.2 17.1 6.2 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.6 0.8 9.6 22.3 18.7
27–28 Jun DYM 17.4 10.9 71.7
14–18 Jun GESOP 24.8 22.3 9.5 6.8 3.2 0.8 1.1 0.8 11.4 7.4 11.9
1–11 May Simple Lógica 17.8 15.8 8.1 3.7 1.4 0.6 9.3 26.1 17.2
9–17 Apr CIS 24.0 20.8 7.0 2.8 1.9 0.7 1.0 1.0 8.0 17.2 15.6
23–28 Feb GESOP 33.0 24.0 7.1 5.0 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.9 9.2 6.4 10.1
8–9 Feb Metroscopia 32.5 14.4 7.4 5.5 11.0 13.3 15.9
4–15 Jan CIS 30.5 18.2 5.9 3.8 2.2 0.7 0.9 0.7 7.1 13.4 16.6
2012
20 Nov 2011 General Election 30.4 19.6 4.7 3.2 2.8 0.9 0.9 0.7 5.7 31.1 0.0
IDV + Party Sympathy

Polls shown below show the combination of the respondents' directly expressed vote intention and the party preference of those who are undecided. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Date Polling Firm/Source PP PSOE IU UPyD CiU A PNV ERC C's P Others No
party
8–13 Apr GESOP 15.5 17.0 4.9 1.3 2.6 0.3 0.8 1.3 17.3 20.1 3.7 15.2
1–12 Apr CIS 15.9 19.4 4.2 1.1 1.9 0.6 0.6 2.1 11.8 15.1 6.5 20.8
7–9 Apr Metroscopia 16.0 16.8 3.8 1.4 1.8 0.2 0.7 1.6 14.9 17.3 2.6 22.9
2–6 Mar Celeste-Tel 15.3 16.5 4.4 1.0 1.3 0.5 0.5 2.2 9.8 10.4 9.5 28.6
3–4 Mar Metroscopia 15.5 16.5 5.2 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.5 2.2 13.5 19.7 2.7 19.6
2–6 Feb Celeste-Tel 14.3 15.9 3.6 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.5 2.4 5.8 15.1 7.7 30.8
3–4 Feb Metroscopia 15.9 15.6 4.9 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 8.4 22.4 5.2 23.6
2–12 Jan CIS 15.4 16.6 4.8 2.9 2.0 0.6 0.6 1.6 3.0 21.1 8.0 23.4
2–9 Jan Celeste-Tel 14.3 15.9 3.6 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.5 2.5 4.3 16.3 7.8 31.0
7–8 Jan Metroscopia 15.4 16.4 5.0 4.2 1.6 0.3 0.3 2.0 5.4 22.7 2.2 24.5
2015
9–15 Dec GESOP 18.1 16.8 4.6 5.6 1.2 0.2 1.0 2.4 3.7 25.4 3.4 17.6
1–5 Dec Celeste-Tel 13.6 16.2 3.8 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.5 2.8 3.8 17.2 7.5 30.4
2–3 Dec Metroscopia 15.5 20.8 5.4 4.5 20.4 11.5 21.9
3–7 Nov Celeste-Tel 14.1 16.4 3.5 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.5 2.7 4.1 17.4 7.8 29.5
28–29 Oct Metroscopia 13.9 18.5 4.5 4.2 24.5 9.0 25.4
1–13 Oct CIS 14.6 18.1 4.2 2.5 2.3 0.5 0.6 2.2 1.9 19.3 7.0 26.8
15 Sep–12 Oct GETS 15.3 23.7 5.6 1.8 0.9 1.3 2.0 15.8 3.6 30.0
1–7 Oct Celeste-Tel 15.0 17.6 4.2 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 3.5 13.6 11.4 29.7
29–30 Sep Metroscopia 15.9 20.7 6.2 4.0 14.3 11.1 27.8
1–5 Sep Celeste-Tel 17.0 15.7 4.7 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 3.1 12.8 8.6 30.4
18–24 Jul Celeste-Tel 17.8 15.8 5.5 3.2 1.6 0.4 0.6 2.0 3.1 11.1 9.3 29.6
16–24 Jul Metroscopia 17.8 17.6 3.4 2.5 13.6 12.3 32.8
1–9 Jul CIS 16.1 14.6 7.1 4.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 2.7 0.7 13.1 10.0 28.4
1–5 Jul Celeste-Tel 17.5 15.4 5.2 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.8 11.5 8.7 31.3
4–6 Jun Celeste-Tel 15.5 13.1 5.4 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.5 1.7 2.8 11.3 10.6 33.9
27–31 May GESOP 19.1 12.3 7.3 6.2 2.6 0.7 0.8 4.0 3.4 18.3 4.7 20.6
5–9 May Celeste-Tel 16.6 19.3 8.9 4.0 1.5 0.6 0.7 1.9 11.7 34.8
1–7 Apr CIS 17.5 18.5 8.8 6.3 1.9 0.8 0.8 2.1 13.1 30.2
1–7 Apr Celeste-Tel 17.4 20.1 9.2 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.8 1.9 11.1 33.1
3–7 Mar Celeste-Tel 17.8 20.5 9.1 4.5 1.6 0.6 0.8 1.8 12.0 31.3
3–7 Feb Celeste-Tel 17.5 20.1 8.9 4.6 1.6 0.6 0.8 2.0 12.2 31.7
20–23 Jan GESOP 19.7 21.0 11.5 9.1 2.8 1.0 0.9 2.1 2.8 5.8 23.3
3–15 Jan CIS 14.2 17.1 9.2 6.0 1.8 0.6 1.0 2.1 14.4 33.6
1–8 Jan Celeste-Tel 17.9 20.4 9.1 4.5 1.5 0.7 0.8 2.3 11.5 31.3
2014
1–5 Dec Celeste-Tel 17.8 20.2 8.9 4.7 1.5 0.7 0.8 2.4 Did not exist 11.3 31.7
25–28 Nov GESOP 20.7 22.1 12.6 8.5 2.2 0.7 0.7 3.1 2.8 5.5 21.1
4–8 Nov Celeste-Tel 18.6 21.3 9.0 5.1 1.5 0.7 1.0 2.5 11.0 29.3
16 Sep–14 Oct GETS 17.4 27.7 10.2 4.3 1.4 1.2 1.8 6.0 30.0
1–9 Oct CIS 15.5 18.9 10.2 6.0 1.4 0.8 0.6 2.6 12.1 31.9
1–5 Oct Celeste-Tel 18.8 21.6 9.0 5.0 1.6 0.7 0.9 2.3 11.3 28.8
2–6 Sep Celeste-Tel 18.5 20.6 8.9 5.3 1.5 1.0 1.0 2.2 11.1 29.9
25–31 Jul Celeste-Tel 18.6 19.8 8.6 4.6 1.5 0.9 1.0 2.0 10.7 32.3
1–10 Jul CIS 16.7 18.0 9.9 6.4 1.5 0.6 0.8 2.1 11.9 32.1
1–5 Jul Celeste-Tel 19.5 20.6 8.0 4.5 1.4 0.8 1.0 1.8 9.8 32.6
25–28 Jun GESOP 21.2 23.3 14.6 9.1 2.1 0.6 0.6 2.1 0.9 4.5 21.0
3–7 Jun Celeste-Tel 19.2 19.8 7.7 4.7 1.4 0.7 1.2 1.6 10.3 33.4
2–8 May Celeste-Tel 17.9 19.4 7.5 4.9 1.3 0.8 1.1 1.6 10.9 34.6
1–8 Apr CIS 16.6 20.1 8.8 5.2 1.5 0.4 0.8 1.8 15.2 29.6
1–5 Apr Celeste-Tel 19.0 20.5 6.5 4.6 1.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 10.1 34.6
1–7 Mar Celeste-Tel 17.8 21.0 6.4 4.7 1.6 0.9 1.1 1.2 Did not stand 10.7 34.6
1–7 Feb Celeste-Tel 17.8 21.0 6.4 4.7 1.6 0.9 1.1 1.2 10.3 35.0
25–29 Jan GESOP 19.3 27.5 12.4 9.0 2.6 0.8 0.8 2.5 6.5 18.6
4–14 Jan CIS 19.0 21.7 7.8 4.6 2.1 0.6 0.9 2.1 11.5 29.7
2–9 Jan Celeste-Tel 17.8 21.0 6.4 4.7 1.6 0.9 1.1 1.2 10.4 34.9
2013
3–12 Dec Celeste-Tel 18.5 20.4 6.8 5.1 1.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 Did not stand Did not exist 10.1 34.5
5–9 Nov Celeste-Tel 19.3 19.5 7.1 4.9 1.7 0.7 1.3 1.2 7.9 36.4
15 Sep–17 Oct GETS 18.6 26.2 8.5 4.4 1.9 1.9 1.0 4.8 26.0
2–14 Oct CIS 19.2 22.8 8.4 5.2 2.8 0.8 1.0 1.4 11.3 27.1
1–5 Oct Celeste-Tel 18.8 18.3 7.4 5.4 2.1 0.9 1.3 0.9 7.1 37.8
2–10 Jul CIS 21.1 21.8 7.1 4.4 2.7 1.0 0.6 1.1 10.2 30.0
14–18 Jun GESOP 27.2 26.3 11.4 7.5 4.0 0.8 1.1 1.2 5.9 14.6
9–17 Apr CIS 26.0 23.8 8.1 3.3 2.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 8.5 24.7
23–28 Feb GESOP 34.2 27.7 8.0 5.5 3.1 1.3 0.8 1.1 4.7 13.6
4–15 Jan CIS 31.9 21.0 6.4 4.1 2.4 0.7 1.1 0.9 7.4 24.1
2012
20 Nov 2011 General Election 30.4 19.6 4.7 3.2 2.8 0.9 0.9 0.7 5.7 31.1

Catalonia[edit]

Vote[edit]

Poll results showing opinion polls for Catalonia results in the 2015 general election are listed in the table below. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Seats[edit]

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Catalonia awarded 47 of the 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies in the 2011 election.

Voting preference[edit]

Direct Vote Intention (IDV)

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Leadership ratings[edit]

Rating scale[edit]

Poll results showing party leaders' popularity are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. Values are shown in a 0 to 10 scale, with 10 indicating the most positively valued and 0 being the most negatively valued. Values are shaded in a string of colors ranging from dark red to dark green, in accordance with the value awarded to the leader (the color legend is also shown below).

Color legend
0.00–
2.49
2.50–
2.99
3.00–
3.49
3.50–
3.99
4.00–
4.49
4.50–
4.99
5.00–
5.49
5.50–
5.99
6.00–
6.49
6.50–
6.99
7.00–
7.49
7.50–
10.00
Date Polling Firm/Source Rajoy Rubal. Sánchez Lara Garzón Díez Rivera Iglesias
1–12 May Encuestamos 2.10 4.40 4.30 2.50 4.30 4.10
23–29 Apr Termómetro Electoral 2.51 4.15 4.64 2.25 4.69 4.16
16–26 Apr Encuestamos 2.40 3.70 3.90 2.40 4.50 3.60
8–13 Apr GESOP 2.81 4.70 4.69 3.24 5.27 4.04
1–12 Apr CIS 2.49 3.59 3.43 3.00
25–31 Mar Termómetro Electoral 2.77 3.69 4.44 2.40 4.75 4.25
24 Mar Encuestamos 2.40 3.60 4.00 3.30 4.70 3.80
23–27 Feb Termómetro Electoral 2.79 3.95 4.81 3.05 4.78 4.39
25 Feb Encuestamos 2.70 3.50 3.40 3.20 4.20 4.00
2 Feb Invymark 3.27 4.18 3.89 3.54 4.18 3.96
23–28 Jan Termómetro Electoral 2.81 4.02 4.52 3.02 4.73 4.51
22 Jan Encuestamos 2.50 3.70 3.80 3.30 4.60
2–12 Jan CIS 2.24 3.68 3.53 3.66
2015
26–31 Dec Termómetro Electoral 2.89 3.71 4.45 3.37 5.16 4.58
15 Dec Invymark 2.88 4.26 4.01 3.77 4.00 4.24
9–15 Dec GESOP 2.65 4.56 4.60 4.15 4.62 4.56
13 Dec DYM 2.60 3.70 3.90 3.70 4.20 4.00
2–7 Dec Termómetro Electoral 2.76 3.84 4.27 3.12 4.57 4.95
2–4 Dec Sigma-2 3.43 3.81 3.80 3.87 3.76 3.93
1 Dec Invymark 2.95 4.13 3.95 3.53 3.75 4.25
17–19 Nov Sigma-2 3.60 4.12 3.70 4.10 3.90 4.37
10 Nov Invymark 3.00 4.33 3.63 3.91 3.60 4.02 4.74
28 Oct–6 Nov DYM 2.50 4.10 3.80 3.90 4.50 4.60
27 Oct Invymark 2.87 4.45 3.75 3.90 3.60 4.82
10–25 Oct Asturbarómetro 3.50 3.40 3.40 4.30 4.40
13–16 Oct Sigma-2 3.36 3.98 3.30 3.62 3.89
1–13 Oct CIS 2.31 3.85 3.48 3.63
13 Oct Invymark 3.03 3.91 3.36 3.60 3.50 4.13
15 Sep–12 Oct GETS 2.44 4.79 3.72 3.64 3.49 4.79
29 Sep Invymark 3.23 4.14 3.47 3.56 4.14
15 Sep Invymark 3.25 4.05 3.46 3.45 4.08
26–28 Aug Sigma-2 3.50 4.36 3.70 3.99 4.30 4.48
1–9 Jul CIS 2.34 3.12 3.35 3.52
27–31 May GESOP 3.10 3.42 4.83 4.14 4.24 4.65 5.44
13–15 May Sigma-2 3.60 3.60 3.70 4.20 4.20 4.57
30 Apr–8 May Feedback 3.12 3.15 3.64 3.94
10–15 Apr Sigma-2 3.64 4.01 3.77 4.37 4.22 4.49
1–7 Apr CIS 2.29 2.93 3.39 3.88
20–23 Jan GESOP 2.95 3.48 3.92 4.32 4.37
3–15 Jan CIS 2.22 3.00 3.72 4.15
7 Jan Invymark 2.80 3.21 4.33 3.92
2014
26–28 Dec Sigma-2 3.30 3.12 3.49 3.70 3.61
25–28 Nov GESOP 2.95 3.43 3.87 4.28
12–14 Nov Sigma-2 3.36 3.12 3.24 3.76
11–14 Nov GAD3 3.70 3.50 3.50 4.00
4 Nov Invymark 2.97 2.97 4.18 4.35
22–31 Oct DYM 2.40 2.70 3.30 3.80
14 Oct Invymark 3.17 3.58
16 Sep–14 Oct GETS 2.01 3.68 3.38 3.56
1–9 Oct CIS 2.42 3.13 3.81 4.28
10–13 Sep GAD3 3.50 3.30 3.40 3.80
9 Sep Invymark 2.83 2.92
2–6 Sep Feedback 3.01 3.14 3.63 4.13
16–18 Jul Sigma-2 3.44 3.12 3.22 3.62
1–10 Jul CIS 2.45 3.14 3.59 4.12
25–28 Jun GESOP 3.16 3.78 4.14 4.52
27–30 May GAD3 3.50 3.10 3.30 3.70
8–10 May Sigma-2 3.52 2.94 3.28 3.52
8 Apr Invymark 3.38 3.52
1–8 Apr CIS 2.44 3.00 3.52 3.96
6–8 Feb Sigma-2 3.45 3.23 3.57 3.99
25–29 Jan GESOP 3.08 3.84 4.10 4.56
21 Jan Invymark 3.12 3.54
4–14 Jan CIS 2.81 3.40 3.88 4.33
2013
21–28 Dec Sigma-2 3.55 3.34 3.32 3.72
17 Dec Invymark 3.33 3.43
26–31 Oct My Word 2.00 1.90 2.00 2.60
22 Oct Invymark 3.85
15 Sep–17 Oct GETS 2.63 4.09 3.52 3.40
2–14 Oct CIS 2.78 3.70 3.76 4.31
17 Sep Invymark 3.59 3.69
7–12 Sep My Word 2.00 2.10 2.20 2.80
17–19 Jul Sigma-2 3.72 3.51 3.52 3.99
2–10 Jul CIS 3.33 3.80 3.77 4.36
27–28 Jun DYM 3.80 3.40
14–18 Jun GESOP 4.10 4.22 4.30 4.61
16 Jun PP 3.25
12–14 Jun Sigma-2 4.38 3.87 3.60 4.12
23 Apr Invymark 4.33 4.06
9–17 Apr CIS 3.84 4.11 3.95 4.47
23–28 Feb GESOP 4.79 4.57 4.17 4.72
23 Jan Invymark 5.21 5.02
4–15 Jan CIS 4.55 4.25 4.17 4.75
24 Nov–15 Jan CIS 4.79 4.51 4.17 4.91
4–5 Jan Metroscopia 4.60
2012
27–29 Dec Sigma-2 5.43 4.53 3.94 4.70

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f This poll provides data ranges and/or approximations. In order to simplify, the average of these data is given.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax Poll results are shown projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other polls, a rule of three has been applied to the poll projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.
  3. ^ a b Hypothesized scenario with a high turnout.
  4. ^ Hypothesized scenario with a low turnout.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j La Vanguardia seat projection over this poll's vote results.

External links[edit]