Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election

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In the run up to the next Spanish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 20 November 2011, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held on 20 December 2015 at the latest, though it may be held earlier if a snap election is called.

Opinion polling[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

15-day average trend line of poll results from November 2011 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date Polling Firm/Source PP PSOE IU UPyD CiU Amaiur PNV ERC C's Podemos Others Lead
25–30 Aug NC Report 33.9 23.4 5.6 4.4 2.8 1.2 1.3 2.2 2.6 15.0 7.6 10.5
26–28 Aug Sigma-2 30.1 22.3 4.1 5.6 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.3 21.2 8.4 7.8
10 Aug Metroscopia 32.3 31.7 4.9 3.3 10.7 17.1 0.6
10 Aug La Vanguardia 23.6 21.4 10.4 6.2 2.5 0.9 1.2 4.0 1.0 19.2 9.6 2.2
18–24 Jul Celeste-Tel[a] 33.2 23.7 4.9 4.6 2.9 1.1 1.1 1.7 3.6 13.5 9.7 9.5
14 Jul Invymark 26.4 22.7 11.2 7.5 3.1 12.1 17.0 3.7
1–9 Jul CIS 30.0 21.2 8.2 5.9 2.9 1.0 1.0 3.3 0.9 15.3 10.3 8.8
7 Jul Invymark 26.5 22.4 11.3 7.3 3.0 11.8 17.7 4.1
5 Jul Demoscopia 30.0 26.0 7.0 7.0 12.0 18.0 4.0
1–5 Jul Celeste-Tel[a] 32.9 22.8 5.0 4.8 2.9 1.1 1.1 1.7 3.6 13.9 10.2 10.1
28 May–11 Jun NC Report[a] 34.1 21.6 6.0 5.2 16.1 17.0 12.5
4–6 Jun Celeste-Tel[a] 31.9 21.9 5.5 5.6 3.0 1.2 1.1 1.9 3.6 13.7 10.6 10.0
4–5 Jun Metroscopia 26.5 17.5 5.9 6.2 4.0 21.5 18.4 5.0
27–31 May GESOP 25.6 19.4 8.1 7.8 3.4 3.3 3.5 15.1 13.8 6.2
25 May 2014 EP Election 26.1 23.0 10.0 6.5 3.5 1.4 1.4 3.8 3.2 8.0 13.1 3.1
13–15 May Sigma-2 33.8 25.7 10.3 6.2 2.9 3.1 18.0 8.1
5–9 May Celeste-Tel[a] 31.9 28.5 11.9 7.2 2.5 1.4 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.8 9.9 3.4
8 May GESOCLAB 31.1 26.2 11.7 10.2 2.7 18.1 4.9
30 Apr–8 May Feedback 34.9 27.1 12.5 9.2 3.9 1.5 1.4 2.4 7.1 7.8
20 Apr La Vanguardia[b] 29.2 24.8 10.4 5.8 29.8 4.4
10–15 Apr Sigma-2 33.1 30.2 10.4 7.2 2.3 1.2 15.6 2.9
1–7 Apr CIS 31.9 26.2 10.9 8.9 3.0 1.3 1.1 2.5 14.2 5.7
1–7 Apr Celeste-Tel[a] 31.7 28.4 12.3 7.4 2.6 1.6 1.4 1.9 1.4 11.3 3.3
25 Mar–1 Apr Metroscopia 31.8 32.3 11.7 6.8 2.7 1.7 3.7 9.3 0.5
3–14 Mar NC Report[a] 32.8 27.4 12.1 7.7 20.0 5.4
3–7 Mar Simple Lógica 29.3 22.8 13.3 12.7 3.5 1.2 17.2 6.5
3–7 Mar Celeste-Tel[a] 31.3 28.3 12.5 7.5 2.5 1.5 1.4 2.0 1.4 11.6 3.0
25 Feb–4 Mar Metroscopia 31.5 32.0 12.0 7.0 17.5 0.5
28 Feb–1 Mar NC Report 32.6 26.7 12.1 9.4 3.3 1.3 1.6 2.3 10.7 5.9
24 Feb Invymark 28.8 23.6 14.5 12.2 20.9 5.2
13–19 Feb My Word 27.5 23.2 11.5 15.7 22.1 4.3
17 Feb GAD3 32.3 26.3 10.7 10.1 0.9 19.7 6.0
16 Feb La Vanguardia 21.8 26.2 14.1 9.2 2.8 0.9 1.5 3.2 20.3 4.4
10 Feb Invymark 28.9 23.2 47.9 5.7
3–7 Feb Simple Lógica 29.6 20.3 14.9 11.8 3.8 1.0 18.6 9.3
3–7 Feb Celeste-Tel[a] 30.9 28.1 12.8 7.7 2.3 1.6 1.2 2.1 1.4 11.9 2.8
6 Feb Temas[c] 26.1 32.1 15.5 9.8 3.4 1.0 1.9 4.3 5.9 6.0
29 Jan–6 Feb Metroscopia 30.8 31.7 13.5 8.5 15.5 0.9
20–23 Jan GESOP 28.6 24.9 13.2 11.5 3.3 2.1 4.1 12.3 3.7
20 Jan Invymark 28.7 23.3 14.7 12.5 20.8 5.4
3–15 Jan CIS 32.1 26.6 11.3 9.2 3.4 1.2 1.5 2.5 N/A 12.2 5.5
6–10 Jan Simple Lógica 28.1 22.0 14.8 13.0 2.6 1.9 N/A 17.5 6.1
8–9 Jan Metroscopia 32.0 33.5 12.5 7.3 N/A 14.7 1.5
1–8 Jan Celeste-Tel[a] 31.4 28.2 12.9 7.5 2.2 1.6 1.3 2.1 1.3 N/A 11.5 3.2
7 Jan Invymark 28.5 23.4 14.7 12.7 N/A 20.7 5.1
2014
26–28 Dec Sigma-2 33.3 24.4 14.7 9.8 3.6 1.0 1.6 2.6 N/A 9.0 8.9
16 Dec Invymark 28.2 23.6 14.6 12.7 N/A 20.9 4.6
2–6 Dec Simple Lógica 30.7 22.8 14.1 13.6 2.8 1.5 N/A 14.6 7.9
1–5 Dec Celeste-Tel[a] 31.3 28.0 12.8 7.7 2.3 1.7 1.3 2.2 1.3 N/A 11.4 3.3
1 Dec Metroscopia 33.9 31.5 12.0 7.1 2.8 1.2 1.5 2.2 N/A 7.8 2.4
25–28 Nov GESOP 29.5 25.1 12.9 11.1 3.0 2.5 4.0 N/A 11.9 4.4
18–28 Nov NC Report[a] 33.7 28.0 12.0 7.3 N/A 19.0 5.7
18 Nov Invymark 28.4 23.3 14.5 12.9 N/A 20.9 5.1
18 Nov IU 26.3 29.7 11.9 7.3 3.0 1.0 1.2 2.4 N/A 17.2 3.4
17 Nov La Vanguardia[d] 34.5 25.0 12.6 8.3 3.2 N/A 16.4 9.5
17 Nov La Vanguardia 23.7 28.9 15.6 9.2 2.2 1.2 0.9 4.0 N/A 14.3 5.2
12–14 Nov Sigma-2 30.6 27.0 13.4 10.1 3.6 1.2 1.4 2.6 N/A 10.1 3.6
11–14 Nov GAD3 33.1 28.5 9.2 11.2 3.6 1.3 1.3 2.1 N/A 9.7 4.6
4–8 Nov Simple Lógica 30.9 21.7 12.2 14.8 2.3 1.6 N/A 16.5 9.2
4–8 Nov Celeste-Tel[a] 31.2 27.6 13.0 7.8 2.3 1.6 1.4 2.3 1.3 N/A 11.5 3.6
4 Nov Invymark 28.2 23.1 14.7 13.2 N/A 20.8 5.1
30 Oct–4 Nov My Word 27.1 22.7 13.5 15.6 N/A 21.1 4.4
22–31 Oct DYM 32.5 21.2 17.3 11.0 N/A 18.0 11.3
14 Oct Invymark 27.2 23.4 14.8 13.3 N/A 21.3 3.8
16 Sep–14 Oct GETS[e] 28.3 34.8 12.7 6.8 2.3 1.6 2.2 N/A 10.3 6.5
16 Sep–14 Oct GETS[f] 26.5 35.6 13.8 7.2 2.4 1.8 2.6 N/A 10.1 9.1
2–11 Oct NC Report 35.0 26.9 12.2 7.8 2.8 1.6 1.6 2.2 N/A 9.9 8.1
7–10 Oct GAD3 33.2 25.8 13.1 8.6 3.0 1.4 1.4 2.6 N/A 10.9 7.4
1–9 Oct CIS 34.0 26.8 11.3 7.7 2.9 1.2 1.2 2.5 N/A 12.4 7.2
1–7 Oct Simple Lógica 27.5 21.6 12.6 13.8 3.0 1.6 N/A 19.9 5.9
1–5 Oct Celeste-Tel[a] 30.8 27.5 13.4 7.9 2.4 1.6 1.4 2.2 1.2 N/A 11.6 3.3
2–3 Oct Metroscopia 34.1 29.0 11.5 9.1 2.2 1.6 2.7 N/A 9.8 5.1
23 Sep Invymark 26.0 23.5 14.8 13.2 N/A 22.5 2.5
9–20 Sep NC Report[a] 33.3 26.1 12.5 7.4 N/A 20.7 7.2
10–13 Sep GAD3 32.4 27.4 12.8 9.3 3.1 1.4 1.4 2.1 N/A 10.1 5.0
9 Sep Invymark 26.1 23.6 14.7 13.1 N/A 22.5 2.5
3–9 Sep Simple Lógica 28.1 23.3 14.9 13.3 2.6 0.9 N/A 16.9 4.8
2–6 Sep Celeste-Tel[a] 30.2 27.2 13.9 8.1 2.5 1.6 1.4 2.2 1.2 N/A 11.7 3.0
2–6 Sep Feedback 37.9 25.2 12.0 9.6 3.4 1.4 1.2 2.1 N/A 7.2 12.7
4–5 Sep Metroscopia 30.1 30.5 11.6 9.0 2.7 1.1 3.6 N/A 11.4 0.4
26–30 Aug My Word 28.4 20.9 15.0 14.8 N/A 20.9 7.5
11 Aug La Vanguardia 24.6 26.5 14.6 9.4 2.2 0.9 1.2 3.1 N/A 17.5 1.9
30 Jul–5 Aug Simple Lógica 29.6 22.2 16.5 10.2 1.9 1.1 N/A 18.6 7.4
29–31 Jul Demoscopia 30.0 25.0 15.0 10.0 N/A 20.0 5.0
25–31 Jul Celeste-Tel[a] 30.7 26.6 13.7 8.0 2.6 1.6 1.5 2.1 1.4 N/A 11.8 4.1
24–25 Jul Metroscopia[e] 34.7 27.5 11.4 7.7 2.5 1.1 3.5 N/A 11.6 7.2
24–25 Jul Metroscopia[f] 23.0 22.8 16.2 11.8 2.5 1.1 3.5 N/A 19.1 0.2
16–18 Jul Sigma-2 30.7 27.8 14.3 8.3 4.2 1.1 1.4 1.6 N/A 10.6 2.9
1–10 Jul CIS 32.5 27.2 11.5 8.8 3.1 1.4 1.4 2.3 N/A 11.8 5.3
2–8 Jul Simple Lógica 25.8 24.2 14.7 12.3 3.4 1.5 N/A 18.1 1.6
1–5 Jul Celeste-Tel[a] 31.1 26.5 13.3 7.8 2.7 1.6 1.5 2.1 1.4 N/A 12.0 4.6
3–4 Jul Metroscopia 23.0 21.6 16.6 13.0 3.1 1.1 3.4 N/A 18.2 1.4
1 Jul Invymark 29.1 24.5 N/A 46.4 4.6
25–28 Jun GESOP 28.1 25.5 15.6 12.2 3.0 2.1 N/A 13.5 2.6
14–18 Jun My Word 30.3 22.0 15.2 17.7 N/A 14.8 8.3
10 Jun Invymark 28.9 24.4 N/A 46.7 4.5
4–10 Jun Simple Lógica 31.9 21.2 12.9 10.6 3.7 1.3 N/A 18.4 10.7
3–7 Jun Celeste-Tel[a] 30.3 26.0 13.5 8.2 2.9 1.5 1.6 2.1 1.5 N/A 12.4 4.3
5–6 Jun Metroscopia 24.5 21.5 16.8 13.4 3.2 1.2 3.3 N/A 16.1 3.0
27–30 May GAD3 34.1 25.7 12.5 9.7 3.2 N/A 14.8 8.4
13–23 May NC Report[a] 32.2 24.9 12.3 7.7 N/A 22.9 7.3
19 May El País 28.6 25.1 15.9 10.7 2.9 1.5 1.1 2.7 N/A 11.5 3.5
7–13 May Simple Lógica 29.2 22.4 14.0 12.6 1.7 1.2 N/A 18.9 6.8
12 May La Vanguardia 24.7 29.9 13.1 7.7 2.2 0.6 1.2 2.7 N/A 17.9 5.2
8–10 May Sigma-2 35.4 25.3 13.4 9.6 4.3 1.4 1.3 1.1 N/A 8.2 10.1
8–9 May Metroscopia 22.5 20.2 16.6 13.1 3.5 1.2 2.9 N/A 20.0 2.3
2–8 May My Word 28.7 24.4 13.3 14.9 N/A 18.7 4.3
2–8 May Celeste-Tel[a] 29.7 26.0 13.6 8.6 2.9 1.6 1.4 2.1 1.6 N/A 12.5 3.7
6 May Invymark 29.0 24.5 N/A 46.5 4.5
8 Apr Invymark 29.2 24.9 N/A 45.9 4.3
2–8 Apr Simple Lógica 29.2 21.4 13.6 11.8 2.8 1.7 N/A 19.5 7.8
1–8 Apr CIS 34.0 28.2 9.9 7.4 3.4 0.9 1.2 2.0 N/A 13.0 5.8
1–5 Apr Celeste-Tel[a] 29.6 26.4 13.6 8.4 3.1 1.6 1.4 2.0 1.6 N/A 12.3 3.2
3–4 Apr Metroscopia 24.5 23.0 15.6 13.7 N/A 23.2 1.5
18 Mar Invymark 29.1 25.0 N/A 45.9 4.1
4–8 Mar Simple Lógica 31.2 21.5 14.2 11.2 2.2 1.2 N/A 18.5 9.7
1–7 Mar Celeste-Tel[a] 28.7 27.1 13.5 8.4 3.3 1.6 1.5 1.9 N/A 14.0 1.6
4 Mar La Vanguardia 27.0 30.8 11.1 6.5 3.0 0.9 1.3 3.0 N/A 16.4 3.8
27–28 Feb Metroscopia 24.3 23.1 15.4 10.0 N/A 27.2 1.2
25 Feb Invymark 29.0 25.0 N/A 46.0 4.0
11 Feb Invymark 29.4 24.8 N/A 45.8 4.6
6–8 Feb Sigma-2 33.5 28.2 12.3 10.0 4.0 1.3 1.3 1.4 N/A 8.0 5.3
4–8 Feb Simple Lógica 33.3 24.2 13.0 9.9 3.2 1.5 N/A 14.9 9.1
1–7 Feb Celeste-Tel[a] 29.2 28.0 12.5 8.9 3.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 N/A 13.0 1.2
30 Jan–1 Feb Metroscopia 23.9 23.5 15.3 13.6 N/A 23.7 0.4
25–29 Jan GESOP 30.2 28.0 12.3 11.5 3.0 1.7 N/A 13.3 2.2
21 Jan Invymark 30.0 24.7 N/A 45.3 5.3
10–21 Jan NC Report[a] 36.0 25.9 11.6 7.6 N/A 18.9 10.1
4–14 Jan CIS 35.0 30.2 9.4 6.8 3.6 0.9 1.3 2.0 N/A 10.8 4.8
7–11 Jan Simple Lógica 32.5 25.5 13.2 10.5 3.2 1.4 N/A 13.7 7.0
9–10 Jan Metroscopia 29.8 23.3 15.6 10.1 N/A 21.2 6.5
2–9 Jan Celeste-Tel[a] 32.2 28.1 11.8 8.0 3.7 1.5 1.5 1.7 N/A 11.5 4.1
8 Jan Invymark 30.6 24.8 N/A 44.6 5.8
2013
21–28 Dec Sigma-2 36.7 30.7 9.8 7.1 4.0 1.3 1.2 1.2 N/A 8.0 6.0
17 Dec Invymark 30.9 24.7 N/A 44.4 6.2
3–12 Dec Celeste-Tel[a] 32.4 28.0 11.6 8.3 3.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 N/A 11.5 4.4
3–7 Dec Simple Lógica 33.6 23.0 13.5 9.9 3.2 1.4 N/A 15.4 10.6
28–29 Nov Metroscopia 31.3 22.7 13.3 10.2 N/A 22.5 8.6
5–15 Nov Simple Lógica 34.5 24.3 13.4 10.1 3.8 1.0 N/A N/A 12.9 10.2
5–9 Nov Celeste-Tel[a] 33.0 27.7 11.8 8.3 3.6 1.5 1.6 1.9 N/A N/A 10.6 5.3
6–7 Nov Metroscopia 31.8 22.9 12.9 8.5 N/A N/A 23.9 8.9
5 Nov Invymark 32.0 26.0 N/A N/A 42.0 6.0
26–31 Oct My Word 33.0 22.3 9.4 11.9 N/A N/A 23.4 10.7
22 Oct Invymark 32.9 26.7 N/A N/A 40.4 6.2
15 Sep–17 Oct GETS[e] 29.4 27.3 12.1 8.9 4.4 1.7 1.0 N/A N/A 15.2 2.1
15 Sep–17 Oct GETS[f] 32.6 30.1 11.8 7.8 4.3 1.7 1.0 N/A N/A 10.7 2.5
2–14 Oct CIS 35.9 28.6 9.4 7.3 3.9 1.6 1.4 1.3 N/A N/A 10.6 7.3
1–11 Oct Simple Lógica 34.1 24.5 11.6 9.1 3.9 1.8 N/A N/A 15.0 9.6
1–5 Oct Celeste-Tel[a] 32.3 27.5 12.5 8.8 3.7 1.5 1.7 1.5 N/A N/A 10.7 4.8
4 Oct NC Report[a] 38.1 26.3 N/A N/A 35.6 11.8
3–4 Oct Metroscopia 29.9 23.9 12.6 10.2 N/A N/A 23.4 6.0
17 Sep Invymark 34.1 29.9 N/A N/A 36.0 4.2
3–13 Sep Simple Lógica 34.7 26.0 10.7 8.6 2.5 1.0 N/A N/A 16.5 8.7
7–12 Sep My Word 31.1 24.8 11.3 13.0 N/A N/A 19.8 6.3
3–7 Sep Celeste-Tel[a] 33.5 29.5 10.6 8.5 3.9 1.6 1.6 1.2 N/A N/A 9.6 4.0
5–6 Sep Metroscopia 30.9 24.1 12.4 9.8 N/A N/A 22.8 6.8
5 Aug La Vanguardia 35.3 30.6 10.3 4.1 2.8 1.0 1.5 1.5 N/A N/A 12.9 4.7
24 Jul–3 Aug Simple Lógica 36.4 24.7 11.0 9.5 3.4 0.7 N/A N/A 14.3 11.7
26–31 Jul NC Report[a] 35.4 27.9 N/A N/A 36.7 7.5
23–27 Jul Celeste-Tel[a] 33.7 29.1 10.5 8.6 4.2 1.5 1.7 1.3 N/A N/A 9.4 4.6
25–26 Jul Metroscopia 30.0 24.7 12.3 9.9 N/A N/A 23.1 5.3
17–19 Jul Sigma-2 35.8 29.6 11.7 7.8 4.1 1.3 1.4 1.1 N/A N/A 7.2 6.2
3–13 Jul Simple Lógica 37.2 27.7 10.2 9.3 3.7 0.6 N/A N/A 11.3 9.5
2–10 Jul CIS 36.6 29.9 8.6 6.6 4.0 1.2 1.5 1.3 N/A N/A 11.3 6.7
2–6 Jul Celeste-Tel[a] 40.0 29.0 10.1 5.0 4.1 1.5 1.6 1.1 N/A N/A 7.6 11.0
4–5 Jul Metroscopia 37.0 23.1 13.2 7.8 N/A N/A 18.9 13.9
2 Jul Invymark 40.5 31.8 N/A N/A 27.7 8.7
27–28 Jun DYM[a] 36.2 22.8 13.7 7.3 4.3 1.8 N/A N/A 13.9 13.4
14–18 Jun GESOP 38.1 28.1 10.2 7.5 3.7 1.1 1.5 1.0 N/A N/A 8.8 10.0
16 Jun PP[c] 38.5 29.0 9.0 8.0 N/A N/A 15.5 9.5
5–15 Jun Simple Lógica 39.2 24.4 10.7 6.8 2.5 1.7 N/A N/A 14.7 14.8
12–14 Jun Sigma-2 39.1 29.2 9.3 6.8 4.4 1.4 1.4 1.2 N/A N/A 7.2 9.9
4–8 Jun Celeste-Tel[a] 40.2 28.9 10.3 5.0 3.9 1.4 1.5 0.9 N/A N/A 7.9 11.3
6–7 Jun Metroscopia 37.1 25.9 12.0 5.9 N/A N/A 19.1 11.2
21–30 May NC Report[a] 42.1 27.5 N/A N/A 30.4 14.6
1–11 May Simple Lógica 39.9 27.1 10.6 6.5 2.7 0.9 N/A N/A 12.3 12.8
9–10 May Metroscopia 37.2 25.8 12.2 6.1 N/A N/A 18.7 11.4
2–8 May Celeste-Tel[a] 40.5 28.4 10.4 5.0 3.6 1.4 1.5 1.0 N/A N/A 8.2 12.1
25 Apr PSOE 39.8 31.0 N/A N/A 29.2 8.8
9–17 Apr CIS 40.6 29.6 8.6 5.1 3.8 1.3 1.2 1.7 N/A N/A 8.1 11.0
3–13 Apr Simple Lógica 42.0 24.9 10.5 6.5 3.8 1.1 N/A N/A 11.2 17.1
11–12 Apr Metroscopia 38.1 23.0 11.6 5.9 N/A N/A 21.4 15.1
2–6 Apr Celeste-Tel[a] 40.7 28.5 10.1 5.2 3.8 1.4 1.5 1.2 N/A N/A 7.6 12.2
5–9 Mar Celeste-Tel[a] 44.5 25.7 9.4 5.6 4.0 1.3 1.4 1.2 N/A N/A 6.9 18.8
29 Feb–1 Mar Metroscopia 46.3 24.4 9.1 5.1 N/A N/A 15.1 21.9
23–28 Feb GESOP 42.0 28.2 7.7 6.4 3.6 1.8 1.2 1.2 N/A N/A 7.9 13.8
1–17 Feb NC Report[a] 45.0 25.2 8.7 5.4 4.0 1.5 1.4 1.1 N/A N/A 7.7 19.8
6–10 Feb Celeste-Tel[a] 44.0 27.0 9.0 5.3 4.0 1.4 1.4 1.2 N/A N/A 6.7 17.0
8–9 Feb Metroscopia 46.2 23.0 8.8 6.3 N/A N/A 15.7 23.2
6 Feb La Vanguardia 44.8 26.7 8.7 5.6 3.2 1.0 1.3 1.0 N/A N/A 7.7 18.1
16–20 Jan NC Report 46.3 27.8 7.4 5.1 4.2 1.3 1.4 1.1 N/A N/A 5.4 18.5
4–15 Jan CIS 42.7 28.0 7.9 5.7 3.4 1.1 1.4 1.4 N/A N/A 8.4 14.7
2–6 Jan Celeste-Tel[a] 45.5 28.4 7.5 5.1 3.9 1.3 1.4 1.1 N/A N/A 5.8 17.1
4–5 Jan Metroscopia 46.4 26.5 7.7 4.6 N/A N/A 14.8 19.9
2012
14–15 Dec Metroscopia 44.9 28.4 7.5 5.0 N/A N/A 14.2 16.5
20 Nov 2011 General Election 44.6 28.8 6.9 4.7 4.2 1.4 1.3 1.1 N/A N/A 6.2 15.8

Seats[edit]

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

176 seats needed for majority
Date Polling Firm/Source PP PSOE IU UPyD CiU Amaiur PNV ERC C's Podemos Others
25–30 Aug NC Report 132/138 89/93 9/13 7/10 9/11 6 5 8/10 4/6 56/60 7/8
10 Aug La Vanguardia 108 93 23 10 9 3 6 15 0 76 7
18–24 Jul Celeste-Tel 143/151 90/94 11/15 9/11 12/13 7/8 5/6 7/8 7/9 32/37 6/12
1–9 Jul CIS[g] 142 93 15 9 12 4 5 13 0 52 5
1–5 Jul Celeste-Tel 144/149 89/92 12/15 9/12 12/13 7/8 5/6 6/7 6/8 34/37 6/13
4–6 Jun Celeste-Tel 139/142 94/98 13/15 12/14 12/13 7/8 6/7 7/8 5/6 28/32 10/14
27–31 May GESOP 125/127 87/89 15/17 13/14 12/13 11/12 3/5 56/58 20/24
25 May 2014 EP Election (extr.) (139) (105) (25) (10) (13) (8) (7) (15) (4) (19) (5)
5–9 May Celeste-Tel 138/147 114/118 25/27 11/13 11/12 7 6 6/7 3/4 1 14/16
30 Apr–8 May Feedback 144 105 38 24 13 6 5 7 2 0 6
20 Apr La Vanguardia[b] 121 98 20 10 12 9 0 0 80
1–7 Apr Celeste-Tel 139/149 115/118 26/28 12/14 11/12 7 6 6/7 3/4 0 14/18
3–7 Mar Celeste-Tel 138/150 115/118 26/28 12/14 11/12 7 6 6/7 2/4 0 13/15
17 Feb GAD3 148 115 21 20 12 6 6 7 1 0 14
16 Feb La Vanguardia 108 126 45 24 11 5 7 13 0 0 11
9 Feb La Vanguardia[h] 125 125 26 20 14 6 7 9 0 0 18
3–7 Feb Celeste-Tel 137/148 114/118 26/29 12/14 11/12 8 6 7/8 2/4 0 14/15
29 Jan–6 Feb Metroscopia 130/140 130/140 0 0 80
20–23 Jan GESOP 126/129 104/107 37/39 30/32 12/13 7/8 2/4 0 23/25
3–15 Jan CIS[g] 150 112 26 18 13 6 7 9 0 N/A 9
1–8 Jan Celeste-Tel 139/149 114/118 27/29 12/14 11 8 6 8 2/3 N/A 14/17
2014
1–5 Dec Celeste-Tel 138/148 114/118 27/30 12/14 11 8 6 8/9 2/3 N/A 15/16
1 Dec Metroscopia 146 131 25 11 11 5 7 8 0 N/A 6
25–28 Nov GESOP 132/136 104/108 32/34 28/29 11/12 8/9 2/4 N/A 23/25
18 Nov IU 125 138 35 15 11 5 7 9 0 N/A 5
17 Nov La Vanguardia[d] 159 104 29 15 13 0 N/A 30
17 Nov La Vanguardia 112 129 48 19 7 7 4 15 0 N/A 9
11–14 Nov GAD3 150 122 16 21 12 6 6 7 0 N/A 10
10 Nov La Vanguardia 125 106 48 23 14 7 6 11 0 N/A 10
4–8 Nov Celeste-Tel 138/147 113/117 27/30 12/14 11 8 7 8 3 N/A 16
2–11 Oct NC Report 150/154 106/110 26/28 13/14 12 7 6 8 0 N/A 15
7–10 Oct GAD3 154 109 28 16 10 7 6 8 0 N/A 12
1–9 Oct CIS[g] 161 111 24 12 12 7 5 9 0 N/A 9
1–5 Oct Celeste-Tel 137/143 114/116 28/31 12/15 11 8 7 8 3 N/A 16
10–13 Sep GAD3 147 118 27 17 11 7 6 7 0 N/A 10
2–6 Sep Celeste-Tel 137/140 114/115 28/31 13/16 11 8 7 8 3 N/A 16/17
2–6 Sep Feedback 153 98 37 25 13 6 5 7 0 N/A 6
11 Aug La Vanguardia 122 126 44 17 9 4 6 13 0 N/A 9
25–31 Jul Celeste-Tel 139/142 114/115 28/29 13/14 11 8 7 8 3 N/A 15/17
24–25 Jul Metroscopia[e] 148 127 28 12 0 N/A 35
1–10 Jul CIS[g] 150 114 26 16 13 7 6 9 0 N/A 9
1–5 Jul Celeste-Tel 138/144 111/116 26/28 11/14 11 7 7 8 3/4 N/A 17/19
25–28 Jun GESOP 118/122 104/107 48/50 31/33 11/12 7/9 0 N/A 24/26
3–7 Jun Celeste-Tel 136/144 110/115 26/28 13/15 12 7 7 7 3/4 N/A 18/19
27–30 May GAD3 155 111 26 19 10 0 N/A 29
19 May El País 139 90 48 30 10 7 5 9 0 N/A 12
12 May La Vanguardia 117 134 39 16 10 4 6 11 0 N/A 13
2–8 May Celeste-Tel 134/144 110/116 26/29 13/16 12 7 7 7 3/4 N/A 18/19
15 Apr PP 170 80 30/40 20 15 0 N/A 25/35
1–8 Apr CIS[g] 155 122 20 12 15 4 6 7 0 N/A 9
1–5 Apr Celeste-Tel 136/145 112/118 26/28 13/15 12 7 7 6 3/4 N/A 16/19
1–7 Mar Celeste-Tel 134/146 114/120 25/28 13/16 13 7 7 5 0 N/A 16/18
4 Mar La Vanguardia 129 146 25 11 12 3 7 10 0 N/A 7
1–7 Feb Celeste-Tel 136/146 117/121 23/25 14/17 14 7 7 4/5 0 N/A 15/18
25–29 Jan GESOP 133/135 120/123 22/25 23/26 13/15 6/7 0 N/A 22/24
4–14 Jan CIS[g] 155 125 18 10 15 4 7 7 0 N/A 9
2–9 Jan Celeste-Tel 146/154 113/117 21/23 10/13 14/15 7 7 5/6 0 N/A 14/17
2013
3–12 Dec Celeste-Tel 147/154 112/117 21/23 11/13 14/15 7 7 5/6 0 N/A 15/17
5–9 Nov Celeste-Tel 148/153 112/115 22/25 11/13 15 7 7 6 N/A N/A 15/17
2–14 Oct CIS[g] 163 119 18 11 17 7 6 3 N/A N/A 6
1–5 Oct Celeste-Tel 148/151 112/114 24/26 12/14 16 7 7 5 N/A N/A 16
3–7 Sep Celeste-Tel 150/153 119/121 20/21 12/13 15 7 6 4 N/A N/A 12/15
5 Aug La Vanguardia 164 128 23 4 12 4 7 5 N/A N/A 3
23–27 Jul Celeste-Tel 152/154 118/121 19/20 12/13 15 7 6 4/5 N/A N/A 11/14
2–6 Jul Celeste-Tel 164/168 117/125 19/20 5/7 15 6 7 3/5 N/A N/A 7/11
14–18 Jun GESOP 168/172 109/112 19/20 11/12 15/16 5/6 6/7 2/3 N/A N/A 9/11
4–8 Jun Celeste-Tel 164/170 118/125 20/22 5/8 15 7 7 3/5 N/A N/A 7/10
2–8 May Celeste-Tel 166/170 117/123 20/21 5/7 14 6 7 3/4 N/A N/A 7/9
9–17 Apr CIS[g] 175/176 118/119 15 5 15 7 5 5 N/A N/A 4
2–6 Apr Celeste-Tel 168/171 118/121 18/20 5/7 15 6 7 3/4 N/A N/A 8
1 Apr La Vanguardia 170 122 17 5 16 6 5 N/A N/A 9
5–9 Mar Celeste-Tel 186/188 102/104 14/15 5/8 16 6 7 3/4 N/A N/A 8
23–28 Feb GESOP 179/181 110/112 13/14 9/10 14/15 7 5 3/4 N/A N/A 7/8
1–17 Feb NC Report 186/187 104/108 12/13 6/7 15/16 7 5 3 N/A N/A 7/9
6–10 Feb Celeste-Tel 184/185 105/107 14/15 5/7 15 6/7 6 3/4 N/A N/A 8/9
6 Feb La Vanguardia 193 104 15 6 15 4 6 3 N/A N/A 4
16–20 Jan NC Report 191/193 103/105 11/12 5 15/16 7 5 3 N/A N/A 7
2–6 Jan Celeste-Tel 189/190 107/108 12 5 15 6 6 3 N/A N/A 7/8
2012
20 Nov 2011 General Election 186 110 11 5 16 7 5 3 N/A N/A 7

Party preference[edit]

All respondents' expressed vote intention in each poll, where available, are listed in the table below. This data shows the respondents' party preference before being re-calculated into the vote estimation shown in the poll results table above. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Only specific parties' results are shown in the table.

Date Polling Firm/Source PP PSOE IU UPyD CiU Amaiur PNV ERC C's Podemos Lead
1–9 Jul CIS 12.8% 10.6% 6.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.6% 2.5% 0.6% 11.9% 0.9
4–5 Jun Metroscopia 9.0% 7.0% 5.0% 3.0% 11.0% 2.0
27–31 May GESOP 15.1% 8.3% 6.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.4% 3.5% 2.6% 16.7% 1.6
1–7 Apr CIS 13.6% 13.4% 7.2% 4.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.9% 0.2
25 Mar–1 Apr Metroscopia 13.6% 13.0% 9.5% 5.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.4% 2.3% 0.6
3–7 Mar Simple Lógica 11.5% 11.1% 8.1% 6.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4
25 Feb–4 Mar Metroscopia 14.1% 13.7% 10.9% 6.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.8% 2.4% 0.4
13–19 Feb My Word 7.0% 9.1% 8.3% 10.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.3% 3.6% 1.8
29 Jan–6 Feb Metroscopia 12.6% 12.4% 11.9% 5.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 0.2
20–23 Jan GESOP 15.7% 14.6% 9.5% 8.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.5% 1.6% 2.3% 1.1
3–15 Jan CIS 10.8% 11.8% 7.1% 4.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.7% N/A 1.0
8–9 Jan Metroscopia 12.5% 12.9% 9.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.6% 1.4% N/A 0.4
2014
25–28 Nov GESOP 16.1% 17.3% 9.3% 7.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.5% 2.7% 2.7% N/A 1.2
30 Oct–4 Nov My Word 7.1% 9.1% 11.0% 10.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 3.8% N/A 0.2
1–9 Oct CIS 11.4% 13.0% 8.5% 4.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.5% 2.0% N/A 1.6
1–7 Oct Simple Lógica 10.1% 9.1% 6.1% 7.0% 1.2% 0.5% N/A 1.0
2–3 Oct Metroscopia 14.1% 9.6% 9.5% 7.4% 1.2% 0.2% 1.1% 1.5% N/A 4.5
4–5 Sep Metroscopia 11.1% 12.3% 10.4% 7.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.4% 1.9% N/A 1.2
26–30 Aug My Word 8.6% 8.3% 11.6% 8.5% N/A 3.0
24–25 Jul Metroscopia 11.6% 10.3% 9.8% 6.3% N/A 1.3
1–10 Jul CIS 13.2% 12.5% 7.8% 4.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% N/A 0.7
3–4 Jul Metroscopia 10.0% 10.4% 9.5% 6.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.4% 1.6% N/A 0.4
25–28 Jun GESOP 15.5% 17.2% 11.5% 8.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% N/A 1.7
14–18 Jun My Word 7.5% 7.5% 13.2% 10.7% N/A 2.5
5–6 Jun Metroscopia 13.7% 10.2% 10.0% 8.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% N/A 3.5
8–9 May Metroscopia 11.3% 7.8% 9.5% 5.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.3% 1.3% N/A 1.8
2–8 May My Word 7.8% 11.7% 11.1% 9.7% N/A 0.6
1–8 Apr CIS 12.5% 13.7% 7.1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.8% 1.6% N/A 1.2
3–4 Apr Metroscopia 13.4% 8.8% 10.7% 6.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% N/A 2.7
4–8 Mar Simple Lógica 10.0% 8.3% 6.6% 4.8% 0.4% 0.1% N/A 1.7
27–28 Feb Metroscopia 13.6% 10.5% 8.6% 5.7% N/A 3.1
30 Jan–1 Feb Metroscopia 12.0% 12.4% 7.8% 6.9% N/A 0.4
25–29 Jan GESOP 13.6% 20.8% 10.1% 7.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.7% 2.1% N/A 7.2
4–14 Jan CIS 15.8% 17.0% 6.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.9% N/A 1.2
9–10 Jan Metroscopia 13.9% 11.3% 9.8% 5.9% N/A 2.6
2013
6–7 Nov Metroscopia 16.7% 13.3% 8.1% 5.0% N/A N/A 3.4
26–31 Oct My Word 13.6% 11.9% 9.4% 10.2% N/A N/A 1.7
2–14 Oct CIS 16.1% 17.6% 7.0% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% N/A N/A 1.5
3–13 Sep Simple Lógica 14.6% 11.1% 5.3% 4.0% 0.8% 0.6% N/A N/A 3.5
2–10 Jul CIS 18.2% 17.1% 6.2% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% N/A N/A 1.1
14–18 Jun GESOP 24.8% 22.3% 9.5% 6.8% 3.2% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% N/A N/A 2.5
1–11 May Simple Lógica 17.8% 15.8% 8.1% 3.7% 1.4% 0.6% N/A N/A 2.0
9–17 Apr CIS 24.0% 20.8% 7.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% N/A N/A 3.2
23–28 Feb GESOP 33.0% 24.0% 7.1% 5.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.9% N/A N/A 9.0
8–9 Feb Metroscopia 32.5% 14.4% 7.4% 5.5% N/A N/A 18.1
4–15 Jan CIS 30.5% 18.2% 5.9% 3.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% N/A N/A 12.3
2012
20 Nov 2011 General Election 30.4% 19.6% 4.7% 3.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% N/A N/A 10.8

Leader ratings[edit]

Poll results showing party leaders' popularity are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. Values are shown in a 0 to 10 scale, with 10 indicating the most positively valued and 0 being the most negatively valued. Values are shaded in a string of colors ranging from dark red to dark green, in accordance with the value awarded to the leader (the color legend is also shown below).

Color legend
0.00–
2.49
2.50–
2.99
3.00–
3.49
3.50–
3.99
4.00–
4.49
4.50–
4.99
5.00–
5.49
5.50–
5.99
6.00–
6.49
6.50–
6.99
7.00–
7.49
7.50–
10.00
Date Polling Firm/Source Rajoy
PP
Rubalc.
PSOE
Sánchez
PSOE
Lara
IU
Díez
UPyD
Rivera
C's
Iglesias
Podemos
26–28 Aug Sigma-2 3.50 N/A 4.36 3.70 3.99 4.30 4.48
1–9 Jul CIS 2.34 3.12 not asked 3.35 3.52 not asked not asked
27–31 May GESOP 3.10 3.42 4.83 4.14 4.24 4.65 5.44
13–15 May Sigma-2 3.60 3.60 N/A 3.70 4.20 4.20 4.57
30 Apr–8 May Feedback 3.12 3.15 N/A 3.64 3.94 not asked not asked
10–15 Apr Sigma-2 3.64 4.01 N/A 3.77 4.37 4.22 4.49
1–7 Apr CIS 2.29 2.93 N/A 3.39 3.88 not asked not asked
20–23 Jan GESOP 2.95 3.48 N/A 3.92 4.32 4.37 not asked
3–15 Jan CIS 2.22 3.00 N/A 3.72 4.15 not asked N/A
7 Jan Invymark 2.80 3.21 N/A 4.33 3.92 not asked N/A
2014
26–28 Dec Sigma-2 3.30 3.12 N/A 3.49 3.70 3.61 N/A
25–28 Nov GESOP 2.95 3.43 N/A 3.87 4.28 not asked N/A
12–14 Nov Sigma-2 3.36 3.12 N/A 3.24 3.76 not asked N/A
11–14 Nov GAD3 3.70 3.50 N/A 3.50 4.00 not asked N/A
4 Nov Invymark 2.97 2.97 N/A 4.18 4.35 not asked N/A
22–31 Oct DYM 2.40 2.70 N/A 3.30 3.80 not asked N/A
14 Oct Invymark 3.17 3.58 N/A not asked not asked not asked N/A
1–9 Oct CIS 2.42 3.13 N/A 3.81 4.28 not asked N/A
10–13 Sep GAD3 3.50 3.30 N/A 3.40 3.80 not asked N/A
9 Sep Invymark 2.83 2.92 N/A not asked not asked not asked N/A
2–6 Sep Feedback 3.01 3.14 N/A 3.63 4.13 not asked N/A
16–18 Jul Sigma-2 3.44 3.12 N/A 3.22 3.62 not asked N/A
1–10 Jul CIS 2.45 3.14 N/A 3.59 4.12 not asked N/A
25–28 Jun GESOP 3.16 3.78 N/A 4.14 4.52 not asked N/A
27–30 May GAD3 3.50 3.10 N/A 3.30 3.70 not asked N/A
8–10 May Sigma-2 3.52 2.94 N/A 3.28 3.52 not asked N/A
8 Apr Invymark 3.38 3.52 N/A not asked not asked not asked N/A
1–8 Apr CIS 2.44 3.00 N/A 3.52 3.96 not asked N/A
6–8 Feb Sigma-2 3.45 3.23 N/A 3.57 3.99 not asked N/A
25–29 Jan GESOP 3.08 3.84 N/A 4.10 4.56 not asked N/A
21 Jan Invymark 3.12 3.54 N/A not asked not asked not asked N/A
4–14 Jan CIS 2.81 3.40 N/A 3.88 4.33 not asked N/A
2013
21–28 Dec Sigma-2 3.55 3.34 N/A 3.32 3.72 not asked N/A
17 Dec Invymark 3.33 3.43 N/A not asked not asked not asked N/A
26–31 Oct My Word 2.00 1.90 N/A 2.00 2.60 N/A N/A
22 Oct Invymark not asked 3.85 N/A not asked not asked N/A N/A
2–14 Oct CIS 2.78 3.70 N/A 3.76 4.31 N/A N/A
17 Sep Invymark 3.59 3.69 N/A not asked not asked N/A N/A
7–12 Sep My Word 2.00 2.10 N/A 2.20 2.80 N/A N/A
17–19 Jul Sigma-2 3.72 3.51 N/A 3.52 3.99 N/A N/A
2–10 Jul CIS 3.33 3.80 N/A 3.77 4.36 N/A N/A
27–28 Jun DYM 3.80 3.40 N/A not asked not asked N/A N/A
14–18 Jun GESOP 4.10 4.22 N/A 4.30 4.61 N/A N/A
16 Jun PP 3.25 not asked N/A not asked not asked N/A N/A
12–14 Jun Sigma-2 4.38 3.87 N/A 3.60 4.12 N/A N/A
23 Apr Invymark 4.33 4.06 N/A not asked not asked N/A N/A
9–17 Apr CIS 3.84 4.11 N/A 3.95 4.47 N/A N/A
23–28 Feb GESOP 4.79 4.57 N/A 4.17 4.72 N/A N/A
23 Jan Invymark 5.21 5.02 N/A not asked not asked N/A N/A
4–15 Jan CIS 4.55 4.25 N/A 4.17 4.75 N/A N/A
24 Nov–15 Jan CIS 4.79 4.51 N/A 4.17 4.91 N/A N/A
4–5 Jan Metroscopia 4.60 not asked N/A not asked not asked N/A N/A
2012
27–29 Dec Sigma-2 5.43 4.53 N/A 3.94 4.70 N/A N/A

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq Poll results are shown projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other polls, a rule of three has been applied to the poll projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.
  2. ^ a b Hypothesized scenario where a major, unspecified centre party would force its way into the Congress. Such a party would obtain, in this scenario, 16.3% of the vote and 60 seats.
  3. ^ a b This poll provides data ranges, approximations and/or various electoral scenario hypotheses calculated using similar weighting parameters. In order to simplify, the average of these data is given.
  4. ^ a b Projection over CIS "Vote intention + Party sympathy" data, weighted over "alleged 2011 vote" data.
  5. ^ a b c d Hypothesized scenario with a high turnout.
  6. ^ a b c Hypothesized scenario with a low turnout.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h La Vanguardia seat projection over this poll's vote results.
  8. ^ Hypothesized scenario where a major, unspecified PP right-wing split would force its way into the Congress. Such a party would obtain, in this scenario, 9 seats.

External links[edit]