Next Dutch general election

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Next Dutch general election
Netherlands
2012 ←
By March 2017
→ Next

All 150 seats to the House of Representatives
76 seats needed for a majority
  Mark Rutte Diederik Samsom Geert Wilders
Leader Mark Rutte Diederik Samsom Geert Wilders
Party VVD PvdA PVV
Leader since 2006 2012 2006
Last election 41 seats, 26.6% 38 seats, 24.8% 15 seats, 10.1%

  Emile Roemer Sybrand van Haersma Buma Alexander Pechtold
Leader Emile Roemer Sybrand van Haersma Buma Alexander Pechtold
Party SP CDA D66
Leader since 2010 2012 2006
Last election 15 seats, 9.7% 13 seats, 8.5% 12 seats, 8.0%

Incumbent Prime Minister

Mark Rutte
VVD

The next Dutch general election, in which the members of the House of Representatives will be elected, will take place no later than March 2017.

Background[edit]

Political Situation[edit]

Since 2002, every cabinet has resigned without completing their full four year term. Five elections were held between 2002 and 2012.

Opinion polls[edit]

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Seats[edit]

Date Polling Firm VVD PvdA PVV SP CDA D66 CU GL SGP PvdD 50PLUS Others Lead
12 Sep 2012 Last elections 41 38 15 15 13 12 5 4 3 2 2 0 3
28 Sep Peil 29 12 23 17 23 20 5 7 4 5 4 1 6
25 Sep Ipsos 32 15 25 18 15 24 6 5 3 5 2 0 7
22 Sep De Stemming 28 14 25 19 16 23 6 5 3 4 7 0 3
21 Sep Peil 30 12 23 17 22 19 6 7 4 5 4 1 7
16 Sep TNS NIPO 26 11 27 20 17 21 7 7 3 3 8 0 1
14 Sep Peil 27 11 24 20 23 20 6 6 4 5 3 1 3
11 Sep Ipsos 29 15 23 20 16 26 5 6 4 4 2 0 3
07 Sep Peil 28 12 23 20 23 20 6 6 4 5 2 1 5
31 Aug Peil 30 13 20 21 22 20 6 6 4 5 2 1 8
28 Aug Ipsos 29 18 22 18 17 24 6 6 4 5 1 0 5
26 Aug De Stemming 27 14 21 20 20 24 8 5 3 3 5 0 3
25 Aug TNS NIPO 28 14 18 20 17 29 7 5 3 4 4 1 1
24 Aug Peil 28 15 20 20 22 21 6 6 4 5 2 1 6
17 Aug Peil 28 15 20 20 21 22 6 6 4 6 1 1 6
3 Aug Peil 27 14 20 21 21 23 6 6 4 6 1 1 4
31 Jul Ipsos 31 17 23 18 17 24 6 6 3 4 1 0 7
29 Jul De Stemming 31 14 22 22 17 19 7 4 4 4 4 2 9
20 Jul Peil 23 11 21 22 23 25 7 6 4 6 1 1 2
6 Jul Peil 22 12 21 22 22 26 7 6 4 6 1 1 4
3 Jul Ipsos 27 15 23 20 18 27 5 6 4 4 1 0 Tied
29 Jun Peil 23 12 20 21 22 26 8 6 4 6 1 1 3
24 Jun De Stemming 23 14 24 23 19 26 6 6 3 4 2 0 2
22 Jun Peil 23 13 20 21 22 24 8 8 4 5 1 1 1
19 Jun Ipsos 29 14 23 20 16 26 6 7 3 5 1 0 3
15 Jun Peil 22 13 21 20 22 25 8 8 4 5 1 1 3
8 Jun Peil 22 13 21 20 22 25 8 8 4 5 1 1 3
6 Jun Ipsos 30 15 22 19 15 28 6 6 3 4 2 0 2
25 May Peil 20 12 22 20 21 25 8 8 4 5 4 1 3
20 May De Stemming 23 13 26 22 16 24 7 5 3 4 6 1 2
19 May TNS NIPO 22 12 19 20 18 29 9 7 3 4 6 1 7
18 May Peil 22 10 24 20 21 24 8 7 4 5 4 1 Tied
15 May Ipsos 27 13 25 19 15 29 6 6 3 4 3 0 2
11 May Peil 22 10 24 21 21 25 7 6 4 4 5 1 1
8 May Ipsos 28 13 25 19 14 27 7 6 4 4 3 0 1
1 May Ipsos 28 15 24 18 15 27 7 5 4 3 4 0 1
27 Apr Peil 21 12 24 22 19 25 7 6 4 4 5 1 1
21 Apr De Stemming 23 13 25 23 16 26 8 4 3 2 6 1 1
20 Apr Peil 22 12 24 21 20 25 7 6 4 4 4 1 1
17 Apr Ipsos 26 14 24 18 17 29 6 5 4 3 4 0 3
16 Apr TNS NIPO 25 12 23 21 15 28 7 5 5 2 6 1 3
13 Apr Peil 21 11 24 21 21 25 7 6 4 4 5 1 1
3 Apr Ipsos 26 14 26 16 15 28 6 5 4 4 6 0 2
30 Mar Peil 21 11 23 22 21 25 7 6 4 4 5 1 2
25 Mar De Stemming 25 11 20 24 17 28 7 5 3 2 7 1 2
23 Mar Peil 21 13 22 23 21 23 7 6 4 4 5 1 Tied
13 Mar Ipsos 26 18 25 18 17 22 5 5 4 4 6 0 1
12 Mar TNS NIPO 21 14 28 22 19 20 8 6 4 5 3 0 6
6 Mar Ipsos 26 18 26 19 15 23 5 5 4 3 6 0 Tied
2 Mar Peil 21 14 28 23 19 20 6 6 4 4 4 1 5
25 Feb De Stemming 24 14 27 21 18 22 6 5 3 2 8 0 3
23 Feb Peil 19 13 29 23 19 21 7 6 4 4 4 0 6
20 Feb Ipsos 27 18 28 17 15 21 5 6 4 4 5 0 1
16 Feb Peil 20 13 29 23 18 21 7 6 4 4 4 0 6
13 Feb TNS NIPO 24 15 30 19 16 24 6 4 3 3 6 0 6
9 Feb Peil 19 12 29 24 19 21 7 6 4 4 4 1 5
6 Feb Ipsos 24 19 27 16 16 23 6 5 4 4 6 0 3
2 Feb Peil 19 14 29 24 18 21 7 6 4 4 3 1 5
28 Jan De Stemming 24 16 29 22 16 19 7 4 3 3 7 0 5
23 Jan Ipsos 27 20 25 16 15 23 5 5 4 4 6 0 2
19 Jan Peil 18 13 30 24 18 21 7 6 4 4 4 1 4
11 Jan Peil 20 14 28 24 18 20 7 6 4 4 4 1 4
9 Jan Ipsos 28 18 25 17 15 22 5 5 4 5 6 0 3
2014
19 Dec De Stemming 24 18 26 20 19 20 6 4 3 3 7 0 2
12 Dec Ipsos 27 19 24 17 16 23 5 5 4 4 6 0 3
6 Dec TNS NIPO 24 18 27 21 14 20 8 5 3 4 6 0 3
1 Dec Peil 21 13 29 23 16 22 7 6 4 4 4 1 6
28 Nov Ipsos 30 19 24 17 15 23 5 4 3 4 6 0 6
28 Nov De Stemming 23 14 27 22 17 22 7 4 3 3 7 1 4
24 Nov Peil 19 13 30 23 16 23 7 6 4 4 4 1 7
14 Nov Ipsos 28 18 26 16 15 24 6 4 3 4 6 0 2
31 Oct Ipsos 26 20 25 17 15 25 5 5 4 3 5 0 1
24 Oct De Stemming 21 16 27 25 15 28 9 4 3 3 9 2 1
17 Oct Ipsos 28 20 26 17 17 22 5 4 4 3 4 0 2
3 Oct Ipsos 25 17 27 17 18 20 5 5 4 3 9 0 2
19 Sep Ipsos 25 18 29 17 14 21 5 3 3 4 11 0 4
18 Sep De Stemming 20 12 31 24 15 17 7 5 3 2 14 0 7
13 Sep TNS NIPO 24 13 33 21 16 17 6 3 3 4 9 1 9
5 Sep Ipsos 28 19 28 16 14 20 5 4 3 3 10 0 Tied
2 Sep De Stemming 20 15 26 24 15 17 8 5 3 3 12 2 2
1 Sep Peil 20 12 31 24 16 18 6 5 4 4 10 0 7
25 Aug Peil 21 13 30 24 15 18 6 5 4 4 10 0 6
22 Aug Ipsos 29 20 26 16 14 19 4 5 4 4 9 0 3
18 Aug Peil 21 13 30 24 15 18 6 5 4 4 10 0 6
4 Aug Peil 21 14 29 23 15 18 6 5 4 4 11 0 6
25 Jul Ipsos 31 23 24 15 13 17 5 4 4 4 10 0 7
25 Jul De Stemming 21 18 24 25 16 14 8 3 3 3 13 2 1
27 Jun Ipsos 33 23 24 15 11 18 5 4 3 4 10 0 9
27 Jun De Stemming 23 19 21 24 15 16 7 5 3 2 14 1 1
25 Jun TNS NIPO 28 23 22 23 12 14 8 3 4 2 11 0 5
16 Jun Peil 21 16 29 24 14 17 6 4 4 4 11 0 5
13 Jun Ipsos 34 24 22 16 11 17 5 4 4 4 9 0 10
9 Jun Peil 22 17 28 23 14 17 6 4 4 4 11 0 5
2 Jun Peil 22 18 28 23 14 17 6 4 4 4 10 0 5
30 May Ipsos 32 25 22 17 12 17 5 4 3 3 10 0 7
16 May Peil 23 18 28 22 14 17 6 4 3 4 11 0 5
16 May Ipsos 32 26 22 16 13 16 4 4 3 3 11 0 6
5 May Peil 24 19 27 21 15 17 6 4 3 3 11 0 3
16 May Ipsos 32 26 21 17 13 15 4 3 3 4 12 0 6
28 Apr Peil 25 18 27 21 15 17 6 4 3 3 11 0 2
24 Apr De Stemming 25 22 21 23 15 13 9 3 3 3 12 1 2
18 Apr Ipsos 30 25 22 15 14 16 5 3 4 4 12 0 5
17 Apr TNS NIPO 28 22 23 19 13 13 7 4 4 3 14 0 5
14 Apr Peil 21 21 27 23 15 17 6 3 3 3 11 0 4
7 Apr Peil 23 22 26 23 15 16 6 4 3 2 11 0 3
26 Mar De Stemming 25 25 21 24 14 14 7 3 2 2 16 1 Tied
21 Mar Ipsos 31 24 20 16 12 17 5 3 4 2 16 0 7
7 Mar Ipsos 32 24 18 17 11 15 5 3 3 3 19 0 8
25 Feb De Stemming 24 23 16 23 16 14 7 3 3 2 19 0 1
21 Feb Ipsos 32 27 17 16 11 16 5 3 3 3 17 0 5
7 Feb Ipsos 33 29 19 15 12 15 5 3 3 3 13 0 4
24 Jan Ipsos 32 32 20 15 13 16 5 3 3 3 8 0 Tied
23 Jan De Stemming 27 27 19 23 14 13 7 4 3 3 9 1 Tied
13 Jan Peil 25 25 24 21 15 18 5 3 3 3 8 0 Tied
10 Jan Ipsos 30 34 21 15 13 17 5 2 3 4 6 0 4
6 Jan Peil 23 25 25 21 15 18 5 3 4 3 8 0 Tied
2013
23 Dec Peil 21 26 25 21 16 18 5 3 4 3 8 0 1
20 Dec Ipsos 29 31 22 17 14 17 5 2 3 3 7 0 2
19 Dec De Stemming 26 29 19 23 15 15 7 3 3 2 7 1 1
19 Dec TNS NIPO[1] 24 34 21 17 15 15 6 4 4 3 7 0 10
16 Dec Peil 22 23 24 22 17 18 6 3 4 3 8 0 1
13 Dec Ipsos 28 31 20 17 15 18 5 3 3 3 7 0 3
9 Dec Peil 22 23 24 22 17 18 6 3 4 3 8 0 1
2 Dec Peil 22 24 22 22 18 18 6 3 4 3 8 0 2
29 Nov Ipsos 30 31 18 17 13 18 5 3 4 4 7 0 1
25 Nov Peil 23 25 21 22 17 18 6 3 4 3 8 0 2
22 Nov De Stemming 26 26 15 25 18 14 9 4 3 2 8 0 Tied
18 Nov Peil 24 26 21 22 15 18 6 3 4 4 7 0 2
15 Nov Ipsos 32 32 18 19 13 16 5 3 4 3 5 0 Tied
11 Nov Peil 23 27 23 22 16 18 5 3 3 4 6 0 4
6 Nov TNS NIPO[2] 21 33 20 21 17 17 4 3 4 2 8 0 12
4 Nov De Stemming 26 30 18 24 15 13 8 3 3 3 6 1 4
4 Nov Peil 27 30 20 22 15 16 5 3 3 4 5 0 2
1 Nov Ipsos 41 34 16 16 11 15 5 3 3 3 3 0 7
28 Oct Peil 38 31 16 21 13 14 5 2 3 3 4 0 7
24 Oct De Stemming 39 32 13 22 12 13 6 2 3 2 5 1 9
21 Oct Peil 40 31 15 20 13 14 5 2 3 3 4 0 9
18 Oct Ipsos 44 36 15 15 11 15 4 2 3 3 2 0 8
14 Oct Peil[3] 40 32 16 19 13 14 5 2 3 3 3 0 8
4 Oct Ipsos[4] 42 36 14 16 13 13 5 3 2 4 2 0 6
26 Sep De Stemming[5] 38 34 12 22 14 10 7 3 3 2 4 1 4
12 Sep 2012 Election results 41 38 15 15 13 12 5 4 3 2 2 0 9

Percentages[edit]

Date Polling Firm VVD PvdA PVV SP CDA D66 CU GL SGP PvdD 50PLUS Others
12 Sep 2012 Election results 26.6% 24.8% 10.1% 9.7% 8.5% 8.0% 3.1% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.0%
Ipsos[4] 11 Sep 19.0% 10.0% 14.8% 12.9% 10.2% 16.8% 3.4% 4.4% 3.0% 3.1% 1.8%
Ipsos[4] 28 Aug 19.0% 11.8% 14.1% 11.9% 11.0% 15.4% 4.0% 4.4% 3.2% 3.4% 1.1%
Ipsos[4] 31 Jul 20.1% 11.2% 14.5% 11.7% 11.1% 15.7% 4.4% 4.4% 2.1% 2.8% 1.2%
Ipsos[4] 3 Jul 18.0% 9.9% 14.9% 13.1% 11.7% 17.6% 3.7% 3.9% 2.6% 3.0% 1.2%
Ipsos[4] 19 Jun 18.7% 9.0% 15.4% 12.9% 10.9% 16.9% 4.1% 4.6% 2.5% 3.4% 0.8%
Ipsos[4] 6 Jun 19.0% 9.6% 14.1% 12.4% 10.0% 18.0% 4.4% 4.4% 2.5% 3.1% 1.6%
Ipsos[4] 15 May 17.6% 8.5% 16.3% 12.4% 9.5% 18.7% 3.9% 4.2% 2.4% 3.1% 2.5%
Ipsos[4] 8 May 18.2% 8.7% 16.1% 12.4% 9.1% 17.5% 4.6% 4.0% 3.2% 3.2% 2.1%
Ipsos[4] 1 May 18.1% 9.9% 15.4% 12.1% 9.7% 17.5% 4.8% 3.8% 3.0% 2.4% 2.6%
Ipsos[4] 17 Apr 17.0% 9.5% 15.4% 11.9% 11.1% 19.1% 4.1% 3.3% 2.9% 2.4% 2.7%
Ipsos[4] 3 Apr 17.2% 9.0% 16.7% 10.9% 9.7% 18.5% 4.0% 3.3% 3.1% 2.6% 4.2%
Ipsos[4] 13 Mar 16.3% 11.8% 16.2% 11.9% 10.9% 14.0% 3.6% 3.7% 3.1% 3.0% 4.3%
Ipsos[4] 6 Mar 17.2% 12.1% 16.7% 12.2% 9.9% 14.7% 3.3% 3.4% 3.1% 2.5% 4.4%
Ipsos[4] 20 Feb 17.6% 11.6% 17.7% 11.3% 9.6% 13.9% 3.7% 4.2% 3.1% 2.9% 3.6%
Ipsos[4] 6 Feb 15.4% 12.2% 17.6% 10.6% 10.1% 15.1% 4.2% 3.7% 3.1% 3.1% 4.1%
Ipsos[4] 23 Jan 17.2% 13.2% 16.4% 10.8% 9.6% 14.7% 3.5% 3.2% 3.0% 3.1% 4.4%
Ipsos[4] 9 Jan 17.9% 12.1% 16.2% 11.4% 10.0% 14.1% 3.4% 3.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.1%
2014
Ipsos[4] 12 Dec 17.2% 12.6% 15.8% 11.2% 10.5% 15.0% 3.5% 3.8% 2.9% 2.9% 4.1%
Ipsos[4] 28 Nov 19.3% 12.3% 15.6% 11.5% 9.7% 15.1% 3.6% 3.0% 2.5% 2.6% 4.1%
Ipsos[4] 14 Nov 18.1% 11.8% 17.1% 10.7% 9.9% 15.9% 3.9% 3.2% 2.1% 2.6% 4.1%
Ipsos[4] 31 Oct 17.1% 12.9% 16.5% 11.1% 9.6% 16.1% 3.8% 3.3% 2.9% 2.2% 3.8%
Ipsos[4] 17 Oct 17.9% 13.1% 16.5% 11.4% 11.1% 14.0% 3.6% 2.9% 3.1% 2.4% 3.1%
Ipsos[4] 3 Oct 16.5% 10.9% 17.3% 11.2% 12.0% 13.3% 3.3% 3.4% 2.6% 2.4% 6.1%
Ipsos[4] 19 Sep 16.5% 11.6% 18.8% 10.9% 9.3% 14.1% 3.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.6% 7.5%
Ipsos[4] 5 Sep 18.0% 12.5% 18.2% 10.6% 9.1% 13.4% 3.3% 2.7% 2.5% 2.0% 6.9%
Ipsos[4] 22 Aug 18.8% 13.0% 17.3% 10.3% 9.4% 12.3% 3.1% 3.3% 3.1% 2.6% 6.0%
Ipsos[4] 25 Jul 19.8% 15.0% 15.7% 9.8% 8.9% 10.9% 3.4% 3.1% 3.1% 2.7% 7.0%
Ipsos[4] 27 June 21.1% 15.0% 15.8% 9.8% 7.5% 11.8% 3.2% 2.8% 2.5% 2.8% 6.7%
Ipsos[4] 13 June 22.1% 15.8% 14.6% 10.7% 7.4% 11.1% 3.4% 2.9% 2.7% 2.6% 6.1%
Ipsos[4] 30 May 21.1% 16.4% 14.6% 10.9% 8.0% 11.1% 3.3% 3.0% 2.5% 2.1% 6.5%
Ipsos[4] 16 May 21.1% 17.2% 14.2% 10.3% 8.4% 10.5% 3.9% 2.8% 2.5% 2.0% 7.5%
Ipsos[4] 3 May 20.8% 17.1% 13.5% 11.2% 8.3% 9.9% 2.8% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 8.2%
Ipsos[4] 18 Apr 19.4% 16.0% 14.1% 10.2% 9.1% 10.7% 3.2% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 8.1%
Ipsos[4] 21 Mar 20.3% 15.5% 13.2% 10.3% 8.3% 11.1% 3.3% 2.1% 3.0% 1.8% 10.3%
Ipsos[4] 7 Mar 20.8% 15.5% 12.1% 11.3% 7.7% 9.9% 3.4% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 12.5%
Ipsos[4] 21 Feb 20.7% 17.3% 11.3% 10.5% 7.6% 10.5% 3.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 10.9%
Ipsos[4] 7 Feb 21.4% 18.9% 12.2% 10.2% 8.0% 9.9% 3.2% 2.4% 2.5% 2.0% 8.8%
Ipsos[4] 24 Jan 21.2% 20.8% 12.9% 9.7% 8.6% 10.3% 3.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.0% 5.7%
Ipsos[4] 10 Jan 19.7% 22.0% 13.7% 10.1% 8.6% 11.0% 3.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 4.4%
2013
Ipsos[4] 20 Dec 18.8% 20.1% 14.4% 10.9% 9.0% 11.0% 3.7% 1.6% 2.5% 2.4% 4.8%
Ipsos[4] 13 Dec 18.5% 20.0% 13.3% 11.0% 10.1% 12.0% 3.2% 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 4.5%
Ipsos[4] 29 Nov 19.4% 20.5% 11.8% 10.9% 8.9% 11.7% 3.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 4.6%
Ipsos[4] 15 Nov 20.8% 20.9% 11.7% 12.2% 8.9% 10.5% 3.4% 2.2% 2.9% 2.0% 3.7%
Ipsos[4] 1 Nov 26.6% 22.0% 10.5% 10.5% 7.6% 9.7% 3.3% 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 2.5%
Ipsos[4] 18 Oct 28.7% 23.6% 9.6% 9.7% 7.1% 9.9% 3.1% 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 1.6%
Ipsos[4] 4 Oct 27.1% 23.3% 9.2% 10.7% 8.3% 8.5% 3.8% 2.3% 1.8% 3.1% 1.3%
12 Sep 2012 Election results 26.6% 24.8% 10.1% 9.7% 8.5% 8.0% 3.1% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.0%

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Sprongetje PVV - samen met VVD virtueel grootste partij". TNS NIPO. Retrieved 16 September 2014. 
  2. ^ "SP nog wel groter dan PvdA in peiling TNS Nipo". TNS NIPO. 6 November 2012. Retrieved 6 November 2012. 
  3. ^ "De stemming van 21 oktober 2012". Peil. 21 October 2012. Retrieved 21 October 2012. 
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au "De Politieke Barometer". Ipsos. 15 November 2012. Retrieved 7 December 2012. 
  5. ^ "De Stemming". De Stemming. 26 September 2012. Retrieved 5 November 2012.