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Moderate Tropical Storm Guambe
Current storm status
Moderate tropical storm (MFR)
Current storm status
Tropical storm (1-min mean)
Satellite image
Forecast map
As of:00:00 UTC, 18 February
Location:22°12′N 37°24′E / 22.2°N 37.4°E / 22.2; 37.4 (Moderate Tropical Storm Guambe)
Sustained winds:45 knots (85 km/h; 50 mph) (10-min mean)
45 knots (85 km/h; 50 mph) (1-min mean)
gusting to 55 knots (100 km/h; 65 mph)
Pressure:985 hPa (29.09 inHg)
Movement:S at 4 kn (7.4 km/h; 4.6 mph)
See latest official information.

Moderate Tropical Storm Guambe is a currently a strengthening tropical storm in the South-West Indian Ocean. The eleventh tropical cyclone and seventh named storm of the 2020–21 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season, Guambe originated from a tropical disturbance in the Mozambique Channel on 10 February. Two days later, the system developed into a subtropical low and made landfall in Mozambique. The storm proceeded to make a clockwise loop over the country for the next several days, while dumping prolific amounts of rainfall in the region, before re-emerging into the Mozambique Channel on 16 February. Soon afterward, Guambe strengthened into a moderate tropical storm and began to rapidly intensify.

After moving inland as a subtropical low, Guambe's precursor caused widespreading across Mozambique, which displaced thousands of people.

Meteorological history

Map plotting the storm's track and intensity, according to the Saffir–Simpson scale
Map key
  Tropical depression (≤38 mph, ≤62 km/h)
  Tropical storm (39–73 mph, 63–118 km/h)
  Category 1 (74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h)
  Category 2 (96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h)
  Category 3 (111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h)
  Category 4 (130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h)
  Category 5 (≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h)
  Unknown
Storm type
triangle Extratropical cyclone, remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression

On 10 February, a disturbance developed in the Mozambique Channel, between Mozambique and Madagascar. For the next couple of days, the system slowly moved westward, approaching the coast of Mozambique while gradually organizing. On 12 February, Météo-France La Réunion noted that the low had acquired subtropical characteristics and had made landfall near Inhambane, Mozambique, and was moving slowly inland, without having developed any sustained convective activity.[1] The next day, the system was designated as an overland tropical depression, while bringing locally heavy rainfall across areas of southern Mozambique.[2] For the next few days, the system made a slow clockwise loop over Mozambique, while slowly organizing. By 15 February, the meandering system had turned back eastward and was expected to re-emerge into the Mozambique Channel.[3] At 06:00 UTC on 16 February, the system re-emerged over warm open water and was designated as Tropical Disturbance 11.[4] The storm continued organizing, and at 18:00 UTC that day, the MRF upgraded the system to a tropical depression.[5] On 17 February, the depression strengthened into Moderate Tropical Storm Guambe at 12:00 UTC that day, with the northern section of the storm becoming enveloped in deep convection.[6] Soon afterward, Guambe began to undergo rapid intensification.

Current storm information

As of 00:00 UTC on 18 February, Moderate Tropical Storm Guambe is located within 20 nautical miles of 22°12′S 37°24′E / 22.2°S 37.4°E / -22.2; 37.4 (Faraji). It is currently moving south with the speed of 4 kn (7.4 km/h; 4.6 mph). Maximum 10-minute sustained winds are at 45 knots (85 km/h; 50 mph) while maximum 1-minute sustained winds are at 45 knots (85 km/h; 50 mph) with gusts up to 55 knots (100 km/h; 65 mph). The minimum central barometric pressure is 985 hPa (29.09 inHg).

For the latest official information see:

Preparations and impacts

After Guambe's precursor moved ashore in Mozambique on 12 February, the storm proceeded to produce prolific rainfall across the region for the next several days, leading to widespread flooding, and displacing over 27,000 people from their homes. The storm washed out two bridges on the Umbeluzi River, flooded hundreds of homes, and also destroyed numerous crops.[7] On 15 February, a prison in southern Mozambique transferred 150 prisoners to another prison facility 80 kilometres (50 mi) away, due to the risk of flooding from the storm.[8] The storm struck less than a month after Cyclone Eloise had made landfall less than a month earlier, worsening the ongoing crisis in the region. After Guambe re-emerged into the Mozambique Channel on 16 February and began strengthening, local authorities in Mozambique anticipated the threat of additional flooding from the storm in the southern portion of the country, especially the region between Beira and Inhambane.[9]

See also

References

  1. ^ "Bulletin for Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather in the Southwest Indian Ocean: 2021/02/12 AT 1200 UTC" (PDF). Meteo France La Reunion. 12 February 2021. Retrieved 13 February 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  2. ^ "Bulletin for Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather in the Southwest Indian Ocean: 2021/02/13 AT 1200 UTC" (PDF). Meteo France La Reunion. 13 February 2021. Retrieved 13 February 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  3. ^ "Bulletin for Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather in the Southwest Indian Ocean: 2021/02/15 AT 1200 UTC" (PDF). Meteo France La Reunion. 15 February 2021. Retrieved 17 February 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  4. ^ "A Tropical Disturbance 11 Warning Number 1/11/20202021" (PDF). Meteo France La Reunion. 16 February 2021. Retrieved 16 February 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  5. ^ "A Tropical Depression 11 Warning Number 3/11/20202021" (PDF). Meteo France La Reunion. 16 February 2021. Retrieved 17 February 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  6. ^ "A Moderate Tropical Storm 11 (Guambe) Warning 6/11/20202021" (PDF). Meteo France La Reunion. 17 February 2021. Retrieved 17 February 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  7. ^ Arnaldo Vieira (16 February 2021). "Mozambique: Thousands Displaced After Heavy Rains Hit". AllAfrica. Retrieved 17 February 2021.
  8. ^ "Prison evacuates 150 inmates for fear of flood risk in southern Mozambique". Xinhua. 15 February 2021. Retrieved 17 February 2021.
  9. ^ "WEATHER WARNING: Moderate tropical storm 'Guambe' to hit Mozambique". February 17, 2021. Retrieved 17 February 2021.

External links