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==State government formation==
==State government formation==
Despite heavy losses inflicted on the party, the [[Christian Democratic Union (Germany)|CDU]] returned to government after negotiating a coalition agreement with the [[Alliance 90/The Greens|Greens]], the second consecutive such arrangement between the two parties. The two parties formed the narrowest possible majority in the [[Landtag of Hesse|Landtag]], occupying 69 seats. As part of the agreement, the Greens increased their representation in the [[Cabinet (government)|Cabinet]], holding four of the eleven portfolios.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.thelocal.de/20181220/how-the-unlikely-political-team-of-cdu-and-greens-have-reunited-in-hesse|title=How the unlikely team of CDU and Greens have reunited in Hesse|work=The Local|date=20 December 2018}}</ref> The returned coalition only became possible after a [[recount]] of votes took place several weeks after the election, due to computer glitches which affected some election night results. Following the recount, the state election commissioner announced that compared to the provisional figures, there were no significant shifts in the percentages, and the distribution of seats in the state parliament has not changed.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.thelocal.de/20181116/merkels-cdu-and-greens-can-breathe-sigh-of-relief-as-hesse-vote-recount-shows-no-change|title=Merkel's CDU and Greens can breathe sigh of relief after Hesse vote recount|work=The Local|date=16 November 2018}}</ref>
Despite heavy losses inflicted on the party, the [[Christian Democratic Union (Germany)|CDU]] returned to government after negotiating a coalition agreement with the [[Alliance 90/The Greens|Greens]], the second consecutive such arrangement between the two parties. The two parties formed the narrowest possible majority in the [[Landtag of Hesse|Landtag]], occupying 69 seats. As part of the agreement, the Greens increased their representation in the [[Cabinet (government)|Cabinet]], holding four of the eleven portfolios.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.thelocal.de/20181220/how-the-unlikely-political-team-of-cdu-and-greens-have-reunited-in-hesse|title=How the unlikely team of CDU and Greens have reunited in Hesse|work=The Local|date=20 December 2018}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.ccdiscovery.com/reissue-of-black-and-green-in-the-state-of-hesse-on-the-home-straight|title=Reissue of Black-and-Green in the state of Hesse on the home straight|work=ccdiscovery.com|date=23 December 2018}}</ref> The returned coalition only became possible after a [[recount]] of votes took place several weeks after the election, due to computer glitches which affected some election night results. Following the recount, the state election commissioner announced that compared to the provisional figures, there were no significant shifts in the percentages, and the distribution of seats in the state parliament had not changed.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.thelocal.de/20181116/merkels-cdu-and-greens-can-breathe-sigh-of-relief-as-hesse-vote-recount-shows-no-change|title=Merkel's CDU and Greens can breathe sigh of relief after Hesse vote recount|work=The Local|date=16 November 2018}}</ref>


==References==
==References==

Revision as of 00:46, 28 December 2018

Hesse state election, 2018
← 2013 28 October 2018
All 137 seats of the Landtag of Hesse, including 8 overhang and 19 leveling seats
69 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Volker Bouffier Tarek Al-Wazir
Priska Hinz 		Thorsten Schäfer-Gümbel
Party CDU Greens SPD
Last election 47 seats, 38.3% 14 seats, 11.1% 37 seats, 30.7%
Seats before 47 13 37
Seats won 40 29 29
Seat change Decrease7 Increase16 Decrease8
Popular vote 776,254 570,260 570,166
Percentage 27.0% 19.8% 19.8%
Swing Decrease11.3% Increase8.7% Decrease10.9%
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Rainer Rahn René Rock Janine Wissler
Jan Schalauske
Party AfD FDP Left
Last election 4.1% 6 seats, 5.0% 6 seats, 5.2%
Seats before - 6 6
Seats won 19 11 9
Seat change Increase19 Increase5 Increase3
Popular vote 378,376 215,642 181,263
Percentage 13.1% 7.5% 6.3%
Swing Increase9.0% Increase2.5% Increase1.1%
Minister-President before election

Volker Bouffier
CDU

Elected Minister-President

TBD

A state election was held in Hesse on 28 October 2018.[1]

It followed the vote in Bavaria two weeks earlier. Like in Bavaria, the parties of Chancellor Angela Merkel's federal government coalition − CDU and SPD − lost more than 20 percentage points combined (CDU -11.3%, SPD -10.9%), while the Hessian CDU's coalition partner The Greens and the opposition party Alternative for Germany (AfD) won the biggest increases in votes compared to the last election in 2013. The AfD's gains (+9%) were slightly larger than those of The Greens (+8.7%), making it the greatest net winner by additional votes and seats. Smaller parties also made gains. Turn-out decreased by 5.9 points to 67.3%.[2]

Despite suffering the biggest net loss of votes, the Christian Democratic Union maintained its leading position. The Greens and the Social Democrats finished with equal numbers of seats, although the Greens beat the Social Democrats by 66 votes. AfD, which ran for the first time for a state legislature in Hesse in 2013 and failed to win any seats, was the only new addition to the Hessian Landtag, and, by entering it, became present in all German state legislatures, a trait shared only by SPD and CDU/CSU, though the latter are technically two separate parties.

Like the preceding Bavarian election, the election in Hesse was overshadowed by federal politics and the poor condition of the German coalition government after two government crises, the "asylum quarrel" in June/July and the crisis around Hans-Georg Maaßen in September.[3][4] As a consequence of the severe losses, the day after the election, chancellor Angela Merkel announced that that she will not seek re-election as party head at the party convention in Hamburg in early December and as German chancellor in 2021.[5]

Background

The incumbent Hesse government coalition consisted of CDU and the Greens.

The regional election for Hesse, along with the Bavarian state election held just two weeks before, was widely seen as a test for the ruling CDU/CSU and SPD coalition of Angela Merkel's fourth federal cabinet.[6]

Opinion polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		CDU SPD Grüne Linke FDP AfD Others Lead
style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Left (Germany)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free Democratic Party (Germany)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alternative for Germany/meta/color;"|
2018 state election 28 Oct 2018 – 27.0 19.8 19.8 6.3 7.5 13.1 6.5 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–25 Oct 2018 1,025 28 20 20 8 8 12 4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
Civey 18–24 Oct 2018 4,467 27.0 22.0 18.5 7.5 8.0 13.0 4.0 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5.0
INSA 18–22 Oct 2018 1,004 26 21 21 8 7 13 4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5
Infratest dimap 16–17 Oct 2018 1,002 26 21 20 8 9 12 4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 Oct 2018 1,035 26 20 22 8 8 12 4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4
Civey 2–12 Oct 2018 4,549 28.5 24.9 18.2 7.5 5.6 11.8 3.5 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3.6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24 Sep–1 Oct 2018 1,038 29 23 18 8 6 13 3 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6
Civey 19–26 Sep 2018 4,509 28.6 23.0 15.8 8.8 7.6 12.4 3.8 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5.6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Sep 2018 1,039 32 25 15 8 6 11 3 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7
Infratest dimap 13–19 Sep 2018 1,000 28 23 17 8 7 14 3 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5
INSA 3–6 Sep 2018 1,039 29 24 14 8 7 14 4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5
Civey 14–30 Aug 2018 4,532 31.1 23.9 13.4 7.9 7.1 12.7 3.9 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.2
Infratest dimap 14–19 Jun 2018 1,003 31 22 14 7 7 15 4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 4–11 Jun 2018 1,049 31 25 13 8 8 11 4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6
INSA 9–16 May 2018 1,067 33 24 13 8 7 11 4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Mar 2018 1,011 31 26 13 8 7 10 5 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5
Allensbach 19 Dec 2017–31 Jan 2018 760 31 26 12 7 9 11 ? style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,035 33 23 14 7 8 10 5 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
Infratest dimap 9–16 Jan 2018 1,006 31 25 13 8 8 12 3 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 30.9 23.5 9.7 8.1 11.5 11.9 4.4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.3
Infratest dimap 5–10 Jan 2017 1,003 32 24 14 8 6 14 2 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
dimap 15–22 Aug 2016 1,000 36 27 13 6 4 9 5 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
Forsa 1–8 Apr 2016 1,004 33 27 11 6 7 10 6 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6
Infratest dimap 12–16 Jan 2016 1,000 34 26 11 8 5 12 4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
Forsa 17–26 Aug 2015 1,009 38 28 13 5 5 4 7 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
dimap 6–13 Jul 2015 1,003 41 27 14 6 6 2 4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
dimap 10–14 Dec 2014 1,000 38 27 16 7 2 5 5 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
2014 European election 25 May 2014 – 30.6 30.3 12.9 5.6 4.1 9.1 7.3 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 0.3
Forsa 18–27 Feb 2014 1,002 39 27 12 7 5 5 5 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12
2013 federal election 22 Sep 2013 – 39.2 28.8 9.9 6.0 5.6 5.6 4.9 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10.4
2013 state election 22 Sep 2013 – 38.3 30.7 11.1 5.2 5.0 4.1 5.6 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.6


Results

Summary of the 28 October 2018 final election results for the Hessian Landtag[2]
Party Ideology Votes Votes % (change) Seats (change) Seats % (change)
style="width: 1px" bgcolor=Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color align="center" | Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Christian democracy 776,910 27.0% −11.3pp 40 −7 29.2% -13.5pp
style="width: 1px" bgcolor=Template:Alliance '90/The Greens/meta/color align="center" | Alliance '90/The Greens (Grünen) Green politics 570,512 19.8% +8.9pp 29 +16 21.2% +9.4pp
style="width: 1px" bgcolor=Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color align="center" | Social Democratic Party (SPD) Social democracy 570,446 19.8% −10.9pp 29 −8 21.2% -12.4pp
style="width: 1px" bgcolor=Template:Alternative for Germany/meta/color align="center" | Alternative for Germany (AfD) German nationalism 378,692 13.1% +9.0pp 19 +19 13.9% +13.9pp
style="width: 1px" bgcolor=Template:Free Democratic Party (Germany)/meta/color align="center" | Free Democratic Party (FDP) Liberalism 215,946 7.5% +1.8pp 11 +5 8.0% +2.5pp
style="width: 1px" bgcolor=Template:The Left (Germany)/meta/color align="center" | The Left (Die Linke) Democratic socialism 181,332 6.3% +1.1pp 9 +3 6.6% +1.1pp
style="width: 1px" bgcolor=Template:Other/meta/color align="center" | Others 187,423 6.5% 0 ±0 0%
Total 2,881,261 100.0% 137 +28 100.0%

State government formation

Despite heavy losses inflicted on the party, the CDU returned to government after negotiating a coalition agreement with the Greens, the second consecutive such arrangement between the two parties. The two parties formed the narrowest possible majority in the Landtag, occupying 69 seats. As part of the agreement, the Greens increased their representation in the Cabinet, holding four of the eleven portfolios.[7][8] The returned coalition only became possible after a recount of votes took place several weeks after the election, due to computer glitches which affected some election night results. Following the recount, the state election commissioner announced that compared to the provisional figures, there were no significant shifts in the percentages, and the distribution of seats in the state parliament had not changed.[9]

References

  1. ^ http://www.wahlrecht.de/termine.htm#termine-2018-01-23
  2. ^ a b https://statistik-hessen.de/l_2018/html/landesergebnis Official result
  3. ^ Was die Hessenwahl für die Bundespolitik bedeutet, Frankfurter Allgemeine, 28 October 2018
  4. ^ Schicksalswahl für Merkels Koalition, Frankfurter Allgemeine, 26 October 2018
  5. ^ Angela Merkel bietet Verzicht auf Parteivorsitz an, Die Zeit, 29 October 2018
  6. ^ "Hesse election: Merkel facing double trouble in German vote". BBC News. 26 October 2018. Retrieved 28 October 2018.
  7. ^ "How the unlikely team of CDU and Greens have reunited in Hesse". The Local. 20 December 2018.
  8. ^ "Reissue of Black-and-Green in the state of Hesse on the home straight". ccdiscovery.com. 23 December 2018.
  9. ^ "Merkel's CDU and Greens can breathe sigh of relief after Hesse vote recount". The Local. 16 November 2018.

Media related to Hesse state election 2018 at Wikimedia Commons

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