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2008 United States Senate election in Kentucky: Difference between revisions

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→‎Election Results: Adding County-by-County and general results
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| Breathitt||21||21||3,111||61.41%||1,955||38.59%||5,066
| Breathitt||21||21||3,111||61.41%||1,955||38.59%||5,066
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| Breckinridge||15||15||3,736||44.02%||4,752||55.98%||8,488
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| Bullitt||44||44||12,501||41.85%||17,368||58.15%||29,869
| Bullitt||44||44||12,501||41.85%||17,368||58.15%||29,869
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| Clinton||13||13||1,029||25.42%||3,019||74.58%||4,048
| Clinton||13||13||1,029||25.42%||3,019||74.58%||4,048
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| Crittenden||12||12||1,615||41.59%||2,268||58.41%||3,883
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| Cumberland||9||9||763||28.62%||1,903||71.38%||2,666
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| Daviess||84||84||20,779||47.94%||22,563||52.06%||43,342
| Daviess||84||84||20,779||47.94%||22,563||52.06%||43,342
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| Lincoln||17||17||4,119||45.47%||4,939||54.53%||9,058
| Lincoln||17||17||4,119||45.47%||4,939||54.53%||9,058
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| Livingston||10||10||2,142||47.35%||2,382||52.65%||4,524
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| Logan||20||20||4,379||40.70%||6,379||59.30%||10,758
| Logan||20||20||4,379||40.70%||6,379||59.30%||10,758
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| Monroe||12||12||1,237||27.16%||3,318||72.84%||4,555
| Monroe||12||12||1,237||27.16%||3,318||72.84%||4,555
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| Montgomery||18||18||5,526||54.25%||4,660||45.75%||10,186
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| Morgan||12||12||2,475||57.03%||1,865||42.97%||4,340
| Morgan||12||12||2,475||57.03%||1,865||42.97%||4,340
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| Muhlenberg||26||26||7,436||57.90%||5,406||42.10%||12,842
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| Nelson||26||26||8,823||49.60%||8,965||50.40%||17,788
| Nelson||26||26||8,823||49.60%||8,965||50.40%||17,788
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| Robertson||5||5||498||49.21%||514||50.79%||1,012
| Robertson||5||5||498||49.21%||514||50.79%||1,012
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| Rockcastle||14||14||1,837||30.55%||4,177||69.45%||6,014
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| Rowan||18||18||4,710||58.71%||3,312||41.29%||8,022
| Rowan||18||18||4,710||58.71%||3,312||41.29%||8,022
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| Warren||63||63||19,162||43.84%||24,547||56.16%||43,709
| Warren||63||63||19,162||43.84%||24,547||56.16%||43,709
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| Washington||14||14||2,316||45.04%||2,826||54.96%||5,142
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| Wayne||19||19||3,045||43.30%||3,987||56.70%||7,032
| Wayne||19||19||3,045||43.30%||3,987||56.70%||7,032

Revision as of 19:52, 5 November 2008

United States Senate election in Kentucky, 2008
← 2004 November 4 2008 2010 →
 
Nominee Bruce Lunsford Mitch McConnell
Party Democratic Republican
Elected Senator

TBD

The U.S. Senate Election for Kentucky of 2008 will be held on November 4, 2008. Minority Leader Mitch McConnell will seek re-election against Democrat Bruce Lunsford. CQ Politics rated this race as 'Republican Favored',[1] but now calls it 'Leans Republican'.[2] The Cook Political Report considers it 'Lean Republican'.[3] The Rothenberg Political Report once considered it a 'Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party'[4] but now calls the race 'Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party'.[5]

Political background

In 2007 Kentucky's unpopular Republican Governor, Ernie Fletcher, lost his re-election bid. Unpopular Republican Junior Senator Jim Bunning may affect the election as well. The Democrats took control of both Houses of Congress in the 2006 mid-term elections and in October Chuck Schumer acknowledged they are aiming for McConnell's seat.[6]

Lunsford was asked to run by Kentucky Governor Steve Beshear.[7] Seven candidates competed for the Democratic Primary nomination. The primaries for both parties took place on May 20, 2008 in which Lunsford took more than 50%.

Issues

In October Lunsford and McConnell were statistically tied in the polls. Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, said "If Lunsford is actually doing this well, its got to be because the public is so upset by the economic meltdown and may be blaming the legislative leaders."[8]

A debate scheduled for October 7th hosted by the League of Women Voters was cancelled when incumbent McConnell decided not to particpate even though Lunsford announced he wanted to debate.[9]

On 2 November 2008 media outlets such as The Wall Street Journal noted that the website of The New Republic had reported that anti-McConnell flyers questioning the senator's sexuality as well as the reasons for his 1967 discharge were being distributed in Kentucky.[1]

Candidates

Unofficial Election Results as of Wednesday May 21, 2008 at 07:22:28 AM EDT [10]

Democratic

Primary - May 20, 2008
Candidate Name Vote Percent
Bruce Lunsford 316,723 51.1%
Greg Fischer 209,704 33.9%
David Williams 34,328 5.5%
James Rice 20,380 3.3%
Michael Cassaro 17,343 2.8%
Kenneth Stepp 13,438 2.2%
David Wylie 7,514 1.2%

Republican

Primary - May 20, 2008
Candidate Name Vote Percent
Mitch McConnell 167,934 86.1%
Daniel Essek 27,154 13.9%

Libertarian

On June 25, former actor Sonny Landham (48 Hrs., Predator) announced his intention to seek the Libertarian nomination to challenge McConnell and Lunsford.[11] Landham was later rejected by the Libertarian party for a string of anti-Arab comments. [12]

General Election Polling

Poll Source Dates administered Democrat: Bruce Lunsford Republican: Mitch McConnell
Survey USA November 1, 2008 45% 53%
Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2008 44% 51%
Research 2000/
Lexington Herald-Leader/
WKYT-TV 		October 22, 2008 43% 47%
Rasmussen Reports October 21,2008 43% 50%
SurveyUSA October 20,2008 48% 48%
Rasmussen Reports September 30,2008 42% 51%
SurveyUSA September 21 - September 22, 2008 46% 49%
Research 2000 for Daily Kos September 15 - September 17, 2008 37% 50%
Voter/Consumer Research September 7 - September 9, 2008 35% 52%
Survey USA August 11,2008 40% 52%
Rasmussen Reports July 29,2008 42% 52%
Rasmussen Reports June 25,2008 41% 48%
Voter/Consumer Research June 15-June 17, 2008 39% 50%
Survey USA June 13-June 16, 2008 46% 50%
Rasmussen Reports May 22, 2008 49% 44%
Voter/Consumer Research May 21-May 22, 2008 39% 50%
Research 2000/
Lexington Herald-Leader/
WKYT-TV 		May 7-May 9, 2008 36% 48%
Voter/Consumer Research January 6-January 8, 2008 37% 52%

McConnell Approval Rating

Source Date Approve Disapprove Undecided

Rasmussen Reports

May 22, 2008 56% 40% 4%

Rasmussen Reports

May 22, 2008 52% 42% 6%
Survey USA April 25, 2008 46% 46% 7%
NRSC January 9, 2008 61% 29% 10%
Survey USA December 23, 2007 51% 42% 7%
Research 2000 November 24, 2007 55% 32% 13%
Survey USA November 21, 2007 44% 47% 9%
CQ Politics November 18, 2007 56% 44% --
Human Events November 13, 2007 54% 28% 18%
Rasmussen Reports November 4, 2007 56% 36%
Herald-Leader/Action News 36 October 28, 2007 45% 46%
Survey USA October 19, 2007 49% 45% 7%
Survey USA October 7, 2007 45% 43% 12%
Survey USA August 21, 2007 50% 43% 7%

Election Results

2008 Kentucky U.S. Senator general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mitch McConnell 916,693 52.94% n/a
Democratic Bruce Lunsford 814,915 47.06% n/a
Turnout 1,800,327 61.9% +19.2%
County Precincts Reporting Lunsford % Lunsford McConnell % McConnell Total
Adair 16 16 2,198 30.88% 4,920 69.12% 7,118
Allen 13 13 2,331 31.85% 4,987 68.15% 7,318
Anderson 14 14 4,787 46.27% 5,558 53.73% 10,345
Ballard 13 13 1,893 46.68% 2,162 53.32% 4,055
Barren 24 24 6,735 41.15% 9,630 58.85% 16,365
Bath 12 12 2,747 61.36% 1,730 38.64% 4,477
Bell 33 33 3,494 38.83% 5,505 61.17% 8,999
Boone 60 60 15,224 30.75% 34,285 69.25% 49,509
Bourbon 18 18 4,325 52.26% 3,951 47.74% 8,276
Boyd 47 47 11,174 54.23% 9,430 45.77% 20,604
Boyle 25 25 5,854 46.90% 6,627 53.10% 12,481
Bracken 8 8 1,382 41.17% 1,975 58.83% 3,357
Breathitt 21 21 3,111 61.41% 1,955 38.59% 5,066
Breckinridge 15 15 3,736 44.02% 4,752 55.98% 8,488
Bullitt 44 44 12,501 41.85% 17,368 58.15% 29,869
Butler 12 12 1,771 33.59% 3,501 66.41% 5,272
Caldwell 13 13 2,821 46.30% 3,272 53.70% 6,093
Calloway 30 30 6,870 45.39% 8,266 54.61% 15,136
Campbell 66 66 14,789 37.55% 24,591 62.45% 39,380
Carlisle 6 6 1,220 46.51% 1,403 53.49% 2,623
Carroll 11 11 2,157 57.23% 1,612 42.77% 3,769
Carter 23 23 5,220 53.74% 4,494 46.26% 9,714
Casey 15 15 1,783 30.55% 4,053 69.45% 5,836
Christian 44 44 9,030 40.79% 13,109 59.21% 22,139
Clark 26 26 7,436 48.49% 7,898 51.51% 15,334
Clay 20 20 2,458 33.85% 4,804 66.15% 7,262
Clinton 13 13 1,029 25.42% 3,019 74.58% 4,048
Crittenden 12 12 1,615 41.59% 2,268 58.41% 3,883
Cumberland 9 9 763 28.62% 1,903 71.38% 2,666
Daviess 84 84 20,779 47.94% 22,563 52.06% 43,342
Edmonson 10 10 1,996 38.06% 3,249 61.94% 5,245
Elliott 7 7 1,830 71.99% 712 28.01% 2,542
Estill 15 15 2,162 41.36% 3,065 58.64% 5,227
Fayette 274 274 68,029 54.15% 57,605 45.85% 125,634
Fleming 18 18 2,845 50.04% 2,841 49.96% 5,686
Floyd 42 42 10,105 64.35% 5,598 35.65% 15,703
Franklin 44 44 13,888 59.00% 9,651 41.00% 23,539
Fulton 13 13 1,456 53.49% 1,266 46.51% 2,722
Gallatin 8 8 1,435 45.66% 1,708 54.34% 3,143
Garrard 13 13 2,858 40.11% 4,268 59.89% 7,126
Grant 23 23 3,408 39.33% 5,257 60.67% 8,665
Graves 30 30 7,839 48.76% 8,239 51.24% 16,078
Grayson 23 23 3,863 39.23% 5,983 60.77% 9,846
Green 10 10 1,777 35.73% 3,197 64.27% 4,974
Greenup 32 32 8,258 52.83% 7,374 47.17% 15,632
Hancock 10 10 2,298 56.09% 1,799 43.91% 4,097
Hardin 55 55 17,318 43.68% 22,326 56.32% 39,644
Harlan 35 35 4,440 45.92% 5,229 54.08% 9,669
Harrison 17 17 3,814 50.47% 3,743 49.53% 7,557
Hart 19 19 2,962 44.60% 3,680 55.40% 6,642
Henderson 42 42 11,048 56.06% 8,659 43.94% 19,707
Henry 20 20 3,194 46.52% 3,672 53.48% 6,866
Hickman 6 6 1,049 47.49% 1,160 52.51% 2,209
Hopkins 40 40 8,481 44.87% 10,419 55.13% 18,900
Jackson 14 14 1,245 24.71% 3,794 75.29% 5,039
Jefferson 515 515 195,401 55.73% 155,241 44.27% 350,642
Jessamine 37 37 7,847 39.60% 11,969 60.40% 19,816
Johnson 31 31 3,252 38.81% 5,128 61.19% 8,380
Kenton 108 108 19,217 36.26% 33,787 63.74% 53,004
Knott 30 30 3,477 62.14% 2,118 37.86% 5,595
Knox 30 30 4,329 39.01% 6,767 60.99% 11,096
LaRue 12 12 2,523 41.97% 3,489 58.03% 6,012
Laurel 45 45 6,850 31.15% 15,138 68.85% 21,988
Lawrence 18 18 2,641 47.47% 2,923 52.53% 5,564
Lee 10 10 1,073 39.77% 1,625 60.23% 2,698
Leslie 17 17 1,083 25.15% 3,224 74.85% 4,307
Letcher 32 32 4,198 51.82% 3,903 48.18% 8,101
Lewis 14 14 1,787 38.26% 2,884 61.74% 4,671
Lincoln 17 17 4,119 45.47% 4,939 54.53% 9,058
Livingston 10 10 2,142 47.35% 2,382 52.65% 4,524
Logan 20 20 4,379 40.70% 6,379 59.30% 10,758
Lyon 6 6 1,821 47.80% 1,989 52.20% 3,810
McCracken 54 54 13,006 42.91% 17,303 57.09% 30,309
McCreary 18 18 1,576 30.41% 3,606 69.59% 5,182
McLean 8 8 2,225 50.55% 2,177 49.45% 4,402
Madison 56 56 14,657 45.96% 17,237 54.04% 31,894
Magoffin 14 14 2,719 58.81% 1,904 41.19% 4,623
Marion 17 17 4,304 57.68% 3,158 42.32% 7,462
Marshall 25 25 7,463 48.94% 7,785 51.06% 15,248
Martin 14 14 1,203 33.19% 2,422 66.81% 3,625
Mason 20 20 3,095 44.58% 3,847 55.42% 6,942
Meade 18 18 5,149 46.58% 5,905 53.42% 11,054
Menifee 6 6 1,520 61.51% 951 38.49% 2,471
Mercer 17 17 4,338 44.17% 5,484 55.83% 9,822
Metcalfe 12 12 1,766 44.03% 2,245 55.97% 4,011
Monroe 12 12 1,237 27.16% 3,318 72.84% 4,555
Montgomery 18 18 5,526 54.25% 4,660 45.75% 10,186
Morgan 12 12 2,475 57.03% 1,865 42.97% 4,340
Muhlenberg 26 26 7,436 57.90% 5,406 42.10% 12,842
Nelson 26 26 8,823 49.60% 8,965 50.40% 17,788
Nicholas 5 5 1,737 59.47% 1,184 40.53% 2,921
Ohio 25 25 4,664 47.08% 5,242 52.92% 9,906
Oldham 34 34 10,204 35.25% 18,744 64.75% 28,948
Owen 13 13 2,019 42.93% 2,684 57.07% 4,703
Owsley 8 8 559 34.46% 1,063 65.54% 1,622
Pendleton 12 12 2,155 37.97% 3,520 62.03% 5,675
Perry 37 37 5,026 49.10% 5,211 50.90% 10,237
Pike 57 57 12,912 57.16% 9,679 42.84% 22,591
Powell 11 11 2,863 57.91% 2,081 42.09% 4,944
Pulaski 57 57 8,108 32.20% 17,072 67.80% 25,180
Robertson 5 5 498 49.21% 514 50.79% 1,012
Rockcastle 14 14 1,837 30.55% 4,177 69.45% 6,014
Rowan 18 18 4,710 58.71% 3,312 41.29% 8,022
Russell 16 16 2,450 33.67% 4,827 66.33% 7,277
Scott 35 35 9,238 47.36% 10,267 52.64% 19,505
Shelby 33 33 7,546 41.15% 10,790 58.85% 18,336
Simpson 13 13 3,118 44.29% 3,922 55.71% 7,040
Spencer 11 11 3,159 39.64% 4,811 60.36% 7,970
Taylor 20 20 4,163 38.52% 6,644 61.48% 10,807
Todd 13 13 1,772 36.89% 3,032 63.11% 4,804
Trigg 14 14 2,637 40.76% 3,833 59.24% 6,470
Trimble 12 12 1,927 50.87% 1,861 49.13% 3,788
Union 16 16 3,335 55.46% 2,678 44.54% 6,013
Warren 63 63 19,162 43.84% 24,547 56.16% 43,709
Washington 14 14 2,316 45.04% 2,826 54.96% 5,142
Wayne 19 19 3,045 43.30% 3,987 56.70% 7,032
Webster 14 14 3,000 54.39% 2,516 45.61% 5,516
Whitley 36 36 4,849 36.37% 8,484 63.63% 13,333
Wolfe 8 8 1,886 62.74% 1,120 37.26% 3,006
Woodford 16 16 5,903 48.65% 6,231 51.35% 12,134

References

  1. ^ Race Ratings Chart: Senate CQ Politics
  2. ^ Race Ratings Chart: Senate CQ Politics
  3. ^ 2008 Senate Race Ratings The Cook Political Report, October 9, 2008
  4. ^ 2008 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report, July 19, 2008
  5. ^ 2008 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report, September 29, 2008
  6. ^ "Schumer Takes Aim At Senate's Top Republican". Huffington Post. October 31, 2007. Retrieved 2007-10-31. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  7. ^ Gerth, Joseph (2008-01-30). "Lunsford to challenge McConnell; Lewis is out". Courier-Journal. {{cite news}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  8. ^ "McConnell, Lunsford race a dead heat". The Courier-Journal. September 27, 2008. Retrieved 2008-09-27.
  9. ^ "Lunsford-McConnell Debate Now Off". Kentucky Post. September 30, 2008. Retrieved 2008-10-17.
  10. ^ "Election Results". Kentucky State Board of Elections. May 21, 2008. Retrieved 2008-05-21. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  11. ^ http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5ibWuX2iqBQKyvCQwyICyBrNG_TEwD91HB3880%7C title=AP: Former tough-guy actor sets sights on US Senate
  12. ^ http://www.politickerky.com/treypollard/1219/landham-rejected-second-time-libertarian-vote Landham rejected a second time by Libertarian vote


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