Talk:EuroMillions: Difference between revisions
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: I thought the same thing, but then I noticed that the probability for '''at least''' 5 main balls would be <math>\frac{1}{2118760} = \frac{55}{116531800}</math>. This includes the chance of getting 5 main balls and 2 stars (<math>\frac{1}{116531800}</math>) and 5 main balls and 1 star (<math>\frac{18}{116531800}</math>). Without these cases, the probability for '''exactly''' 5 main balls and 0 stars would be <math>\frac{(55 - 1 - 18)}{116531800} = \frac{36}{116531800} = \frac{1}{3236994}</math>. [[Special:Contributions/89.217.175.22|89.217.175.22]] ([[User talk:89.217.175.22|talk]]) 22:54, 22 April 2016 (UTC) |
: I thought the same thing, but then I noticed that the probability for '''at least''' 5 main balls would be <math>\frac{1}{2118760} = \frac{55}{116531800}</math>. This includes the chance of getting 5 main balls and 2 stars (<math>\frac{1}{116531800}</math>) and 5 main balls and 1 star (<math>\frac{18}{116531800}</math>). Without these cases, the probability for '''exactly''' 5 main balls and 0 stars would be <math>\frac{(55 - 1 - 18)}{116531800} = \frac{36}{116531800} = \frac{1}{3236994}</math>. [[Special:Contributions/89.217.175.22|89.217.175.22]] ([[User talk:89.217.175.22|talk]]) 22:54, 22 April 2016 (UTC) |
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You are absolutely spot on with your calculations, though the odds have since changed. The odds I had calculated were for getting five balls only, and did not take into account the possibilities of getting 5+1 or 5+2. Thanks for the correction.[[Special:Contributions/46.7.85.68|46.7.85.68]] ([[User talk:46.7.85.68|talk]]) 21:14, 14 October 2016 (UTC) |
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== Can we block malodorous websites? == |
== Can we block malodorous websites? == |
Revision as of 21:14, 14 October 2016
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Notable wins
I think it would be better to wait until there was an actual notable win before posting updates. Dolores win was notable was notable because it was the largest single winner, I'm sure there are larger jackpot amounts in other lotteries (Spanish lottery have very large jackpots, but rarely have single winnners as tickets are sold in tenths.) MartinRe 00:13, 21 January 2006 (UTC)
- I stand to corect myself, from the other lottery page, the euromillions draw is the largest jackpot, as well as the largest single prize to date. Considered reverting my change, but think it better to wait until actual prize (or else would encourage daily updagte of estimated jackpot amounts). Obviously once results show there is a winner/winners, I'm sure someone will jump in and update it! MartinRe 00:30, 21 January 2006 (UTC)
- I see 146m euro is the figure floating around for the estimate next jackpot (but I've yet to see a citation). I think it would be better to wait for correct figures next friday, or we'll be forever updating as the estimate changes. Personally, I think the most we should say is that it will be > current figure, which is what I originally put in the main lottery page. I see that's also been changed to the 146m figure (also without citing a source). Remember Wikipedia is not a crystal ball so guesses at future events should be limited. MartinRe 23:53, 21 January 2006 (UTC)
- I see the jackpot of €152,882,223 hasn't been won tonight. MartinRe 22:01, 27 January 2006 (UTC)
- Also, if the jackpot is won by a single person, it will also be the worldwide record amount paid out, the US amounts are lower [1] because of tax taken off the initial figure. MartinRe 11:06, 3 February 2006 (UTC)
- Legally it wouldnt be; in the US you effectively get the entire sum, and pay some of it back to the government - income tax.
Not sure about that, the US lotteries I've looked at have two payouts, the advertised jackpot which comes over 25 years, which includes interest in the payout amount, and the much lower instant payout. If you want your lottery money right away, you only get (roughly) half and then have to pay income tax on it. So to take the higher aount, you have to take it over 25 years, and even at 2% interest, the lottery payment will be 164% of what they were by year 25, on average about 30% of the advertised jackpot would come from interest payments. Although I doubt anyone cares enough to find a fellow nerd who has worked it out we could cite. —Preceding unsigned comment added by 80.254.146.20 (talk) 11:03, 23 July 2008 (UTC)
Its going to be £100million on the 26th September, anyone know why? Doesnt appear to be a birthday. (I realise its not a place for questions, but its a sort of proposed edit...) —Preceding unsigned comment added by 80.254.146.20 (talk) 09:34, 24 September 2008 (UTC)
Update, it seemed to roll down to 15 people in the UK who each won 7million, it would seem very odd that no one outside the UK got 5 numbers and a lucky star. UK only jackpot? —Preceding unsigned comment added by 86.134.228.66 (talk) 18:11, 1 October 2008 (UTC)
This section is getting too large - how about removing any wins of less than €100Million?
Way too large - it needs to be pruned, maybe only single winners of over €100Million? — Preceding unsigned comment added by 88.109.94.161 (talk) 06:50, 8 January 2014 (UTC)
Probability table correct?
Did anyone check the probability of winning in the article? According to the article it is 1/76*10^6. However, if I recall correctly, all events are independent and should therefore be multiplied together leading to 1/(50*49*48*47*46*9*8) = 1/18*10^9. Hence the probability of guessing all 5 numbers and 2 stars is much smaller and it will also impact all other probabilities in the article. 94.224.68.133 (talk) 00:11, 14 February 2010 (UTC)
Your method of calculation does not take into account that there multiple opportunities for the numbers to be drawn. For example if you have selected a given number (say 39) the chances of that number being drawn initially is 50:5 because there are five numbers drawn. As the numbers are drawn, it becomes progressively harder for your subsequent numbers to be drawn: thus the correct formula is 50/5x49/4x48/3x47/2x46x11/2x10 (assuming 11 lucky starts at time of writing.46.7.85.68 (talk) 18:48, 9 April 2015 (UTC)
The odds are 1 in 76,275,360, as there are that many unique combinations of numbers. —Preceding unsigned comment added by 79.73.137.185 (talk) 13:40, 14 February 2010 (UTC)
Just took a look at these and I am pretty certain the odds for 5 main balls is wrong: I propose 50/5x49/4x48/3x47/2x46 = 2118759/146.7.85.68 (talk) 18:48, 9 April 2015 (UTC)
- I thought the same thing, but then I noticed that the probability for at least 5 main balls would be . This includes the chance of getting 5 main balls and 2 stars () and 5 main balls and 1 star (). Without these cases, the probability for exactly 5 main balls and 0 stars would be . 89.217.175.22 (talk) 22:54, 22 April 2016 (UTC)
You are absolutely spot on with your calculations, though the odds have since changed. The odds I had calculated were for getting five balls only, and did not take into account the possibilities of getting 5+1 or 5+2. Thanks for the correction.46.7.85.68 (talk) 21:14, 14 October 2016 (UTC)
Can we block malodorous websites?
I am getting really ticked off by spammers continually adding links to "news" where it's being used to promote web sites that sell euromillions tickets. I don't know if they are legitimate resellers or not but I for one do not like to see links to these sites where they are not a lottery partner ie Camelot.
I don't believe that these companies can claim a win for someone abroad if the laws of the applicable country that sold those tickets, don't permit it. — Preceding unsigned comment added by 88.109.85.13 (talk) 20:00, 6 February 2014 (UTC)
- Are you referring to the reference added? That you continually remove? It is a realible source on the information it supports, it doesnt claim to have sold these tickets, so I dont see what the probem is. If you dont like it being used as a ref, supply one, if not dont remove at it is disruptive. Murry1975 (talk) 20:18, 6 February 2014 (UTC)