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| data-sort-value="3" | ~4.09%
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| data-sort-value="3a" | USA ~2.06%
| Global, up to 17 March 2020.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/|title=Coronavirus Update (Live)|last=|first=|date=|work=Worldometer|url-status=live|archive-url=|archive-date=|access-date=}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/|title=Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center|website=Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center|language=en|access-date=2020-03-18}}</ref>
| Global, up to 17 March 2020.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/|title=Coronavirus Update (Live)|last=|first=|date=|work=Worldometer|url-status=live|archive-url=|archive-date=|access-date=}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/|title=Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center|website=Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center|language=en|access-date=2020-03-18}}</ref>
|<ref>{{cite web |url=https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus#global-case-fatality-rate-of-covid-19 |title=Coronavirus disease (COVID–19) |website=Our World In Data |access-date=12 March 2020 }}</ref>
|<ref>{{cite web |url=https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus#global-case-fatality-rate-of-covid-19 |title=Coronavirus disease (COVID–19) |website=Our World In Data |access-date=12 March 2020 }}</ref>
|<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e2.htm |title=Severe Outcomes Among Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) — United States, February 12–March 16, 2020 |website=Centers For Disease Control and Prevention |access-date=19 March 2020 }}</ref>
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|[[Pertussis|Pertussis (whooping cough)]], infants in developing countries
|[[Pertussis|Pertussis (whooping cough)]], infants in developing countries

Revision as of 13:44, 19 March 2020

This is a list of human disease case fatality rates (CFRs). A CFR is the proportion of people diagnosed with a disease who die during the course of the disease (cf. mortality rate). Data are based on optimally treated patients and exclude isolated cases or minor outbreaks, unless otherwise indicated.

Disease Treatment CFR Notes Reference(s)
Transmissible spongiform encephalopathies Currently Incurable 100% Includes Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease and all its variants, fatal familial insomnia, kuru, Gerstmann–Sträussler–Scheinker syndrome and others. [1]
African trypanosomiasis Untreated ~ 100% [2]
Visceral leishmaniasis Untreated ~ 100% [3]
Fibrodysplasia Ossificans Progressiva Currently Incurable ~ 100% Death almost always results from complications of FOP, life expectancy is about 40 years [4]
Tay–Sachs disease (pre-adult) Currently Incurable ~ 100% Even with the most high quality care, infants with Tay–Sachs disease usually die within a few years of displaying the first symptoms. Juvenile with the disease are likely to die from the ages 5–15, while those who develop the disease as adults will probably be largely unaffected. [5]
Primary amoebic meningoencephalitis, Naegleria fowleri Untreated ~ 99% Amphotericin B has shown efficacy in the limited survivorship population. Around 7 documented survivors
Rabies Untreated ~ 99% Preventable with vaccines down to ~0% CFR and treatable with PEP but, once the symptoms manifest, the CFR is near 100%. Around 16 documented survivors after symptom onset, all but 3 did not receive any Rabies (specific) treatment at any time before symptom onset. Of those 3, only 1 survived without the use of a therapeutic coma [6]
Balamuthia Opportunistic & Untreated[7] ~ 99% 2 survivors, both have permanent brain damage. [8]
Glanders, septicemic Untreated 95% The rate drops significantly to >50% with treatment. [9]
Smallpox Variola major – specifically the malignant (flat) or hemorrhagic type Untreated ~ 95% The rate drops significantly to 10% with effective treatments.

Eradicated.

[10]: 28 [11]
Ebola virus disease – specifically EBOV Untreated & Unvaccinated 83–90%
Prognosis improved by early supportive treatments as seen in the West African epidemic and the Kivu outbreak. [12][13]
AIDS/HIV infection Untreated 80–90% Data are counted during the first 5 years of infection in developed countries. HIV is not lethal on its own but patients are usually killed by respiratory diseases, such as flu or pneumonia because of immunodeficiency caused by HIV virus. [14]: 1 
Anthrax, specifically the pulmonary form Untreated & Unvaccinated > 85% Early treatments lower the CFR to 45% as seen in the 2001 AMERITHRAX letter attacks.

Monoclonal antibodies (Obilotoxaximab & Raxibacumab) could lower this further.

[10]: 88 
Macanine alphaherpesvirus 1 Untreated ~ 80% Early treatment including aciclovir can improve prognosis. [15]
Aspergillosis, invasive pulmonary form Opportunistic w/COPD, Tuberculosis and Immunocompromised 50–90% [16]
Smallpox, Variola major – in pregnant women Unvaccinated > 65% [10]: 88 
Cryptococcal meningitis Co-infection with HIV 40–60% 6 month mortality is >=60% with fluconazole-based therapy and 40% with amphotercin-based therapy in research studies in low and middle income countries. [17]
Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 ~ 60% [18]
Bubonic plague Untreated & Unvaccinated 5–60% [10]: 57 
Tularemia, pneumonic Untreated ≤ 60% [10]: 78 
Anthrax, gastrointestinal, intestinal type Untreated & Unvaccinated > 50% [10]: 27 
Marburg virus disease – all outbreaks combined Untreated 23–90% 23% in 1967 when it was first identified and 90% in 2004-2005 when the worst outbreak of the disease occurred. Galidesivir has shown promise in treating Filoviridae [19][20]
Plague, pneumonic Untreated & Unvaccinated 50% [10]: 58 
Tetanus, Generalized Untreated & Unvaccinated 50% CFR drops to 10–20% with effective treatment. [21]
Reye's Syndrome > 40% [22]
Baylisascariasis ~40% With occurrence of Neural Larva Migrans; early, aggressive treatment necessary for survival, but only 2 full recoveries from NLM ever documented [23]
Plague, septicemic Untreated & Unvaccinated 30–50% [10]: 58 
Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) 35% Galidesivir has shown promise in treating Coronaviridae [24]
Tularemia, typhoidal Untreated 3–35% [10]: 77 
Eastern equine encephalitis virus ~ 33% [25]
Anthrax, gastrointestinal, oropharyngeal type 10–50% [10]: 27 
Tuberculosis, HIV Negative Vaccine 43% Vaccines have been developed but have been frequently dismissed for having received controversial and improper testing on African populations. [26]
Smallpox, Variola major Unvaccinated 30% [10]: 88 
Varicella (chickenpox), in newborns Untreated ~ 30% Where the mothers develop the disease between 5 days prior to, or 2 days after delivery. [14]: 110 
Cancer (overall) Treated 30% ~97% will die within five years if untreated.[27] [28]
Dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF) Untreated 26% Dengue haemorrhagic fever is also known as severe dengue.[29] [30]
Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS) Untreated ~21% Galidesivir has shown promise in treating Bunyavirales [31]
Leptospirosis < 5–30% [14]: 352 
Legionellosis ~ 15% [14]: 665 
Anorexia Nervosa Cohort summary 16% [32]
Meningococcal disease Untreated & Unvaccinated 10–20% [33]
Typhoid fever Untreated & Unvaccinated 10–20% [14]: 665 
Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) 11% Galidesivir has shown promise in treating Coronaviridae [34]
Intestinal capillariasis Untreated ~ 10% [35]
Visceral leishmaniasis ~ 10% [36]
Botulism Treated < 10% Untreated foodborne botulism is thought to be ~50% [37]
Diphtheria, respiratory Untreated & Unvaccinated ~ 5–10% [38]
Yellow fever Unvaccinated 7.5% [39]
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ~4.09% USA ~2.06% Global, up to 17 March 2020.[40][41] [42] [43]
Pertussis (whooping cough), infants in developing countries Unvaccinated ~ 3.7% [14]: 456 
Smallpox, Variola major Vaccinated 3% [10]: 88 
Spanish (1918) flu Treated > 2.5% [44]
Angiostrongyliasis ~2.4% From Hawaiian cases. [45]
Measles (rubeola), in developing countries Unvaccinated ~ 1–3% May reach 10–30% in some localities. [14]: 431 
Brucellosis Untreated ≤ 2% [14]: 87 
Hepatitis A, adults > 50 years old Unvaccinated ~ 1.8% [14]: 278 
Lassa fever ~ 1% 15% in hospitalized patients; higher in some epidemics. [14]: 334 
Mumps encephalitis Unvaccinated ~ 1% [14]: 431 
Pertussis (whooping cough), children in developing countries Unvaccinated ~ 1% For children 1–4 years old. [14]: 456 
Smallpox, Variola minor Unvaccinated 1% [10]: 87–88 
Venezuelan Equine Encephalitis (VEE) < 1% [10]: 97–98 
Anthrax, cutaneous < 1% [10]: 27 
Malaria ~ 0.3% [46]
Hepatitis A Unvaccinated 0.1–0.3% [14]: 278 
Asian (1956–58) flu ~ 0.1% [47]
Hong Kong (1968–69) flu ~ 0.1% [47]
Influenza A, typical pandemics < 0.1% [44]
Varicella (chickenpox), adults Unvaccinated 0.02% This is 1:5,000. [14]: 110 
Hand, foot and mouth disease, children < 5 years old 0.01% This is 1:10,000. [48]
Varicella (chickenpox), children Unvaccinated 0.001% This is 1:100,000. [14]: 110 

See also

References

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