List of election bellwether counties in the United States: Difference between revisions
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** [[Kent County, Delaware]], voted for George H. W. Bush over [[Bill Clinton]]. |
** [[Kent County, Delaware]], voted for George H. W. Bush over [[Bill Clinton]]. |
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*In 2000: |
*In 2000: |
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** [[Pinellas County, Florida]], voted for [[Al Gore]] over [[George W. Bush]].<ref>{{ |
** [[Pinellas County, Florida]], voted for [[Al Gore]] over [[George W. Bush]].<ref name="Wasserman 2020">{{cite web |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/06/opinion/biden-trump-bellwether-counties-.html |website=New York Times |title= The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble |author= David Wasserman |date= October 6, 2020 }}</ref> |
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*In 2012: |
*In 2012: |
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** [[Albany County, Wyoming]], voted for [[Mitt Romney]] over [[Barack Obama]].<ref>{{cite web |url=http://soswy.state.wy.us/Elections/Docs/2012/Results/General/2012_Statewide_Candidates_Summary.pdf |title=Wyoming Secretary of State |accessdate=2012-12-08 }}</ref> |
** [[Albany County, Wyoming]], voted for [[Mitt Romney]] over [[Barack Obama]].<ref>{{cite web |url=http://soswy.state.wy.us/Elections/Docs/2012/Results/General/2012_Statewide_Candidates_Summary.pdf |title=Wyoming Secretary of State |accessdate=2012-12-08 }}</ref> |
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**[[Washington County, Maine]], voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden. |
**[[Washington County, Maine]], voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden. |
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**[[Westmoreland County, Virginia]], voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden. |
**[[Westmoreland County, Virginia]], voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden. |
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**[[Wood County, Ohio]], voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.<ref |
**[[Wood County, Ohio]], voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.<ref name="Wasserman 2020" /> |
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The following 7 counties have deviated from the winner of the Electoral College in two elections since 1980: |
The following 7 counties have deviated from the winner of the Electoral College in two elections since 1980: |
Revision as of 17:50, 13 November 2020
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Election bellwether counties in the United States are counties that vote in alignment with the country as a whole in United States presidential elections, so that the county votes for the candidate who ultimately wins the election. The strongest bellwether counties are those that back the winning candidate in all, or almost all, elections. There are a total of 3,141 counties or county equivalents in the United States.[1]
Significant bellwethers
The following county is the only county to have voted for the winner of the Electoral College in every election since 1980:
The following counties have deviated from the winner of the Electoral College in one election since 1980:
- In 1988:
- Blaine County, Montana, voted for Michael Dukakis over George H. W. Bush.
- In 1992:
- Kent County, Delaware, voted for George H. W. Bush over Bill Clinton.
- In 2000:
- Pinellas County, Florida, voted for Al Gore over George W. Bush.[2]
- In 2012:
- Albany County, Wyoming, voted for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama.[3]
- In 2016:
- Bexar County, Texas, voted for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump.
- Merced County, California, voted for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump.
- Stanislaus County, California, voted for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump.
- Ventura County, California, voted for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump.
- In 2020:
- Essex County, Vermont, voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.
- Hidalgo County, New Mexico, voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.
- Juneau County, Wisconsin, voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.
- Ottawa County, Ohio, voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.
- Sawyer County, Wisconsin, voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.
- Valencia County, New Mexico, voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.
- Vigo County, Indiana, voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.
- Washington County, Maine, voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.
- Westmoreland County, Virginia, voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.
- Wood County, Ohio, voted for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.[2]
The following 7 counties have deviated from the winner of the Electoral College in two elections since 1980:
- Calhoun County, South Carolina, in 1980 and 2020.
- Colleton County, South Carolina, in 1980 and 2020.
- Coös County, New Hampshire, in 2004 and 2020.
- Hillsborough County, Florida, in 1992 and 2016.
- Northampton County, Pennsylvania, in 2000 and 2004.
- Sargent County, North Dakota, in 1988, and 2020.
- Val Verde County, Texas, in 2016 and 2020.
References
- ^ "How many counties are in the United States?". United States Geological Survey. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
- ^ a b David Wasserman (October 6, 2020). "The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble". New York Times.
- ^ "Wyoming Secretary of State" (PDF). Retrieved 2012-12-08.