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"The Japanese had, in fact, already sued for peace. The atomic bomb played no decisive part, from a purely military point u of view, in the defeat of Japan. I felt that it was an unnecessary loss of civilian life... We had them beaten.

• ⁠Fleet Admiral Chester W. Nimitz

"It is my opinion that the use of this barbarous weapon at Hiroshima and Nakasaki was of no material assistance in our war against Japan. The Japanese were already defeated and ready to surrender because of the effective sea blockade and the successful bombing with conventional weapons. It was my reaction that the scientists and others wanted to make this test because of the vast sums that had been spent on the project. Truman knew that, and so did the other people involved."

• ⁠Fleet Admiral William D. Leahy

The consensus, as I understand it, was that the bombs were vital.

Wrong.

The official conclusion of the US military is:

Japan would have surrendered even if the atomic bombs had not been dropped, even if Russia had not entered the war, and even if no invasion had been planned or contemplated.

Source: United States Strategic Bombing Survey (Pacific War)

The bombs played no part in Japans surrender, they were going to surrender anyways, and this was known at the time.

https://www.reddit.com /r/Presidents/s/dSG7DaoRKF Jimmy the badgaaaaaaaaar