2026 Baden-Württemberg state election

2026 Baden-Württemberg state election

2026
All 120 seats in the Landtag of Baden-Württemberg (including any overhang and leveling seats) 61 seats needed for a majority
First party Second party Third party   Party Greens CDU SPD Last election 58 seats, 32.6% 42 seats, 24.1% 19 seats, 11.0%   Fourth party Fifth party   Party FDP AfD Last election 18 seats, 10.5% 17 seats, 9.7%
Government before election Third Kretschmann cabinet Green–CDU Government after election TBD

The next election to the Landtag of Baden-Württemberg is scheduled for 2026.

Background

In the 2021 state election, the Greens, led by Minister-President Winfried Kretschmann, were the strongest with 32.6%, giving them their best nationwide result ever in a state election. For Baden-Württemberg, the CDU achieved its poor result with 24.1%, the SPD also achieved its worst result with 11%, but again became the third strongest force, the FDP achieved one of its best results with 10.5%. The AfD suffered heavy losses, becoming the weakest force in the state parliament with 9.7%.

The Third Kretschmann cabinet was formed; a Green–CDU coalition.

In April 2022, the Landtag amended the state's electoral law, so that a second vote and closed list was added. In addition, the voting age was lowered to age 16.

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Local regression of polls conducted.

Party polling

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Grüne	CDU	SPD	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Lead
Infratest dimap	1–8 Oct 2024	1,166	18	34	13	5	16	–	–	5	9	16
INSA	26 Sep–4 Oct 2024	2,000	18	32	13	6	18	3	–	6	4	14
INSA	5–15 Aug 2024	1,000	19	31	11	7	16	3	–	8	5	11
INSA	4–11 Jun 2024	1,000	19	30	12	7	15	3	–	7	7	11
European Parliament election	9 Jun 2024	–	13.8	32.0	11.6	6.8	14.7	1.9	3.8	4.5	10.9	17.3
Infratest dimap	7–14 May 2024	1,148	22	32	11	7	14	–	3	4	7	10
INSA	4–11 Mar 2024	1,000	23	30	11	7	16	3	–	7	3	7
Infratest dimap	11–16 Jan 2024	1,152	22	32	9	7	18	–	3	–	9	10
Wahlkreisprognose	23–27 Oct 2023	1,100	20	30	10	7	22	1.5	3	–	6.5	10
			20	27	9	8	20	2	–	6	8	7
Infratest dimap	21–25 Sep 2023	1,162	22	29	12	8	20	–	–		9	7
Wahlkreisprognose	17–24 Jul 2023	1,000	25.5	24	11	7	21	2	3		6.5	1.5
Infratest dimap	13–18 Jul 2023	1,185	24	26	13	7	19	–	–		11	2
INSA	20–27 Mar 2023	1,000	28	27	13	9	12	3	–		8	1
Infratest dimap	16–21 Mar 2023	1,178	26	27	15	10	12	–	–		10	1
Wahlkreisprognose	7–13 Mar 2023	1,005	28	32	10	6.5	13	2	3		5.5	4
Wahlkreisprognose	18–22 Dec 2022	1,000	28	23	15	9	15	2	2.5		5.5	5
INSA	24–31 Oct 2022	1,000	26	28	13	10	13	3	–		7	2
Infratest dimap	20–25 Oct 2022	1,175	27	26	15	9	13	3	–		7	1
Wahlkreisprognose	16–22 Oct 2022	1,014	27.5	22	15	8	16	3	4		4.5	5.5
Wahlkreisprognose	8–15 Aug 2022	1,300	30.5	24	13	10	12	2.5	3		5	6.5
INSA	4–11 Jul 2022	1,000	29	26	14	11	10	3	–		7	3
Wahlkreisprognose	3–10 Jun 2022	1,000	30.5	20.5	14	13	11	4	–		7	10
Wahlkreisprognose	5–6 May 2022	1,040	27.5	20.5	18	14	10	3	–		7	7
Infratest dimap	12–19 Apr 2022	1,170	28	26	15	11	9	3	–		8	2
INSA	28 Mar–4 Apr 2022	1,000	25	23	19	11	10	3	–		9	2
Wahlkreisprognose	8–16 Mar 2022	1,600	27	25	16	14	9	2	–		7	2
Infratest dimap	4–8 Mar 2022	1,152	27	24	18	13	9	3	–		6	3
Infratest dimap	13–18 Jan 2022	1,166	26	23	16	12	11	4	–		8	3
Wahlkreisprognose	23–30 Dec 2021	1,002	26	19	20	19	8.5	3	–		4.5	6
Infratest dimap	7–12 Oct 2021	1,162	27	17	20	15	9	3	3		6	7
INSA	4–11 Oct 2021	1,000	24	20	21	16	9	3	–		7	3
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	17.2	24.8	21.6	15.3	9.6	3.3	1.7		6.5	3.2
2021 state election	14 Mar 2021	–	32.6	24.1	11.0	10.5	9.7	3.6	3.0		5.5	8.5