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Karandeniya Polling Division

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Karandeniya
Polling Division
Map
Coordinates: 6°15′27″N 80°08′23″E / 6.257410°N 80.139707°E / 6.257410; 80.139707
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSouthern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGalle Electoral District
Area
 • Total151.94 km2 (58.66 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total91,845
 • Density604/km2 (1,560/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-07C

The Karandeniya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Galle Electoral District, in the Southern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Karandeniya has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Karandeniya is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Karandeniya Galle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 5.73% SLPP 17.09%
2015 UPFA UPFA 7.52% NDF 15.42%
2010 UPFA UPFA 7.26% UPFA 12.73%
2005 UPFA UPFA 4.79% UPFA 12.83%
1999 PA PA 1.11% PA 4.70%
1994 PA PA 2.89% PA 1.83%
1988 SLFP SLFP 3.11% UNP 9.71%
1982 UNP UNP 2.82% UNP 1.22%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 4.40% 8/8 9.44%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Karandeniya[4] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 42,664 70.29% 466,148 64.26% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 14,437 23.79% 217,401 29.97% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,199 3.62% 27,006 3.72% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,393 2.30% 14,803 2.04% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 60,693 99.32% 725,358 99.20% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 415 0.68% 5,878 0.80% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 61,108 82.60% 731,236 85.15% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 73,981 858,749 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Karandeniya[5] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,983 63.13% 377,126 55.64% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 19,752 35.65% 293,994 43.37% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 675 1.22% 6,691 0.99% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 55,410 99.03% 677,811 99.05% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 541 0.97% 6,516 0.95% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 55,951 77.10% 684,327 80.46% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 72,572 850,549 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Karandeniya[6] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,809 71.00% 386,971 63.69% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 13,420 27.37% 211,633 34.83% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 795 1.62% 9,017 1.48% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 49,024 99.38% 607,621 99.38% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 308 0.62% 3,765 0.62% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 49,332 73.60% 611,386 77.82% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 67,025 785,663 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Karandeniya[7] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,157 63.26% 347,233 58.41% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 17,438 35.40% 239,320 40.26% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 658 1.34% 7,915 1.33% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 49,253 99.03% 594,468 99.08% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 481 0.97% 5,540 0.92% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 49,734 77.57% 600,008 79.86% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 64,111 751,327 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Karandeniya[8] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,445 54.57% 281,154 54.91% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 14,882 36.18% 195,906 38.26% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,157 7.68% 27,257 5.32% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 649 1.58% 7,702 1.50% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 41,133 97.96% 512,019 98.14% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 857 2.04% 9,716 1.86% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 41,990 74.32% 521,735 77.43% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 56,502 673,785 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Karandeniya[9] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,470 64.15% 285,398 61.40% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 11,934 34.07% 173,282 37.28% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 625 1.78% 6,135 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 35,029 98.36% 464,815 98.49% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 583 1.64% 7,112 1.51% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 35,612 67.11% 471,927 73.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 53,066 646,373 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Karandeniya[10] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 5,703 56.45% 148,615 53.09% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 4,210 41.67% 124,912 44.62% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 189 1.87% 6,417 2.29% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 10,102 98.53% 279,944 98.43% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 151 1.47% 4,461 1.57% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 10,253 21.41% 284,405 49.34% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 47,887 576,390 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Karandeniya[11] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,060 51.57% 211,544 50.23% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,732 38.48% 180,925 42.96% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 3,026 9.15% 20,962 4.98% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 266 0.80% 7,707 1.83% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 33,084 98.90% 421,138 98.78% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 367 1.10% 5,198 1.22% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 33,451 80.89% 426,336 81.84% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 41,355 520,909 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Karandeniya has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Karandeniya is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Karandeniya Galle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 4.48% UNP 8.97%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.32% UPFA 8.49%
2004 UPFA UPFA 7.82% UPFA 11.54%
2001 PA UNP 1.92% UNP 4.26%
2000 PA PA 1.12% PA 1.57%
1994 PA PA 0.26% PA 5.13%
1989 SLFP UNP 5.98% UNP 8.44%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 6/7 3.70% 7/7 6.91%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Karandeniya[14] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,367 54.77% 312,518 50.07% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 18,796 37.61% 265,180 42.49% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,588 5.18% 37,778 6.05% 544,154 4.88%
BJP 803 1.61% 3,041 0.49% 20,377 0.18%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 417 0.83% 5,618 0.90% 62,475 0.56%
Valid Votes 49,971 97.64% 624,135 97.63% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,203 2.35% 15,107 2.36% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 51,178 70.52% 639,318 78.00% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 72,572 819,666 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Karandeniya[15] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,274 71.15% 305,307 66.17% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 8,688 22.67% 120,101 26.03% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,022 5.28% 33,663 7.30% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 347 0.91% 2,317 0.50% 32,313 0.40%
Valid Votes 38,331 95.81% 461,388 95.05% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1,677 4.19% 24,013 4.95% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 40,008 59.69% 485,401 61.67% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 67,025 787,139 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Karandeniya[16] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,807 65.42% 306,385 56.58% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 14,377 31.55% 209,399 38.67% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,187 2.61% 22,826 4.22% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 195 0.43% 2,901 0.54% 60,066 0.65%
Valid Votes 45,566 94.87% 541,511 94.69% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,464 5.13% 30,380 5.31% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 48,030 77.24% 571,891 79.81% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 62,180 716,609 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Karandeniya[17] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,925 42.14% 232,931 42.98% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 18,632 41.49% 238,989 44.10% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 6,718 14.96% 61,806 11.41% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 631 1.41% 8,188 1.51% 143,033 1.60%
Valid Votes 44,906 95.71% 541,914 95.66% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,012 4.29% 24,561 4.34% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 46,918 77.84% 566,475 81.09% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 60,273 698,558 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Karandeniya[18] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,035 48.21% 264,601 50.08% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 17,491 40.08% 212,055 40.14% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,334 9.93% 41,620 7.88% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 775 1.78% 10,072 1.91% 250,489 2.91%
Valid Votes 43,635 N/A 528,348 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Karandeniya[19] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,880 56.62% 277,956 56.39% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 15,830 40.96% 203,268 41.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 805 2.08% 7,239 1.47% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 130 0.34% 4,451 0.90% 69,351 0.87%
Valid Votes 38,645 95.14% 492,914 95.96% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,975 4.86% 20,763 4.04% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 40,620 76.55% 513,677 79.57% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 53,066 645,559 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Karandeniya[20] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 10,402 50.01% 152,096 41.67% 1,785,369 31.90%
UNP 9,516 45.75% 183,962 50.40% 2,838,005 50.71%
USA 410 1.97% 18,160 4.98% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 271 1.30% 4,097 1.12% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 200 0.96% 6,690 1.83% 292,496 5.23%
Valid Votes 20,799 92.13% 365,005 93.94% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,777 7.87% 23,536 6.06% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 22,576 47.60% 388,541 68.03% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 47,426 571,146 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Karandeniya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (97.7%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Karandeniya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.4%) [1]

Ethnicity in Karandeniya[1]

  Sinhalese (97.7%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.5%)
  Other (0.8%)

Religion

The Karandeniya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (97.4%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Karandeniya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (93.9%) [1]

Religion in Karandeniya[1]

  Buddhist (97.4%)
  Other (1.5%)
  Hindu (1.1%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Karandeniya and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Karandeniya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Karandeniya and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Karandeniya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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